Severe Thunderstorm Warning 37, NWS Morristown, TN

809 
WWUS54 KMRX 212358
SVSMRX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Morristown TN
758 PM EDT TUE MAR 21 2017

TNC011-220007-
/O.CAN.KMRX.SV.W.0037.000000T0000Z-170322T0030Z/
Bradley TN-
758 PM EDT TUE MAR 21 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR BRADLEY COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned 
area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 1100 PM EDT for
southwestern North Carolina...and eastern Tennessee.

LAT...LON 3528 8460 3559 8467 3561 8466 3564 8462
      3563 8452 3561 8454 3558 8450 3534 8440
      3529 8450 3524 8436 3520 8435 3521 8429
      3501 8432 3500 8474
TIME...MOT...LOC 2357Z 265DEG 50KT 3576 8439 3559 8433 3546 8431 3534
8433 3519 8442 3502 8441

$$

TNC107-139-220030-
/O.CON.KMRX.SV.W.0037.000000T0000Z-170322T0030Z/
Polk TN-McMinn TN-
758 PM EDT TUE MAR 21 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM EDT
FOR POLK AND EASTERN MCMINN COUNTIES...

At 757 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Loudon to near Madisonville to 13 miles southeast
of Sweetwater to 10 miles east of Etowah to Ducktown, moving east at
60 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Athens, Benton, Ducktown, Etowah, Englewood, Niota, William L.
Davenport Refuge, Conasauga, Parksville, Turtletown, Murray Store,
Reliance, Archville, Hiwassee Ocoee S.p. and Copperhill.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Move indoors immediately. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are 
close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3528 8460 3559 8467 3561 8466 3564 8462
      3563 8452 3561 8454 3558 8450 3534 8440
      3529 8450 3524 8436 3520 8435 3521 8429
      3501 8432 3500 8474
TIME...MOT...LOC 2357Z 265DEG 50KT 3576 8439 3559 8433 3546 8431 3534
8433 3519 8442 3502 8441

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Moulton

995 
WWUS54 KMRX 220009
SVSMRX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Morristown TN
809 PM EDT TUE MAR 21 2017

TNC107-139-220019-
/O.CAN.KMRX.SV.W.0037.000000T0000Z-170322T0030Z/
Polk TN-McMinn TN-
809 PM EDT TUE MAR 21 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR POLK AND EASTERN MCMINN
COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
    
The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the area.
Therefore the warning has been cancelled.  However small hail and
gusty winds are still possible with these thunderstorms.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 1100 PM EDT for
southwestern North Carolina...and eastern Tennessee.

LAT...LON 3528 8460 3559 8467 3561 8466 3564 8462
      3563 8452 3561 8454 3558 8450 3534 8440
      3529 8450 3524 8436 3520 8435 3521 8429
      3501 8432 3500 8474
TIME...MOT...LOC 0008Z 265DEG 50KT 3577 8427 3560 8421 3547 8419 3535
8421 3520 8430 3503 8429

$$

Moulton

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Morristown TN
321 PM EDT Tue Mar 21 2017

.SHORT TERM (This Evening through Wednesday)...HRRR model
continues to show confidence in an area of convection moving east
southeast across the area late this afternoon/early evening,
mainly along and south of interstate 40. Strong 300 mb jet over
the Ohio Valley will place east Tenessee under the favored Right
entrance region of the jet. This forcing with increasing
instability will produce severe thunderstorms. The dry air in the
mid-levels (DCAPE up to 1200 J/kg and DCP values near 3) combined
with good hail CAPE (values near 1000 J/kg and SHIP up to 2.5)
will set the stage for damaging winds and large hail.

Main threat remains over southeast Tennessee and southwest North
Carolina. Timeframe for severe weather is between 20-23Z. Give the
hail/wind parameters, hail sizes up to Golfball size and wind
speeds to 70 mph are possible.

Forcing will move east of the area this evening with only showers
anticipated by 03z, then dissipated around 06Z. Afterwards, plenty
of the dry air to clear sky out for Wednesday morning.

Severe thunderstorm Watch will be out soon.

.LONG TERM (Wednesday Night through Tuesday)...
Long term starts out dry as slow moving cold front finally pushes
through the area. Models are in fair agreement that the boundary,
just south of the area will continue to slightly elevate pcpn
chances over far SE TN and all of our SW NC counties through
Thursday.

Middle level ridge amplifies across the area Friday into Saturday
with daytime highs climbing about 10 degrees above normal by
Saturday. Models are in fair agreement on the strength and location
of the next low pressure system Saturday and Sunday, although ECMWF
is a bit more progressive with the frontal boundary pushing it
through the area by Sunday evening while the GFS is much slower.
Current POP fcst is a blend of both solutions which brings in higher
POP by Saturday afternoon and holds onto those POPs until overnight
Sunday. Based on current models and ensemble fcsts, suspect greatest
pcpn chances will likely be on Sunday.

A secondary system begins to move into the area pretty quickly
behind the weekend system on Monday. Once again models remain in
fair agreement on the track of low center and associated cold front
with our area falling under a broad area of low pressure out ahead
of the front and continued chance for showers and maybe a
thunderstorm Monday and Tuesday as the front seems to stall across
the area late in the period. With steady low level warm advection,
area will likely see daytime high temperatures remain at about 10
degrees above normal for the early part of the new work week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Chattanooga Airport, TN             52  64  43  58 /  80  10  10  20
Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, TN  46  59  39  57 /  70   0  10  10
Oak Ridge, TN                       45  59  40  60 /  70   0  10  10
Tri Cities Airport, TN              41  56  30  58 /  30   0  10  10

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...None.
TN...None.
VA...None.
&&

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Morristown TN
325 PM EDT Tue Mar 21 2017

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002-
005-006-008-221930-
Cherokee-Clay-Scott TN-Campbell-Claiborne-Hancock-Hawkins-
Sullivan-Johnson-Morgan-Anderson-Union-Grainger-Hamblen-
Northwest Cocke-Cocke Smoky Mountains-Northwest Greene-
Southeast Greene-Washington TN-Unicoi-Northwest Carter-
Southeast Carter-Roane-Loudon-Knox-Jefferson-NW Blount-
Blount Smoky Mountains-North Sevier-Sevier Smoky Mountains-
Sequatchie-Bledsoe-Rhea-Meigs-McMinn-Northwest Monroe-
Southeast Monroe-Marion-Hamilton-Bradley-West Polk-East Polk-Lee-
Wise-Scott-Russell-Washington-
325 PM EDT Tue Mar 21 2017 /225 PM CDT Tue Mar 21 2017/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Southwest North
Carolina...East Tennessee and Southwest Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

...Enhanced Risk of Severe Thunderstorms across southeast
Tennessee and southwest North Carolina for late this Afternoon and
early Evening...

Thunderstorms will develop across the area this afternoon into
this evening. Some of these storms will be severe...mainly in
areas south of I40. Large hail and damaging straight-line winds
will be the primary threats. Hail up to Golfball size and winds to
70 mph are possible with the stronger thunderstorms.

The main time-frame for severe weather will be between 4 and 8 pm
ET.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed this afternoon and evening.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Morristown TN
618 PM EDT TUE MAR 21 2017

TNZ084-085-099>102-212300-
West Polk TN-East Polk TN-Bradley TN-Hamilton TN-Meigs TN-McMinn TN-
618 PM EDT TUE MAR 21 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BRADLEY...SOUTHWESTERN MEIGS...
WESTERN POLK...SOUTHERN MCMINN AND EAST CENTRAL HAMILTON COUNTIES
UNTIL 700 PM EDT...

At 618 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 7 miles northwest of Charleston to near
Cleveland. Movement was east at 20 mph.

Half inch hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Cleveland, Athens, Benton, Etowah, Charleston, South Cleveland, East
Cleveland, Wildwood Lake, Englewood, Calhoun, Riceville, Waterville,
Conasauga, Big Frog Mountain, Hillsview, Parksville, Hopewell,
Reliance, Archville and Big Spring.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 1100 PM EDT for
eastern Tennessee.

LAT...LON 3499 8474 3512 8507 3545 8496 3544 8494
      3544 8492 3546 8490 3541 8443 3540 8441
      3532 8443 3529 8450 3527 8445 3499 8452
TIME...MOT...LOC 2218Z 287DEG 16KT 3538 8485 3516 8490

05/MA

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Morristown TN
638 PM EDT TUE MAR 21 2017

TNZ067>069-071-212330-
Roane TN-Loudon TN-Knox TN-NW Blount TN-
638 PM EDT TUE MAR 21 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN LOUDON...
SOUTHWESTERN KNOX AND EAST CENTRAL ROANE COUNTIES UNTIL 730 PM EDT...

At 638 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Kingston, moving east at 15 mph.

Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Knoxville, Oak Ridge, Lenoir City, Kingston, Loudon, Farragut,
Louisville, Friendsville, Bradbury and Tellico Village.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 1100 PM EDT for
eastern Tennessee.

LAT...LON 3576 8453 3594 8453 3596 8430 3591 8427
      3592 8426 3592 8425 3594 8427 3593 8424
      3595 8425 3596 8424 3594 8422 3596 8422
      3597 8410 3570 8411
TIME...MOT...LOC 2238Z 272DEG 14KT 3585 8445

05/MA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
703 PM EDT TUE MAR 21 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0530 PM     TSTM WND DMG     N DUNLAP                35.37N 85.39W
03/21/2017                   SEQUATCHIE         TN   911 CALL CENTER

            TREES DOWN FROM NORTH OF DUNLAP TO THE COUNTY LINE, ALSO
            SEEING DIME SIZE HAIL

&&

MBLACK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
715 PM EDT TUE MAR 21 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0530 PM     TSTM WND DMG     WHITWELL                35.20N 85.52W
03/21/2017                   MARION             TN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            POWER LINES DOWN ACROSS THE COUNTY,BUT MAINLY NEAR AND
            NORTH OF WHITWELL, ALSO ROOF DAMAGE AT A HOUSE IN NEW
            HOPE

&&

MBLACK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
719 PM EDT TUE MAR 21 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0455 PM     HAIL             2 E KINGSTON            35.87N 84.47W
03/21/2017  E1.00 INCH       ROANE              TN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            QUARTER SIZE HAIL

&&

MBLACK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
720 PM EDT TUE MAR 21 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0500 PM     HAIL             LOUDON                  35.74N 84.36W
03/21/2017  E1.00 INCH       LOUDON             TN   BROADCAST MEDIA

            QUARTER SIZE HAIL

&&

MBLACK