River Flood Warning 11, NWS Mobile, AL

462 
WGUS84 KMOB 041509
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
909 AM CST WED JAN 4 2017
 

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Alabama River Near Millers Ferry Dam affecting Dallas...Monroe AND Wilcox 
  COUNTIES.

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC047-099-131-041539-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-170106T1819Z/
/MRFA1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
909 AM CST WED JAN 4 2017

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Alabama River Near Millers Ferry Dam
* until Friday afternoon.
* At 8AM Wednesday the stage was 60.6 feet. 
* Flood stage is 66 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3215 8726 3205 8719 3203 8732 3184 8738
 3184 8756 3215 8749                  

$$

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Mobile AL
811 AM CST Tue Jan 3 2017

.DISCUSSION...See updated information for land areas below.

&&

.UPDATE...Updated the forecast to cancel the dense Fog Advisory for
southeast Mississippi and over the marine area as visibilities have
increased above advisory criteria. The rain has cleared the area and
rain chances were removed from the forecast for today. /13

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 532 AM CST Tue Jan 3 2017/

DISCUSSION...See updated information for land areas and aviation
discussion below.

UPDATE...Dense fog has developed over inland Southeast Mississippi
with enough clearing in the cloud cover to allow for good radiation
cooling. This fog should begin to mix out after sunrise.

/16

AVIATION...
12Z issuance...General VFR conditions expected today through the
evening. A front crossing the area beginning around midnight will
bring local drops in CIGs to low end MVFR/upper end IFR levels as it
passes.

/16

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 445 AM CST Tue Jan 3 2017/

NEAR TERM /Now Through Tuesday night/...Yesterday's weather maker
continues to move east of the forecast area today. Drier air will
follow in its wake. The low cloud cover will move off, but with a
weak shortwave passing aloft advecting upper level cloud cover over
the region expect mostly to partly cloudy skies through the day. The
cooler air remains to our north today behind a dry cold front so
today's high temperatures are expected to climb into the low to mid
70s.

Tonight, an upper system digging south over the the northern
PLains/Mississippi River Valley will push a dry cold front across
the region tonight, bringing drier and cooler northerly flow.
Temperatures will still remain above seasonal levels, though, with
overnight lows in the low to mid 50s expected. /16

SHORT TERM /Wednesday Through Thursday night/...A cooler and
largely uneventful weather pattern is expected to persist from
Wednesday through Thursday night. High zonal flow will prevail aloft
with surface high pressure pushing southward out of Canada continuing
to nose in and trend area temperatures near to slightly cooler than
climatological norms. Daytime high temperatures ranging from the
upper 50s to low 60s and overnight minimum temperatures ranging from
the low to mid 30s are anticipated over inland areas. While closer
to the coast, daytime highs are expected to climb into the low to mid
60s and overnight lows are expected to fall into the upper 30s to mid
40s. /08

LONG TERM /Friday Through Monday/...An upper level shortwave trough
extending southwestward over the Southwestern States from the Great
Lakes region is projected propagate southeastward. The interaction
between this shortwave and the frontal boundary lying east to west
across the Gulf is expected to generate cyclogenesis over the Western
Gulf. The ECMWF and GFS both track the surface low along the frontal
boundary east-northeastward across the Gulf but differ in speed and
northward positioning of the low. The closer the low comes to our
coast the more overrunning we can expect...but the further south the
more cold air will spill into the area ahead of the Canadian surface
high pressure system to our north. Have gone with chance PoPs by
Friday with precipitation in the form of rain and rainshowers with
probabilities increasing Friday night and a rain...snow...sleet mix
with low QPF developing over our interior counties of Alabama and
Mississippi late Friday evening and continuing into the early morning
hours...while rain is anticipated over more coastal counties.
Currently am anticipating little to no accumulations but forecasters
will need to closely monitor the systems development. Precipitation
shifts eastward out of the area Saturday and temperatures struggle to
get out of the 40s Saturday afternoon. As cooler temperatures then
advect in from the north...temperatures trend considerably cooler
than normal with lows falling into the mid to upper 20s Saturday
and Sunday nights over the interior and low to mid 30s closer to the
coast. High temperatures should range from the low to mid 40s inland
Sunday and Monday and upper 40s to low 50s near the coast. /08

MARINE...A weak front moves southward across the marine area
tonight. A light to moderate offshore flow will follow in its wake.
Winds will ease Wednesday, but remain offshore through the rest of
the week. A strong offshore flow then develops by Friday and
continues into Sunday. /16

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

This product is also available on the web at:
http://weather.gov/mob

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1000 AM CST TUE JAN 3 2017

ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-041200-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-MOBILE INLAND-BALDWIN INLAND-MOBILE CENTRAL-
BALDWIN CENTRAL-MOBILE COASTAL-BALDWIN COASTAL-ESCAMBIA INLAND-
ESCAMBIA COASTAL-SANTA ROSA INLAND-SANTA ROSA COASTAL-
OKALOOSA INLAND-OKALOOSA COASTAL-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
1000 AM CST TUE JAN 3 2017

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO
FRIDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY MAY BRING THE CHANCE FOR A MIX OF
RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW TO NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA. PLEASE
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SYSTEM FOR LATER UPDATES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF SKYWARN SEVERE STORM SPOTTER NETWORKS IS NOT
EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY.

GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675-041200-
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
1000 AM CST TUE JAN 3 2017

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL
WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND THE COASTAL WATERS OF
ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NORTHERLY FLOW WILL INCREASE LATE TONIGHT AS A COLD FRONT MOVES
ACROSS THE AREA WITH A MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHERLY FLOW IN THE WAKE
OF THE FRONT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

A MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT...CREATING HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT.

ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT...BRINGING
MODERATE TO STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW...CREATING HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR
SMALL CRAFT.