Alert archive / Tennessee / River Flood Warnings in 2017

River Flood Warning 60, NWS Memphis, TN

December 21, 2017Crockett County, Dyer County, Lauderdale County, Tennessee

NWS Memphis, TN issued this river flood warning at Dec 21, 2017, 10:59 AM CST for Crockett County, Dyer County, Lauderdale County, Tennessee. It took effect at Dec 22, 2017, 7:58 PM CST. It was in force for 8 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Dec 21, 2017, 10:59 AM CST (16:59 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 22, 2017, 7:58 PM CST
Expired
Dec 30, 2017, 10:52 AM CST
In force
8 days
Issued by
NWS Memphis, TN
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Crockett County, TN, Dyer County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN

The radar

The Memphis radar (KNQA), 77 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point South Fork Forked Deer River near Halls (HLST1).

Action stage
8.5 ft
Minor stage
9 ft
Moderate stage
13.5 ft
Major stage
16 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

348 
WGUS44 KMEG 211659
FLWMEG
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Memphis TN
1059 AM CST Thu Dec 21 2017

The National Weather Service has issued a Flood Warning for the 
Loosahatchie River...S.F. Fork Forked Deer River...S.F. Forked Deer 
River.

For the Loosahatchie River, near Loosahatchie River Near Arlington 
2NE, 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A followup Flood Statement will be issued this evening or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

For graphical river and flood information...please go to 
www.weather.gov and click near Memphis on the map. Then select Rivers
and Lakes AHPS under current conditions.

Do not drive through flooded areas...turn around don't drown.

Stay tuned to your weather radio and your local news media for the 
latest river information.

&&

TNC113-221659-
/O.NEW.KMEG.FL.W.0059.171223T1017Z-171224T2125Z/
/JKNT1.1.ER.171223T1017Z.171224T0000Z.171224T1525Z.NO/
1059 AM CST Thu Dec 21 2017

The National Weather Service in Memphis TN has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the S.F. Forked Deer River at Jackson
* from Saturday December 23 until Sunday December 24.
* At 10 AM Thursday the stage was...28.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Maximum forecast stage of 28.9 feet Thursday December 21.
* Flood stage is 34.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Saturday December 23 and 
  continue to rise to near 35.5 feet by Saturday December 23. The 
  river will fall below flood stage by Sunday December 24.
At 36.0 feet, Businesses in low lying areas near the river are 
flooding..  

&&

LAT...LON 3572 8897 3566 8862 3544 8880 3559 8906


$$

TNC033-045-097-221658-
/O.NEW.KMEG.FL.W.0060.171223T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/HLST1.1.ER.171223T0600Z.171223T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1059 AM CST Thu Dec 21 2017

The National Weather Service in Memphis TN has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the S.F. Fork Forked Deer River near Halls
* from Saturday December 23 until further notice.
* At 10 AM Thursday the stage was...7.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Maximum forecast stage of 12.5 feet Saturday December 23.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Saturday December 23 and 
  continue to rise to near 12.5 feet by Saturday December 23.
At 12.5 feet, Water is flowing over Highway 210 north of Halls. 
Several low lying roads near the South Fork of the Forked Deer River 
are flooded..  

&&

LAT...LON 3595 8948 3600 8940 3589 8932 3584 8940


$$

TNC047-157-221658-
/O.NEW.KMEG.FL.W.0061.171223T0600Z-171223T2217Z/
/ARLT1.1.ER.171223T0600Z.171223T1200Z.171223T1617Z.NO/
1059 AM CST Thu Dec 21 2017

The National Weather Service in Memphis TN has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Loosahatchie River at Loosahatchie River Near Arlington 2NE
* from Saturday December 23 until Saturday December 23.
* Maximum forecast stage of 21.5 feet Saturday December 23.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
At 21.0 feet, Brief road is flooding. .  

&&

LAT...LON 3533 9005 3530 8980 3538 8964 3520 8964
      3524 8989 3522 9004             

$$
19 follow-up statements
427 
WGUS84 KMEG 220326
FLSMEG
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
926 PM CST Thu Dec 21 2017

The Flood Warning continues for the for the Loosahatchie River, near 
Arlington 2NE and the South Fork of the Forked Deer River near Halls
and Jackson, 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A followup Flood Statement will be issued tomorrow.

For graphical river and flood information...please go to 
www.weather.gov and click near Memphis on the map. Then select Rivers
and Lakes AHPS under current conditions.

Do not drive through flooded areas...turn around don't drown.

Stay tuned to your weather radio and your local news media for the 
latest river information.

&&

TNC113-230326-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0059.171223T1017Z-171224T2125Z/
/JKNT1.1.ER.171223T1017Z.171224T0000Z.171224T1525Z.NO/
926 PM CST Thu Dec 21 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the S.F. Forked Deer River at Jackson
* from Saturday December 23 until Sunday December 24.
* At 9 PM Thursday the stage was 26.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Maximum forecast stage of 35.5 feet Saturday December 23.
* Flood stage is 34.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Saturday December 23 and 
  continue to rise to near 35.5 feet by Saturday December 23.The 
  river will fall below flood stage by Sunday December 24.
* At 36.0 feet...Businesses in low lying areas near the river are 
  flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3572 8897 3566 8862 3544 8880 3559 8906


$$

TNC033-045-097-230326-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0060.171223T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/HLST1.1.ER.171223T0600Z.171223T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
926 PM CST Thu Dec 21 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the S.F. Fork Forked Deer River near Halls
* from Saturday December 23 until further notice.
* At 9 PM Thursday the stage was 6.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Maximum forecast stage of 12.5 feet Saturday December 23.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Saturday December 23 and 
  continue to rise to near 12.5 feet by Saturday December 23.
* At 12.5 feet...Water is flowing over Highway 210 north of Halls. 
  Several low lying roads near the South Fork of the Forked Deer 
  River are flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 3595 8948 3600 8940 3589 8932 3584 8940


$$

TNC047-157-230326-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0061.171223T0600Z-171223T2217Z/
/ARLT1.1.ER.171223T0600Z.171223T1200Z.171223T1617Z.NO/
926 PM CST Thu Dec 21 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Loosahatchie River at Loosahatchie River Near Arlington 2NE
* from Saturday December 23 until Saturday December 23.
* Maximum forecast stage of 21.5 feet Saturday December 23.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* At 21.0 feet...Brief road is flooding. 

&&

LAT...LON 3533 9005 3530 8980 3538 8964 3520 8964
      3524 8989 3522 9004             

$$
526 
WGUS84 KMEG 221658
FLSMEG
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
1058 AM CST Fri Dec 22 2017

The Flood Warning continues for the Buttahatchie River...Coldwater 
River...Loosahatchie River...S.F. Fork Forked Deer River...S.F. 
Forked Deer River.

For the Loosahatchie River, near Loosahatchie River Near Arlington 
2NE, 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A followup Flood Statement will be issued later today or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

For graphical river and flood information...please go to 
www.weather.gov and click near Memphis on the map. Then select Rivers
and Lakes AHPS under current conditions.

Do not drive through flooded areas...turn around don't drown.

Stay tuned to your weather radio and your local news media for the 
latest river information.

&&

TNC113-231658-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0059.171223T1036Z-171224T2159Z/
/JKNT1.1.ER.171223T1036Z.171224T0000Z.171224T1559Z.NO/
1058 AM CST Fri Dec 22 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the S.F. Forked Deer River at Jackson
* from Saturday December 23 until Sunday December 24.
* At 10 AM Friday the stage was 25.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Maximum forecast stage of 35.5 feet Saturday December 23.
* Flood stage is 34.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Saturday December 23 and 
  continue to rise to near 35.5 feet by Saturday December 23.The 
  river will fall below flood stage by Sunday December 24.
* At 36.0 feet...Businesses in low lying areas near the river are 
  flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3572 8897 3566 8862 3544 8880 3559 8906


$$

TNC033-045-097-231658-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0060.171223T0656Z-000000T0000Z/
/HLST1.1.ER.171223T0656Z.171223T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1058 AM CST Fri Dec 22 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the S.F. Fork Forked Deer River near Halls
* from Saturday December 23 until further notice.
* At 10 AM Friday the stage was 5.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Maximum forecast stage of 13.0 feet Saturday December 23.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Saturday December 23 and 
  continue to rise to near 13.0 feet by Saturday December 23.
* At 12.5 feet...Water is flowing over Highway 210 north of Halls. 
  Several low lying roads near the South Fork of the Forked Deer 
  River are flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 3595 8948 3600 8940 3589 8932 3584 8940


$$

TNC047-157-231658-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0061.171224T1130Z-171225T1858Z/
/ARLT1.1.ER.171224T1130Z.171225T0000Z.171225T1258Z.NO/
1058 AM CST Fri Dec 22 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Loosahatchie River at Loosahatchie River Near Arlington 2NE
* from Sunday December 24 until Monday December 25.
* Maximum forecast stage of 21.5 feet Sunday December 24.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* At 21.0 feet...Brief road is flooding. 

&&

LAT...LON 3533 9005 3530 8980 3538 8964 3520 8964
      3524 8989 3522 9004             

$$

MSC119-231658-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0058.171224T0700Z-171227T0730Z/
/MKSM6.1.ER.171224T0700Z.171225T0000Z.171227T0130Z.NO/
1058 AM CST Fri Dec 22 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Coldwater River at Marks
* from Sunday December 24 until Tuesday December 26.
* At 10 AM Friday the stage was 34.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Maximum forecast stage of 40.0 feet Sunday December 24.
* Flood stage is 39.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Sunday December 24 and 
  continue to rise to near 40.0 feet by Sunday December 24.The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Tuesday December 26.
* At 40.0 feet...Extensive flooding around Marks and in Northern 
  Quitman County

&&

LAT...LON 3452 9042 3452 9013 3437 9007 3421 9010
      3421 9046 3443 9045             

$$

MSC087-095-231658-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-171225T0600Z/
/ABDM6.1.ER.171223T0051Z.171224T0000Z.171225T0000Z.NO/
1058 AM CST Fri Dec 22 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Buttahatchie River near Aberdeen
* from Friday December 22 until Sunday December 24.
* At 10 AM Friday the stage was 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Maximum forecast stage of 14.6 feet Saturday December 23.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Friday December 22 and 
  continue to rise to near 14.6 feet by Saturday December 23.The 
  river will fall below flood stage by Sunday December 24.
* At 15.0 feet...Water is covering a portion of airbase road located 
  on the west bank of the river. Low lying farm land is flooded

&&

LAT...LON 3409 8829 3409 8821 3373 8826 3365 8843
      3370 8844 3375 8839             

$$
884 
WGUS84 KMEG 221705
FLSMEG
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
1105 AM CST Fri Dec 22 2017

The Flood Warning continues for the Buttahatchie River...Coldwater 
River...Loosahatchie River...S.F. Fork Forked Deer River...S.F. 
Forked Deer River.

For the Loosahatchie River, near Loosahatchie River Near Arlington 
2NE, 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A followup Flood Statement will be issued later today or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

For graphical river and flood information...please go to 
www.weather.gov and click near Memphis on the map. Then select Rivers
and Lakes AHPS under current conditions.

Do not drive through flooded areas...turn around don't drown.

Stay tuned to your weather radio and your local news media for the 
latest river information.

&&

TNC113-231705-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0059.171223T1036Z-171224T2159Z/
/JKNT1.1.ER.171223T1036Z.171224T0000Z.171224T1559Z.NO/
1105 AM CST Fri Dec 22 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the S.F. Forked Deer River at Jackson
* from Saturday December 23 until Sunday December 24.
* At 10 AM Friday the stage was 25.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Maximum forecast stage of 35.5 feet Saturday December 23.
* Flood stage is 34.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Saturday December 23 and 
  continue to rise to near 35.5 feet by Saturday December 23.The 
  river will fall below flood stage by Sunday December 24.
* At 36.0 feet...Businesses in low lying areas near the river are 
  flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3572 8897 3566 8862 3544 8880 3559 8906


$$

TNC033-045-097-231705-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0060.171223T0656Z-000000T0000Z/
/HLST1.1.ER.171223T0656Z.171223T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1105 AM CST Fri Dec 22 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the S.F. Fork Forked Deer River near Halls
* from Saturday December 23 until further notice.
* At 10 AM Friday the stage was 5.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Maximum forecast stage of 13.0 feet Saturday December 23.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Saturday December 23 and 
  continue to rise to near 13.0 feet by Saturday December 23.
* At 12.5 feet...Water is flowing over Highway 210 north of Halls. 
  Several low lying roads near the South Fork of the Forked Deer 
  River are flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 3595 8948 3600 8940 3589 8932 3584 8940


$$

TNC047-157-231705-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0061.171224T1130Z-171225T1858Z/
/ARLT1.1.ER.171224T1130Z.171225T0000Z.171225T1258Z.NO/
1105 AM CST Fri Dec 22 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Loosahatchie River at Loosahatchie River Near Arlington 2NE
* from Sunday December 24 until Monday December 25.
* Maximum forecast stage of 21.5 feet Sunday December 24.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* At 21.0 feet...Brief road is flooding. 

&&

LAT...LON 3533 9005 3530 8980 3538 8964 3520 8964
      3524 8989 3522 9004             

$$

MSC119-231705-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0058.171224T0700Z-171227T0730Z/
/MKSM6.1.ER.171224T0700Z.171225T0000Z.171227T0130Z.NO/
1105 AM CST Fri Dec 22 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Coldwater River at Marks
* from Sunday December 24 until Tuesday December 26.
* At 10 AM Friday the stage was 34.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Maximum forecast stage of 40.0 feet Sunday December 24.
* Flood stage is 39.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Sunday December 24 and 
  continue to rise to near 40.0 feet by Sunday December 24.The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Tuesday December 26.
* At 40.0 feet...Extensive flooding around Marks and in Northern 
  Quitman County

&&

LAT...LON 3452 9042 3452 9013 3437 9007 3421 9010
      3421 9046 3443 9045             

$$

MSC087-095-231705-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-171225T0600Z/
/ABDM6.1.ER.171223T0051Z.171224T0000Z.171225T0000Z.NO/
1105 AM CST Fri Dec 22 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Buttahatchie River near Aberdeen
* from Friday December 22 until Sunday December 24.
* At 10 AM Friday the stage was 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Maximum forecast stage of 14.6 feet Saturday December 23.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Friday December 22 and 
  continue to rise to near 14.6 feet by Saturday December 23.The 
  river will fall below flood stage by Sunday December 24.
* At 15.0 feet...Water is covering a portion of airbase road located 
  on the west bank of the river. Low lying farm land is flooded

&&

LAT...LON 3409 8829 3409 8821 3373 8826 3365 8843
      3370 8844 3375 8839             

$$
915 
WGUS44 KMEG 230136
FLWMEG
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Memphis TN
736 PM CST Fri Dec 22 2017

The National Weather Service has issued a Flood Warning for the
South Fork of the Forked Deer River.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A followup Flood Statement will be issued when conditions warrant.

For graphical river and flood information...please go to 
www.weather.gov and click near Memphis on the map. Then select Rivers
and Lakes AHPS under current conditions.

Do not drive through flooded areas...turn around don't drown.

Stay tuned to your weather radio and your local news media for the 
latest river information.

&&

TNC033-045-097-240136-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0060.171223T0158Z-000000T0000Z/
/HLST1.2.ER.171223T0158Z.171223T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
736 PM CST Fri Dec 22 2017

The National Weather Service in Memphis TN has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the S.F. Fork Forked Deer River near Halls
* from Friday December 22 until further notice.
* At 7 PM Friday the stage was...8.5 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Maximum forecast stage of 13.5 feet Saturday December 23.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Friday December 22 and 
  continue to rise to near 13.5 feet by Saturday December 23.
At 14.0 feet, Flood water is flowing over several low lying roads 
near the river and access to low lying areas will be limited due to 
high water..  

&&

LAT...LON 3595 8948 3600 8940 3589 8932 3584 8940


$$
018 
WGUS84 KMEG 230146
FLSMEG
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
746 PM CST Fri Dec 22 2017

The Flood Warning continues for the Loosahatchie River...S.F. Fork 
Forked Deer River...S.F. Forked Deer River.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A followup Flood Statement will be issued when conditions warrant.

For graphical river and flood information...please go to 
www.weather.gov and click near Memphis on the map. Then select Rivers
and Lakes AHPS under current conditions.

Do not drive through flooded areas...turn around don't drown.

Stay tuned to your weather radio and your local news media for the 
latest river information.

&&

TNC113-240146-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0059.171223T0800Z-171226T0600Z/
/JKNT1.1.ER.171223T0800Z.171224T0000Z.171226T0000Z.NO/
746 PM CST Fri Dec 22 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the S.F. Forked Deer River at Jackson
* from Saturday December 23 until Monday December 25.
* At 7 PM Friday the stage was 31.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Maximum forecast stage of 36.0 feet Saturday December 23.
* Flood stage is 34.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Saturday December 23 and 
  continue to rise to near 36.0 feet by Saturday December 23.The 
  river will fall below flood stage by Monday December 25.
* At 36.0 feet...Businesses in low lying areas near the river are 
  flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3572 8897 3566 8862 3544 8880 3559 8906


$$

TNC033-045-097-240145-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0060.171223T0158Z-000000T0000Z/
/HLST1.2.ER.171223T0158Z.171223T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
746 PM CST Fri Dec 22 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the S.F. Fork Forked Deer River near Halls
* from Friday December 22 until further notice.
* At 7 PM Friday the stage was 8.5 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Maximum forecast stage of 13.5 feet Saturday December 23.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Friday December 22 and 
  continue to rise to near 13.5 feet by Saturday December 23.
* At 14.0 feet...Flood water is flowing over several low lying roads 
  near the river and access to low lying areas will be limited due to
  high water.

&&

LAT...LON 3595 8948 3600 8940 3589 8932 3584 8940


$$

TNC047-157-240145-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0061.171224T0600Z-171225T1942Z/
/ARLT1.1.ER.171224T0600Z.171225T0000Z.171225T1342Z.NO/
746 PM CST Fri Dec 22 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Loosahatchie River at Loosahatchie River Near Arlington 2NE
* from Sunday December 24 until Monday December 25.
* Maximum forecast stage of 21.5 feet Sunday December 24.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* At 21.0 feet...Brief road is flooding. 

&&

LAT...LON 3533 9005 3530 8980 3538 8964 3520 8964
      3524 8989 3522 9004             

$$
273 
WGUS84 KMEG 231818
FLSMEG
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
1218 PM CST Sat Dec 23 2017

The Flood Warning continues for the Buttahatchie River...Coldwater 
River...S.F. Fork Forked Deer River.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A followup Flood Statement will be issued later today or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

For graphical river and flood information...please go to 
www.weather.gov and click near Memphis on the map. Then select Rivers
and Lakes AHPS under current conditions.

Do not drive through flooded areas...turn around don't drown.

Stay tuned to your weather radio and your local news media for the 
latest river information.

&&

TNC033-045-097-241818-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HLST1.1.ER.171223T0218Z.171223T0900Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1218 PM CST Sat Dec 23 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the S.F. Fork Forked Deer River near Halls
* until further notice.
* At 12 PM Saturday the stage was 10.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring AND Minor flooding is forecast.
* Maximum forecast stage of 11.0 feet Saturday December 23.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* At 11.5 feet...Farmland near the river is flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 3595 8948 3600 8940 3589 8932 3584 8940


$$

MSC119-241818-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0058.171224T0349Z-171226T0000Z/
/MKSM6.1.ER.171224T0349Z.171224T1800Z.171225T1800Z.NO/
1218 PM CST Sat Dec 23 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Coldwater River at Marks
* from Saturday December 23 until Monday December 25.
* At 11 AM Saturday the stage was 35.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Maximum forecast stage of 40.0 feet Sunday December 24.
* Flood stage is 39.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Saturday December 23 and 
  continue to rise to near 40.0 feet by Sunday December 24.The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Monday December 25.
* At 40.0 feet...Extensive flooding around Marks and in Northern 
  Quitman County

&&

LAT...LON 3452 9042 3452 9013 3437 9007 3421 9010
      3421 9046 3443 9045             

$$

MSC087-095-241818-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-171225T1200Z/
/ABDM6.1.ER.171223T0033Z.171224T0000Z.171225T0600Z.NO/
1218 PM CST Sat Dec 23 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Buttahatchie River near Aberdeen
* until Monday December 25.
* At 11 AM Saturday the stage was 15.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring AND Minor flooding is forecast.
* Maximum forecast stage of 15.7 feet Saturday December 23.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* At 15.0 feet...Water is covering a portion of airbase road located 
  on the west bank of the river. Low lying farm land is flooded

&&

LAT...LON 3409 8829 3409 8821 3373 8826 3365 8843
      3370 8844 3375 8839             

$$
892 
WGUS84 KMEG 240225
FLSMEG
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
825 PM CST Sat Dec 23 2017

The Flood Warning continues for the Obion and South Fork of the
Forked Deer River.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A followup Flood Statement will be issued when conditions warrant.

For graphical river and flood information...please go to 
www.weather.gov and click near Memphis on the map. Then select Rivers
and Lakes AHPS under current conditions.

Do not drive through flooded areas...turn around don't drown.

Stay tuned to your weather radio and your local news media for the 
latest river information.

&&

TNC045-053-131-250225-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-171225T1800Z/
/OBNT1.1.ER.171224T1600Z.171225T0000Z.171225T1200Z.NO/
825 PM CST Sat Dec 23 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Obion River near Obion
* from Sunday December 24 until Monday December 25.
* At 8 PM Saturday the stage was 31.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Maximum forecast stage of 34.5 feet Sunday December 24.
* Flood stage is 34.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Sunday December 24 and 
  continue to rise to near 34.5 feet by late Sunday December 24.
  The river will likely fall below flood stage by Monday December 25.
* At 35.0 feet...Several secondary roads and large areas of farm land
  are flooded in Northern Dyer County. Flooding is occurring around 
  Rives in Southeast Obion County

&&

LAT...LON 3628 8927 3633 8909 3633 8895 3620 8895
      3614 8927                       

$$

TNC033-045-097-250224-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HLST1.1.ER.171223T0218Z.171223T0900Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
825 PM CST Sat Dec 23 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the S.F. Fork Forked Deer River near Halls
* until further notice.
* At 8 PM Saturday the stage was 10.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* At 10.5 feet...Flooding on agriculture land near the river.

&&

LAT...LON 3595 8948 3600 8940 3589 8932 3584 8940


$$
100 
WGUS84 KMEG 241805
FLSMEG
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
1205 PM CST Sun Dec 24 2017

The Flood Warning continues for the Buttahatchie River...S.F. Fork 
Forked Deer River.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A followup Flood Statement will be issued later today or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

For graphical river and flood information...please go to 
www.weather.gov and click near Memphis on the map. Then select Rivers
and Lakes AHPS under current conditions.

Do not drive through flooded areas...turn around don't drown.

Stay tuned to your weather radio and your local news media for the 
latest river information.

&&

TNC033-045-097-251805-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HLST1.1.ER.171223T0218Z.171223T0900Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1205 PM CST Sun Dec 24 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the S.F. Fork Forked Deer River near Halls
* until further notice.
* At 11 AM Sunday the stage was 10.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring AND Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* At 10.5 feet...Flooding on agriculture land near the river.

&&

LAT...LON 3595 8948 3600 8940 3589 8932 3584 8940


$$

MSC087-095-250455-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-171225T0455Z/
/ABDM6.1.ER.171223T0033Z.171223T1500Z.171224T2255Z.NO/
1205 PM CST Sun Dec 24 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Buttahatchie River near Aberdeen
* until Sunday December 24.
* At 11 AM Sunday the stage was 13.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* At 14.0 feet...Flood water begins to cover airbase road located on 
  the west bank of the river. Low lying farmland land near the river 
  also begins to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3409 8829 3409 8821 3373 8826 3365 8843
      3370 8844 3375 8839             

$$
631 
WGUS84 KMEG 250319
FLSMEG
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
919 PM CST Sun Dec 24 2017

The Flood Warning continues for the S.F. Fork Forked Deer River.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A followup Flood Statement will be issued when conditions warrant.

For graphical river and flood information...please go to 
www.weather.gov and click near Memphis on the map. Then select Rivers
and Lakes AHPS under current conditions.

Do not drive through flooded areas...turn around don't drown.

Stay tuned to your weather radio and your local news media for the 
latest river information.

&&

TNC033-045-097-260319-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HLST1.1.ER.171223T0218Z.171223T0900Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
919 PM CST Sun Dec 24 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the S.F. Fork Forked Deer River near Halls
* until further notice.
* At 9 PM Sunday the stage was 10.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring AND Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* The river rose above flood stage Friday December 22 and will 
  continue rising to near 11.2 feet by Thursday December 28.  
  Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* At 11.5 feet...Farmland near the river is flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 3595 8948 3600 8940 3589 8932 3584 8940


$$
258 
WGUS84 KMEG 251804
FLSMEG
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
1204 PM CST Mon Dec 25 2017

The Flood Warning continues for the S.F. Fork Forked Deer River.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A followup Flood Statement will be issued later today or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

For graphical river and flood information...please go to 
www.weather.gov and click near Memphis on the map. Then select Rivers
and Lakes AHPS under current conditions.

Do not drive through flooded areas...turn around don't drown.

Stay tuned to your weather radio and your local news media for the 
latest river information.

&&

TNC033-045-097-261804-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HLST1.1.ER.171223T0218Z.171223T0900Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1204 PM CST Mon Dec 25 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the S.F. Fork Forked Deer River near Halls
* until further notice.
* At 11 AM Monday the stage was 10.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring AND Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* The river rose above flood stage Friday December 22 and will 
  continue rising to near 11.2 feet by Friday December 29.  
  Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* At 11.5 feet...Farmland near the river is flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 3595 8948 3600 8940 3589 8932 3584 8940


$$
509 
WGUS84 KMEG 260340
FLSMEG
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
940 PM CST Mon Dec 25 2017

The Flood Warning continues for the S.F. Fork Forked Deer River.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A followup Flood Statement will be issued tomorrow morning or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

For graphical river and flood information...please go to 
www.weather.gov and click near Memphis on the map. Then select Rivers
and Lakes AHPS under current conditions.

Do not drive through flooded areas...turn around don't drown.

Stay tuned to your weather radio and your local news media for the 
latest river information.

&&

TNC033-045-097-270340-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HLST1.1.ER.171223T0218Z.171223T0900Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
940 PM CST Mon Dec 25 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the S.F. Fork Forked Deer River near Halls
* until further notice.
* At 09 PM Monday the stage was 10.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring AND Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* The river rose above flood stage Friday December 22 and will 
  continue rising to near 11.2 feet by Friday December 29.  
  Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* At 11.5 feet...Farmland near the river is flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 3595 8948 3600 8940 3589 8932 3584 8940


$$
374 
WGUS84 KMEG 261729
FLSMEG
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
1129 AM CST Tue Dec 26 2017

The Flood Warning continues for the North Fork Forked Deer River...
S.F. Fork Forked Deer River.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A followup Flood Statement will be issued later today or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

For graphical river and flood information...please go to 
www.weather.gov and click near Memphis on the map. Then select Rivers
and Lakes AHPS under current conditions.

Do not drive through flooded areas...turn around don't drown.

Stay tuned to your weather radio and your local news media for the 
latest river information.

&&

TNC045-271729-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0066.000000T0000Z-171230T0000Z/
/DYET1.1.ER.171226T0515Z.171226T1700Z.171229T1800Z.NO/
1129 AM CST Tue Dec 26 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the North Fork Forked Deer River at Dyersburg
* until Friday December 29.
* At 11 AM Tuesday the stage was 22.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring AND Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* At 22.0 feet...Flooding is occurring in farm land near the river

&&

LAT...LON 3606 8950 3606 8916 3594 8916 3597 8934
      3601 8938 3595 8948             

$$

TNC033-045-097-271729-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HLST1.1.ER.171223T0218Z.171223T0900Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1129 AM CST Tue Dec 26 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the S.F. Fork Forked Deer River near Halls
* until further notice.
* At 11 AM Tuesday the stage was 10.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring AND Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* The river rose above flood stage Friday December 22 and will 
  continue rising to near 10.8 feet by Friday December 29.  
  Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* At 10.5 feet...Flooding on agriculture land near the river.

&&

LAT...LON 3595 8948 3600 8940 3589 8932 3584 8940


$$
704 
WGUS84 KMEG 270316
FLSMEG
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
916 PM CST Tue Dec 26 2017

The Flood Warning continues for the North Fork Forked Deer River...
S.F. Fork Forked Deer River.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A followup Flood Statement will be issued tomorrow morning or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

For graphical river and flood information...please go to 
www.weather.gov and click near Memphis on the map. Then select Rivers
and Lakes AHPS under current conditions.

Do not drive through flooded areas...turn around don't drown.

Stay tuned to your weather radio and your local news media for the 
latest river information.

&&

TNC045-280316-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0066.000000T0000Z-171230T0000Z/
/DYET1.1.ER.171226T0515Z.171226T2100Z.171229T1800Z.NO/
916 PM CST Tue Dec 26 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the North Fork Forked Deer River at Dyersburg
* until Friday December 29.
* At 09 PM Tuesday the stage was 22.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring AND Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* At 22.0 feet...Flooding is occurring in farm land near the river

&&

LAT...LON 3606 8950 3606 8916 3594 8916 3597 8934
      3601 8938 3595 8948             

$$

TNC033-045-097-280316-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HLST1.1.ER.171223T0218Z.171223T0900Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
916 PM CST Tue Dec 26 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the S.F. Fork Forked Deer River near Halls
* until further notice.
* At 09 PM Tuesday the stage was 10.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring AND Minor flooding is forecast.
* Maximum forecast stage of 10.8 feet Friday December 29.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* The river rose above flood stage Friday December 22 and will 
  continue rising to near 10.8 feet by  Friday December 29 then begin
  falling.
* At 10.5 feet...Flooding on agriculture land near the river.

&&

LAT...LON 3595 8948 3600 8940 3589 8932 3584 8940


$$
687 
WGUS84 KMEG 271706
FLSMEG
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
1106 AM CST Wed Dec 27 2017

The Flood Warning continues for the North Fork Forked Deer River...
S.F. Fork Forked Deer River.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A followup Flood Statement will be issued when conditions warrant.

For graphical river and flood information...please go to 
www.weather.gov and click near Memphis on the map. Then select Rivers
and Lakes AHPS under current conditions.

Do not drive through flooded areas...turn around don't drown.

Stay tuned to your weather radio and your local news media for the 
latest river information.

&&

TNC045-281706-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0066.000000T0000Z-171228T1800Z/
/DYET1.1.ER.171226T0515Z.171226T2100Z.171228T1200Z.NO/
1106 AM CST Wed Dec 27 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the North Fork Forked Deer River at Dyersburg
* until Thursday December 28.
* At 10 AM Wednesday the stage was 22.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Maximum forecast stage of 22.1 feet today Wednesday December 27.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* At 22.0 feet...Flooding is occurring in farm land near the river

&&

LAT...LON 3606 8950 3606 8916 3594 8916 3597 8934
      3601 8938 3595 8948             

$$

TNC033-045-097-281706-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-171231T2100Z/
/HLST1.1.ER.171223T0218Z.171223T0900Z.171231T1500Z.NO/
1106 AM CST Wed Dec 27 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the S.F. Fork Forked Deer River near Halls
* until Sunday December 31.
* At 10 AM Wednesday the stage was 10.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* At 10.5 feet...Flooding on agriculture land near the river.

&&

LAT...LON 3595 8948 3600 8940 3589 8932 3584 8940


$$
200 
WGUS84 KMEG 281436
FLSMEG
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
836 AM CST Thu Dec 28 2017

The Flood Warning continues for the S.F. Fork Forked Deer River.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A followup Flood Statement will be issued when conditions warrant.

For graphical river and flood information...please go to 
www.weather.gov and click near Memphis on the map. Then select Rivers
and Lakes AHPS under current conditions.

Do not drive through flooded areas...turn around don't drown.

Stay tuned to your weather radio and your local news media for the 
latest river information.

&&

TNC033-045-097-291436-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-171230T2100Z/
/HLST1.1.ER.171223T0218Z.171223T0900Z.171230T1500Z.NO/
836 AM CST Thu Dec 28 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the S.F. Fork Forked Deer River near Halls
* until Saturday December 30.
* At 8 AM Thursday the stage was 10.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* At 10.5 feet...Flooding on agriculture land near the river.

&&

LAT...LON 3595 8948 3600 8940 3589 8932 3584 8940


$$
124 
WGUS84 KMEG 290330
FLSMEG
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
930 PM CST Thu Dec 28 2017

The Flood Warning continues for the S.F. Fork Forked Deer River.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A followup Flood Statement will be issued tomorrow morning or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

For graphical river and flood information...please go to 
www.weather.gov and click near Memphis on the map. Then select Rivers
and Lakes AHPS under current conditions.

Do not drive through flooded areas...turn around don't drown.

Stay tuned to your weather radio and your local news media for the 
latest river information.

&&

TNC033-045-097-300330-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-171230T2100Z/
/HLST1.1.ER.171223T0218Z.171223T0900Z.171230T1500Z.NO/
930 PM CST Thu Dec 28 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the S.F. Fork Forked Deer River near Halls
* until Saturday December 30.
* At 09 PM Thursday the stage was 9.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring AND Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* At 10.5 feet...Flooding on agriculture land near the river.

&&

LAT...LON 3595 8948 3600 8940 3589 8932 3584 8940


$$
798 
WGUS84 KMEG 291703
FLSMEG
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
1103 AM CST Fri Dec 29 2017

The Flood Warning continues for the S.F. Fork Forked Deer River.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A followup Flood Statement will be issued when conditions warrant.

For graphical river and flood information...please go to 
www.weather.gov and click near Memphis on the map. Then select Rivers
and Lakes AHPS under current conditions.

Do not drive through flooded areas...turn around don't drown.

Stay tuned to your weather radio and your local news media for the 
latest river information.

&&

TNC033-045-097-301703-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-171231T0300Z/
/HLST1.1.ER.171223T0218Z.171223T0900Z.171230T2100Z.NO/
1103 AM CST Fri Dec 29 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the S.F. Fork Forked Deer River near Halls
* until Saturday December 30.
* At 10 AM Friday the stage was 9.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* At 9.0 feet...Farmland near the river is flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 3595 8948 3600 8940 3589 8932 3584 8940


$$
331 
WGUS84 KMEG 300317
FLSMEG
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
917 PM CST Fri Dec 29 2017

The Flood Warning continues for the S.F. Fork Forked Deer River.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A followup Flood Statement will be issued tomorrow morning or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

For graphical river and flood information...please go to 
www.weather.gov and click near Memphis on the map. Then select Rivers
and Lakes AHPS under current conditions.

Do not drive through flooded areas...turn around don't drown.

Stay tuned to your weather radio and your local news media for the 
latest river information.

&&

TNC033-045-097-310300-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-171231T0300Z/
/HLST1.1.ER.171223T0218Z.171223T0900Z.171230T2100Z.NO/
917 PM CST Fri Dec 29 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the S.F. Fork Forked Deer River near Halls
* until Saturday December 30.
* At 09 PM Friday the stage was 9.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring AND Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* At 9.0 feet...Farmland near the river is flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 3595 8948 3600 8940 3589 8932 3584 8940


$$
732 
WGUS84 KMEG 301652
FLSMEG
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
1052 AM CST Sat Dec 30 2017

The Flood Warning is canceled for the S.F. Fork Forked Deer River.

For graphical river and flood information...please go to 
www.weather.gov and click near Memphis on the map. Then select Rivers
and Lakes AHPS under current conditions.

Stay tuned to your weather radio and your local news media for the 
latest river information.

&&

TNC033-045-097-301722-
/O.CAN.KMEG.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-171231T0300Z/
/HLST1.1.ER.171223T0218Z.171223T0900Z.171230T1551Z.NO/
1052 AM CST Sat Dec 30 2017

Forecast information for
  S.F. Fork Forked Deer River near Halls
* At 10 AM Saturday the stage was 9.0 feet.
* No flooding is currently forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will slowly fall to near 8.8 feet Saturday December 
  30.
* At 9.0 feet...Farmland near the river is flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 3595 8948 3600 8940 3589 8932 3584 8940


$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Dec 21, 10:48 AM CST, 11 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 21, 10:48 AM CST, 11 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
1048 AM CST Thu Dec 21 2017

.DISCUSSION...

Skies are cloudy across the forecast area this morning with
temperatures ranging from the mid 40s to the lower 50s.
Visibilities have improved a little so will let Dense Fog Advisory
expire at 11 am. With the low clouds over the region, temperatures
are not warming as much as expected so have lowered forecast highs
for this afternoon. Updated forecast will be sent out just after
11 am.

ARS

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 403 AM CST Thu Dec 21 2017/

Still on track for a heavy rain event for the Midsouth tomorrow
into tomorrow night. A flash flood watch will likely be needed
later today.

Temperatures this morning range from near 40 degrees in northwest
Tennessee where skies are clear, to near 50 degrees for the
remainder of the Midsouth where a deck of low stratus and fog
were present. Dense fog has developed across parts of the Delta
and expect it to spread northward this morning. As a result a
dense fog advisory has been issued until 9 AM for portions of the
Midsouth, including Memphis and Tupelo.

Cloud cover and fog will be slow to lift this morning, but by the
afternoon expecting at least some breaks in the clouds which will
help to warm temperatures into the low to mid 60s. Get out and
enjoy it today, as the rest of the forecast period features either
wet or colder conditions... this may be the last great day for
awhile. Tomorrow night will be quite warm for late December, with
overnight lows only reaching the upper 50s for much of the Delta
and Memphis, with lower 50s likely elsewhere. Rain showers will
begin to form by late tonight, but heavier precipitation will hold
off until after morning.

Friday will be the most active weather day of the forecast period,
with a heavy rain event becoming increasingly likely across
portions of the Midsouth. Model consensus favors an area of strong
frontogenesis developing along and near the I-40 corridor,
leading to a prolonged period of heavy precipitation. Guidance has
been consistently producing an area of 3-5 inches of rainfall,
with Memphis and Jackson situated right in the bullseye. The good
news is this rain will be spread across a 24 hour period which
should help to limit any flash flooding... But given the recent
rainfall and the potential for isolated areas of 5+ inches, a
flash flood watch will likely be needed by later today.

By Saturday morning the frontal boundary will finally be exiting
the area to the east, with any lingering anafront showers likely
ending by midday. It will feel much cooler after experiencing so
many days in the 60s this past week.. high temperatures will only
reach the mid to upper 40s across most of the Midsouth. Low
temperatures will fall to near freezing Saturday night.

Christmas Eve will see even colder conditions, with high
temperatures struggling to get above 40 degrees for much of the
region. Occasional flurries are possible, mainly across northern
portions of the Midsouth, but anyone hoping for accumulating
snowfall for Christmas will likely be disappointed. Low
temperatures Sunday night will fall into the 20s.

Christmas day will see continued cold, but dry conditions. Highs
will top out in the low to mid 40s under mostly sunny skies.
Beyond Christmas day models continue to have a poor handle on the
upper level pattern. To illustrate this uncertainty, one needs to
look no farther than the Euro ensemble guidance which has a high
temperature spread next Wednesday of nearly 30 degrees, anywhere
from 34 degrees to 58 degrees for a high temperature. Stay tuned.

WLC

&&

.AVIATION.../12z TAFs/

Poor aviation conditions are expected to continue into early
afternoon with VLIFR/LIFR cigs and vsbys continuing through mid
morning, only improving to IFR by late morning. Eventually, low
cigs and vsbys will mix out with a brief return to VFR this
afternoon. Increasing south winds can also be anticipated at 8 kts
or greater by this afternoon.

Low stratus and advection fog should redevelop by this evening and
continue through the remainder of the forecast period. Rain
showers will also redevelop after midnight and intensify in
intensity on Friday morning. IFR conditions or lower are
anticipated, especially after midnight. Brisk south winds greater
than 8 kts will continue overnight into Friday morning.

JLH

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...Dense Fog Advisory until 11 AM CST this morning for Clay-
     Craighead-Crittenden-Cross-Greene-Lawrence-Lee AR-
     Mississippi-Phillips-Poinsett-Randolph-St. Francis.

MO...Dense Fog Advisory until 11 AM CST this morning for Dunklin-
     Pemiscot.

MS...Dense Fog Advisory until 11 AM CST this morning for Alcorn-
     Benton MS-Calhoun-Coahoma-DeSoto-Lafayette-Marshall-Panola-
     Pontotoc-Prentiss-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tippah-
     Tishomingo-Tunica-Union-Yalobusha.

TN...Dense Fog Advisory until 11 AM CST this morning for Benton TN-
     Carroll-Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Dyer-Fayette-Gibson-
     Hardeman-Hardin-Haywood-Henderson-Lake-Lauderdale-Madison-
     McNairy-Shelby-Tipton.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 21, 9:30 AM CST, 1 hour 29 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Memphis TN
930 AM CST Thu Dec 21 2017

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-221730-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Benton TN-Calhoun-Carroll-Chester-Chickasaw-Clay-
Coahoma-Craighead-Crittenden-Crockett-Cross-DeSoto-Decatur-
Dunklin-Dyer-Fayette-Gibson-Greene-Hardeman-Hardin-Haywood-
Henderson-Henry-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lake-Lauderdale-Lawrence-
Lee AR-Lee MS-Madison-Marshall-McNairy-Mississippi-Monroe-Obion-
Panola-Pemiscot-Phillips-Poinsett-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Quitman-
Randolph-Shelby-St. Francis-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tippah-Tipton-
Tishomingo-Tunica-Union-Weakley-Yalobusha-
930 AM CST Thu Dec 21 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of East Arkansas...
the Missouri Bootheel...North Mississippi...and West Tennessee.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A Dense Fog Advisory is in effect for much of the Mid-South
through 11 AM CST as visibilities have fallen to one quarter mile
or less.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

A heavy rainfall event is becoming increasingly likely Friday
morning through late Friday night. An area of 3-5 inches of
rainfall is expected, centered along the I-40 corridor with
isolated higher amounts. This could lead to areas of flash
flooding. Keep a close eye on the forecast as we head into
tomorrow.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report any flooding to the NWS in Memphis.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Memphis, TN issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 21, 2:41 AM CSTDense Fog AdvisoryMEGBenton, Carroll, Chester, Crockett, Decatur, Dyer and 15 more6 hr
Dec 21, 8:56 AM CSTDense Fog AdvisoryMEGBenton, Carroll, Chester, Crockett, Decatur, Dyer and 12 more2 hr
Dec 21, 10:59 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningMEGMadison3 days
Dec 21, 10:59 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningMEGFayette, Shelby53 hr
Dec 21, 3:31 PM CSTFlash Flood WatchMEGBenton, Carroll, Chester, Crockett, Decatur, Dyer and 15 more39 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Tennessee, 2017Every river flood warning in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.