Flash Flood Warning 27, NWS Memphis, TN

112 
WGUS74 KMEG 021025
FFSMEG

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
525 AM CDT FRI JUN 2 2017

MSC009-071-081-093-145-021230-
/O.CON.KMEG.FF.W.0027.000000T0000Z-170602T1230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Lafayette MS-Union MS-Lee MS-Marshall MS-Benton MS-
525 AM CDT FRI JUN 2 2017

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 AM CDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN LAFAYETTE...UNION...NORTHWESTERN LEE...SOUTHEASTERN
MARSHALL AND SOUTH CENTRAL BENTON COUNTIES...

At 524 AM CDT,Doppler Radar estimates 1 to 3 inches of rain has
occurred over the past 2 hours. Showers and thunderstorms will
produce an additional 1 to 3 inches of rain over the next hour.

Some locations that will experience flooding include...
New Albany, New Harmony, Bethlehem, Etta, Sherman, Hickory Flat,
Myrtle, Blue Springs, Shari, Poolville, Branyan, Ellistown, Old
Myrtle, Pumpkin Center, Jug Fork, Baker, Smalco, Glenfield, Union
Hill and Winborn.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Please report flooding to your local law enforcement agency when you
can do so safely.

&&

LAT...LON 3432 8874 3435 8883 3436 8883 3436 8887
      3448 8924 3441 8925 3450 8945 3466 8928
      3448 8879

$$

412 
WGUS74 KMEG 021221
FFSMEG

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
721 AM CDT FRI JUN 2 2017

MSC009-071-081-093-145-021230-
/O.EXP.KMEG.FF.W.0027.000000T0000Z-170602T1230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Lafayette MS-Union MS-Lee MS-Marshall MS-Benton MS-
721 AM CDT FRI JUN 2 2017

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN LAFAYETTE...UNION...
NORTHWESTERN LEE...SOUTHEASTERN MARSHALL AND SOUTH CENTRAL BENTON
COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 730 AM CDT...

The heavy rain is ending. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a 
threat. Please continue to heed any remaining road closures.

LAT...LON 3432 8874 3435 8883 3436 8883 3436 8887
      3448 8924 3441 8925 3450 8945 3466 8928
      3448 8879

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
429 AM CDT Fri Jun 2 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A tropical airmass will prevail across the Midsouth through the
weekend, with continued rain chances each day.

Precipitable water values in excess of 1.5 inches prevailed over
north MS early this morning. An east/west oriented band of
thunderstorms had formed along a slow, northward-moving 850mb warm
front, aided by a midlevel cyclonic shear axis. The elevated front
will mix out later this morning. Additional scattered thunderstorms
will likely form along mesoscale boundaries in the heat of the day.

A similar scenario appears likely for Saturday and Sunday, but
with 1.5 inch or greater precipitable water values over all the
Midsouth, approaching 2 inches over north MS. GFS hints at a weak
midlevel shear axis downstream of an upper low over the Red River
valley, which may aid storm persistence. Otherwise midlevel
steering flow will remain weak across the Midsouth. Midlevel
lapse rates should remain shy of 6 C/km, limiting large hail
potential.

A northern branch shortwave will drop through the mid-MS River
valley Sunday night, and early Monday, introducing some weak sheer
and perhaps a slight bump in severe potential on Monday. Not much
of a surface reflection with the shortwave however. A surface
cold frontal passage will likely await more pronounced midlevel
height falls late Tuesday. Thereafter, a drier midcontinental
airmass will prevail, with slightly below normal daytime temps and
relatively cool nights persisting into late next week.

PWB

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF cycle

VFR conditions should persist for much of the forecast period.
Some scattered thunderstorms may develop Friday afternoon and into
the early evening hours. Winds will be mainly from the south at
around 5 knots for much of the forecast period.

ARS

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Memphis TN
307 AM CDT Fri Jun 2 2017

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-031015-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Benton TN-Calhoun-Carroll-Chester-Chickasaw-Clay-
Coahoma-Craighead-Crittenden-Crockett-Cross-DeSoto-Decatur-
Dunklin-Dyer-Fayette-Gibson-Greene-Hardeman-Hardin-Haywood-
Henderson-Henry-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lake-Lauderdale-Lawrence-
Lee AR-Lee MS-Madison-Marshall-McNairy-Mississippi-Monroe-Obion-
Panola-Pemiscot-Phillips-Poinsett-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Quitman-
Randolph-Shelby-St. Francis-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tippah-Tipton-
Tishomingo-Tunica-Union-Weakley-Yalobusha-
307 AM CDT Fri Jun 2 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of East Arkansas...
the Missouri Bootheel...North Mississippi...and West Tennessee.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Scattered strong thunderstorm will be possible through midevening.
Strong winds and locally heavy rainfall will be the primary
threats.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Scattered strong, isolated severe severe thunderstorms will be
possible through early next week. Strong winds an locally heavy
rainfall will be the primary threats.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

PWB