Alert archive / Wisconsin / River Flood Warnings in 2017

River Flood Warning 14, NWS Milwaukee, WI

February 4, 2017Columbia County, Wisconsin

NWS Milwaukee, WI issued this river flood warning at Feb 4, 2017, 1:26 PM CST for Columbia County, Wisconsin. It was in force for 3 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 4, 2017, 1:26 PM CST (19:26 UTC)
Expired
Feb 8, 2017, 12:00 AM CST
In force
3 days
Issued by
NWS Milwaukee, WI
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Columbia County, WI

The radar

The Milwaukee radar (KMKX), 103 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:25 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Wisconsin River at Portage (PORW3).

Action stage
12.7 ft
Minor stage
17 ft
Moderate stage
18 ft
Major stage
19 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

323 
WGUS43 KMKX 041926
FLWMKX
 
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
126 PM CST SAT FEB 4 2017

...The National Weather Service in Milwaukee/Sullivan has issued a 
flood warning for the following rivers in Wisconsin...

  Wisconsin River At Portage affecting Columbia County


&& 
WIC021-050726-
/O.NEW.KMKX.FL.W.0014.170204T1926Z-170208T0600Z/
/PORW3.1.ER.170204T1800Z.170205T0000Z.170208T0000Z.NO/
126 PM CST SAT FEB 4 2017

The National Weather Service in Milwaukee/sullivan has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Wisconsin River At Portage.
* At 12:45 PM Saturday the stage was 17.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 17.5 feet by this
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage Tuesday evening.
* Impact...At 17.8 feet...In the Blackhawk Park area in the Town of 
  Caledonia, Old River Road is closed with water over it. West Lane 
  Road in the Long Lake area is closed with about 4 feet of water 
  over it in places. wood Street in the Blackhawk Park area is 
  affected by floodwaters. County Highway V and Oak Knoll Road in the
  Town of Dekorra have water up to the edge of the pavement. A few 
  homes in the Town of Dekorra area near the river have water in the 
  first floor and there is also flooding of outbuildings and yards.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4351 8970 4365 8966 4359 8937 4339 8939
      4344 8965 4350 8957 

&& 

River forecasts are available for some but not all river gaging
locations. The 7 day river forecast takes into account past
precipitation...soil moisture conditions etc..and predicted
future 48 hour basin-average precipitation.
 
(stages in ft.)        Bank-      Latest         Forecast stages
-               Flood  full      observed        ...for 6 pm...
Location       stage  stage    stage/time       Sat  Sun  Mon  Tue
Portage         17.0  12.7  17.22 01 PM 02/04  17.5 17.4 17.2 17.0

-                   Highest      24 hour change
-                   observed     in river stage
-                   stage in      (ft.) up to      Highest stage
-                   the last    latest observed     forecast in
-                   7 days          stage           next 7 days
Portage         17.24  12 PM 02/04    2.14      17.50 06 PM 02/04

Below is the latest predicted precipitation information in 6 hour
increments for the listed sites. This information is updated twice
daily - in the morning and evening. Precipitation prediction is for
48 hours into the future from September through February and for 24
hours into the future from March through August.

Portage: 6 am-noon  Sat Feb 04  0.00
Portage: noon-6 pm  Sat Feb 04  0.00
Portage: 6 pm-midn  Sat Feb 04  0.00
Portage: midn-6 am  Sun Feb 05  0.00
Portage: 6 am-noon  Sun Feb 05  0.00
Portage: noon-6 pm  Sun Feb 05  0.00
Portage: 6 pm-midn  Sun Feb 05  0.00
Portage: midn-6 am  Mon Feb 06  0.00

$$
9 follow-up statements
502 
WGUS83 KMKX 042104
FLSMKX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
304 PM CST SAT FEB 4 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Wisconsin...
  Wisconsin River At Portage affecting Columbia County 
 

&& 
WIC021-050904-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-170208T0600Z/
/PORW3.1.ER.170204T1800Z.170205T0000Z.170208T0000Z.NO/
304 PM CST SAT FEB 4 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Wisconsin River At Portage.
* At  1:45 PM Saturday the stage was 17.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 17.5 feet by this
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage Tuesday evening.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4351 8970 4365 8966 4359 8937 4339 8939
      4344 8965 4350 8957 

$$

&& 

River forecasts are available for some but not all river gaging
locations. The 7 day river forecast takes into account past
precipitation...soil moisture conditions etc..and predicted
future 48 hour basin-average precipitation.
 
(stages in ft.)        Bank-      Latest         Forecast stages
-               Flood  full      observed        ...for 6 pm...
Location       stage  stage    stage/time       Sat  Sun  Mon  Tue
Portage         17.0  12.7  17.34 02 PM 02/04  17.5 17.4 17.2 17.0

-                   Highest      24 hour change
-                   observed     in river stage
-                   stage in      (ft.) up to      Highest stage
-                   the last    latest observed     forecast in
-                   7 days          stage           next 7 days
Portage         17.38  01 PM 02/04    2.33      17.50 06 PM 02/04

Below is the latest predicted precipitation information in 6 hour
increments for the listed sites. This information is updated twice
daily - in the morning and evening. Precipitation prediction is for
48 hours into the future from September through February and for 24
hours into the future from March through August.

Portage: 6 am-noon  Sat Feb 04  0.00
Portage: noon-6 pm  Sat Feb 04  0.00
Portage: 6 pm-midn  Sat Feb 04  0.00
Portage: midn-6 am  Sun Feb 05  0.00
Portage: 6 am-noon  Sun Feb 05  0.00
Portage: noon-6 pm  Sun Feb 05  0.00
Portage: 6 pm-midn  Sun Feb 05  0.00
Portage: midn-6 am  Mon Feb 06  0.00

HAHN
677 
WGUS83 KMKX 050236
FLSMKX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
836 PM CST SAT FEB 4 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Wisconsin...
  Wisconsin River At Portage affecting Columbia County  

&& 
WIC021-051436-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-170208T0600Z/
/PORW3.1.ER.170204T1800Z.170204T2115Z.170208T0000Z.NO/
836 PM CST SAT FEB 4 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Wisconsin River At Portage.
* At  7:45 PM Saturday the stage was 17.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Tuesday evening.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4351 8970 4365 8966 4359 8937 4339 8939
      4344 8965 4350 8957 

$$

&&

River forecasts are available for some but not all river gaging
locations. The 7 day river forecast takes into account past
precipitation...soil moisture conditions etc..and predicted 
future 24 hour basin-average precipitation.
 
(stages in ft.)        Bank-      Latest         Forecast stages
-               Flood  full      observed        ...for 6 pm...
Location       stage  stage    stage/time       Sun  Mon  Tue  Wed
Portage         17.0  12.7  17.50 08 PM 02/04  17.4 17.2 17.0 16.8

-                   Highest      24 hour change
-                   observed     in river stage
-                   stage in      (ft.) up to      Highest stage
-                   the last    latest observed     forecast in
-                   7 days          stage           next 7 days
Portage         17.72  03 PM 02/04    1.84      17.50 12 AM 02/05

Below is predicted precipitation information in 6 hour increments
for the listed sites. This information is updated twice daily-morning
and evening. Precipitation prediction is for 48 hours into the future
from October through February and for 24 hours into the future from
March through August.

Portage: 6 pm-midn  Sat Feb 04  0.00
Portage: midn-6 am  Sun Feb 05  0.00
Portage: 6 am-noon  Sun Feb 05  0.00
Portage: noon-6 pm  Sun Feb 05  0.00
Portage: 6 pm-midn  Sun Feb 05  0.00
Portage: midn-6 am  Mon Feb 06  0.00
Portage: 6 am-noon  Mon Feb 06  0.00
Portage: 1 am-7 am  Mon Feb 06  0.00

HAHN
432 
WGUS83 KMKX 051231
FLSMKX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
631 AM CST SUN FEB 5 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in 
Wisconsin...

 Wisconsin River At Portage affecting Columbia County 

&& 
WIC021-060031-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-170208T0600Z/
/PORW3.1.ER.170204T1800Z.170204T2115Z.170208T0000Z.NO/
631 AM CST SUN FEB 5 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Wisconsin River At Portage.
* At  5:45 AM Sunday the stage was 17.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Tuesday evening.
* Impact...At 17.8 feet...In the Blackhawk Park area in the Town of 
  Caledonia, Old River Road is closed with water over it. West Lane 
  Road in the Long Lake area is closed with about 4 feet of water 
  over it in places. wood Street in the Blackhawk Park area is 
  affected by floodwaters. County Highway V and Oak Knoll Road in the
  Town of Dekorra have water up to the edge of the pavement. A few 
  homes in the Town of Dekorra area near the river have water in the 
  first floor and there is also flooding of outbuildings and yards.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4351 8970 4365 8966 4359 8937 4339 8939
      4344 8965 4350 8957 

$$

&&

River forecasts are available for some but not all river gaging
locations. The 7 day river forecast takes into account past
precipitation...soil moisture conditions etc..and predicted 
future 24 hour basin-average precipitation.
 
(stages in ft.)        Bank-      Latest         Forecast stages
-               Flood  full      observed        ...for 6 pm...
Location       stage  stage    stage/time       Mon  Tue  Wed  Thu
Portage         17.0  12.7  17.51 06 AM 02/05  17.4 17.2 17.0 16.8

-                   Highest      24 hour change
-                   observed     in river stage
-                   stage in      (ft.) up to      Highest stage
-                   the last    latest observed     forecast in
-                   7 days          stage           next 7 days
Portage         17.72  03 PM 02/04    0.96      17.50 12 PM 02/05

Below is predicted precipitation information in 6 hour increments
for the listed sites. This information is updated twice daily-morning
and evening. Precipitation prediction is for 48 hours into the future
from October through February and for 24 hours into the future from
March through August.

Portage: 6 pm-midn  Sun Feb 05  0.00
Portage: midn-6 am  Mon Feb 06  0.00
Portage: 6 am-noon  Mon Feb 06  0.00
Portage: noon-6 pm  Mon Feb 06  0.00
Portage: 6 pm-midn  Mon Feb 06  0.00
Portage: midn-6 am  Tue Feb 07  0.00
Portage: 6 am-noon  Tue Feb 07  0.00
Portage: 1 am-7 am  Tue Feb 07  0.00
796 
WGUS83 KMKX 051544
FLSMKX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
944 AM CST SUN FEB 5 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Wisconsin...
  Wisconsin River At Portage affecting Columbia County 
 

&& 
WIC021-060344-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-170208T0600Z/
/PORW3.1.ER.170204T1800Z.170204T2115Z.170208T0000Z.NO/
944 AM CST SUN FEB 5 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Wisconsin River At Portage.
* At  8:45 AM Sunday the stage was 17.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Impact...At 17.8 feet...In the Blackhawk Park area in the Town of 
  Caledonia, Old River Road is closed with water over it. West Lane 
  Road in the Long Lake area is closed with about 4 feet of water 
  over it in places. wood Street in the Blackhawk Park area is 
  affected by floodwaters. County Highway V and Oak Knoll Road in the
  Town of Dekorra have water up to the edge of the pavement. A few 
  homes in the Town of Dekorra area near the river have water in the 
  first floor and there is also flooding of outbuildings and yards.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4351 8970 4365 8966 4359 8937 4339 8939
      4344 8965 4350 8957 

$$

&& 

River forecasts are available for some but not all river gaging
locations. The 7 day river forecast takes into account past
precipitation...soil moisture conditions etc..and predicted
future 48 hour basin-average precipitation.
 
(stages in ft.)        Bank-      Latest         Forecast stages
-               Flood  full      observed        ...for 6 pm...
Location       stage  stage    stage/time       Sun  Mon  Tue  Wed
Portage         17.0  12.7  17.49 09 AM 02/05  17.4 17.2 17.0 16.7

-                   Highest      24 hour change
-                   observed     in river stage
-                   stage in      (ft.) up to      Highest stage
-                   the last    latest observed     forecast in
-                   7 days          stage           next 7 days
Portage         17.72  03 PM 02/04    0.87      17.50 12 PM 02/05

Below is the latest predicted precipitation information in 6 hour
increments for the listed sites. This information is updated twice
daily - in the morning and evening. Precipitation prediction is for
48 hours into the future from September through February and for 24
hours into the future from March through August.

Portage: 6 am-noon  Sun Feb 05  0.00
Portage: noon-6 pm  Sun Feb 05  0.00
Portage: 6 pm-midn  Sun Feb 05  0.00
Portage: midn-6 am  Mon Feb 06  0.00
Portage: 6 am-noon  Mon Feb 06  0.00
Portage: noon-6 pm  Mon Feb 06  0.00
Portage: 6 pm-midn  Mon Feb 06  0.00
Portage: midn-6 am  Tue Feb 07  0.01
098 
WGUS83 KMKX 052014
FLSMKX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
214 PM CST SUN FEB 5 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Wisconsin...
  Wisconsin River At Portage affecting Columbia County  

&& 
WIC021-060814-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-170208T0600Z/
/PORW3.1.IJ.170204T1800Z.170205T1930Z.170208T0000Z.NO/
214 PM CST SUN FEB 5 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Wisconsin River At Portage.
* At  1:45 PM Sunday the stage was 18.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Tuesday evening.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...Floodwaters surround some seasonal homes 
  along Old River Road in the Blackhawk Park area. Old River Road is 
  closed with water over it. Wood Street in the Blackhawk Park area 
  is affected by floodwaters.  West Lane Road in the Long Lake area 
  is closed with about 4 feet of water over it in places.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4351 8970 4365 8966 4359 8937 4339 8939
      4344 8965 4350 8957 

$$

&& 

River forecasts are available for some but not all river gaging
locations. The 7 day river forecast takes into account past
precipitation...soil moisture conditions etc..and predicted
future 48 hour basin-average precipitation.
 
(stages in ft.)        Bank-      Latest         Forecast stages
-               Flood  full      observed        ...for 6 pm...
Location       stage  stage    stage/time       Sun  Mon  Tue  Wed
Portage         17.0  12.7  17.96 02 PM 02/05  17.4 17.2 17.0 16.7

-                   Highest      24 hour change
-                   observed     in river stage
-                   stage in      (ft.) up to      Highest stage
-                   the last    latest observed     forecast in
-                   7 days          stage           next 7 days
Portage         17.98  01 PM 02/05    0.62      17.40 06 PM 02/05

Below is the latest predicted precipitation information in 6 hour
increments for the listed sites. This information is updated twice
daily - in the morning and evening. Precipitation prediction is for
48 hours into the future from September through February and for 24
hours into the future from March through August.

Portage: 6 am-noon  Sun Feb 05  0.00
Portage: noon-6 pm  Sun Feb 05  0.00
Portage: 6 pm-midn  Sun Feb 05  0.00
Portage: midn-6 am  Mon Feb 06  0.00
Portage: 6 am-noon  Mon Feb 06  0.00
Portage: noon-6 pm  Mon Feb 06  0.00
Portage: 6 pm-midn  Mon Feb 06  0.00
Portage: midn-6 am  Tue Feb 07  0.04

HAHN
565 
WGUS43 KMKX 052223
FLWMKX
 
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
423 PM CST SUN FEB 5 2017

...Forecast Flooding Changed from Minor to Moderate Severity for the 
following rivers in Wisconsin...
  Wisconsin River At Portage affecting Columbia County

&& 
WIC021-061023-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PORW3.2.ER.170204T1800Z.170206T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
423 PM CST SUN FEB 5 2017

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...
The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Wisconsin River At Portage.
* At  3:45 PM Sunday the stage was 17.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 18.0 feet by this
  evening. Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...Floodwaters surround some seasonal homes 
  along Old River Road in the Blackhawk Park area. Old River Road is 
  closed with water over it. Wood Street in the Blackhawk Park area 
  is affected by floodwaters.  West Lane Road in the Long Lake area 
  is closed with about 4 feet of water over it in places.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4351 8970 4365 8966 4359 8937 4339 8939
      4344 8965 4350 8957 

&& 

River forecasts are available for some but not all river gaging
locations. The 7 day river forecast takes into account past
precipitation...soil moisture conditions etc..and predicted
future 48 hour basin-average precipitation.
 
(stages in ft.)        Bank-      Latest         Forecast stages
-               Flood  full      observed        ...for 6 pm...
Location       stage  stage    stage/time       Sun  Mon  Tue  Wed
Portage         17.0  12.7  17.92 04 PM 02/05  18.0 18.0 18.0 18.0

-                   Highest      24 hour change
-                   observed     in river stage
-                   stage in      (ft.) up to      Highest stage
-                   the last    latest observed     forecast in
-                   7 days          stage           next 7 days
Portage         17.99  02 PM 02/05    0.70      18.00 06 PM 02/05

Below is the latest predicted precipitation information in 6 hour
increments for the listed sites. This information is updated twice
daily - in the morning and evening. Precipitation prediction is for
48 hours into the future from September through February and for 24
hours into the future from March through August.

Portage: 6 am-noon  Sun Feb 05  0.00
Portage: noon-6 pm  Sun Feb 05  0.00
Portage: 6 pm-midn  Sun Feb 05  0.00
Portage: midn-6 am  Mon Feb 06  0.00
Portage: 6 am-noon  Mon Feb 06  0.00
Portage: noon-6 pm  Mon Feb 06  0.00
Portage: 6 pm-midn  Mon Feb 06  0.00
Portage: midn-6 am  Tue Feb 07  0.04

$$
HAHN
942 
WGUS83 KMKX 052225
FLSMKX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
425 PM CST SUN FEB 5 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Wisconsin...
  Wisconsin River At Portage affecting Columbia County  

&& 
WIC021-061025-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PORW3.2.ER.170204T1800Z.170206T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
425 PM CST SUN FEB 5 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Wisconsin River At Portage.
* At  3:45 PM Sunday the stage was 17.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 18.0 feet by this
  evening. Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...Floodwaters surround some seasonal homes 
  along Old River Road in the Blackhawk Park area. Old River Road is 
  closed with water over it. Wood Street in the Blackhawk Park area 
  is affected by floodwaters.  West Lane Road in the Long Lake area 
  is closed with about 4 feet of water over it in places.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4351 8970 4365 8966 4359 8937 4339 8939
      4344 8965 4350 8957 

$$

&& 

River forecasts are available for some but not all river gaging
locations. The 7 day river forecast takes into account past
precipitation...soil moisture conditions etc..and predicted
future 48 hour basin-average precipitation.
 
(stages in ft.)        Bank-      Latest         Forecast stages
-               Flood  full      observed        ...for 6 pm...
Location       stage  stage    stage/time       Sun  Mon  Tue  Wed
Portage         17.0  12.7  17.92 04 PM 02/05  18.0 18.0 18.0 18.0

-                   Highest      24 hour change
-                   observed     in river stage
-                   stage in      (ft.) up to      Highest stage
-                   the last    latest observed     forecast in
-                   7 days          stage           next 7 days
Portage         17.99  02 PM 02/05    0.70      18.00 06 PM 02/05

Below is the latest predicted precipitation information in 6 hour
increments for the listed sites. This information is updated twice
daily - in the morning and evening. Precipitation prediction is for
48 hours into the future from September through February and for 24
hours into the future from March through August.

Portage: 6 am-noon  Sun Feb 05  0.00
Portage: noon-6 pm  Sun Feb 05  0.00
Portage: 6 pm-midn  Sun Feb 05  0.00
Portage: midn-6 am  Mon Feb 06  0.00
Portage: 6 am-noon  Mon Feb 06  0.00
Portage: noon-6 pm  Mon Feb 06  0.00
Portage: 6 pm-midn  Mon Feb 06  0.00
Portage: midn-6 am  Tue Feb 07  0.04

HAHN
158 
WGUS83 KMKX 060141
FLSMKX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
741 PM CST SUN FEB 5 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Wisconsin...
  Wisconsin River At Portage affecting Columbia County  

&& 
WIC021-061341-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PORW3.1.IJ.170204T1800Z.170205T2015Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
741 PM CST SUN FEB 5 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Wisconsin River At Portage.
* At  6:45 PM Sunday the stage was 17.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will remain near 17.8 feet.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...Floodwaters surround some seasonal homes 
  along Old River Road in the Blackhawk Park area. Old River Road is 
  closed with water over it. Wood Street in the Blackhawk Park area 
  is affected by floodwaters.  West Lane Road in the Long Lake area 
  is closed with about 4 feet of water over it in places.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4351 8970 4365 8966 4359 8937 4339 8939
      4344 8965 4350 8957 

$$

&&

River forecasts are available for some but not all river gaging
locations. The 7 day river forecast takes into account past
precipitation...soil moisture conditions etc..and predicted 
future 24 hour basin-average precipitation.
 
(stages in ft.)        Bank-      Latest         Forecast stages
-               Flood  full      observed        ...for 6 pm...
Location       stage  stage    stage/time       Mon  Tue  Wed  Thu
Portage         17.0  12.7  17.80 07 PM 02/05  17.8 17.8 17.8 17.8

-                   Highest      24 hour change
-                   observed     in river stage
-                   stage in      (ft.) up to      Highest stage
-                   the last    latest observed     forecast in
-                   7 days          stage           next 7 days
Portage         17.99  02 PM 02/05    0.29      17.80 12 AM 02/06

Below is predicted precipitation information in 6 hour increments
for the listed sites. This information is updated twice daily-morning
and evening. Precipitation prediction is for 48 hours into the future
from October through February and for 24 hours into the future from
March through August.

Portage: 6 pm-midn  Sun Feb 05  0.00
Portage: midn-6 am  Mon Feb 06  0.00
Portage: 6 am-noon  Mon Feb 06  0.00
Portage: noon-6 pm  Mon Feb 06  0.00
Portage: 6 pm-midn  Mon Feb 06  0.00
Portage: midn-6 am  Tue Feb 07  0.04
Portage: 6 am-noon  Tue Feb 07  0.04
Portage: 1 am-7 am  Tue Feb 07  0.07

HAHN
575 
WGUS83 KMKX 061310
FLSMKX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
710 AM CST MON FEB 6 2017

...The Food Warning is cancelled for the following river in 
Wisconsin...
 
  Wisconsin River At Portage affecting Columbia County
 

&& 
WIC021-061340-
/O.CAN.KMKX.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-170206T1310Z/
/PORW3.1.ER.170204T1800Z.170205T2015Z.170206T1130Z.NO/
710 AM CST MON FEB 6 2017

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Wisconsin River At Portage.
* At  5:45 AM Monday the stage was 17.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at  5:30 AM Monday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 16.3 feet by tomorrow
  morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...There is general overflow of the river. 
  Water is near homes in the Blackhawk Park area of Portage on the 
  south side of the river along Old River Road. Floodwaters start to 
  overflow County Highway J in the Town of Dekorra near Portage.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4351 8970 4365 8966 4359 8937 4339 8939
      4344 8965 4350 8957 

$$

&&

River forecasts are available for some but not all river gaging
locations. The 7 day river forecast takes into account past
precipitation...soil moisture conditions etc..and predicted 
future 24 hour basin-average precipitation.
 
(stages in ft.)        Bank-      Latest         Forecast stages
-               Flood  full      observed        ...for 6 pm...
Location       stage  stage    stage/time       Tue  Wed  Thu  Fri
Portage         17.0  12.7  16.95 06 AM 02/06  16.6 16.1 15.7 15.4

-                   Highest      24 hour change
-                   observed     in river stage
-                   stage in      (ft.) up to      Highest stage
-                   the last    latest observed     forecast in
-                   7 days          stage           next 7 days
Portage         17.99  02 PM 02/05   -0.56      16.69 12 PM 02/06

Below is predicted precipitation information in 6 hour increments
for the listed sites. This information is updated twice daily-morning
and evening. Precipitation prediction is for 48 hours into the future
from October through February and for 24 hours into the future from
March through August.

Portage: 6 pm-midn  Mon Feb 06  0.00
Portage: midn-6 am  Tue Feb 07  0.00
Portage: 6 am-noon  Tue Feb 07  0.00
Portage: noon-6 pm  Tue Feb 07  0.00
Portage: 6 pm-midn  Tue Feb 07  0.00
Portage: midn-6 am  Wed Feb 08  0.00
Portage: 6 am-noon  Wed Feb 08  0.05
Portage: 1 am-7 am  Wed Feb 08  0.03

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Milwaukee, WI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Feb 4, 10:33 AM CST, 2 hours 53 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 4, 10:33 AM CST, 2 hours 53 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
1033 AM CST Sat Feb 4 2017

.AVIATION/18Z TAFS/...Still looking at mid level energy on water
vapor loop and some waa, though as has been the storyline with
this, moisture is scant. Still potential for some saturation to
occur and result in a bit of light snow or flurries this
afternoon/evening but not a big deal at all. Bases are well into
the VFR category and will probably take the post frontal cold
advection regime for these to drop in a widespread fashion. LLVL
RH progs and MOS along with SREF cig prog all show the potential
for an MVFR deck coming into play later tonight into Sunday
morning.

PC

&&

.MARINE...A Small Craft Advisory is in effect until 10Z Sunday due
to brisk sly winds and high waves. The winds will veer southwest
tonight and gradually weaken. The winds will become nwly on Sun
with wind gusts possibly gusting into the 20 kt range. A Small
Craft Advisory may be needed for Sun.

Gehring

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 527 AM CST Sat Feb 4 2017/

TODAY AND TONIGHT...Forecast Confidence Is Medium.

Main issue will be snow chances this afternoon and this evening
across the area. Models are showing warm air advection developing
today and lingering into this evening, with a cold front moving
southeast through the area later tonight.

An initial 500 mb vorticity maximum with some differential cyclonic
vorticity advection slides eastward and clips the area this
afternoon from the south. Another vorticity maximum with
differential cyclonic vorticity advection slides east across the
northern portions of the area later tonight. The upward vertical
motion with all of the above features is modest at best later this
afternoon into this evening.

The main issue continues to be the amount of deep layer moisture.
The NAM and GFS seem to have some deep layer moisture showing up in
northeastern portions of the area during the afternoon and evening.
They generally show less deep moisture to the south and west, though
the NAM continues to show more than the GFS. Given the recent dry
bias with the GFS/ECMWF, would be inclined to favor the NAM a bit
more.

After collaboration with neighboring offices, have kept PoPs going
only in the northeast half of the forecast area. This may be too
low, given the NAM trends. Thus, some uncertainty exists. If the
snow does occur, accumulations around 1/2 inch or less are possible,
highest in the northeast counties.

South winds will become gusty this afternoon, with an increasing
pressure gradient. They will veer southwest tonight, then northwest
after the frontal passage. Temperatures today should warm into the
upper 20s to lower 30s with the warm air advection, and remain in
the middle 20s tonight.

SUNDAY AND MONDAY...Forecast confidence is high.

This marks a quieter period as the main jet core lifts north of
the area. Northwesterly flow prevails aloft for Sunday, with
rising heights as low amplitude ridging works in. This will
support transient surface high pressure as it slides southeast
through our area on Sunday and Sunday night. Low-level cloud cover
should mix out during the afternoon with at least partial
clearing. Temperatures will be seasonal.

Rockies lee cyclogenesis commences on Monday, with southerly
return flow setting up over southern Wisconsin ahead of the
organizing surface low. Warm advection should allow high
temperatures to climb above seasonal norms on Monday, rising into
the 30s to near 40 in the south. Cloud cover will increase through
the day as moisture streams in on southerly winds.

MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...Forecast confidence is medium.

Shortwave energy advances from the Pacific Northwest into the
northern Rockies on Monday night, before the sharpening upper
trough digs aggressively into the mid Mississippi valley and
western Great Lakes on Tuesday into Wednesday. Mid/upper forcing
with the wave will aid in the subsequent rapid deepening of the
incipient surface cyclone as it lifts from the central Great
Plains Monday night into northern Illinois on Tuesday afternoon.
The primary concerns with this system are 1) freezing rain chances
on the front side of the system Monday night and Tuesday morning,
and 2) the potential for accumulating snow on the back side of
the system Tuesday evening into Wednesday. Here are the current
thoughts on each threat:

1) Freezing rain chances Monday night/Tuesday morning - Forecast
models are in good agreement in tracking a rapidly deepening
surface low from northern Missouri Tuesday night towards southern
Lake Michigan Tuesday afternoon. The 04.00Z GFS/NAM solutions
suggest a double barrel low structure, with low-level warm air
drawn well north into our area by the time precipitation falls.
This should produce sufficient warm layer depth in the lower
troposphere to fully melt any falling precipitation, resulting in
either rain or freezing rain. The greatest concern for any
freezing rain would be during the overnight to early morning
hours, when road surface temperatures are coldest. Current model
temperature forecasts suggest the greatest risk for this is north
of Milwaukee and Madison, but this all hinges on how quickly
pavement temperatures respond to the warming air just above the
surface. For now, be aware that light ice accumulations could
cause slippery conditions on area roadways into Tuesday morning.
The precipitation should transition to all rain (of the non-
freezing variety) by afternoon as surface temperatures warm. Be
sure to keep up with this evolving forecast.

2) Snow potential for Tuesday night into Thursday - as the
occluding low pressure system shifts into the central Great Lakes,
cold air wrapping around the backside of the low should cause any
precipitation to change over to light snow Tuesday night. The
snow could then persist into at least early Wednesday.
Accumulations are possible during this time, with current model
solutions favoring northern and central parts of the state for the
higher amounts. Model QPF differences introduce more uncertainty
over southern Wisconsin, but this will come into better focus as
the event draws closer. Additional snow chances are possible into
Thursday as weak low pressure slides by to our south.

Strong and gusty winds are expected for Tuesday night and
Wednesday as the strong low pressure system moves through the
region. A rumble of thunder may even be possible in the southeast
as elevated MLCAPE approaches a few hundred Joules per kg. Kept
thunder mention out of the grids however, as confidence in this
occurring is not particularly high.

Above normal temperatures on Monday and Tuesday will trend
towards below normal by Wednesday. Lows Wednesday night will be
in the single digits, with some locations in the north potentially
falling below zero.

THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...Forecast confidence is medium.

Polar high pressure will settle in behind the precipitation later
on Thursday with below normal temperatures continuing. Return
flow and warming temperatures are expected for Friday.

AVIATION/12Z TAFS/...

Middle level clouds should push east into the area by later this
morning, with ceilings lowering this afternoon into tonight but
remaining in VFR category. There is a chance for light snow later
this afternoon into this evening, mainly in the northern and eastern
portions of the area. Confidence is medium at this time, depending
on how much moisture works into the area.

For now, may leave light snow mention out of TAFs. If any snow does
occur, it could bring up to 1/2 inch toward Sheboygan, and perhaps a
dusting at Waukesha and Milwaukee.

Gusty south winds will develop this afternoon, with gusts in the 20
to 25 knot range. They will weaken gradually and veer southwest to
west tonight, as a cold front moves through the area.

MARINE...

Small Craft Advisory is in effect from 15Z today until 10Z Sunday
across the nearshore waters of Lake Michigan. Gusty south winds are
expected to develop during the late morning and linger this
afternoon. These winds will veer southwest to west tonight, slowly
weakening. High waves are expected toward and over the open waters
during this period.

A period of winds and waves reaching Small Craft Advisory levels is
possible Tuesday night into Wednesday night, as strengthening low
pressure passes by to the southeast of the area. Gusty west
northwest winds are anticipated, with some gale force gusts possible
later Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. High waves would be over
the open waters of Lake Michigan.

&&

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...None.
LM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY until 4 AM CST Sunday for LMZ643>646.

&&

TODAY/TONIGHT AND AVIATION/MARINE...Wood
Sunday THROUGH Friday...SPM
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 4, 4:40 AM CST, 8 hours 46 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
440 AM CST SAT FEB 4 2017

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-051045-
MARQUETTE-GREEN LAKE-FOND DU LAC-SHEBOYGAN-SAUK-COLUMBIA-DODGE-
WASHINGTON-OZAUKEE-IOWA-DANE-JEFFERSON-WAUKESHA-MILWAUKEE-
LAFAYETTE-GREEN-ROCK-WALWORTH-RACINE-KENOSHA-
440 AM CST SAT FEB 4 2017

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
WISCONSIN...SOUTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN AND SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

LIGHT FREEZING RAIN IS POSSIBLE MONDAY EVENING, THEN IS LIKELY
LATER MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING, MAINLY AROUND AND NORTH
OF MILWAUKEE AND MADISON. LIGHT ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE.

THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD CHANGE TO RAIN FOR A TIME TUESDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING, BEFORE CHANGING BACK TO LIGHT SNOW LATER
TUESDAY NIGHT. LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY
NIGHT. HAZARDOUS TRAVEL IS POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY
NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

LMZ643>646-051045-
SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI-
PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI-
NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI-
WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL-
440 AM CST SAT FEB 4 2017

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH
LATE TONIGHT, DUE TO BRISK SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS AND HIGH
WAVES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

NORTHWEST WINDS MAY REACH SMALL CRAFT CRITERIA ON SUNDAY. ANOTHER
ROUND OF BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS WILL LIKELY REACH SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY CRITERIA TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING.

WOOD
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MKX

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Wisconsin, 2017Every river flood warning in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.