Alert archive / Montana / Special Weather Statements in 2017

Special Weather Statement, NWS Missoula, MT

July 9, 2017Deer Lodge County, Montana

NWS Missoula, MT issued this special weather statement at Jul 9, 2017, 8:37 PM MDT for Deer Lodge County, Montana. It was in force for 38 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 9, 2017, 8:37 PM MDT (02:37 UTC)
Expired
Jul 9, 2017, 9:15 PM MDT
In force
38 min
Issued by
NWS Missoula, MT

County Deer Lodge County, MT

The radar

The Missoula radar (KMSX), 111 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Great_falls, MT (KTFX), launched 00:00Z, 2.6 hours before the alert went out and 239 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Great_falls, MT at 00:00Z on 2017-07-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 56 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Great_falls, MT at 00:00Z on 2017-07-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 104 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
56 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-199 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
3424 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
104 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
240 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Missoula, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 9, 2:37 PM MDT, 6 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 9, 2:37 PM MDT, 6 hours before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Missoula MT
237 PM MDT Sun Jul 9 2017

.DISCUSSION...The ridge axis has shifted slightly to the east
today putting the Northern Rockies more under a southwesterly flow
pattern. A plume of moisture has traversed under the ridge and is
interacting with an unstable atmosphere from Lemhi county into
southwest Montana. This interaction will allow for the development
of fairly strong thunderstorms. Due to the extremely dry low
levels, the main threat will be gusty and potentially damaging
winds. Temperatures today will once again be hot, but should not
quite reach daily record levels.

A weak disturbance will be moving through the Pacific Northwest
tonight into Monday. This feature will knock down the ridge
causing the upper level flow to become more westerly. A weak cold
front associated with the disturbance will cool temperatures to
seasonal readings. The front appears to become the focal point for
convection during the afternoon/evening hours across southwest
Montana.

The westerly flow persists into Tuesday with temperatures
remaining near normal. Then the models are depicting another
extraordinary ridge of high pressure building over the region for
the remainder of the work week into the weekend. Temperatures
appear to be in the upper 90s to low 100s by Thursday through at
least Sunday.

&&

.AVIATION...Scattered showers and thunderstorms are developing
across Lemhi county into southwest Montana this afternoon. KBTM
and KSMN will be impacted gusty winds and potentially brief heavy
rain between 09/21z-10/00z. The convection will diminish after
sunset this evening. On Monday, westerly winds will be on the
increase during the afternoon with a few showers and thunderstorms
along the Divide.

&&

.MSO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MT...None.
ID...None.
&&

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 9, 5:49 PM MDT, 2 hours 48 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Missoula MT
549 PM MDT SUN JUL 9 2017

MTZ006-007-100015-
Bitterroot/Sapphire Mountains MT-Butte/Blackfoot Region MT-
549 PM MDT SUN JUL 9 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN GRANITE AND SOUTH
CENTRAL POWELL COUNTIES UNTIL 615 PM MDT...

At 549 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Drummond, moving east at 35 mph.

Pea size hail and winds in excess of 30 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Drummond, Garrison, Maxville, Jens, Brock Creek, New Chicago,
Goldcreek and Hall.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 4645 11334 4666 11337 4681 11286 4645 11277
TIME...MOT...LOC 2349Z 260DEG 30KT 4658 11321
Special weather statement, Jul 9, 6:14 PM MDT, 2 hours 23 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jul 9, 6:46 PM MDT, 1 hour 51 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jul 9, 7:06 PM MDT, 1 hour 31 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jul 9, 7:46 PM MDT, 51 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jul 9, 8:37 PM MDT, 0 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Missoula, MT issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 9, 6:14 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMSOPowell46 min
Jul 9, 6:46 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMSOPowell44 min
Jul 9, 7:06 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMSORavalli39 min
Jul 9, 7:46 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMSORavalli44 min
Jul 9, 9:34 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMSO41 min
Jul 9, 10:17 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMSORavalli43 min
Jul 10, 1:29 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMSOSilver Bow46 min
Jul 10, 3:12 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMSOSilver Bow33 min
Jul 10, 3:40 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMSODeer Lodge35 min
Jul 10, 4:12 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMSODeer Lodge33 min
Jul 10, 4:16 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMSODeer Lodge, Powell, Silver Bow29 min
Jul 10, 4:20 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMSOSilver Bow25 min
Jul 10, 4:22 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMSOSilver Bow23 min
Jul 10, 4:51 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMSODeer Lodge24 min
Jul 10, 5:04 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMSORavalli26 min
Jul 10, 5:38 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMSOPowell37 min
Jul 10, 5:45 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMSOGranite45 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Montana, 2017Every special weather statement in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.