Severe Thunderstorm Warning 84, NWS Milwaukee, WI

549 
WWUS53 KMKX 282208
SVSMKX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
508 PM CDT WED JUN 28 2017

WIC049-111-282245-
/O.CON.KMKX.SV.W.0084.000000T0000Z-170628T2245Z/
Iowa WI-Sauk WI-
508 PM CDT WED JUN 28 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM CDT
FOR NORTHERN IOWA AND SAUK COUNTIES...

At 507 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Muscoda, or 14
miles south of Richland Center, moving east at 50 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Baraboo, Prairie Du Sac, Sauk City, Spring Green, West Baraboo,
Arena, Plain, North Freedom, Avoca, Orion, Merrimac, Rock Springs,
Loganville, Leland and Devils Lake St Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4320 9043 4321 9029 4317 9019 4340 9019
      4357 8962 4356 8960 4338 8960 4336 8967
      4331 8973 4327 8972 4324 8977 4324 8980
      4321 8984 4313 8984 4308 9043
TIME...MOT...LOC 2207Z 256DEG 42KT 4313 9034 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

HENTZ

797 
WWUS53 KMKX 282222
SVSMKX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
522 PM CDT WED JUN 28 2017

WIC049-111-282245-
/O.CON.KMKX.SV.W.0084.000000T0000Z-170628T2245Z/
Iowa WI-Sauk WI-
522 PM CDT WED JUN 28 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM CDT
FOR NORTHERN IOWA AND SOUTHERN SAUK COUNTIES...

At 521 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Spring Green,
or 13 miles north of Dodgeville, moving east at 50 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Baraboo, Prairie Du Sac, Sauk City, Spring Green, Arena, Plain,
Avoca, Orion, Merrimac, Leland and Devils Lake St Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A tornado watch remains in effect for the warned area. Tornadoes can
develop quickly from severe thunderstorms. Although a tornado is not
immediately likely, if one is spotted act quickly and move to a place
of safety inside a sturdy structure, such as a basement or small
interior room.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for south central
Wisconsin.

LAT...LON 4320 9043 4321 9029 4317 9019 4335 9018
      4347 8968 4348 8960 4338 8960 4336 8967
      4331 8973 4327 8972 4324 8977 4324 8980
      4321 8984 4313 8984 4308 9043
TIME...MOT...LOC 2221Z 256DEG 42KT 4317 9013 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

HENTZ

438 
WWUS53 KMKX 282233
SVSMKX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
533 PM CDT WED JUN 28 2017

WIC049-111-282245-
/O.CON.KMKX.SV.W.0084.000000T0000Z-170628T2245Z/
Iowa WI-Sauk WI-
533 PM CDT WED JUN 28 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN IOWA AND SOUTHEASTERN SAUK COUNTIES...

At 532 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Spring Green,
or 13 miles southwest of Sauk City, moving east at 55 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Sauk City, Spring Green and Arena. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for south central
Wisconsin.

LAT...LON 4317 9015 4330 8982 4327 8972 4324 8977
      4324 8980 4321 8984 4313 8984 4311 9012
TIME...MOT...LOC 2232Z 259DEG 46KT 4317 8996 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

HENTZ

342 
WWUS53 KMKX 282236
SVSMKX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
536 PM CDT WED JUN 28 2017

WIC049-111-282246-
/O.EXP.KMKX.SV.W.0084.000000T0000Z-170628T2245Z/
Iowa WI-Sauk WI-
536 PM CDT WED JUN 28 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN IOWA AND
SOUTHEASTERN SAUK COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 545 PM CDT...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore the warning will be allowed to expire.  However small hail
and heavy rain are still possible with this thunderstorm.

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for south central
Wisconsin.

LAT...LON 4317 9015 4330 8982 4327 8972 4324 8977
      4324 8980 4321 8984 4313 8984 4311 9012
TIME...MOT...LOC 2236Z 254DEG 53KT 4318 8992 

$$

HENTZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
342 PM CDT Wed Jun 28 2017

.SHORT TERM...

Tonight...Forecast Confidence is Medium.

There is a round of thunderstorms across south central and
southeast WI right now. These are fueled by persistent warm air
advection and strong moisture transport. The ML CAPE is on the
rise and storms are starting to get a little more height to them.
Still not tall enough for severe. The storms moving into southeast
WI actually has sunshine, so that will help sustain them as they
move through.

The next round of thunderstorms approaching from IA will have the
potential to be severe. These should arrive in Madison around 5 to
6 pm. However, the low clouds that are hanging around all day are
not helping the instability situation and these storms may just
be a large multi-cell cluster by the time they reach south central
WI. Time will tell.

More storms could move through southern WI as late as midnight,
but these have a much lower chance of being severe.

Thursday through Sunday...Forecast confidence medium.

A low pressure area will move across the nrn Great Lakes and
Ontario, Canada for Thu-Thu nt while its trailing cold front
slowly moves across srn WI. Meanwhile a shortwave trough will
approach from the wsw on Thu bringing another round of convection
to far srn WI Thu aft-eve.

As the front drops swd into IL and Lower MI late Thu nt into Fri,
another shortwave trough and wave of low pressure will track
along the front bringing yet another round of convection for much
of srn WI, heaviest in se WI.

On Sat, wnwly flow will prevail with a weak cold front for the
afternoon and evening with isolated to sct tstorm development
possible. A weak ridge of high pressure will follow late Sat nt
into Sun.

Temps and humidity during this period will be near seasonal
normals.

.LONG TERM...Monday through Wednesday...Forecast confidence low.

The models differ on the overall evolution of the synoptic pattern
and a wavering frontal boundary. Chances of showers and storms
will continue with the possibility of a stationary front in the
vicinity of srn WI.

&&

.AVIATION(18Z TAFS)...

Ceilings will gradually improve from west to east this afternoon
as we get better mixing and more heating. Plan on gusty southerly
winds as well.

We are still expecting a couple more rounds of thunderstorms.
There will be some scattered storms through late afternoon, then a
larger area of storms should approach south central WI late this
afternoon which could be severe. There is yet another chance for
storms during the evening hours which could also be strong.

&&

.MARINE...

The increasing southerly winds are delayed this afternoon due to
the morning showers, but they are starting to come up now. Winds
and waves will remain high through much of the night. A small
craft advisory is in effect.

Westerly wind gusts will approach small craft advy levels Thu
afternoon.

&&

.BEACHES...

A Beach Hazard Statement is in effect from Port Washington to
Sheboygan. Breezy southerly winds and high waves will bring a
high swim risk to the Sheboygan county beaches. Winds will be a
bit more off shore and waves will be lower south of that area.
However, a moderate swim risk covers all of southeast Wisconsin
Lake Michigan beaches.

&&

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...Beach Hazards Statement through late tonight for WIZ052.

LM...Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM CDT Thursday for LMZ643>646.

&&

Tonight/Thursday and Aviation/Marine...Cronce
Thursday Night through Wednesday...Gehring

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
314 PM CDT Wed Jun 28 2017

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-292015-
Marquette-Green Lake-Fond Du Lac-Sheboygan-Sauk-Columbia-Dodge-
Washington-Ozaukee-Iowa-Dane-Jefferson-Waukesha-Milwaukee-
Lafayette-Green-Rock-Walworth-Racine-Kenosha-
314 PM CDT Wed Jun 28 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of east central
Wisconsin, south central Wisconsin, and southeast Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Thunderstorms are likely late this afternoon and evening. Some of
these storms may be severe during this time. A small threat of
flash flooding also exists as some areas may see repeated rounds
of thunderstorms and heavy rain.

A Beach Hazard Statement is in effect for this afternoon into
tonight for beaches in Sheboygan County. Breezy southerly winds
and high waves will result in dangerous rip, structural, and
longshore currents.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Wednesday

Thunderstorms are possible at times from Friday through Tuesday as
multiple low pressure systems move through the region.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed this afternoon and evening.

LMZ643>646-292015-
Sheboygan to Port Washington WI-
Port Washington to North Point Light WI-
North Point Light to Wind Point WI-
Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL-
314 PM CDT Wed Jun 28 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

A Small Craft Advisory is in effect for today and tonight due to
breezy southerly winds and high waves.

Thunderstorms are likely late this afternoon and evening. Some of
these storms may be severe during this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Wednesday

Thunderstorms are possible at times from Friday through Tuesday
as multiple low pressure systems move through the region.

www.weather.gov/mkx