Alert archive / Alabama / Flash Flood Watches in 2017
Flash Flood Watch 17, NWS Mobile, AL
NWS Mobile, AL issued this flash flood watch at Jun 23, 2017, 8:22 PM CDT for Mobile County, Alabama. It was in force for 18 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 23, 2017, 8:22 PM CDT (01:22 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 24, 2017, 2:25 PM CDT
- In force
- 18 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Mobile, AL
- Flood severity
- None
County Mobile County, AL
The radar
The Mobile radar (KMOB), 4 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 00:00Z, 1.4 hours before the alert went out and 255 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1118 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -35 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 866 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 14 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 131 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 98 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 4.0
The text
As transmitted.
763 WGUS64 KMOB 240122 FFAMOB URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Flood Watch National Weather Service Mobile AL 822 PM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017 ...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT FOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI, SOUTHWEST ALABAMA, AND MUCH OF SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE... ALZ261-263-265-241000- /O.NEW.KMOB.FF.A.0017.170624T0122Z-170625T0600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Mobile Inland-Mobile Central-Mobile Coastal- Including the cities of Citronelle, Saraland, Mobile, Prichard, Theodore, Bayou La Batre, Dauphin Island, and Grand Bay 822 PM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT... The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a * Flash Flood Watch for a portion of southwest Alabama, including the following areas, Mobile Central, Mobile Coastal, and Mobile Inland. * Through late Saturday night * Additional rainfall amounts of 2 to 3 inches with locally higher amounts possible will fall on saturated ground conditions. These additional rainfall amounts may result in flash flooding. In addition to the risk of flash flooding, many area rivers are now in or will soon go into minor to moderate flood. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued. && $$ ALZ054>057-059-262-264-266-FLZ201>204-241000- /O.EXB.KMOB.FF.A.0015.000000T0000Z-170625T0600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Wilcox-Monroe-Conecuh-Butler-Escambia-Baldwin Inland- Baldwin Central-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Inland-Escambia Coastal- Santa Rosa Inland-Santa Rosa Coastal- Including the cities of Camden, Pine Hill, Homewood, Monroeville, Evergreen, Greenville, Atmore, Brewton, Flomaton, Stockton, Bay Minette, Daphne, Fairhope, Foley, Spanish Fort, Fort Morgan, Gulf Shores, Orange Beach, Century, Molino, Walnut Hill, Beulah, Ensley, Fort Pickens, Pensacola, Pensacola Beach, Perdido Bay, Jay, Milton, Bagdad, Gulf Breeze, and Navarre 822 PM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT... The National Weather Service in Mobile has expanded the * Flash Flood Watch to include portions of Alabama and northwest Florida, including the following areas, in Alabama, Baldwin Central, Baldwin Coastal, Baldwin Inland, Butler, Conecuh, Escambia, Monroe, and Wilcox. In northwest Florida, Escambia Coastal, Escambia Inland, Santa Rosa Coastal, and Santa Rosa Inland. * Through late Saturday night * Additional rainfall amounts of 2 to 3 inches with locally higher amounts possible will fall on saturated ground conditions. These additional rainfall amounts may result in flash flooding. In addition to the risk of flash flooding, many area rivers are now in or will soon go into minor to moderate flood. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead to flash flooding. This is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued. && $$ ALZ051-052-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-241000- /O.EXT.KMOB.FF.A.0015.000000T0000Z-170625T0600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Choctaw-Washington-Wayne-Perry-Greene-Stone-George- Including the cities of Butler, Lisman, Silas, Chatom, Millry, Waynesboro, Beaumont, New Augusta, Richton, Leakesville, McLain, Wiggins, and Lucedale 822 PM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT... The Flash Flood Watch is now in effect for * Portions of southwest Alabama and southeast Mississippi, including the following areas, in southwest Alabama, Choctaw and Washington. In southeast Mississippi, George, Greene, Perry, Stone, and Wayne. * Through late Saturday night * Additional rainfall amounts of 2 to 3 inches with locally higher amounts possible will fall on saturated ground conditions. These additional rainfall amounts may result in flash flooding. In addition to the risk of flash flooding, many area rivers are now in or will soon go into minor to moderate flood. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead to flash flooding. This is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued. && $$ ALZ053-241000- /O.EXT.KMOB.FF.A.0016.000000T0000Z-170625T0600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Clarke- Including the cities of Grove Hill, Jackson, and Thomasville 822 PM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT... The Flash Flood Watch is now in effect for * A portion of southwest Alabama, including the following area, Clarke. * Through late Saturday night * Additional rainfall amounts of 2 to 3 inches with locally higher amounts possible will fall on saturated ground conditions. These additional rainfall amounts may result in flash flooding. In addition to the risk of flash flooding, many area rivers are now in or will soon go into minor to moderate flood. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued. && $$
3 follow-up statements
087 WGUS64 KMOB 240906 FFAMOB Flood Watch National Weather Service Mobile AL 406 AM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017 ...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT FOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI, SOUTHWEST ALABAMA, AND MUCH OF SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE... ALZ051-052-054>057-059-262-264-266-FLZ201>204-MSZ067-075-076-078- 079-241715- /O.CON.KMOB.FF.A.0015.000000T0000Z-170625T0600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Choctaw-Washington-Wilcox-Monroe-Conecuh-Butler-Escambia- Baldwin Inland-Baldwin Central-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Inland- Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Inland-Santa Rosa Coastal-Wayne-Perry- Greene-Stone-George- Including the cities of Butler, Lisman, Silas, Chatom, Millry, Camden, Pine Hill, Homewood, Monroeville, Evergreen, Greenville, Atmore, Brewton, Flomaton, Stockton, Bay Minette, Daphne, Fairhope, Foley, Spanish Fort, Fort Morgan, Gulf Shores, Orange Beach, Century, Molino, Walnut Hill, Beulah, Ensley, Fort Pickens, Pensacola, Pensacola Beach, Perdido Bay, Jay, Milton, Bagdad, Gulf Breeze, Navarre, Waynesboro, Beaumont, New Augusta, Richton, Leakesville, McLain, Wiggins, and Lucedale 406 AM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... The Flash Flood Watch continues for * Portions of Alabama, northwest Florida, and southeast Mississippi, including the following areas, in Alabama, Baldwin Central, Baldwin Coastal, Baldwin Inland, Butler, Choctaw, Conecuh, Escambia, Monroe, Washington, and Wilcox. In northwest Florida, Escambia Coastal, Escambia Inland, Santa Rosa Coastal, and Santa Rosa Inland. In southeast Mississippi, George, Greene, Perry, Stone, and Wayne. * Through late tonight * Additional rainfall amounts of 2 to 3 inches with locally higher amounts possible will fall on saturated ground conditions. These additional rainfall amounts may result in flash flooding. In addition to the risk of flash flooding, many area rivers are now in or will soon go into minor to moderate flood. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead to flash flooding. This is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued. && $$ ALZ053-241715- /O.CON.KMOB.FF.A.0016.000000T0000Z-170625T0600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Clarke- Including the cities of Grove Hill, Jackson, and Thomasville 406 AM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... The Flash Flood Watch continues for * A portion of southwest Alabama, including the following area, Clarke. * Through late tonight * Additional rainfall amounts of 2 to 3 inches with locally higher amounts possible will fall on saturated ground conditions. These additional rainfall amounts may result in flash flooding. In addition to the risk of flash flooding, many area rivers are now in or will soon go into minor to moderate flood. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued. && $$ ALZ261-263-265-241715- /O.CON.KMOB.FF.A.0017.000000T0000Z-170625T0600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Mobile Inland-Mobile Central-Mobile Coastal- Including the cities of Citronelle, Saraland, Mobile, Prichard, Theodore, Bayou La Batre, Dauphin Island, and Grand Bay 406 AM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... The Flash Flood Watch continues for * A portion of southwest Alabama, including the following areas, Mobile Central, Mobile Coastal, and Mobile Inland. * Through late tonight * Additional rainfall amounts of 2 to 3 inches with locally higher amounts possible will fall on saturated ground conditions. These additional rainfall amounts may result in flash flooding. In addition to the risk of flash flooding, many area rivers are now in or will soon go into minor to moderate flood. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued. && $$
233 WGUS64 KMOB 241522 FFAMOB URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Flood Watch National Weather Service Mobile AL 1022 AM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017 ...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT FOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI, SOUTHWEST ALABAMA, AND MUCH OF SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE... ALZ051-MSZ067-241630- /O.CAN.KMOB.FF.A.0015.000000T0000Z-170625T0600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Choctaw-Wayne- Including the cities of Butler, Lisman, Silas, and Waynesboro 1022 AM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... The Flash Flood Watch has been cancelled. $$ ALZ058-060-FLZ205-206-242330- /O.EXA.KMOB.FF.A.0015.000000T0000Z-170625T0600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Crenshaw-Covington-Okaloosa Inland-Okaloosa Coastal- Including the cities of Brantley, Luverne, Andalusia, Opp, Crestview, Destin, Eglin AFB, Fort Walton Beach, Niceville, Seminole, Valparaiso, and Wright 1022 AM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... The National Weather Service in Mobile has expanded the * Flash Flood Watch to include portions of south central Alabama and northwest Florida, including the following areas, in south central Alabama, Covington and Crenshaw. In northwest Florida, Okaloosa Coastal and Okaloosa Inland. * Through late tonight * Additional rainfall amounts of 2 to 3 inches with locally higher amounts possible will fall on saturated ground conditions. These additional rainfall amounts may result in flash flooding. In addition to the risk of flash flooding, many area rivers are now in or will soon go into minor to moderate flood. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead to flash flooding. This is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued. && $$ ALZ052-054>057-059-262-264-266-FLZ201>204-MSZ075-076-078-079- 242330- /O.CON.KMOB.FF.A.0015.000000T0000Z-170625T0600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Washington-Wilcox-Monroe-Conecuh-Butler-Escambia-Baldwin Inland- Baldwin Central-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Inland-Escambia Coastal- Santa Rosa Inland-Santa Rosa Coastal-Perry-Greene-Stone-George- Including the cities of Chatom, Millry, Camden, Pine Hill, Homewood, Monroeville, Evergreen, Greenville, Atmore, Brewton, Flomaton, Stockton, Bay Minette, Daphne, Fairhope, Foley, Spanish Fort, Fort Morgan, Gulf Shores, Orange Beach, Century, Molino, Walnut Hill, Beulah, Ensley, Fort Pickens, Pensacola, Pensacola Beach, Perdido Bay, Jay, Milton, Bagdad, Gulf Breeze, Navarre, Beaumont, New Augusta, Richton, Leakesville, McLain, Wiggins, and Lucedale 1022 AM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... The Flash Flood Watch continues for * Portions of Alabama, northwest Florida, and southeast Mississippi, including the following areas, in Alabama, Baldwin Central, Baldwin Coastal, Baldwin Inland, Butler, Conecuh, Escambia, Monroe, Washington, and Wilcox. In northwest Florida, Escambia Coastal, Escambia Inland, Santa Rosa Coastal, and Santa Rosa Inland. In southeast Mississippi, George, Greene, Perry, and Stone. * Through late tonight * Additional rainfall amounts of 2 to 3 inches with locally higher amounts possible will fall on saturated ground conditions. These additional rainfall amounts may result in flash flooding. In addition to the risk of flash flooding, many area rivers are now in or will soon go into minor to moderate flood. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead to flash flooding. This is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued. && $$ ALZ261-263-265-242330- /O.CON.KMOB.FF.A.0017.000000T0000Z-170625T0600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Mobile Inland-Mobile Central-Mobile Coastal- Including the cities of Citronelle, Saraland, Mobile, Prichard, Theodore, Bayou La Batre, Dauphin Island, and Grand Bay 1022 AM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... The Flash Flood Watch continues for * A portion of southwest Alabama, including the following areas, Mobile Central, Mobile Coastal, and Mobile Inland. * Through late tonight * Additional rainfall amounts of 2 to 3 inches with locally higher amounts possible will fall on saturated ground conditions. These additional rainfall amounts may result in flash flooding. In addition to the risk of flash flooding, many area rivers are now in or will soon go into minor to moderate flood. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued. && $$ ALZ053-242330- /O.CON.KMOB.FF.A.0016.000000T0000Z-170625T0600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Clarke- Including the cities of Grove Hill, Jackson, and Thomasville 1022 AM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... The Flash Flood Watch continues for * A portion of southwest Alabama, including the following area, Clarke. * Through late tonight * Additional rainfall amounts of 2 to 3 inches with locally higher amounts possible will fall on saturated ground conditions. These additional rainfall amounts may result in flash flooding. In addition to the risk of flash flooding, many area rivers are now in or will soon go into minor to moderate flood. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued. && $$
352 WGUS64 KMOB 241925 FFAMOB Flood Watch National Weather Service Mobile AL 225 PM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017 ...Flash Flood Watch No Longer in Effect... ALZ052-054>060-262-264-266-FLZ201>206-MSZ075-076-078-079-242030- /O.CAN.KMOB.FF.A.0015.000000T0000Z-170625T0600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Washington-Wilcox-Monroe-Conecuh-Butler-Crenshaw-Escambia- Covington-Baldwin Inland-Baldwin Central-Baldwin Coastal- Escambia Inland-Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Inland- Santa Rosa Coastal-Okaloosa Inland-Okaloosa Coastal-Perry-Greene- Stone-George- Including the cities of Chatom, Millry, Camden, Pine Hill, Homewood, Monroeville, Evergreen, Greenville, Brantley, Luverne, Atmore, Brewton, Flomaton, Andalusia, Opp, Stockton, Bay Minette, Daphne, Fairhope, Foley, Spanish Fort, Fort Morgan, Gulf Shores, Orange Beach, Century, Molino, Walnut Hill, Beulah, Ensley, Fort Pickens, Pensacola, Pensacola Beach, Perdido Bay, Jay, Milton, Bagdad, Gulf Breeze, Navarre, Crestview, Destin, Eglin AFB, Fort Walton Beach, Niceville, Seminole, Valparaiso, Wright, Beaumont, New Augusta, Richton, Leakesville, McLain, Wiggins, and Lucedale 225 PM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... The Flash Flood Watch for portions of Alabama, northwest Florida, and southeast Mississippi has been cancelled. $$ ALZ053-242030- /O.CAN.KMOB.FF.A.0016.000000T0000Z-170625T0600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Clarke- Including the cities of Grove Hill, Jackson, and Thomasville 225 PM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... The Flash Flood Watch for a portion of southwest Alabama has been cancelled. $$ ALZ261-263-265-242030- /O.CAN.KMOB.FF.A.0017.000000T0000Z-170625T0600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Mobile Inland-Mobile Central-Mobile Coastal- Including the cities of Citronelle, Saraland, Mobile, Prichard, Theodore, Bayou La Batre, Dauphin Island, and Grand Bay 225 PM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... The Flash Flood Watch for a portion of southwest Alabama has been cancelled. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at Jun 23, 7:23 PM CDT, 59 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 23, 7:23 PM CDT, 59 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Mobile AL
723 PM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017
.DISCUSSION...Updated for latest aviation discussion below.
&&
.AVIATION...
00Z issuance...MVFR to IFR cigs and visibilities through 24.12z
followed by mostly MVFR cigs and visibilities through 24.00z.
Lower cigs and visibilities mostly in and around scattered to
numerous showers and thunderstorms moving eastward across the
forecast area through Sat afternoon. The best coverage of showers
and thunderstorms will occur through about 24.07z tonight,
reforming mostly after 24.15z Sat. Winds will be south to
southwest at 10 to 15 knots this evening diminishing to 3 to 8
knots late tonight through Sat afternoon. Higher gusts up to 25
knots will also be possible with a few of the stronger
thunderstorms through the forecast period. 32/ee
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 653 PM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017/
DISCUSSION...See updated information for land areas below. NOTE:
the climate info in the third paragraph of the previous
discussion has been corrected.
UPDATE...Have updated to increase pops along the line of showers
and storms advancing slowly from the western portion into the
central portion of the area this evening. Have also updated for
the expiration of the Coastal Flood Warning for Alabama and the
Coastal Flood Advisory for the western Florida panhandle as
astronomical tidal values decrease along with gradually decreasing
onshore winds. A Flash Flood Watch remains in effect for
southeast Mississippi and part of southwest Alabama until 10 pm,
but adjustments to the watch are possible. No other major changes
at this time. /29
PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 350 PM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017/
NEAR TERM /Now Through Saturday/...Remnant circulation of Cindy
over KY and TN was shearing out to the northeast. South and west
of the circulation, a resurgence in cold cloud tops =>
showers/storms were developing in a northeast to southwest band
from northwest AL to southwest MS. This convection was occurring
within a zone of high deep layer tropical moisture where total
pwat was in excess of 2.00 inches. To the east, a well defined
deep layer ridge was positioned from the southwest Atlantic into
the eastern Gulf causing a net lowering in deep layer moisture
along and east of the I-65 corridor. Considering the placement of
the deep layer moisture and afternoon instability with mucape
values around 3000 J/KG, the higher precipitation chances remain
advertised over the northwest zones and will be carried over into
tonight. Lower chances southeast of the interstate. Due to soil
moisture levels being at capacity, there remains concerns that
developing showers and storms, repeatedly moving over the same
areas, will likely result in runoff and flooding. Flash flood
watches continue from Clarke Co. AL to George Co. MS and points
west thru late this evening. Many area rivers remain in, or will
soon go into, minor to moderate flood.
A frontal boundary sags southward Saturday, bringing enhanced
ascent while interacting with a deeply moist environment. Thus,
the unsettled weather pattern continues with scattered, to at
times numerous showers and thunderstorms. Unfortunately, storms
initiating in this type of environment will be efficient in
depositing heavy rains in a short amount of time over already
saturated soil conditions. This of course will likely lead to
runoff and flooding problems going forward into the day Saturday.
Have extended the high risk of rip currents and high surf advisory into
the mid morning hours Saturday due to the potential of lingering
modest swell and breaker action up across the surf zone. Muggy
overnight lows in the mid to upper 70s. Daytime highs Saturday in
the mid to upper 80s.
Interesting Climate Fact...June has been wet even before rains
from Tropical Cindy affected the area, and more rain is expected
this weekend due to a southward moving front. At Mobile Regional,
the rain gauge has added up to 11.81" which is 7.30 inches above
normal, but still way less than the all time record 26.67 set in
1900. For Pensacola, the rain gauge has added up to an impressive
18.21" so far, and depending on how much rain we receive in the
coming days, it's possible that the monthly record for Pensacola
of 21.14" set in 1994 is within striking distance.
SHORT TERM /Saturday night Through Monday night/...Scattered to
at times numerous showers and storms Saturday night into Sunday as
frontal boundary settles south to the coast. Some of the rains
locally heavy. With the boundary slipping off the coast, a
reduction in rainfall probabilities is expected Sunday night thru
Monday night. Following the frontal passage, latest forecast for
overnight lows show potential of mid 60s over the interior Sunday
and Monday nights. Daytime highs Sunday and Monday 83 to 87. /10
LONG TERM /Tuesday Through Friday/...Chances of rain will be
minimal as somewhat drier northwest to zonal flow aloft prevails
across interior portions of the forecast area Tuesday as our
region remains at the base of a longwave high level trough that
extends across much of the eastern CONUS. An axis of deeper
moisture may still remain in the vicinity of coastal portions of
the region per the 23.12Z ECMWF which favors a slight chance of
showers and storms. Medium range models remain in generally good
agreement with building an upper level ridge across the Eastern
Seaboard and adjacent Western Atlantic by the middle to later part
of next week, allowing an axis of deeper moisture to advect back
northward over the central Gulf coast. This pattern should result
in a return to better rain chances as we close out this very wet
month of June.
Early morning lows begin to moderate back into the lower to mid
70s by Friday morning. Highs each day range in the mid 80s. /10
MARINE...Onshore flow decreases and seas subside in the short term.
Rain chances will increase over the weekend into early next week as
a frontal boundary sinks southward to the coast and eases offshore.
Winds, waves and seas will be locally higher in and near storms.
/10
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...High Rip Current Risk through Saturday morning for ALZ265-266.
High Surf Advisory until 10 AM CDT Saturday for ALZ265-266.
Flash Flood Watch until 10 PM CDT this evening for ALZ051>053.
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Saturday morning for FLZ202-204-
206.
High Surf Advisory until 10 AM CDT Saturday for FLZ202-204-206.
MS...Flash Flood Watch until 10 PM CDT this evening for MSZ067-075-
076-078-079.
GM...None.
&&
This product is also available on the web at:
http://weather.gov/mobHazardous weather outlook, Jun 23, 3:59 PM CDT, 4 hours 23 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED National Weather Service Mobile AL 359 PM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017 ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-242100- Choctaw-Washington-Clarke-Wilcox-Monroe-Conecuh-Butler-Crenshaw- Escambia-Covington-Mobile Inland-Baldwin Inland-Mobile Central- Baldwin Central-Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Inland- Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Inland-Santa Rosa Coastal- Okaloosa Inland-Okaloosa Coastal-Wayne-Perry-Greene-Stone-George- 359 PM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central Alabama...southwest Alabama...northwest Florida and southeast Mississippi. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected across much of southeast Mississippi and interior southwest Alabama through tonight, while storms will be more isolated in coverage southeast of Interstate 65. There will be a continued elevated potential for flash flooding across southeast Mississippi and interior southwest Alabama, generally west of a Thomasville Alabama to Lucedale Mississippi line, where up to 3 inches of additional rainfall will be possible. A more limited flash flood threat exists with any locally heavy rainfall over the rest of the area. A few strong storms capable of producing strong to locally damaging wind gusts will be possible mainly northwest of Interstate 65. Dangerous surf conditions will likely continue, with long period swell and breakers of 4 to 6 feet moving up into the surf zone. Minor coastal flooding of the typically flood prone coastal roads along Alabama and northwest Florida panhandle beaches will continue. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms may produce additional locally heavy rainfall and localized flooding Saturday ahead of an approaching front. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Activation of SkyWarn Severe Storm Spotter networks is not expected through Thursday. GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675-242100- Northern Mobile Bay-Southern Mobile Bay-Mississippi Sound- Perdido Bay-Pensacola Bay System-Choctawhatchee Bay- Coastal waters from Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS out 20 NM- Coastal waters from Destin to Pensacola FL out 20 NM- Waters from Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS from 20 to 60 NM- Waters from Destin to Pensacola FL from 20 to 60 NM- 359 PM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the coastal waters of Alabama and northwest Florida. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight A gradual improvement in wind speeds is expected tonight. Sea heights generally 3 to 5 feet. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday Winds, waves and seas will be locally higher with the passage of marine storms into the weekend. Visibility could be reduced to less than a mile at times with the passage of any storms that contain heavy rain.
In the hours before
Local storm report, Jun 23, 5:26 PM CDT, 2 hours 56 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
526 PM CDT FRI JUN 23 2017
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0522 PM FLOOD 2 ESE TALLAHATTA SPRING 31.90N 87.85W
06/23/2017 CLARKE AL EMERGENCY MNGR
A SECTION OF TALLAHATTA SPRINGS ROAD ABOUT 5 MILES WEST
OF HIGHWAY 43 HAS A SECTION CAVING IN FROM FLOODING. ROAD
CREWS ARE ON SITE FOR REPAIRS
&&
RROGERSSpecial weather statement, Jun 23, 5:56 PM CDT, 2 hours 26 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
556 PM CDT FRI JUN 23 2017
ALZ051>055-MSZ067-240030-
Clarke AL-Wilcox AL-Monroe AL-Choctaw AL-Washington AL-Wayne MS-
556 PM CDT FRI JUN 23 2017
...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES...NORTHWESTERN MONROE...SOUTH CENTRAL CHOCTAW...NORTHERN
WASHINGTON...CLARKE...WILCOX AND SOUTHEASTERN WAYNE COUNTIES UNTIL
730 PM CDT...
At 556 PM CDT, the strong thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Dannelly Reservoir to near Chatom,and moving east
at 20 mph.
Winds in excess of 30 mph will be possible with these storms.
Locations impacted include...
Jackson, Thomasville, Camden, Grove Hill, Chatom, Saint Stephens,
Leroy, Whatley, Pine Hill, Millry, Coffeeville, Vredenburgh, Fulton,
Yellow Bluff and Dannelly Reservoir.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
&&
LAT...LON 3227 8744 3220 8736 3220 8733 3214 8728
3214 8725 3212 8726 3208 8719 3205 8718
3205 8686 3199 8686 3144 8764 3145 8860
3199 8786 3199 8767 3200 8763 3213 8762
3213 8752 3224 8752 3227 8748
TIME...MOT...LOC 2256Z 268DEG 16KT 3214 8722 3145 8830Special weather statement, Jun 23, 6:00 PM CDT, 2 hours 22 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
600 PM CDT FRI JUN 23 2017
ALZ052-053-261-MSZ075-076-078-079-232345-
Clarke AL-Washington AL-Mobile Inland AL-Perry MS-Stone MS-Greene MS-
George MS-
600 PM CDT FRI JUN 23 2017
...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES...NORTHWESTERN MOBILE...SOUTHERN WASHINGTON...SOUTH CENTRAL
CLARKE...GEORGE...SOUTHERN PERRY...GREENE AND STONE COUNTIES UNTIL
645 PM CDT...
At 600 PM CDT, the strong thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Chatom to 10 miles west of Saucier,and moving
east at 20 mph.
Winds in excess of 30 mph will be possible with these storms.
Locations impacted include...
Wiggins, Citronelle, Lucedale, Leakesville, Wagarville, Perkinston,
McHenry, Gulfcrest, Deer Park, Tibbie, Beaumont, Calvert, McLain,
Fruitdale, McIntosh and Wilmer.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
&&
LAT...LON 3082 8934 3091 8924 3091 8914 3100 8914
3143 8864 3144 8771 3086 8832 3079 8839
3079 8842 3074 8845 3073 8888 3068 8889
3068 8924 3065 8924 3065 8934
TIME...MOT...LOC 2300Z 253DEG 18KT 3144 8823 3059 8931Special weather statement, Jun 23, 6:56 PM CDT, 1 hour 26 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
656 PM CDT FRI JUN 23 2017
ALZ052-053-055-056-059-261>264-MSZ075-076-078-079-240045-
Clarke AL-Monroe AL-Conecuh AL-Mobile Inland AL-Baldwin Central AL-
Baldwin Inland AL-Escambia AL-Washington AL-Mobile Central AL-
Perry MS-Stone MS-Greene MS-George MS-
656 PM CDT FRI JUN 23 2017
...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES...SOUTHWESTERN MONROE...MOBILE...NORTHWESTERN BALDWIN...
SOUTHERN WASHINGTON...SOUTHEASTERN CLARKE...NORTHWESTERN ESCAMBIA...
WEST CENTRAL CONECUH...GEORGE...SOUTHERN PERRY...GREENE AND STONE
COUNTIES UNTIL 745 PM CDT...
At 655 PM CDT, the strong thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 12 miles southeast of Jackson to near Saucier,and
moving east at 30 mph.
Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with these storms.
Locations impacted include...
Downtown Mobile, Prichard, Saraland, Bay Minette, Chickasaw, Satsuma,
Wiggins, Citronelle, Lucedale, Creola, Leakesville, Chunchula,
Stockton, McCullough, Wagarville, Perkinston, McHenry, Gulfcrest,
Deer Park and Axis.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
&&
LAT...LON 3075 8934 3091 8918 3091 8914 3096 8914
3144 8866 3143 8722 3070 8801 3068 8841
3074 8841 3073 8888 3068 8889 3068 8924
3065 8925 3065 8934
TIME...MOT...LOC 2355Z 265DEG 25KT 3144 8771 3063 8905Special weather statement, Jun 23, 7:04 PM CDT, 1 hour 18 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
704 PM CDT FRI JUN 23 2017
ALZ053>058-060-240130-
Clarke AL-Wilcox AL-Monroe AL-Conecuh AL-Butler AL-Covington AL-
Crenshaw AL-
704 PM CDT FRI JUN 23 2017
...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES...BUTLER...NORTHEASTERN MONROE...CRENSHAW...SOUTHEASTERN
CLARKE...SOUTHEASTERN WILCOX...CENTRAL CONECUH AND NORTHERN COVINGTON
COUNTIES UNTIL 830 PM CDT...
At 703 PM CDT, the strong thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Shorter to 9 miles west of Frisco City, moving
northeast at 35 mph.
Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with these storms.
Locations impacted include...
Greenville, Monroeville, Evergreen, Luverne, Peterman, Georgiana,
Brantley, McKenzie, Rutledge, Beatrice, Dozier, Glenwood, Pine Apple,
Petrey, Highland Home and Lapine.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
&&
LAT...LON 3153 8620 3143 8620 3144 8764 3205 8700
3205 8686 3196 8686 3196 8641 3205 8640
3205 8630 3197 8630 3197 8620 3196 8618
3189 8617 3179 8620 3179 8615 3166 8615
3162 8618 3162 8615 3154 8614
TIME...MOT...LOC 0003Z 242DEG 127KT 3237 8587 3148 8755Local storm report, Jun 23, 7:49 PM CDT, 33 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
749 PM CDT FRI JUN 23 2017
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0735 PM FLASH FLOOD 4 N COFFEEVILLE 31.82N 88.09W
06/23/2017 CLARKE AL EMERGENCY MNGR
ROAD COLLAPSING NORTH BOUND LANE ON HIGHWAY 69
&&
ERICEThe office that day
Everything else NWS Mobile, AL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 23, 7:04 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MOB | Butler, Crenshaw, Monroe | 86 min |
| Jun 23, 7:07 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MOB | Clarke, Wilcox | 6 hr |
| Jun 23, 11:26 PM CDT | Areal Flood Warning | MOB | Choctaw, Clarke, Washington, Wilcox | 6 hr |
| Jun 24, 4:51 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | MOB | Baldwin, Mobile | 3 hr |
| Jun 24, 6:31 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | MOB | Mobile | 3 hr |
Nearby
Flash Flood Watches in Alabama, 2017Every flash flood watch in 2017
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.