Alert archive / Nebraska / Special Weather Statements in 2017

Special Weather Statement, NWS Omaha, NE

June 3, 2017Antelope County, Nebraska

NWS Omaha, NE issued this special weather statement at Jun 3, 2017, 5:21 PM CDT for Antelope County, Nebraska. It was in force for 39 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 3, 2017, 5:21 PM CDT (22:21 UTC)
Expired
Jun 3, 2017, 6:00 PM CDT
In force
39 min
Issued by
NWS Omaha, NE

County Antelope County, NE

The radar

The Sioux Falls radar (KFSD), 172 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:21 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 12:00Z, 10.4 hours before the alert went out and 174 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2017-06-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 13 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2017-06-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -31 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
13 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-188 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1454 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
7 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-31 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-4 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Omaha, NE wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jun 3, 3:49 PM CDT, 1 hour 32 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 3, 3:49 PM CDT, 1 hour 32 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
349 PM CDT Sat Jun 3 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Tonight through Tuesday)
Issued at 330 PM CDT Sat Jun 3 2017

Forecast concerns in the short term will be coverage of storms
related to the cold front tonight/Sunday and if any other storms
will form in the warm sector ahead of the front...then
temperatures through the period.

The 12Z upper air maps from this morning had closed h5 low pressure
centered over Saskatchewan with a trough into the central part of
the country extending southward with another weaker closed low
centered over northern Texas.  A weak ridge was still around 110deg
west longitude and also around 90deg west.  The cooler air at h7 was
over Canada with a dip in the isotherms southward into the western
High Plains.  1 to 4 deg C h7 dewpoints were pooled ahead of the
trough. There was a similar pattern with the h85 dewpoints better
over Kansas...however trying to pool ahead of the h85 wind shift.

The latest surface analysis and metars has the cold front from
near Yankton to Ord and east of McCook. Isolated showers and
thunderstorms will be very limited. There are a few storms near
Neligh and there was a shower near Beatrice. SPC mesoanalysis
shows that there is around 1000 j/kg in northeast Nebraska and
1500 j/kg in southeast Nebraska. Although forcing is weak,
convective temperatures will be reached with no inhibition in
this area. H7 warm air advection increases tonight in the area of
the front in northeast Nebraska. Will include isolated
thunderstorms in the vicinity of the front with the heating this
afternoon and this evening and the h7 warm air advection tonight.
H7 dewpoints will be pooled in this area. The h85 moisture is
better to the south with better 12-14 deg C dewpoints and will
mention isolated storms there with the heating. The shear is
weak...so do not expect organized severe weather, however gusty
winds and brief heavy rain are possible due to the slow movement
and inverted v sounding.

With the weak pattern, there is less of a signal for rain Sunday
morning, although there may be some residual activity.
Again...with the heating Sunday afternoon a few isolated
showers/storms may develop along the front in southeast Neb. and
near the MO/KS border with deep moisture and weak convergence.

Highs Sunday should be in the 80s and 90s and the backdoor cooling
Monday should limit highs to the 80s...with highs Tuesday in the
lower 80s.

Thunderstorm chances return to the area Tuesday afternoon as south
flow returns and a cold front begins to move into the western High
Plains.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday night through Saturday)
Issued at 330 PM CDT Sat Jun 3 2017

A storm system tracking across Canada will drag a cold front into
the area Tuesday afternoon into Wednesday. Expect scattered
thunderstorms with this front. A couple of ripples in the
northwest flow will bring sporadic thunderstorm chances Thursday
through Saturday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Sunday morning)
Issued at 630 AM CDT Sat Jun 3 2017

VFR conditions are expected to prevail through the period. A weak
cold front will reach northeast Nebraska after 18Z then become
stationary and gradually wash out through 06Z. Isolated
thunderstorms possible in the vicinity of KOFK with front in the
area but to low a chance to mention in TAF at this time.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
IA...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...Zapotocny
LONG TERM...Zapotocny
AVIATION...Fobert
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 3, 4:37 PM CDT, 44 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
437 PM CDT Sat Jun 3 2017

IAZ043-055-056-069-079-080-090-091-NEZ011-012-015>018-030>034-
042>045-050>053-065>068-078-088>093-041145-
Monona-Harrison-Shelby-Pottawattamie-Mills-Montgomery-Fremont-
Page-Knox-Cedar-Thurston-Antelope-Pierce-Wayne-Boone-Madison-
Stanton-Cuming-Burt-Platte-Colfax-Dodge-Washington-Butler-
Saunders-Douglas-Sarpy-Seward-Lancaster-Cass-Otoe-Saline-
Jefferson-Gage-Johnson-Nemaha-Pawnee-Richardson-
437 PM CDT Sat Jun 3 2017

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST
IOWA...WEST CENTRAL IOWA...EAST CENTRAL NEBRASKA...NORTHEAST
NEBRASKA AND SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND SUNDAY

Isolated thunderstorms will occur this evening and into tonight,
mainly across northeast Nebraska and west central Iowa. A few
storms could produce small hail, gusty winds and brief heavy rain.

Isolated storms will be possible Sunday over parts of southeast
Nebraska and southwest Iowa, near a weak frontal boundary. The
chance of severe storms is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY

Periodic chances of thunderstorms are possible from Tuesday
through Saturday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed tonight or Sunday.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 3, 4:49 PM CDT, 32 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley Nebraska
449 PM CDT SAT JUN 3 2017

NEZ011-016-017-032215-
Pierce NE-Knox NE-Antelope NE-
449 PM CDT SAT JUN 3 2017

...Significant Weather Advisory for NORTHWESTERN PIERCE...
NORTHEASTERN ANTELOPE AND SOUTH CENTRAL KNOX COUNTIES UNTIL 515 PM
CDT...

At 449 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 4
miles west of Plainview, or 32 miles northwest of Norfolk. This storm
was nearly stationary.

Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Plainview, Creighton and Brunswick.

This includes Highway 20 IN Nebraska between mile markers 347 and
360.

LAT...LON 4225 9793 4242 9800 4252 9777 4236 9762
TIME...MOT...LOC 2149Z 252DEG 2KT 4236 9788

MILLER
Special weather statement, Jun 3, 5:21 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley Nebraska
521 PM CDT SAT JUN 3 2017

NEZ016-032300-
Antelope NE-
521 PM CDT SAT JUN 3 2017

...Significant Weather Advisory for NORTHERN ANTELOPE COUNTY UNTIL
600 PM CDT...

At 520 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 4 miles south of Creighton to 6 miles southeast
of Orchard. These storms were nearly stationary.

Dime size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
these storms. Also, heavy rain will occur as the storms remain
nearly stationary, with some spots receiving more than an inch of
rain between 530 PM and 600 PM.

Locations impacted include...
Brunswick and Royal.

This includes Highway 20 IN Nebraska between mile markers 338 and
352.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 4232 9784 4220 9816 4231 9823 4243 9793
      4243 9784
TIME...MOT...LOC 2220Z 249DEG 1KT 4240 9788 4229 9812

Dergan

The office that day

Everything else NWS Omaha, NE issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 3, 4:49 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOAXPierce26 min
Jun 3, 5:52 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOAXCedar38 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Nebraska, 2017Every special weather statement in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.