Flood Watch 3, NWS Melbourne, FL

157 
WGUS62 KMLB 171938
FFAMLB

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
338 PM EDT Tue Oct 17 2017

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR VOLUSIA AND NORTHERN BREVARD
COUNTIES LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

FLZ041-172045-
/O.CAN.KMLB.FA.A.0003.000000T0000Z-171018T0800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Inland Volusia County-
Including the cities of Debary, Deland, and Deltona
338 PM EDT Tue Oct 17 2017

...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Watch for inland Volusia County has been cancelled.
Scattered showers are expected to move inland through Tonight but
the risk of flooding is low. 

$$

FLZ141-147-180800-
/O.CON.KMLB.FA.A.0003.000000T0000Z-171018T0800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Coastal Volusia County-Northern Brevard County-
Including the cities of Daytona Beach, New Smyrna Beach, 
Ormond Beach, Cocoa, and Titusville
338 PM EDT Tue Oct 17 2017

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

The Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of east central Florida, including the following 
  areas, Coastal Volusia County and Northern Brevard County. 

* Through late tonight

* Increasing moisture and elevated northeast winds along and
  behind a passing front will lead to the potential for persistent
  heavy rainfall bands across coastal Volusia and northern Brevard
  Counties through late tonight. Rainfall amounts from 1 to 2
  inches are expected across this area, with isolated locally
  higher amounts of 3 to 5 inches possible where any rain bands
  develop and persistent into the overnight hours.
 
* This heavy rainfall will have the potential to cause flooding 
  of low-lying areas and poor drainage areas. Flooding will also 
  affect roadways, creeks and small streams. Remember to not 
  drive across flooded roadways. Turn around. Don't drown. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts. You should monitor later forecasts and be
alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to
flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding
develop.

&&

$$

15

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
933 AM EDT Mon Oct 16 2017

.DISCUSSION...Frontal boundary will move into north Florida today,
with a weak pressure gradient across the area. A light northeast
flow will develop with winds at the coast becoming east-northeast
and increasing to around 10mph as the sea breeze develops and
moves inland this afternoon. Morning soundings indicate sufficient
moisture for isolated to scattered shower development along and
ahead of this boundary and cooling temps aloft may also support a
few thunderstorms through the afternoon. Will maintain rain
chances around 30-40 percent across the region.

Skies starting off mostly sunny will become partly cloudy into the
late morning and afternoon, with highs reaching the mid-upper 80s
along the coast and upper 80s to around 90 degrees across the
interior.

&&

.AVIATION...Patchy stratus and fog has moved into portions of Lake
County this morning, but looks like it should steer clear of KLEE.
Otherwise VFR conditions expected across the area today, with
tempo IFR/MVFR conditions possible in scattered showers, or a few
storms, that are able to develop along and inland of the westward
moving east coast sea breeze this afternoon. Will continue mention
of VCSH for now.

&&

.MARINE...(Previous Discussion) Winds will be NE 5-10 knots today
with seas 3 to 4 feet before the effects of an approaching
frontal boundary impinges upon the waters from north-south
overnight. A tightening pressure gradient will promote a NE wind
surge of 15 to 20 knots late in the overnight period north of the
Cape. Seas will quickly begin to build toward advisory levels
across the aforementioned waters by early Tue. Showers and storms
will also be increasing across the waters in vicinity of the front
and wind surge.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  87  73  79  71 /  40  60  80  40
MCO  90  73  84  70 /  40  40  70  40
MLB  88  74  83  73 /  30  40  70  60
VRB  87  73  85  73 /  30  40  70  70
LEE  91  72  82  67 /  40  50  60  30
SFB  89  72  82  69 /  40  50  70  40
ORL  90  72  84  71 /  40  50  70  30
FPR  87  73  85  72 /  30  40  70  70

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
&&

Weitlich/Volkmer

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
510 AM EDT Mon Oct 16 2017

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-162115-
Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm-Volusia-
Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-Flagler Beach to Volusia-
Brevard County Line 20-60 nm-Volusia-
Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-Inland Volusia County-
Northern Lake County-Orange-Seminole-Southern Brevard County-
Osceola-Indian River-Okeechobee-St. Lucie-Martin-
Coastal Volusia County-Southern Lake County-
Northern Brevard County-
510 AM EDT Mon Oct 16 2017

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
Winds will be northeast at more relaxed speeds today. Moisture
will be sufficient to support scattered showers but lightning
storms will be isolated to widely scattered. Except for a stray
marine shower or two this morning, this will generally occur in
vicinity of an inland moving east coast sea breeze. The best
chances for lightning will be along the coastal counties for late
morning and early afternoon, and then inland during the middle to
late afternoon.

After midnight, the effects from an approaching frontal boundary
will begin to be felt as rain chances increase. Showers and a few
lightning storms will impinge on the area from the north.

.RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
Weather and ocean conditions will produce a Moderate Risk of
rip currents at the beaches of east central Florida. Always
swim within sight of a lifeguard and never swim alone.

.WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
A significant surge of winds from the northeast at 15 to 20 knots
will occur after midnight for the waters north of Cape Canaveral.
This will result in a fast building of seas which will reach 4 to
6 feet toward sunrise and then continue to further build. Small
craft should exercise caution after midnight for increasing winds
and building seas north of Cape Canaveral.

.RIVER FLOOD IMPACT...
The middle and upper Saint Johns River basin remains in flood with
only a slight decrease in river levels forecast over the next
several days.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
Scattered to numerous showers with isolated lightning storms are
forecast across East Central Florida through Wednesday. Locally
heavy rain may occur at times, especially along the coast.
Improving conditions are then forecast for later in the week.

Boating conditions will be poor to hazardous much of the remainder
of this week due to increased winds and seas. Also, at the beaches
the surf may become rough at times. A moderate risk of rip
currents will be recurring.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed today.

DWS