Alert archive / Oregon / High Wind Watches in 2017
High Wind Watch 2, NWS Medford, OR
NWS Medford, OR issued this high wind watch at Jan 16, 2017, 2:49 AM PST for Coos County, Curry County, Douglas County, Oregon. It took effect at Jan 17, 2017, 4:00 PM PST. It was in force for .
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 16, 2017, 2:49 AM PST (10:49 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jan 17, 2017, 4:00 PM PST
- Expired
- Jan 16, 2017, 2:03 PM PST
- In force
- Issued by
- NWS Medford, OR
Counties Coos County, OR, Curry County, OR, Douglas County, OR
The radar
The Medford radar (KMAX), 135 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Medford/Jackson, OR (KMFR), launched 00:00Z, 10.8 hours before the alert went out and 108 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1699 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 49 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 5 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 29 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
789 WWUS76 KMFR 161049 NPWMFR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 249 AM PST MON JAN 16 2017 ...AIR STAGNATION ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING THEN STRONG WINDS POSSIBLE AT THE COAST LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY... .A STRONG INVERSION WILL REMAIN IN PLACE WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO LIMIT THE VERTICAL MIXING OF AIR IN THE VALLEYS. AREAS OF DENSE FOG AND FREEZING FOG ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MORNING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS THROUGH LATE TUESDAY MORNING. AN APPROACHING STRONG FRONT WILL CLEAR THE AIR IN MOST PLACES LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY AND WILL BRING THE CHANCE FOR DAMAGING HIGH WINDS TO THE COAST. ORZ029-170045- /O.CON.KMFR.AS.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170117T1800Z/ KLAMATH BASIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALTAMONT...KLAMATH FALLS 249 AM PST MON JAN 16 2017 ...AIR STAGNATION ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST TUESDAY... * AIR QUALITY...LIGHT WINDS AND LIMITED VERTICAL MIXING COULD DIMINISH AIR QUALITY IN THE KLAMATH BASIN THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. * LOCATIONS INCLUDE...KLAMATH FALLS...ALTAMONT AND MERRILL. * IMPACTS...DIMINISHED AIR QUALITY COULD NEGATIVELY AFFECT HEALTH...ESPECIALLY FOR THOSE WITH RESPIRATORY SENSITIVITIES. PLEASE SEE THE OREGON DEPARTMENT OF AIR QUALITY'S WEB SITE AT HTTP://WWW.DEQ.STATE.US/AQI FOR DETAILED AIR QUALITY INFORMATION AND THRESHOLDS. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AN AIR STAGNATION ADVISORY INDICATES THAT DUE TO LIMITED MOVEMENT OF AN AIRMASS ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA...POLLUTION WILL INCREASE. && $$ ORZ024-026-170045- /O.CON.KMFR.AS.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170117T1800Z/ EASTERN CURRY COUNTY AND JOSEPHINE COUNTY-JACKSON COUNTY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GRANTS PASS...CAVE JUNCTION...MEDFORD... ASHLAND 249 AM PST MON JAN 16 2017 ...AIR STAGNATION ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST TUESDAY... * AIR QUALITY...LIGHT WINDS AND LIMITED VERTICAL MIXING COULD DIMINISH AIR QUALITY IN THE VALLEYS OF JACKSON...JOSEPHINE AND EASTERN CURRY COUNTIES THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. * LOCATIONS INCLUDE...MEDFORD...GRANTS PASS...MERLIN...CAVE JUNCTION...GOLD HILL...WILLIAMS...ASHLAND. * IMPACTS...DIMINISHED AIR QUALITY COULD NEGATIVELY AFFECT HEALTH...ESPECIALLY FOR THOSE WITH RESPIRATORY SENSITIVITIES. PLEASE SEE THE OREGON DEPARTMENT OF AIR QUALITY'S WEB SITE AT HTTP://WWW.DEQ.STATE.US/AQI FOR DETAILED AIR QUALITY INFORMATION AND THRESHOLDS. && PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * AN AIR STAGNATION ADVISORY INDICATES THAT DUE TO LIMITED MOVEMENT OF AN AIRMASS ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA...POLLUTION WILL INCREASE. && $$ ORZ023-170045- /O.CON.KMFR.AS.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170117T1800Z/ CENTRAL DOUGLAS COUNTY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DRAIN...ELKTON...ROSEBURG...SUTHERLIN... GREEN...MYRTLE CREEK...CANYONVILLE 249 AM PST MON JAN 16 2017 ...AIR STAGNATION ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST TUESDAY... * AIR QUALITY...LIGHT WINDS AND LIMITED VERTICAL MIXING WILL CAUSE AIRBORNE PARTICULATES TO ACCUMULATE. THESE PARTICULATES COULD DIMINISH AIR QUALITY IN THE VALLEYS OF CENTRAL DOUGLAS COUNTY THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. * LOCATIONS INCLUDE...ROSEBURG...SUTHERLIN. * IMPACTS...DIMINISHED AIR QUALITY COULD NEGATIVELY AFFECT HEALTH...ESPECIALLY FOR THOSE WITH RESPIRATORY SENSITIVITIES. PLEASE SEE THE OREGON DEPARTMENT OF AIR QUALITY'S WEB SITE AT HTTP://WWW.DEQ.STATE.US/AQI FOR DETAILED AIR QUALITY INFORMATION AND THRESHOLDS. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AN AIR STAGNATION ADVISORY INDICATES THAT DUE TO LIMITED MOVEMENT OF AN AIRMASS ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA...POLLUTION WILL INCREASE. && $$ ORZ021-022-170045- /O.NEW.KMFR.HW.A.0002.170118T0000Z-170119T0000Z/ SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-CURRY COUNTY COAST- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BANDON...PORT ORFORD...GOLD BEACH 249 AM PST MON JAN 16 2017 ...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. * WINDS...SOUTH 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH. * TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE LATE TUESDAY AND ARE EXPECTED TO PEAK WEDNESDAY MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON BEFORE DECREASING LATE WEDNESDAY. * LOCATIONS INCLUDE...GOLD BEACH...PORT ORFORD...BANDON. * IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS PRODUCE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ON HIGHWAY 101. SATURATED SOILS AND HIGH WINDS COULD COMBINE TO INCREASE THE RISK FOR DOWNED TREES AND POWER OUTAGES. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. && $$
3 follow-up statements
262 WWUS76 KMFR 161641 NPWMFR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 841 AM PST MON JAN 16 2017 ORZ026-170445- /O.NEW.KMFR.FG.Y.0003.170116T1641Z-170116T1900Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.AS.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170117T1800Z/ JACKSON COUNTY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MEDFORD...ASHLAND 841 AM PST MON JAN 16 2017 ...DENSE FREEZING FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM PST THIS MORNING... ...AIR STAGNATION ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A DENSE FOG ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM PST THIS MORNING. * VISIBILITY AND FOG...LESS THAN A QUARTER OF A MILE. * LOCATIONS IN THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY INCLUDE...MEDFORD...CENTRAL POINT...AND SURROUNDING AREAS. * AIR QUALITY...LIGHT WINDS AND LIMITED VERTICAL MIXING COULD DIMINISH AIR QUALITY IN THE VALLEYS OF JACKSON...JOSEPHINE AND EASTERN CURRY COUNTIES THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. * LOCATIONS IN THE AIR STAGNATION ADVISORY INCLUDE...MEDFORD...GRANTS PASS...MERLIN...CAVE JUNCTION...GOLD HILL...WILLIAMS...ASHLAND. * IMPACTS...DENSE FREEZING FOG WILL RESULT IN VERY LOW VISIBILITY WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR ICY ROAD SURFACES...ESPECIALLY ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES. DIMINISHED AIR QUALITY COULD NEGATIVELY AFFECT HEALTH...ESPECIALLY FOR THOSE WITH RESPIRATORY SENSITIVITIES. PLEASE SEE THE OREGON DEPARTMENT OF AIR QUALITY'S WEB SITE AT HTTP://WWW.DEQ.STATE.US/AQI FOR DETAILED AIR QUALITY INFORMATION AND THRESHOLDS. && PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * AN AIR STAGNATION ADVISORY INDICATES THAT DUE TO LIMITED MOVEMENT OF AN AIRMASS ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA...POLLUTION WILL INCREASE. * SLOW DOWN AND ALLOW FOR PLENTY OF ROOM BETWEEN YOU AND OTHER VEHICLES. * FOG MAKES OBJECTS APPEAR FARTHER AWAY THAN THEY ARE * USE LOW BEAMS. HIGH BEAMS REFLECT BACK THICK FOG, MAKING VISIBILITY WORSE FOR YOU AND OTHER DRIVERS. * BE PREPARED. KEEP YOUR HEADLIGHTS CLEAN. THAT WAY, YOU'RE READY FOR LOW-VISIBILITY CONDITIONS * DON'T USE CRUISE CONTROL. MOST CRASHES OCCUR BECAUSE THE DRIVER IS GOING TOO FAST FOR WEATHER CONDITIONS. && $$ ORZ029-170445- /O.CON.KMFR.AS.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170117T1800Z/ KLAMATH BASIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALTAMONT...KLAMATH FALLS 841 AM PST MON JAN 16 2017 ...AIR STAGNATION ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST TUESDAY... * AIR QUALITY...LIGHT WINDS AND LIMITED VERTICAL MIXING COULD DIMINISH AIR QUALITY IN THE KLAMATH BASIN THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. * LOCATIONS INCLUDE...KLAMATH FALLS...ALTAMONT AND MERRILL. * IMPACTS...DIMINISHED AIR QUALITY COULD NEGATIVELY AFFECT HEALTH...ESPECIALLY FOR THOSE WITH RESPIRATORY SENSITIVITIES. PLEASE SEE THE OREGON DEPARTMENT OF AIR QUALITY'S WEB SITE AT HTTP://WWW.DEQ.STATE.US/AQI FOR DETAILED AIR QUALITY INFORMATION AND THRESHOLDS. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AN AIR STAGNATION ADVISORY INDICATES THAT DUE TO LIMITED MOVEMENT OF AN AIRMASS ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA...POLLUTION WILL INCREASE. && $$ ORZ024-170445- /O.CON.KMFR.AS.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170117T1800Z/ EASTERN CURRY COUNTY AND JOSEPHINE COUNTY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GRANTS PASS...CAVE JUNCTION 841 AM PST MON JAN 16 2017 ...AIR STAGNATION ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST TUESDAY... * AIR QUALITY...LIGHT WINDS AND LIMITED VERTICAL MIXING COULD DIMINISH AIR QUALITY IN THE VALLEYS OF JACKSON...JOSEPHINE AND EASTERN CURRY COUNTIES THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. * LOCATIONS INCLUDE...MEDFORD...GRANTS PASS...MERLIN...CAVE JUNCTION...GOLD HILL...WILLIAMS...ASHLAND. * IMPACTS...DIMINISHED AIR QUALITY COULD NEGATIVELY AFFECT HEALTH...ESPECIALLY FOR THOSE WITH RESPIRATORY SENSITIVITIES. PLEASE SEE THE OREGON DEPARTMENT OF AIR QUALITY'S WEB SITE AT HTTP://WWW.DEQ.STATE.US/AQI FOR DETAILED AIR QUALITY INFORMATION AND THRESHOLDS. && PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * AN AIR STAGNATION ADVISORY INDICATES THAT DUE TO LIMITED MOVEMENT OF AN AIRMASS ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA...POLLUTION WILL INCREASE. && $$ ORZ023-170445- /O.CON.KMFR.AS.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170117T1800Z/ CENTRAL DOUGLAS COUNTY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DRAIN...ELKTON...ROSEBURG...SUTHERLIN... GREEN...MYRTLE CREEK...CANYONVILLE 841 AM PST MON JAN 16 2017 ...AIR STAGNATION ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST TUESDAY... * AIR QUALITY...LIGHT WINDS AND LIMITED VERTICAL MIXING WILL CAUSE AIRBORNE PARTICULATES TO ACCUMULATE. THESE PARTICULATES COULD DIMINISH AIR QUALITY IN THE VALLEYS OF CENTRAL DOUGLAS COUNTY THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. * LOCATIONS INCLUDE...ROSEBURG...SUTHERLIN. * IMPACTS...DIMINISHED AIR QUALITY COULD NEGATIVELY AFFECT HEALTH...ESPECIALLY FOR THOSE WITH RESPIRATORY SENSITIVITIES. PLEASE SEE THE OREGON DEPARTMENT OF AIR QUALITY'S WEB SITE AT HTTP://WWW.DEQ.STATE.US/AQI FOR DETAILED AIR QUALITY INFORMATION AND THRESHOLDS. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AN AIR STAGNATION ADVISORY INDICATES THAT DUE TO LIMITED MOVEMENT OF AN AIRMASS ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA...POLLUTION WILL INCREASE. && $$ ORZ021-022-170445- /O.CON.KMFR.HW.A.0002.170118T0000Z-170119T0000Z/ SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-CURRY COUNTY COAST- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BANDON...PORT ORFORD...GOLD BEACH 841 AM PST MON JAN 16 2017 ...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... * WINDS...SOUTH 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH. * TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE LATE TUESDAY AND ARE EXPECTED TO PEAK WEDNESDAY MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON BEFORE DECREASING LATE WEDNESDAY. * LOCATIONS INCLUDE...GOLD BEACH...PORT ORFORD...BANDON. * IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS PRODUCE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ON HIGHWAY 101. SATURATED SOILS AND HIGH WINDS COULD COMBINE TO INCREASE THE RISK FOR DOWNED TREES AND POWER OUTAGES. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. && $$
997 WWUS76 KMFR 161911 NPWMFR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 1111 AM PST MON JAN 16 2017 ORZ026-170715- /O.EXP.KMFR.FG.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-170116T1900Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.AS.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170117T1800Z/ JACKSON COUNTY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MEDFORD...ASHLAND 1111 AM PST MON JAN 16 2017 ...AIR STAGNATION ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST TUESDAY... ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED... * AIR QUALITY...LIGHT WINDS AND LIMITED VERTICAL MIXING COULD DIMINISH AIR QUALITY IN THE VALLEYS OF JACKSON...JOSEPHINE AND EASTERN CURRY COUNTIES THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. * LOCATIONS INCLUDE...MEDFORD... GRANTS PASS...MERLIN...CAVE JUNCTION...GOLD HILL...WILLIAMS... ASHLAND. * IMPACTS...DIMINISHED AIR QUALITY COULD NEGATIVELY AFFECT HEALTH...ESPECIALLY FOR THOSE WITH RESPIRATORY SENSITIVITIES. PLEASE SEE THE OREGON DEPARTMENT OF AIR QUALITY'S WEB SITE AT HTTP://WWW.DEQ.STATE.US/AQI FOR DETAILED AIR QUALITY INFORMATION AND THRESHOLDS. && PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * AN AIR STAGNATION ADVISORY INDICATES THAT DUE TO LIMITED MOVEMENT OF AN AIRMASS ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA...POLLUTION WILL INCREASE. && PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AN AIR STAGNATION ADVISORY INDICATES THAT DUE TO LIMITED MOVEMENT OF AN AIRMASS ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA...POLLUTION WILL INCREASE. && $$ ORZ029-170715- /O.CON.KMFR.AS.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170117T1800Z/ KLAMATH BASIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALTAMONT...KLAMATH FALLS 1111 AM PST MON JAN 16 2017 ...AIR STAGNATION ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST TUESDAY... * AIR QUALITY...LIGHT WINDS AND LIMITED VERTICAL MIXING COULD DIMINISH AIR QUALITY IN THE KLAMATH BASIN THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. * LOCATIONS INCLUDE...KLAMATH FALLS...ALTAMONT AND MERRILL. * IMPACTS...DIMINISHED AIR QUALITY COULD NEGATIVELY AFFECT HEALTH...ESPECIALLY FOR THOSE WITH RESPIRATORY SENSITIVITIES. PLEASE SEE THE OREGON DEPARTMENT OF AIR QUALITY'S WEB SITE AT HTTP://WWW.DEQ.STATE.US/AQI FOR DETAILED AIR QUALITY INFORMATION AND THRESHOLDS. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AN AIR STAGNATION ADVISORY INDICATES THAT DUE TO LIMITED MOVEMENT OF AN AIRMASS ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA...POLLUTION WILL INCREASE. && $$ ORZ024-170715- /O.CON.KMFR.AS.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170117T1800Z/ EASTERN CURRY COUNTY AND JOSEPHINE COUNTY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GRANTS PASS...CAVE JUNCTION 1111 AM PST MON JAN 16 2017 ...AIR STAGNATION ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST TUESDAY... * AIR QUALITY...LIGHT WINDS AND LIMITED VERTICAL MIXING COULD DIMINISH AIR QUALITY IN THE VALLEYS OF JACKSON...JOSEPHINE AND EASTERN CURRY COUNTIES THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. * LOCATIONS INCLUDE...MEDFORD...GRANTS PASS...MERLIN...CAVE JUNCTION...GOLD HILL...WILLIAMS...ASHLAND. * IMPACTS...DIMINISHED AIR QUALITY COULD NEGATIVELY AFFECT HEALTH...ESPECIALLY FOR THOSE WITH RESPIRATORY SENSITIVITIES. PLEASE SEE THE OREGON DEPARTMENT OF AIR QUALITY'S WEB SITE AT HTTP://WWW.DEQ.STATE.US/AQI FOR DETAILED AIR QUALITY INFORMATION AND THRESHOLDS. && PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * AN AIR STAGNATION ADVISORY INDICATES THAT DUE TO LIMITED MOVEMENT OF AN AIRMASS ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA...POLLUTION WILL INCREASE. && $$ ORZ023-170715- /O.CON.KMFR.AS.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170117T1800Z/ CENTRAL DOUGLAS COUNTY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DRAIN...ELKTON...ROSEBURG...SUTHERLIN... GREEN...MYRTLE CREEK...CANYONVILLE 1111 AM PST MON JAN 16 2017 ...AIR STAGNATION ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST TUESDAY... * AIR QUALITY...LIGHT WINDS AND LIMITED VERTICAL MIXING WILL CAUSE AIRBORNE PARTICULATES TO ACCUMULATE. THESE PARTICULATES COULD DIMINISH AIR QUALITY IN THE VALLEYS OF CENTRAL DOUGLAS COUNTY THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. * LOCATIONS INCLUDE...ROSEBURG...SUTHERLIN. * IMPACTS...DIMINISHED AIR QUALITY COULD NEGATIVELY AFFECT HEALTH...ESPECIALLY FOR THOSE WITH RESPIRATORY SENSITIVITIES. PLEASE SEE THE OREGON DEPARTMENT OF AIR QUALITY'S WEB SITE AT HTTP://WWW.DEQ.STATE.US/AQI FOR DETAILED AIR QUALITY INFORMATION AND THRESHOLDS. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AN AIR STAGNATION ADVISORY INDICATES THAT DUE TO LIMITED MOVEMENT OF AN AIRMASS ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA...POLLUTION WILL INCREASE. && $$ ORZ021-022-170715- /O.CON.KMFR.HW.A.0002.170118T0000Z-170119T0000Z/ SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-CURRY COUNTY COAST- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BANDON...PORT ORFORD...GOLD BEACH 1111 AM PST MON JAN 16 2017 ...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... * WINDS...SOUTH 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH. * TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE LATE TUESDAY AND ARE EXPECTED TO PEAK WEDNESDAY MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON BEFORE DECREASING LATE WEDNESDAY. * LOCATIONS INCLUDE...GOLD BEACH...PORT ORFORD...BANDON. * IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS PRODUCE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ON HIGHWAY 101. SATURATED SOILS AND HIGH WINDS COULD COMBINE TO INCREASE THE RISK FOR DOWNED TREES AND POWER OUTAGES. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. && $$
698 WWUS76 KMFR 162203 NPWMFR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 203 PM PST MON JAN 16 2017 ...GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY... .A STRONG FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST...IN THE SHASTA AND UPPER ROGUE VALLEYS...AND ACROSS THE EAST SIDE. STRONG CROSSWINDS MAY MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT ALONG AREA HIGHWAYS...AND COULD DAMAGE TREES AND PROPERTY. CAZ081-171015- /O.NEW.KMFR.HW.W.0002.170118T0600Z-170119T0600Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.WI.Y.0003.170118T0600Z-170119T0600Z/ CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WEED 203 PM PST MON JAN 16 2017 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM TUESDAY TO 10 PM PST WEDNESDAY... ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM TUESDAY TO 10 PM PST WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM TUESDAY TO 10 PM PST WEDNESDAY. A WIND ADVISORY HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM TUESDAY TO 10 PM PST WEDNESDAY. * WINDS...SOUTH 30 TO 35 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED NEAR WEED. * TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE TUESDAY AFTERNOON...REACHING A PEAK OVERNIGHT AND INTO WEDENSDAY MORNING. * LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...WEED...INCLUDING PORTIONS OF INTERSTATE 5 AND HIGHWAY 97 NEAR WEED. * LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY INCLUDE...GAZELLE...GRENADA...AND MOSTLY RURAL AREAS OF THE SHASTA VALLEY. * IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ON INTERSTATE 5...ESPECIALLY FOR LIGHTWEIGHT AND HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. LOOSE MATERIALS COULD BECOME AIRBORNE AND BLOWN AWAY. TREES MAY ALSO TOPPLE DUE TO RECENT RAINFALL AND SATURATED SOILS. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. TRAVEL WILL BE IMPACTED... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ CAZ085-ORZ030-031-171015- /O.NEW.KMFR.HW.W.0002.170118T1200Z-170119T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.WI.Y.0003.170118T1200Z-170119T1200Z/ MODOC COUNTY- NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY AND WESTERN LAKE COUNTY- CENTRAL AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BEATTY...BLY...SPRAGUE RIVER...LAKEVIEW 203 PM PST MON JAN 16 2017 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM WEDNESDAY TO 4 AM PST THURSDAY... ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM WEDNESDAY TO 4 AM PST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM WEDNESDAY TO 4 AM PST THURSDAY. A WIND ADVISORY HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM WEDNESDAY TO 4 AM PST THURSDAY. * WINDS...SOUTH 25 TO 35 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG HIGHWAY 31 BETWEEN PAISLEY AND SILVER LAKE...AND AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE 5500 FEET. * TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING...REACHING A PEAK WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. * LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...HIGHWAY 31 BETWEEN PAISLEY AND SILVER LAKE...SUMMER LAKE...AND THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF WINTER RIM AND THE WARNER AND HART MOUNTAINS. * LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY INCLUDE...BLY...LAKEVIEW...SILVER LAKE...INCLUDING PORTIONS OF HIGHWAYS 97...31...AND 140. * IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY FOR LIGHTWEIGHT AND HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. LOOSE MATERIALS COULD BECOME AIRBORNE AND BLOWN AWAY. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. TRAVEL WILL BE IMPACTED... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ ORZ021-022-171015- /O.UPG.KMFR.HW.A.0002.170118T0000Z-170119T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.HW.W.0002.170118T0000Z-170119T0000Z/ SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-CURRY COUNTY COAST- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BANDON...PORT ORFORD...BROOKINGS... GOLD BEACH 203 PM PST MON JAN 16 2017 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM TUESDAY TO 4 PM PST WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS UPGRADED THE HIGH WIND WATCH TO A HIGH WIND WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM TUESDAY TO 4 PM PST WEDNESDAY. * WINDS...SOUTH 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 65 MPH. * TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND ARE EXPECTED TO PEAK WEDNESDAY MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON BEFORE DECREASING LATE WEDNESDAY. * LOCATIONS INCLUDE...GOLD BEACH...PORT ORFORD...BANDON...AND EXPOSED LOCATIONS ALONG HIGHWAY 101. * IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS PRODUCE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ON HIGHWAY 101. SATURATED SOILS AND HIGH WINDS COULD COMBINE TO INCREASE THE RISK FOR DOWNED TREES AND POWER OUTAGES. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. TRAVEL WILL BE IMPACTED... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. && $$ ORZ026-171015- /O.NEW.KMFR.WI.Y.0003.170118T0600Z-170119T0600Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.AS.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170117T1800Z/ JACKSON COUNTY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MEDFORD...ASHLAND 203 PM PST MON JAN 16 2017 ...AIR STAGNATION ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST TUESDAY... ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM TUESDAY TO 10 PM PST WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM TUESDAY TO 10 PM PST WEDNESDAY. * WINDS...SOUTHEAST 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUST UP TO 40 MPH. * TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...REACHING A PEAK LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING. * LOCATIONS IN THE WIND ADVISORY INCLUDE...ASHLAND...PHOENIX...TALENT. * WIND ADVISORY IMPACTS...GUSTY WINDS WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT FOR LIGHTWEIGHT AND HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS OR MATERIALS COULD BE BLOWN ABOUT. * AIR QUALITY...LIGHT WINDS AND LIMITED VERTICAL MIXING COULD DIMINISH AIR QUALITY IN THE VALLEYS OF JACKSON...JOSEPHINE AND EASTERN CURRY COUNTIES THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. * LOCATIONS INCLUDED IN THE AIR STAGNATION ADVISORY INCLUDE...MEDFORD... GRANTS PASS...MERLIN...CAVE JUNCTION...GOLD HILL...WILLIAMS... ASHLAND. * AIR STAGNATION IMPACTS...DIMINISHED AIR QUALITY COULD NEGATIVELY AFFECT HEALTH...ESPECIALLY FOR THOSE WITH RESPIRATORY SENSITIVITIES. PLEASE SEE THE OREGON DEPARTMENT OF AIR QUALITY'S WEB SITE AT HTTP://WWW.DEQ.STATE.US/AQI FOR DETAILED AIR QUALITY INFORMATION AND THRESHOLDS. && PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AN AIR STAGNATION ADVISORY INDICATES THAT DUE TO LIMITED MOVEMENT OF AN AIRMASS ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA...POLLUTION WILL INCREASE. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ ORZ029-171015- /O.NEW.KMFR.WI.Y.0003.170118T1200Z-170119T1200Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.AS.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170117T1800Z/ KLAMATH BASIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALTAMONT...KLAMATH FALLS 203 PM PST MON JAN 16 2017 ...AIR STAGNATION ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST TUESDAY... ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM WEDNESDAY TO 4 AM PST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM WEDNESDAY TO 4 AM PST THURSDAY. * WINDS...SOUTH 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH. * TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...REACHING A PEAK LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. * LOCATIONS IN THE WIND ADVISORY INCLUDE...KLAMATH FALLS...CHILOQUIN...ALTAMONT...KENO...AND MERRILL. * WIND ADVISORY IMPACTS...GUSTY WINDS WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT FOR LIGHTWEIGHT AND HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS OR MATERIALS COULD BE BLOWN ABOUT. * AIR QUALITY...LIGHT WINDS AND LIMITED VERTICAL MIXING COULD DIMINISH AIR QUALITY IN THE KLAMATH BASIN THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. * LOCATIONS IN THE AIR STAGNATION INCLUDE...KLAMATH FALLS...CHILOQUIN...ALTAMONT AND MERRILL. * AIR STAGNATION IMPACTS...DIMINISHED AIR QUALITY COULD NEGATIVELY AFFECT HEALTH...ESPECIALLY FOR THOSE WITH RESPIRATORY SENSITIVITIES. PLEASE SEE THE OREGON DEPARTMENT OF AIR QUALITY'S WEB SITE AT HTTP://WWW.DEQ.STATE.US/AQI FOR DETAILED AIR QUALITY INFORMATION AND THRESHOLDS. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AN AIR STAGNATION ADVISORY INDICATES THAT DUE TO LIMITED MOVEMENT OF AN AIR MASS ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA...POLLUTION WILL INCREASE. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ CAZ084-171015- /O.NEW.KMFR.WI.Y.0003.170118T1200Z-170119T1200Z/ NORTHEAST SISKIYOU AND NORTHWEST MODOC COUNTIES- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TULELAKE...DORRIS 203 PM PST MON JAN 16 2017 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM WEDNESDAY TO 4 AM PST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM WEDNESDAY TO 4 AM PST THURSDAY. * WINDS...SOUTH 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH. * TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...REACHING A PEAK LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. * LOCATIONS INCLUDE...TULELAKE...DORRIS...INCLUDING PORTIONS OF HIGHWAYS 97 AND 139. * IMPACTS...GUSTY WINDS WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT FOR LIGHTWEIGHT AND HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS OR MATERIALS COULD BE BLOWN ABOUT. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ ORZ024-171015- /O.CON.KMFR.AS.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170117T1800Z/ EASTERN CURRY COUNTY AND JOSEPHINE COUNTY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GRANTS PASS...CAVE JUNCTION 203 PM PST MON JAN 16 2017 ...AIR STAGNATION ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST TUESDAY... * AIR QUALITY...LIGHT WINDS AND LIMITED VERTICAL MIXING COULD DIMINISH AIR QUALITY IN THE VALLEYS OF JACKSON...JOSEPHINE AND EASTERN CURRY COUNTIES THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. * LOCATIONS INCLUDE...MEDFORD...GRANTS PASS...MERLIN...CAVE JUNCTION...GOLD HILL...WILLIAMS...ASHLAND. * IMPACTS...DIMINISHED AIR QUALITY COULD NEGATIVELY AFFECT HEALTH...ESPECIALLY FOR THOSE WITH RESPIRATORY SENSITIVITIES. PLEASE SEE THE OREGON DEPARTMENT OF AIR QUALITY'S WEB SITE AT HTTP://WWW.DEQ.STATE.US/AQI FOR DETAILED AIR QUALITY INFORMATION AND THRESHOLDS. && PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * AN AIR STAGNATION ADVISORY INDICATES THAT DUE TO LIMITED MOVEMENT OF AN AIR MASS ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA...POLLUTION WILL INCREASE. && $$ ORZ023-171015- /O.CON.KMFR.AS.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170117T1800Z/ CENTRAL DOUGLAS COUNTY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DRAIN...ELKTON...ROSEBURG...SUTHERLIN... GREEN...MYRTLE CREEK...CANYONVILLE 203 PM PST MON JAN 16 2017 ...AIR STAGNATION ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST TUESDAY... * AIR QUALITY...LIGHT WINDS AND LIMITED VERTICAL MIXING WILL CAUSE AIRBORNE PARTICULATES TO ACCUMULATE. THESE PARTICULATES COULD DIMINISH AIR QUALITY IN THE VALLEYS OF CENTRAL DOUGLAS COUNTY THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. * LOCATIONS INCLUDE...ROSEBURG...SUTHERLIN. * IMPACTS...DIMINISHED AIR QUALITY COULD NEGATIVELY AFFECT HEALTH...ESPECIALLY FOR THOSE WITH RESPIRATORY SENSITIVITIES. PLEASE SEE THE OREGON DEPARTMENT OF AIR QUALITY'S WEB SITE AT HTTP://WWW.DEQ.STATE.US/AQI FOR DETAILED AIR QUALITY INFORMATION AND THRESHOLDS. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AN AIR STAGNATION ADVISORY INDICATES THAT DUE TO LIMITED MOVEMENT OF AN AIRMASS ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA...POLLUTION WILL INCREASE. && $$ BPN
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this high wind watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Medford, OR wrote its last area forecast discussion before this high wind watch went out at Jan 15, 8:58 PM PST, 5 hours 51 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 15, 8:58 PM PST, 5 hours 51 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Medford OR
858 PM PST Sun Jan 15 2017
.DISCUSSION...The forecast was updated earlier this evening to
increase the sky cover in west side valleys late tonight into
Monday. Low clouds and fog persisted all day in portions of
Josephine and Douglas County, and coverage has begun to expand.
The focus for the night shift will be on the series of storms
poised to affect our area from Tuesday into next week. While these
systems will get progressively colder, low elevation snow is not
likely at least with the first couple of systems...through
Friday. Unlike the widespread ice and snow from early this month,
this will be more of a traditional atmospheric river event.
&&
.AVIATION...17/00Z TAF CYCLE...Conditions over the next 24 hours
are expected to be very similar to those observed in the past 24 hours.
Areas of IFR/LIFR CIG/VIS in low clouds and freezing fog over the
West Side valleys will return to the same areas this evening through
Monday morning. The Roseburg and Grants Pass areas probably will not
improve beyond IFR Monday afternoon once again, as the inversion will
become stronger during the next 24 hours. KRBG and KMFR will be
affected by the lower conditions. Over the remainder of the area, VFR
conditions will prevail through Monday afternoon, with some increase
in mid-level cloudiness during the day on Monday. BTL
&&
.MARINE...Updated 305 PM PST Sunday, 15 January 2017...
Building long period west swell will today is coming in a little lower
than previously expected. This west swell is still expected to build
through this evening, peaking combined seas at 9 to 10 feet at 17
seconds. South winds will increase on Monday as the first in a
series of strong fronts approaches. Gales are likely Tuesday
afternoon/evening through Wednesday and seas are likely to peak in the
18 to 28 foot range. A period of storms force winds is possible due to
the formation of a low level coastal jet stream Wednesday. West swell
late next week could reach or exceed 25 feet. It should be noted that
there continues to be a lot of model variability for maximum wave
heights late this next week, with wave model guidance indicating 14 to
18 second west swell peaking at buoy 15 in the 22 to 30 foot range
centered on late Thursday. For instance, the current Wave Watch III
model run indicates 29 feet at 17 seconds Friday afternoon, whereas
the preceding model run indicated a peak swell of 23 feet for that
same time period. BTL
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 233 PM PST Sun Jan 15 2017/
DISCUSSION...
Short Term...Tonight through Wednesday Night...Fog and low clouds
have burned off from much of the Rogue Valley near Medford, but
persist near Grants Pass and in the Umpqua Valley this afternoon.
Much like yesterday, these areas may not fully burn off today at
all. Fog and low clouds will likely return once again tonight. The
air stagnation advisory remains in effect for the Umpqua,
Illinois, and Rogue Valleys, as well as the Klamath Falls area, as
particulate counts remain elevated and there is little in the way
of mixing through Tuesday.
Models have backed off a bit more on the timing of the expected
storm system this week. Now, the front begins to make its way
through our area Tuesday night into Wednesday, or roughly 6 to 12
hours later than previous forecasts. The model suites are also
showing a faster progression of the front, and although rain rates
will still be high, the duration of the heavy rain will not be as
long, and therefore total amounts will be less. Unfortunately, the
area snowpack continues to be much of an enigma, even though snow
levels will be quite high during much of the heaviest
precipitation. How much snow remains at lower elevations, the
water content, the ability of the snow to absorb rainfall, and the
rate of melt are all still uncertain, and will all have an impact
on the amount of water runoff and the eventual height of area
river, creeks, and streams. The latest river stage forecasts,
which try to take all known values of these variables into
account, are now only producing flooding along the Coquille River
at Coquille, but my suspicion is that flooding will still be a
concern for our more "flashy" rivers, Water may also be an issue
in some urban areas, the Illinois valley, and many of the coastal
river and streams. One thing does seem clear, and that is the
lesser amounts East of the Cascades. Have continued the flood
outlook (PDXESFMFR) for the West Side, but have discontinued it
for the East, as the threat seems to be greatly diminished.
Also of note will be winds and snow. Model pressure gradient
forecasts and mid level wind fields suggest the possibility of
high winds along the coast, in the Shasta Valley, and across the
East Side along and ahead of the front as it passes through.
Behind the front, snow levels will begin to drop quickly, and
while we do not expect snow levels to drop drastically before the
heavier precipitation ends Wednesday night, elevations above 5000
feet or so could see heavy snow once snow levels fall Wednesday
afternoon into Wednesday evening.
Timing and duration for this event is key, and the models still
have yet to nail these variables down. Although confidence is
increasing, will hold off on headlines a bit longer until
confidence improves. -BPN
&&
.MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...Air Stagnation Advisory until 10 AM PST Tuesday for ORZ023.
Air Stagnation Advisory until 10 AM PST Tuesday for ORZ029.
Air Stagnation Advisory until 10 AM PST Tuesday for ORZ024-026.
CA...None.
Pacific Coastal Waters...Gale Watch from Tuesday afternoon through
Wednesday evening for PZZ350-356-370-376.
Storm Watch from Tuesday evening through Wednesday afternoon for
PZZ350-356-370-376.
Small Craft Advisory for hazardous seas until 10 PM PST this
evening for PZZ370-376.
DW/BPN/BTLThe office that day
Everything else NWS Medford, OR issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 3:00 AM PST | Gale Warning | MFR | 61 hr | |
| Jan 16, 8:41 AM PST | Dense Fog Advisory | MFR | Jackson | 2 hr |
| Jan 16, 2:03 PM PST | High Wind Warning | MFR | Coos, Curry, Douglas, Klamath, Lake | 60 hr |
| Jan 16, 2:03 PM PST | Wind Advisory | MFR | Jackson, Klamath, Lake | 60 hr |
Nearby
High Wind Watches in Oregon, 2017Every high wind watch in 2017
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.