River Flood Warning 93, NWS Mobile, AL

203 
WGUS84 KMOB 230005
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
705 PM CDT Sun Oct 22 2017
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Fish River Near Silverhill affecting Baldwin County. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC003-232238-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0093.171023T0004Z-171023T2238Z/
/FSHA1.2.ER.171022T2321Z.171023T0600Z.171023T1638Z.NO/
705 PM CDT Sun Oct 22 2017

...Flood Warning extended until Monday afternoon...The Flood Warning continues 
for the Fish River Near Silverhill
* until Monday afternoon.
* At 6PM Sunday the stage was 11.5 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 11 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 15.4 feet by after midnight tomorrow. 
  The river will fall below flood stage  tomorrow late morning.
* At 15.6 feet...Water on lower floor of houses on Keeny Road.

&&

LAT...LON 3062 8779 3044 8778 3044 8783 3062 8784


$$

914 
WGUS84 KMOB 230107
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
807 PM CDT Sun Oct 22 2017
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Fish River Near Silverhill affecting Baldwin County. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC003-240107-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0093.000000T0000Z-171024T0936Z/
/FSHA1.2.ER.171022T2321Z.171023T0600Z.171024T0336Z.NO/
807 PM CDT Sun Oct 22 2017

...Flood Warning extended until late Monday night...The Flood Warning continues 
for
  the Fish River Near Silverhill
* until late Monday night.
* At 7 PM Sunday the stage was 13.6 feet. 
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 11 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 17.6 feet by after midnight tomorrow. 
  The river will fall below flood stage late evening tomorrow.
* At 16.6 feet...Water on lower floor of houses on Honey Road.

&&

LAT...LON 3062 8779 3044 8778 3044 8783 3062 8784


$$

433 
WGUS84 KMOB 230410
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1110 PM CDT Sun Oct 22 2017
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Fish River Near Silverhill affecting Baldwin County. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC003-240410-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0093.000000T0000Z-171024T0909Z/
/FSHA1.3.ER.171022T2321Z.171023T0600Z.171024T0309Z.NO/
1110 PM CDT Sun Oct 22 2017

...Flood Warning extended until late Monday night...The Flood Warning continues 
for
  the Fish River Near Silverhill
* until late Monday night.
* At 10 PM Sunday the stage was 17 feet. 
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 11 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 18.5 feet by after midnight tomorrow. 
  The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow late evening.
* At 16.6 feet...Water on lower floor of houses on Honey Road.

&&

LAT...LON 3062 8779 3044 8778 3044 8783 3062 8784


$$

330 
WGUS84 KMOB 231112
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
612 AM CDT Mon Oct 23 2017
 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Fish River Near Silverhill affecting Baldwin County. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC003-240730-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0093.000000T0000Z-171024T0730Z/
/FSHA1.2.ER.171022T2321Z.171023T0600Z.171024T0130Z.NO/
612 AM CDT Mon Oct 23 2017

...Flood Warning extended until late tonight...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Fish River Near Silverhill
* until late tonight.
* At 530 AM Monday the stage was 16.8 feet. 
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river crested at 17.8 feet shortly after midnight. The river will continue
  to fall today and is expected to be below flood stage by late this evening.
* At 16.6 feet...Water on the lower floor of houses on Honey Road.

&&

LAT...LON 3062 8779 3044 8778 3044 8783 3062 8784


$$

641 
WGUS84 KMOB 231428
FLSMOB
fshFLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
928 AM CDT Mon Oct 23 2017
 

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Alabama...
 
  Fish River Near Silverhill affecting Baldwin County. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC003-240850-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0093.000000T0000Z-171024T0850Z/
/FSHA1.2.ER.171022T2321Z.171023T0600Z.171024T0250Z.NO/
928 AM CDT Mon Oct 23 2017

...Flood Warning extended until late tonight for
  the Fish River Near Silverhill
* until late tonight.
* At 8 AM Monday the stage was 15.2 feet. 
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 11 feet.
* The river will continue rising to fall below flood stage by early tomorrow.
* At 11 feet...Flood stage, County Road 48 floods at bridge.
* At 13 feet...Houses on River Road begin to flood.
* At 13.7 feet...Water on lower floor of houses on River Road Extension.
* At 14.1 feet...River Road Extension floods.
* At 14.5 feet...Keeny Road floods.
* At 15.2 feet...Water over bulkheads on Honey Road.

&&

LAT...LON 3062 8779 3044 8778 3044 8783 3062 8784


$$

108 
WGUS84 KMOB 232018
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
318 PM CDT Mon Oct 23 2017
 

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Alabama...
 
  Fish River Near Silverhill affecting Baldwin County. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC003-240236-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0093.000000T0000Z-171024T0236Z/
/FSHA1.2.ER.171022T2321Z.171023T0600Z.171023T2036Z.NO/
318 PM CDT Mon Oct 23 2017

...Flood Warning extended until this evening for
  the Fish River Near Silverhill
* until this evening.
* At 2 PM Monday the stage was 11.8 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 11 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by late this afternoon.
* At 11 feet...Flood stage, County Road 48 floods at bridge

&&

LAT...LON 3062 8779 3044 8778 3044 8783 3062 8784


$$

263 
WGUS84 KMOB 232212
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
512 PM CDT Mon Oct 23 2017
 

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Fish River Near Silverhill affecting Baldwin County.

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC003-232242-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FL.W.0093.000000T0000Z-171024T0236Z/
/FSHA1.2.ER.171022T2321Z.171023T0600Z.171023T2115Z.NO/
512 PM CDT Mon Oct 23 2017

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Fish River Near Silverhill
* At 4 PM Monday the stage was 10.9 feet. 
* Flood stage is 11 feet.

&&

LAT...LON 3062 8779 3044 8778 3044 8783 3062 8784


$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
351 PM CDT Sun Oct 22 2017

.NEAR TERM /Now Through Monday/...Sharp long-wave upper level
trough axis exiting the Plains this evening is progged to make
steady eastward progress to the Lower MS River Delta late tonight
then pivots over the heart of the forecast area by daybreak
Monday. Ahead of the eastward moving trough axis this evening,
the local area remains on the favored side for enhanced deep
layer ascent within an anomalously high moist environment
(PWAT's) ~ 2.00 inches. Radar is quite active with widespread
showers/storms streaming northward off the Gulf. Efficient warm
rain processes today have resulted in heavy rainfall rates and
excessive storm totals mainly over the coastal zones where area
mesonet sites and NWS surface observing equipment have reported
upwards of 2 to 4 inches with a few sites reporting 5+ inches.
Thus, with the front still to the west and additional rains
developing upstream to expand into the area tonight, could have
some isolated flash flooding problems and will increase the local
flood threat level to elevated over the coastal zones this
evening. There remains some potential for a few tornadoes this
evening generally east of the convective band as well. Stay
weather aware tonight.

As best dynamics shift east, categorical chances (80 to 100%) of
showers and storms this evening over much of the area shifts east
to the eastern half of the area by midnight and into the pre-dawn
hours Monday. Rain chances progged to slowly taper off over the
western zones through the course of the night. Attendant frontal
passage occurs Monday morning, bringing an end to the rain.
Overnight lows dropping off into the mid to upper 50s over the
northwest zones by daybreak while mid to upper 60s elsewhere.
Daytime highs Monday in lower to mid 70s interior to mid to upper
70s coast. /10

.SHORT TERM /Monday night Through Wednesday night/...A reinforcing
frontal boundary sweeps southward over the deep south Monday
night, bringing lowering deep layer thickness values, deep layer
dry air and lowering temperatures which last into the middle of
the week. To begin the short term, much cooler conditions to start
the morning commute to work or school Tuesday morning with
temperatures in the lower to mid 50s interior, 56 to 62 coast.
Daytime highs on Tuesday in the lower to mid 70s which is a few
degrees below climatic normals. The coolest period is Tuesday
night and Wednesday where lows will likely dip down into the 40s
for much of the area. The exception being right along the beaches
where numbers in the lower to mid 50s forecast. Wednesday's highs
in the mid to upper 60s for most locations. /10

.LONG TERM /Thursday Through Sunday/...A moderation in highs and
lows anticipated to close out the week as surface high pressure
lifts up across the southeast. Highs Thursday and Friday trend
back into the 70s. Lows Friday and Saturday mornings in the lower
to mid 50s interior to lower to mid 60s coast.

Next cold front appears to dive into the deep south by Friday and
pushes thru Saturday, bringing a return to a small chance of
showers and storms through Saturday night. Of note: there is a
high degree of disagreement in the weather models with the timing
of next weekend's frontal passage which will dictate temperature
forecasts going into Saturday or Sunday. For now, the blended
guidance suggests highs will lower back into the lower to mid 60s
by Sunday with morning lows lowering into the mid to upper 40s
interior. /10

&&

.MARINE...An unsettled pattern continues tonight ahead of a cold
front approaching from the west. Winds, waves and seas will be
locally higher in and near showers and storms tonight. Visibility
likely to be reduced to less than a mile as well, with the passage
of heavy rain. Frontal passage is forecast Monday morning, bringing
a wind shift and an end to showers and storms in its wake. A light,
to at times moderate northwest flow continues into the middle of
the week before turning more onshore by late week with high pressure
lifting up into the southeast. /10

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      58  75  52  72 /  80   0   0   0
Pensacola   66  76  55  73 / 100  10   0   0
Destin      70  80  55  75 / 100  50   0   0
Evergreen   64  74  49  72 /  90  10   0   0
Waynesboro  55  72  50  70 /  80   0   0   0
Camden      61  73  49  70 / 100  10   0   0
Crestview   70  77  52  74 / 100  40   0   0

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...High Rip Current Risk until 1 AM CDT Monday for ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk until 1 AM CDT Monday for FLZ202-204-206.

MS...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 3 PM CDT this afternoon for GMZ650-
     655-670-675.

&&

This product is also available on the web at:
http://weather.gov/mob

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Mobile AL
615 AM CDT Sun Oct 22 2017

ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-231115-
Choctaw-Washington-Clarke-Wilcox-Monroe-Conecuh-Butler-Crenshaw-
Escambia-Covington-Mobile Inland-Baldwin Inland-Mobile Central-
Baldwin Central-Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Inland-
Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Inland-Santa Rosa Coastal-
Okaloosa Inland-Okaloosa Coastal-Wayne-Perry-Greene-Stone-George-
615 AM CDT Sun Oct 22 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
Alabama...southwest Alabama...northwest Florida and southeast
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Numerous to widespread showers and thunderstorms will move across
the region ahead of an approaching cold front this afternoon and
tonight. Locally heavy rainfall may result in ponding of water on
roadways along with minor flooding of urban and low lying areas.

A few strong to severe thunderstorms will also be possible mostly
ahead of the cold front late this afternoon and this evening.
Damaging straightline winds with maybe a few isolated brief
tornadoes will be possible late this afternoon through this
evening.

A high risk for rip currents will continue along the coastal
beaches of Alabama and Northwest Florida through this evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

A moderate risk for rip currents can be expected along the gulf
beaches of Alabama and Northwest Florida on Monday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of SkyWarn Severe Storm Spotter networks is not
expected through Saturday.

GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675-231115-
Northern Mobile Bay-Southern Mobile Bay-Mississippi Sound-
Perdido Bay-Pensacola Bay System-Choctawhatchee Bay-
Coastal waters from Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Destin to Pensacola FL out 20 NM-
Waters from Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Destin to Pensacola FL from 20 to 60 NM-
615 AM CDT Sun Oct 22 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the coastal
waters of Alabama and northwest Florida.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Hazardous wind and wave conditions for small craft can be
expected through tonight.

Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms can be
expected through tonight. A few strong to severe thunderstorms
will be possible. Gusty straight line winds, periods of very
heavy rain and a few isolated waterspouts will be possible
through tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

Hazardous wind and wave conditions for small craft can be
expected Monday through midweek in the wake of a cold front that
moves across the marine area early Monday.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
248 PM CDT SUN OCT 22 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0247 PM     FLASH FLOOD      SSW GRAND BAY           30.47N 88.34W
10/22/2017                   MOBILE             AL   BROADCAST MEDIA

            MEDIA REPORTS FAST MOVING WATER ACROSS POTTER TRACT RD
            JUST SOUTH OF SAEGER RD

&&

RROGERS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
300 PM CDT SUN OCT 22 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0259 PM     TORNADO          2 ENE OAK               30.33N 87.68W
10/22/2017                   BALDWIN            AL   911 CALL CENTER

            SPOTTERS AND 911 CALL CENTER CONFIRMED A TORNADO NEAR THE
            FOLEY BEACH EXPRESSWAY AND COUNTY ROAD 8.

&&

RROGERS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
318 PM CDT SUN OCT 22 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0317 PM     FLASH FLOOD      5 S GRAND BAY           30.40N 88.34W
10/22/2017                   MOBILE             AL   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            MULTIPLE REPORTS OF FLOODED ROADS AND BUSINESSES ACROSS
            SOUTHERN MOBILE COUNTY AROUND THE GRAND BAY AREA

&&

RROGERS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
446 PM CDT SUN OCT 22 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0434 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     3 NNW BON SECOUR        30.35N 87.75W
10/22/2017                   BALDWIN            AL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            WALL CLOUD WITH POSSIBLE FUNNEL SEEN BY TRAINED SKYWARN
            SPOTTER SOUTH OF MAGNOLIA SPRINGS MOVING NORTH.

&&

DJOHNSON