Special Weather Statement, NWS Nashville, TN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
355 PM CDT Wed Apr 5 2017

.DISCUSSION...

Afternoon storms have been slower to develop this afternoon with
the anticipated increase in low level moisture occurring slower
than originally forecast. However, dewpoints have crept up and
storms have been increasing since 19-20Z. Expect this trend to
continue for the next few hours with the bulk of the storms east
of I-65 and becoming especially numerous on the Plateau. Severe
storm potential will end this evening but wrap-around showers will
arrive late tonight and then continue beyond 12Z Thursday.

The upper level low that helped kick off today's storms will move
from the Mid/Upper MS Valley to the lower Great Lakes Thursday.
Thursday will be much cooler with post frontal conditions and
extensive clouds in the cyclonic flow aloft...although some
decrease in clouds should occur by afternoon. Clearing skies
Thursday night will help allow temps to drop into the 30s most
areas. Light winds should help prevent any frost Thursday
night...but do expect patches of frost across the mid state Friday
morning as cold air remains and sfc winds drop off.

Upper level ridging will keep it dry Friday through the weekend
and into Monday with daytime temperature rebounding into the 60s
and then 70s.

The next upper level system to impact Middle TN will move eastward
through the Northern Plains early next week. This system and a
weak cold front will bring a chance of showers to the region
Monday night into next Wednesday.

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

Band of strong afternoon/early evening storms, followed by dry
period, then wrap-around dz-/rw- on tap this period. Outside
of convection early through 06z, largely expect VFR conditions.
After 06z, upper low will wrap-around light precip and cigs
expected to drop all sites overnight but possibly improve by
18z Thu. Winds will be quite gusty through the period...sometimes
25-35mph.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      44  58  39  59  36 /  50  50   0   0   0
Clarksville    43  57  37  58  35 /  60  50   0   0   0
Crossville     40  49  35  51  33 /  70  70  20  10   0
Columbia       44  58  38  60  35 /  50  50   0   0   0
Lawrenceburg   44  58  38  59  35 /  50  40   0   0   0
Waverly        43  59  39  59  37 /  60  50   0   0   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory until 7 AM CDT Thursday FOR Bedford-Cannon-
Cheatham-Clay-Coffee-Cumberland-Davidson-De Kalb-Dickson-
Fentress-Giles-Grundy-Hickman-Houston-Humphreys-Jackson-Lawrence-
Lewis-Macon-Marshall-Maury-Montgomery-Overton-Perry-Pickett-
Putnam-Robertson-Rutherford-Smith-Stewart-Sumner-Trousdale-Van
Buren-Warren-Wayne-White-Williamson-Wilson.

&&

DISCUSSION......49
AVIATION........07

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Nashville TN
518 AM CDT Wed Apr 5 2017

TNZ005>011-023>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-061000-
Stewart-Montgomery-Robertson-Sumner-Macon-Clay-Pickett-Houston-
Humphreys-Dickson-Cheatham-Davidson-Wilson-Trousdale-Smith-
Jackson-Putnam-Overton-Fentress-Perry-Hickman-Lewis-Williamson-
Maury-Marshall-Rutherford-Cannon-De Kalb-White-Cumberland-Bedford-
Coffee-Warren-Grundy-Van Buren-Wayne-Lawrence-Giles-
518 AM CDT Wed Apr 5 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Middle
Tennessee.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Some strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible
this afternoon through the early evening hours, especially
for locations east of I-65. Main concerns with any strong
to severe thunderstorms that do develop will be large hail,
damaging winds, and the formation of tornadoes.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed this afternoon
and early evening.

Spotter Thunderstorm Reporting Criteria
Tornado
Funnel Cloud
Flooding
Hail >= 1/2 inch
Winds > 50 MPH (Measured)
Structural Damage
Trees or Power Lines Down

31

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
519 PM CDT WED APR 05 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0503 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     10 SE MCMINNVILLE       35.59N  85.65W
04/05/2017                   WARREN             TN   911 CALL CENTER

            MULTIPLE PUBLIC REPORTS OF A FUNNEL CLOUD

&&

CORRECTED EVENT TIME...COUNTY/STATE...LOCATION

EVENT NUMBER OHX1700402

JACKSON

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