Alert archive / Wisconsin / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2017

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 142, NWS Milwaukee, WI

August 10, 2017Dodge County, Fond du Lac County, Wisconsin

NWS Milwaukee, WI issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Aug 10, 2017, 4:19 PM CDT for Dodge County, Fond du Lac County, Wisconsin. It was in force for 26 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 10, 2017, 4:19 PM CDT (21:19 UTC)
Expired
Aug 10, 2017, 4:45 PM CDT
In force
26 min
Issued by
NWS Milwaukee, WI
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
1.0 in
Wind
60.0 mph

Counties Dodge County, WI, Fond du Lac County, WI

The radar

The Milwaukee radar (KMKX), 80 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Aug 10, 2:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 12:00Z, 9.3 hours before the alert went out and 291 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2017-08-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 6 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2017-08-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 109 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
6 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-122 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1550 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
30 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
109 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
87 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

591 
WUUS53 KMKX 102119
SVRMKX
WIC027-039-102200-
/O.NEW.KMKX.SV.W.0142.170810T2119Z-170810T2200Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
419 PM CDT THU AUG 10 2017

The National Weather Service in Milwaukee/Sullivan has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Southeastern Fond du Lac County in east central Wisconsin...
  Northeastern Dodge County in southeastern Wisconsin...

* Until 500 PM CDT

* At 419 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Lomira, or 8
  miles northwest of Kewaskum, moving northeast at 30 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

  SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

  IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage 
           to roofs, siding, and trees. 

* Locations impacted include...
  Lomira, Campbellsport, Ashford, Byron, Eden, Dundee and Waucousta. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4363 8816 4356 8844 4369 8851 4381 8816
TIME...MOT...LOC 2119Z 239DEG 28KT 4360 8837 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

MARQUARDT
2 follow-up statements
796 
WWUS53 KMKX 102136
SVSMKX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
436 PM CDT THU AUG 10 2017

WIC027-102146-
/O.CAN.KMKX.SV.W.0142.000000T0000Z-170810T2200Z/
Dodge WI-
436 PM CDT THU AUG 10 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN DODGE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 900 PM CDT for
east central Wisconsin.

LAT...LON 4363 8816 4361 8827 4371 8831 4374 8826
      4381 8816
TIME...MOT...LOC 2136Z 239DEG 28KT 4367 8821 

$$

WIC039-102200-
/O.CON.KMKX.SV.W.0142.000000T0000Z-170810T2200Z/
Fond du Lac WI-
436 PM CDT THU AUG 10 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM CDT
FOR EAST CENTRAL FOND DU LAC COUNTY...

At 436 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Campbellsport,
or 10 miles north of Kewaskum, moving northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Waucousta and Dundee. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4363 8816 4361 8827 4371 8831 4374 8826
      4381 8816
TIME...MOT...LOC 2136Z 239DEG 28KT 4367 8821 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

DDV
074 
WWUS53 KMKX 102145
SVSMKX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
445 PM CDT THU AUG 10 2017

WIC039-102155-
/O.CAN.KMKX.SV.W.0142.000000T0000Z-170810T2200Z/
Fond du Lac WI-
445 PM CDT THU AUG 10 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL FOND DU LAC
COUNTY IS CANCELLED...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore the warning has been cancelled.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 900 PM CDT for
east central Wisconsin.

LAT...LON 4363 8816 4361 8827 4371 8831 4374 8826
      4381 8816
TIME...MOT...LOC 2144Z 239DEG 28KT 4374 8792 

$$

DDV

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Milwaukee, WI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Aug 10, 2:36 PM CDT, 1 hour 43 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 10, 2:36 PM CDT, 1 hour 43 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
235 PM CDT THU AUG10 2017

.TONIGHT AND FRIDAY - Forecast Confidence...High.

Showers and storms are beginning to fire this afternoon as expected.
Storms will be likely into early evening, with some of the storms
possibly reaching severe levels. Large hail and damaging winds are
the main threats.

After storms exit the southeast this evening, dry weather is
expected overnight. Could see a shower or sprinkle tomorrow as the
cooler air aloft moves through, but most places will remain dry.

Below normal temps are likely on Friday, with mostly cloudy skies
lingering much of the day and the cooler airmass aloft moving
through.

.FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY - Forecast Confidence...Medium to
High.

A mainly dry and comfortable period is expected.  Lingering low to
mid level cyclonic curvature on Saturday will fight against a very
dry atmosphere, so only expecting few-sct cumulus redevelopment.
Hence expecting a mostly sunny day with 925H temps resulting in
daytime temps warming to slightly below seasonal normal. Weak warm
air advection ahead of a slowly moving upper level wave in the
northern Plains may clip far southwest Wisconsin with a few showers
or storms Sunday afternoon.  Otherwise, a bit more cloudiness can be
expected on Sunday due to the proximity of the upstream short wave.
Temperatures on Sunday will be similar to Saturday.

.EXTENDED PERIOD...

SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY - Forecast Confidence...Medium to
High.

Most of this period is looking dry and seasonal for mid-August.
Persistent down-stream low pressure troffing over eastern Canada
into the eastern Great Lakes will result in dry NNW steering flow
across the western Great Lakes.  Upstream, short wave high pressure
ridging will gradually expand in coverage and intensity and spread
into the western Great Lakes early next week.  925H temps look
seasonal with readings in the 15-18 degree range and resultant
daytime temperatures warming into the 70s to around 80.

Protective ridge should keep southern WI dry at least through
Wednesday.  Medium range guidance in reasonable agreement showing
ridge flattening out due to strong short wave moving ENE through the
northern plains into the western Great Lakes around mid-week. GFS
Ensembles show some variation in the timing of the short wave trof
with several perturbations holding onto lingering ridging.  GFS
increase precipitable water rapidly to around 2 inches Wednesday
night into early Thursday. For now wl include chance pops Wednesday
night into Thursday.

&&

.AVIATION(18Z TAFS)...Thunderstorms are likely this afternoon into
early evening. The main focus will be across the southeast half of
the forecast area. A few of the storms could reach severe levels,
with damaging winds and large hail the main threats.

After storms exit the southeast this evening, dry weather is
expected overnight. Could see a shower or sprinkle tomorrow, but
most places will remain dry.

Lower ceilings are likely later tonight into Friday as cooler air
aloft moves into the area.

&&

.MARINE...Waves could approach 4 feet through late afternoon north
of Port Washington under breezy south winds. Otherwise, winds and
waves are expected to stay below Small Craft Advisory levels the
next several days.

&&

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

WI...None.
LM...None.

TONIGHT AND FRIDAY/AVIATION/MARINE...DDV
FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...MBK
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 10, 2:54 PM CDT, 1 hour 25 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
254 PM CDT Thu Aug 10 2017

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-112000-
Marquette-Green Lake-Fond Du Lac-Sheboygan-Sauk-Columbia-Dodge-
Washington-Ozaukee-Iowa-Dane-Jefferson-Waukesha-Milwaukee-
Lafayette-Green-Rock-Walworth-Racine-Kenosha-
254 PM CDT Thu Aug 10 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of east central
Wisconsin, south central Wisconsin, and southeast Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Late this Afternoon and Tonight

Numerous thunderstorms will rumble across south central and
southeast Wisconsin late this afternoon and this evening. A few
thunderstorms will likely become severe, producing large hail
and/or damaging thunderstorm wind gusts. One or two tornadoes are
also possible.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is in effect for most of south central
and southeast Wisconsin until 9 pm CDT.

There is a moderate swim risk late this afternoon into this
evening for Sheboygan and Ozaukee beaches adjacent to Lake
Michigan. Breaking waves and currents are expected. Stay away from
dangerous areas like piers, breakwalls and river outlets.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Thursday

There is a small chance for thunderstorms Wednesday night and
Thursday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed this afternoon and evening.

LMZ643>646-112000-
Sheboygan to Port Washington WI-
Port Washington to North Point Light WI-
North Point Light to Wind Point WI-
Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL-
254 PM CDT Thu Aug 10 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Late this Afternoon and Tonight

Numerous thunderstorms will affect the near shore waters into this
evening. A few thunderstorms may become severe, producing damaging
wind gusts and large hail. A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is in
effect until 9 pm CDT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Thursday

There is a chance of thunderstorms next Wednesday night and
Thursday.

www.weather.gov/mkx

MBK

In the hours before

Local storm report, Aug 10, 3:53 PM CDT, 26 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
353 PM CDT THU AUG 10 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0345 PM     HAIL             CLINTON                 42.56N 88.87W
08/10/2017  E0.50 INCH       ROCK               WI   PUBLIC

&&

BSH
Local storm report, Aug 10, 4:04 PM CDT, 15 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
404 PM CDT THU AUG 10 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0328 PM     HAIL             JACKSON                 43.32N 88.16W
08/10/2017  E1.50 INCH       WASHINGTON         WI   BROADCAST MEDIA

            PICTURE RELAYED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

&&

BSH
Local storm report, Aug 10, 4:05 PM CDT, 14 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
405 PM CDT THU AUG 10 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0343 PM     HAIL             CEDARBURG               43.30N 87.99W
08/10/2017  E1.00 INCH       OZAUKEE            WI   PUBLIC

&&

BSH
Local storm report, Aug 10, 4:16 PM CDT, 3 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
416 PM CDT THU AUG 10 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0408 PM     HAIL             FOND DU LAC             43.78N 88.45W
08/10/2017  E1.00 INCH       FOND DU LAC        WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

BSH
Special weather statement, Aug 10, 4:16 PM CDT, 3 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
416 PM CDT THU AUG 10 2017

WIZ051-052-102145-
Sheboygan-Fond Du Lac-
416 PM CDT THU AUG 10 2017

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EAST CENTRAL FOND DU LAC AND
NORTHWESTERN SHEBOYGAN COUNTIES...

At 416 PM CDT, a strong thunderstorm was located 9 miles east of Fond
Du Lac, moving east at 40 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Fond Du Lac, Eden, Mount Calvary and St. Cloud.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

LAT...LON 4364 8853 4378 8852 4387 8807 4372 8810
TIME...MOT...LOC 2116Z 270DEG 33KT 4375 8826

MARQUARDT
Special weather statement, Aug 10, 4:19 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
419 PM CDT THU AUG 10 2017

WIZ070>072-102145-
Walworth-Racine-Kenosha-
419 PM CDT THU AUG 10 2017

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN WALWORTH...
SOUTHWESTERN RACINE AND WESTERN KENOSHA COUNTIES...

At 419 PM CDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near
Fontana-On-Geneva Lake, or near Williams Bay, moving east at 40 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph and dime size hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Lake Geneva, Twin Lakes, Paddock Lake, Williams Bay, Camp Lake, Genoa
City, Walworth, Silver Lake, Fontana-On-Geneva Lake, Powers Lake,
Bohners Lake, Como, Pell Lake, Salem, Bristol, Bassett, New Munster,
Slades Corners and Delavan Lake.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

LAT...LON 4260 8862 4265 8801 4249 8801 4250 8861
TIME...MOT...LOC 2119Z 268DEG 33KT 4251 8852

MBK

The office that day

Everything else NWS Milwaukee, WI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 10, 1:37 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMKXLafayette23 min
Aug 10, 1:58 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMKXLafayette32 min
Aug 10, 2:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXGreen, Lafayette43 min
Aug 10, 2:27 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMKXDodge33 min
Aug 10, 3:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXGreen, Rock39 min
Aug 10, 3:08 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMKXWashington22 min
Aug 10, 3:14 PM CDTSpecial Marine WarningMKX61 min
Aug 10, 3:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXOzaukee, Washington49 min
Aug 10, 3:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXRock, Walworth30 min
Aug 10, 3:37 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMKXWashington23 min
Aug 10, 3:50 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMKXGreen25 min
Aug 10, 4:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXDodge, Fond du Lac, Sheboygan, Washington35 min
Aug 10, 4:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXColumbia, Dodge, Fond du Lac, Green Lake35 min
Aug 10, 4:11 PM CDTSpecial Marine WarningMKX94 min
Aug 10, 4:16 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMKXFond du Lac29 min
Aug 10, 4:19 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMKXWalworth26 min
Aug 10, 4:23 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMKXJefferson37 min
Aug 10, 4:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXSheboygan38 min
Aug 10, 4:38 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMKXOzaukee, Washington37 min
Aug 10, 4:44 PM CDTSpecial Marine WarningMKX91 min
Aug 10, 4:45 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMKXDane30 min
Aug 10, 5:21 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMKXOzaukee24 min
Aug 10, 5:22 PM CDTSpecial Marine WarningMKX23 min
Aug 10, 5:29 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMKXOzaukee, Sheboygan31 min
Aug 10, 5:51 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMKXColumbia, Dodge, Fond du Lac, Ozaukee, Sheboygan, Washington54 min
Aug 10, 5:52 PM CDTSpecial Marine WarningMKX53 min
Aug 10, 6:11 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMKXOzaukee34 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Wisconsin, 2017Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.