Coastal Flood Statement 12, NWS New York, NY

025 
WHUS41 KOKX 271936
CFWOKX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
336 PM EDT SAT MAY 27 2017

...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING TONIGHT...

NYZ179-281000-
/O.NEW.KOKX.CF.Y.0015.170529T0200Z-170529T0700Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.CF.Y.0014.170528T0100Z-170528T0600Z/
SOUTHERN NASSAU-
336 PM EDT SAT MAY 27 2017

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS
EVENING TO 2 AM EDT SUNDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM SUNDAY TO 3 AM EDT
MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD
ADVISORY, WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM SUNDAY TO 3 AM EDT
MONDAY.

* LOCATIONS...ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE BAYS OF NASSAU COUNTY.

* POSITIVE TIDAL DEPARTURES...1 TO 1 1/2 FT TONIGHT AND SUNDAY
  NIGHT.

* TIMING...AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT.

* IMPACTS...MINOR FLOODING OF VULNERABLE WATERFRONT AND 
  SHORELINE ROADS...AND ADJACENT PROPERTIES. INUNDATION OF 1 TO 
  1 1/2 FT ABOVE GROUND LEVEL IN THE LOWEST LYING SPOTS. A FEW 
  ROAD CLOSURES LIKELY WITH A LOW THREAT OF PROPERTY DAMAGE.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

...SOUTH SHORE BAYS WATER LEVELS FOR TONIGHT...

COASTAL............TIME OF......FORECAST TOTAL.......FLOOD.....
LOCATION...........HIGH TIDE.....WATER LEVEL.........CATEGORY..
.................................(MLLW/MHHW)...................

FREEPORT GAUGE NY....1042 PM...5.6-6.0/1.1-1.5.......MINOR.....
POINT LOOKOUT NY......945 PM...5.9-6.3/1.3-1.7.......MINOR.....
E ROCKAWAY NY.........958 PM...6.4-6.8/1.4-1.8.......MINOR..... 

...SOUTH SHORE BAYS WATER LEVELS FOR SUNDAY NIGHT...

COASTAL............TIME OF......FORECAST TOTAL.......FLOOD.....
LOCATION...........HIGH TIDE.....WATER LEVEL.........CATEGORY..
.................................(MLLW/MHHW)...................

FREEPORT GAUGE NY....1139 PM...5.3-5.7/0.8-1.2.......MINOR.....
POINT LOOKOUT NY.....1042 PM...5.7-6.1/1.1-1.5.......MINOR.....
E ROCKAWAY NY........1055 PM...6.2-6.6/1.2-1.6.......MINOR..... 

$$

NYZ075-178-280600-
/O.CON.KOKX.CF.Y.0014.170528T0100Z-170528T0600Z/
KINGS (BROOKLYN)-SOUTHERN QUEENS-
336 PM EDT SAT MAY 27 2017

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS
EVENING TO 2 AM EDT SUNDAY...

* LOCATIONS...ALONG JAMAICA BAY.

* POSITIVE TIDAL DEPARTURES...1/2 TO 1 FT.

* TIMING...AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...MINOR FLOODING OF VULNERABLE WATERFRONT AND 
  SHORELINE ROADS...AND ADJACENT PROPERTIES. INUNDATION OF 1 TO 
  1 1/2 FT ABOVE GROUND LEVEL IN THE LOWEST LYING SPOTS. A FEW 
  ROAD CLOSURES LIKELY WITH A LOW THREAT OF PROPERTY DAMAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

...SOUTH SHORE BAYS WATER LEVELS FOR TONIGHT...

COASTAL............TIME OF......FORECAST TOTAL.......FLOOD.....
LOCATION...........HIGH TIDE.....WATER LEVEL.........CATEGORY..
.................................(MLLW/MHHW)...................
 
JAMAICA BAY NY.......1044 PM...7.9-8.3/2.0-2.4.......MINOR..... 
ROCKAWAY INLET.......1004 PM...7.5-7.9/1.9-2.3.......MINOR.....

$$

CTZ009-NYZ071-280700-
/O.CON.KOKX.CF.Y.0014.170528T0400Z-170528T0700Z/
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-
336 PM EDT SAT MAY 27 2017

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
TO 3 AM EDT SUNDAY...

* LOCATIONS...LOW LYING COASTAL AREAS ALONG WESTERN LONG ISLAND 
  SOUND.

* POSITIVE TIDAL DEPARTURES...AROUND 1 FT.

* TIMING...AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...MINOR FLOODING OF VULNERABLE WATERFRONT AND 
  SHORELINE ROADS...AND ADJACENT PROPERTIES. INUNDATION OF 1 TO 
  1 1/2 FT ABOVE GROUND LEVEL IN THE LOWEST LYING SPOTS. A FEW 
  ROAD CLOSURES LIKELY WITH A LOW THREAT OF PROPERTY DAMAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

...WESTERN L.I. SOUND WATER LEVELS FOR TONIGHT...

COASTAL............TIME OF.......FORECAST TOTAL......FLOOD.....
LOCATION...........HIGH TIDE......WATER LEVEL........CATEGORY..
..................................(MLLW/MHHW)..................

KINGS POINT NY.......123 AM....9.9-10.3/2.1-2.5......MINOR.....
STAMFORD CT..........139 AM....9.7-10.1/1.9-2.3......MINOR.....
BRIDGEPORT CT........133 AM.....9.1-9.5/1.8-2.3......MINOR.....
NEW HAVEN CT.........130 AM.....8.3-8.7/1.6-2.0......MINOR.....

$$

NJZ006-106-108-NYZ074-280400-
/O.CON.KOKX.CF.S.0012.170528T0100Z-170528T0400Z/
HUDSON-EASTERN ESSEX-EASTERN UNION-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-
336 PM EDT SAT MAY 27 2017

* LOCATIONS....LOW LYING COASTAL AREAS OF STATEN ISLAND.

* POSITIVE TIDAL DEPARTURES...AROUND 1 FT.

* TIMING...AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...BRIEF MINOR FLOODING OF THE MOST VULNERABLE 
  WATERFRONT AND SHORELINE ROADS.

$$

NYZ080-280600-
/O.CON.KOKX.CF.S.0012.170528T0100Z-170528T0600Z/
SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
336 PM EDT SAT MAY 27 2017

* LOCATIONS...ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE BAYS OF SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK 
  COUNTY.

* POSITIVE TIDAL DEPARTURES...AROUND 1 FT.

* TIMING...AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...BRIEF MINOR FLOODING OF THE MOST VULNERABLE 
  WATERFRONT AND SHORELINE ROADS.

$$

CTZ010-NYZ078-177-280700-
/O.CON.KOKX.CF.S.0012.170528T0400Z-170528T0700Z/
SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN NASSAU-
336 PM EDT SAT MAY 27 2017

* LOCATIONS...LOW LYING COASTAL AREAS ALONG WESTERN LONG ISLAND 
  SOUND.

* POSITIVE TIDAL DEPARTURES...1/2 TO 1 FT.

* TIMING...AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...BRIEF MINOR FLOODING OF THE MOST VULNERABLE 
  WATERFRONT AND SHORELINE ROADS.

$$

355 
WHUS41 KOKX 280411
CFWOKX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1211 AM EDT SUN MAY 28 2017

...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING EARLY THIS MORNING AND AGAIN TONIGHT...

NYZ179-281215-
/O.CAN.KOKX.CF.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-170528T0600Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.CF.Y.0015.170529T0200Z-170529T0700Z/
SOUTHERN NASSAU-
1211 AM EDT SUN MAY 28 2017

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS
EVENING TO 3 AM EDT MONDAY...

* LOCATIONS...ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE BAYS OF NASSAU COUNTY.

* POSITIVE TIDAL DEPARTURES...1 TO 1 1/2 FT TONIGHT.

* TIMING...AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...MINOR FLOODING OF VULNERABLE WATERFRONT AND 
  SHORELINE ROADS...AND ADJACENT PROPERTIES. INUNDATION OF 1 TO 
  1 1/2 FT ABOVE GROUND LEVEL IN THE LOWEST LYING SPOTS. A FEW 
  ROAD CLOSURES LIKELY WITH A LOW THREAT OF PROPERTY DAMAGE.

...SOUTH SHORE BAYS WATER LEVELS FOR TONIGHT...

COASTAL............TIME OF......FORECAST TOTAL.......FLOOD..... 
LOCATION...........HIGH TIDE.....WATER LEVEL.........CATEGORY..
.................................(MLLW/MHHW)...................

FREEPORT GAUGE NY....1139 PM...5.3-5.7/0.8-1.2.......MINOR.....
POINT LOOKOUT NY.....1042 PM...5.7-6.1/1.1-1.5.......MINOR..... 
E ROCKAWAY NY........1055 PM...6.2-6.6/1.2-1.6.......MINOR.....

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

$$

NYZ075-178-280515-
/O.CAN.KOKX.CF.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-170528T0600Z/
KINGS (BROOKLYN)-SOUTHERN QUEENS-
1211 AM EDT SUN MAY 28 2017

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE COASTAL
FLOOD ADVISORY.

WATER LEVELS HAVE FALLEN BENEATH MINOR COASTAL FLOOD BENCHMARKS,
THEREFORE THE COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FOR BROOKLYN AND SOUTHERN
QUEENS HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

NYZ080-280515-
/O.CAN.KOKX.CF.S.0012.000000T0000Z-170528T0600Z/
SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
1211 AM EDT SUN MAY 28 2017

WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW MINOR COASTAL FLOOD
BENCHMARKS.

$$

NJZ006-106-108-NYZ074-280515-
/O.EXP.KOKX.CF.S.0012.000000T0000Z-170528T0400Z/
HUDSON-EASTERN ESSEX-EASTERN UNION-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-
1211 AM EDT SUN MAY 28 2017

WATER LEVELS HAVE FALLEN BENEATH MINOR COASTAL FLOOD BENCHMARKS.

$$

CTZ009-NYZ071-280700-
/O.CON.KOKX.CF.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-170528T0700Z/
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-
1211 AM EDT SUN MAY 28 2017

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EDT EARLY
THIS MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...LOW LYING COASTAL AREAS ALONG WESTERN LONG ISLAND 
  SOUND.

* POSITIVE TIDAL DEPARTURES...AROUND 1 FT.

* TIMING...AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE EARLY THIS MORNING.

* IMPACTS...MINOR FLOODING OF VULNERABLE WATERFRONT AND 
  SHORELINE ROADS...AND ADJACENT PROPERTIES. INUNDATION OF 1 TO 
  1 1/2 FT ABOVE GROUND LEVEL IN THE LOWEST LYING SPOTS. A FEW 
  ROAD CLOSURES LIKELY WITH A LOW THREAT OF PROPERTY DAMAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

...WESTERN L.I. SOUND WATER LEVELS FOR EARLY THIS MORNING...

COASTAL............TIME OF.......FORECAST TOTAL......FLOOD.....
LOCATION...........HIGH TIDE......WATER LEVEL........CATEGORY..
..................................(MLLW/MHHW)..................

KINGS POINT NY.......123 AM....9.9-10.3/2.1-2.5......MINOR.....
STAMFORD CT..........139 AM....9.7-10.1/1.9-2.3......MINOR.....
BRIDGEPORT CT........133 AM.....9.1-9.5/1.8-2.3......MINOR.....
NEW HAVEN CT.........130 AM.....8.3-8.7/1.6-2.0......MINOR.....

$$

CTZ010-NYZ078-177-280700-
/O.CON.KOKX.CF.S.0012.000000T0000Z-170528T0700Z/
SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN NASSAU-
1211 AM EDT SUN MAY 28 2017

* LOCATIONS...LOW LYING COASTAL AREAS ALONG WESTERN LONG ISLAND 
  SOUND.

* POSITIVE TIDAL DEPARTURES...1/2 TO 1 FT.

* TIMING...AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...BRIEF MINOR FLOODING OF THE MOST VULNERABLE 
  WATERFRONT AND SHORELINE ROADS.


$$

MALOIT

310 
WHUS41 KOKX 280719
CFWOKX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
319 AM EDT SUN MAY 28 2017

...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING EARLY THIS MORNING AND AGAIN TONIGHT...

CTZ009-NYZ071-280830-
/O.EXP.KOKX.CF.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-170528T0700Z/
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-
319 AM EDT SUN MAY 28 2017

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

WATER LEVELS HAVE FALLEN BELOW MINOR COASTAL FLOOD BENCHMARKS.

$$

CTZ010-NYZ078-177-280830-
/O.EXP.KOKX.CF.S.0012.000000T0000Z-170528T0700Z/
SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN NASSAU-
319 AM EDT SUN MAY 28 2017

WATER LEVELS HAVE FALLEN BELOW MINOR COASTAL FLOOD BENCHMARKS.

$$

NYZ179-281530-
/O.CON.KOKX.CF.Y.0015.170529T0200Z-170529T0700Z/
SOUTHERN NASSAU-
319 AM EDT SUN MAY 28 2017

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS
EVENING TO 3 AM EDT MONDAY...

* LOCATIONS...ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE BAYS OF NASSAU COUNTY.

* POSITIVE TIDAL DEPARTURES...1 TO 1 1/2 FT TONIGHT.

* TIMING...AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...MINOR FLOODING OF VULNERABLE WATERFRONT AND 
  SHORELINE ROADS...AND ADJACENT PROPERTIES. INUNDATION OF 1 TO 
  1 1/2 FT ABOVE GROUND LEVEL IN THE LOWEST LYING SPOTS. A FEW 
  ROAD CLOSURES LIKELY WITH A LOW THREAT OF PROPERTY DAMAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

...SOUTH SHORE BAYS WATER LEVELS FOR TONIGHT...

COASTAL............TIME OF......FORECAST TOTAL.......FLOOD..... 
LOCATION...........HIGH TIDE.....WATER LEVEL.........CATEGORY..
.................................(MLLW/MHHW)...................

FREEPORT GAUGE NY....1139 PM...5.3-5.7/0.8-1.2.......MINOR.....
POINT LOOKOUT NY.....1042 PM...5.7-6.1/1.1-1.5.......MINOR..... 
E ROCKAWAY NY........1055 PM...6.2-6.6/1.2-1.6.......MINOR.....


$$

MALOIT

335 
WHUS41 KOKX 280720 CCA
CFWOKX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
320 AM EDT SUN MAY 28 2017

...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING TONIGHT FOR THE SOUTH SHORE BACK BAYS OF
NASSAU COUNTY...

CTZ009-NYZ071-280830-
/O.EXP.KOKX.CF.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-170528T0700Z/
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-
320 AM EDT SUN MAY 28 2017

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

WATER LEVELS HAVE FALLEN BELOW MINOR COASTAL FLOOD BENCHMARKS.

$$

CTZ010-NYZ078-177-280830-
/O.EXP.KOKX.CF.S.0012.000000T0000Z-170528T0700Z/
SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN NASSAU-
320 AM EDT SUN MAY 28 2017

WATER LEVELS HAVE FALLEN BELOW MINOR COASTAL FLOOD BENCHMARKS.

$$

NYZ179-281530-
/O.CON.KOKX.CF.Y.0015.170529T0200Z-170529T0700Z/
SOUTHERN NASSAU-
320 AM EDT SUN MAY 28 2017

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS
EVENING TO 3 AM EDT MONDAY...

* LOCATIONS...ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE BAYS OF NASSAU COUNTY.

* POSITIVE TIDAL DEPARTURES...1 TO 1 1/2 FT TONIGHT.

* TIMING...AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...MINOR FLOODING OF VULNERABLE WATERFRONT AND 
  SHORELINE ROADS...AND ADJACENT PROPERTIES. INUNDATION OF 1 TO 
  1 1/2 FT ABOVE GROUND LEVEL IN THE LOWEST LYING SPOTS. A FEW 
  ROAD CLOSURES LIKELY WITH A LOW THREAT OF PROPERTY DAMAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

...SOUTH SHORE BAYS WATER LEVELS FOR TONIGHT...

COASTAL............TIME OF......FORECAST TOTAL.......FLOOD..... 
LOCATION...........HIGH TIDE.....WATER LEVEL.........CATEGORY..
.................................(MLLW/MHHW)...................

FREEPORT GAUGE NY....1139 PM...5.3-5.7/0.8-1.2.......MINOR.....
POINT LOOKOUT NY.....1042 PM...5.7-6.1/1.1-1.5.......MINOR..... 
E ROCKAWAY NY........1055 PM...6.2-6.6/1.2-1.6.......MINOR.....


$$

MALOIT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New York NY
754 AM EDT Sat May 27 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
Multiple weak waves of low pressure pass to the south through
Monday, as high pressure gradually builds down from southeastern
Canada. This high retreats to the northeast Monday night. A
series of weak fronts or troughs of low pressure cross the area
Tuesday through Thursday. Weak high pressure then builds in
through Friday, as a front stalls to the south of Long Island.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
Made minor changes this update to reflect the latest trends in
observations and guidance. The forecast appears on track.

Hi-res models indicate that a convective complex currently over
ohio passes just to the SW/S of the area this afternoon
(consistent with trajectory of mean 850-500 hPa flow). Do have
slight chance pops over NYC metro late this afternoon in case
convection strays a bit farther to the NE than currently
progged, but would not be surprised if entire area stayed dry
today as northern stream shortwave ridging builds to the north.

Highs today should be near normal, with some sun expected this
afternoon, leaned towards warm edge of guidance.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM SUNDAY/...
Northern stream 850-500 hPa ridging builds in tonight, as
onshore flow sets up below 900 hPa. Could end up seeing some
patchy drizzle late tonight/into early Sunday morning as a
result. Lows tonight should be a few degrees above normal.

The aforementioned ridge axis transits over the area Sunday,
with moisture trapped under the subsidence inversion making for
a mostly cloudy day. Given expected cloud cover and onshore
flow, did cut back on highs to around 5-10 degrees below normal.
this was based on blending NAM/ECWMF 2-meter temperatures in
with MET/ECS guidance and a mix down from 975-925 hPa per BUFKIT
soundings.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
The northern stream ridge slides offshore Sunday night, allowing
for light rain to overspread most of the area with some modest
isentropic ascent (could remain dry over far eastern portions).

A northern stream shortwave rotates across the area around the
base of a closed low over Ontario/Northern Great Lakes Monday.
Even with onshore flow, Showalter Indices are progged down to -2
to -4 by afternoon in response to fairly steep mid-upper level
lapse rates, have opted for showers, with a chance of
thunderstorms by afternoon. Given Showalter Indices cannot rule
out some locally strong storms and cannot 100% rule out a
severe cell or two. The main threat would be large hail - with
wet bulb zero heights progged at 8-9 thousand feet late Monday
afternoon/early Monday evening. The marine inversion likely will
prevent any gusts to severe levels.

The showers with embedded thunderstorms should come to an end
from SW to NE Monday night as the shortwave trough exits to the
NE.

The closed upper low and longwave trough will be slow to move
east through the middle to late part of next week as a series
of shortwaves rotate through the trough, while at the surface
weak lows, or troughs move through the area. There remains a lot
of uncertainty with the timing and placement of the systems
through the upcoming week. As a result, there could be a
prolonged period of unsettled weather. Will carry slight chance
to low chance probabilities through Thursday, highest over
northern zones, closest to the closed low/any shortwaves
rotating around it. For now have gone with a dry forecast
Thursday night and Friday as the main axis of the opening
closed low is progged to lift to the northeast.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Mainly VFR through the TAF period, but there could be a brief
period of 030-035 cigs from about 15Z-18Z give or take an hour.
Then MVFR cigs should develop over the CT/Long Island terminals
late tonight and spread into NYC metro toward daybreak Sunday.

NW winds will diminish into this morning. Sea breezes should
develop along the coast this afternoon, reaching
KLGA/KEWR/KTEB/KHPN late this afternoon, after about 20Z.

.OUTLOOK FOR 12Z SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
.Sunday...MVFR and any local IFR cigs gradually improving to VFR
by afternoon.
.Sunday night...VFR, but with chance of light rain late.
.Monday...MVFR conds likely and IFR conds possible. Showers
likely and chance of tstms.
.Monday night...Conds improving to VFR by late evening.
.Tuesday-Wednesday...Mainly VFR. Chance of showers/tstms mainly
NW of the NYC metro terminals.

&&

.MARINE...
Quiet through Sunday night as ocean swells subside and winds
remain light. SE winds increasing to 15-20 kt on Mon could
lead to ocean seas reaching 5 ft again Mon afternoon/evening.
Otherwise, outside of any tstms on Monday, winds/seas on the
waters should remain tranquil.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
No significant widespread hydrologic impacts are expected
through at least the middle of next week.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
The combination of high astronomical tides and southerly swell
will keep water levels within striking distance of minor coastal
flood benchmarks for several high tide cycles into early next
week. A coastal flood advisory is in effect for the high tide
cycle tonight for the south shore bays of Brooklyn/Queens/Nassau,
also for the shores of Westchester/Fairfield along western Long
Island Sound.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...Coastal Flood Advisory from midnight tonight to 3 AM EDT
     Sunday for CTZ009.
NY...Coastal Flood Advisory from midnight tonight to 3 AM EDT
     Sunday for NYZ071.
     Coastal Flood Advisory from 9 PM this evening to 2 AM EDT
     Sunday for NYZ074-075-178-179.
NJ...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Maloit
NEAR TERM...Maloit
SHORT TERM...Maloit
LONG TERM...Maloit/MET
AVIATION...Goodman
MARINE...Goodman/MET
HYDROLOGY...Maloit/MET
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service New York NY
434 AM EDT Sat May 27 2017

NYZ075-178-179-280845-
Kings (Brooklyn)-Southern Queens-Southern Nassau-
434 AM EDT Sat May 27 2017

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 AM
EDT SUNDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Advisory.

There is a moderate risk for rip current formation into this evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches...warnings and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

NYZ080-081-280845-
Southwestern Suffolk-Southeastern Suffolk-
434 AM EDT Sat May 27 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

There is a moderate risk for rip current formation into this evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time that would meet
National Weather Service warning criteria.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches...warnings and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

CTZ005>008-010>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>070-072>074-078-079-
176-177-280845-
Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven-Northern Middlesex-
Northern New London-Southern New Haven-Southern Middlesex-
Southern New London-Western Passaic-Eastern Passaic-Hudson-
Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex-
Western Union-Eastern Union-Orange-Putnam-Rockland-
Northern Westchester-New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-
Richmond (Staten Island)-Northwestern Suffolk-Northeastern Suffolk-
Northern Queens-Northern Nassau-
434 AM EDT Sat May 27 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Connecticut,
northeast New Jersey and southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time that would meet
National Weather Service warning criteria.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches...warnings and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

CTZ009-NYZ071-280845-
Southern Fairfield-Southern Westchester-
434 AM EDT Sat May 27 2017

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 3 AM
EDT SUNDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Connecticut and
southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches...warnings and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-350-353-355-280845-
Long Island Sound East of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY-
Long Island Sound West of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY-
New York Harbor-Peconic and Gardiners Bays-
South Shore Bays from Jones Inlet through Shinnecock Bay-
Moriches Inlet NY to Montauk Point NY out 20 nm-
Fire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY out 20 nm-
Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 nm-
434 AM EDT Sat May 27 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time that would meet
National Weather Service warning criteria.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches...warnings and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

Maloit