Flash Flood Warning 25, NWS Memphis, TN

616 
WGUS74 KMEG 020218
FFSMEG

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
918 PM CDT THU JUN 1 2017

TNC017-053-020315-
/O.CON.KMEG.FF.W.0025.000000T0000Z-170602T0315Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Gibson TN-Carroll TN-
918 PM CDT THU JUN 1 2017

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1015 PM CDT FOR
EAST CENTRAL GIBSON AND WEST CENTRAL CARROLL COUNTIES...

At 917 PM CDT,Doppler Radar estimates over 3 inches of rain has 
occurred over the past 3 hours.

Rain is starting to taper off in the warning area though the flash 
flooding threat will continue due to runoff. 

Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Milan, Bradford, Atwood, Trezevant, McLemoresville, Skullbone, Cades,
Holly Leaf, Gann, Ledbetter and Wingo.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 3594 8882 3612 8883 3611 8878 3611 8876
      3609 8875 3606 8869 3606 8866 3608 8865
      3606 8858 3590 8849

$$

073 
WGUS54 KMEG 020311
FFWMEG
TNC017-053-020415-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FF.W.0025.000000T0000Z-170602T0415Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Memphis TN
1011 PM CDT THU JUN 1 2017

The National Weather Service in Memphis has extended the

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  East central Gibson County in western Tennessee...
  West central Carroll County in western Tennessee...

* Until 1115 PM CDT

* At 1009 PM CDT...Doppler Radar estimates over 3 inches of rain has 
  occurred over the last 4 hours.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
  Milan, Bradford, Atwood, Trezevant, McLemoresville, Skullbone,
  Cades, Holly Leaf, Gann, Ledbetter and Wingo.

Rain is tapering off but runoff will continue to cause flash 
flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3594 8882 3612 8883 3611 8878 3611 8876
      3609 8875 3606 8869 3606 8866 3608 8865
      3606 8858 3590 8849

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
633 PM CDT Thu Jun 1 2017

.UPDATE...

Updated for the 00Z Aviation Discussion

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 237 PM CDT Thu Jun 1 2017/

DISCUSSION...

Currently a few strong thunderstorms were slowly drifting west
from near West Memphis to Forrest City Arkansas with nickel size
hail being reported in South Memphis and 46 kts at the West
Memphis airport. Other convection on radar...which has been more
persistent...was slowly advancing north from the ARKLAMISS. Short
term model guidance shows this activity weakening over the next
few hours as it moves into the far southwestern Delta
counties...leaving the remainder of the region with the isolated
pop-up variety through sunset. Current temperatures were in the
low to mid 80s with light east through south winds.

Tonight through Monday...current activity will diminish tonight
with heating...leaving for partly to mostly cloudy skies over the
region. Lows will be similar to this morning. For tomorrow and
Saturday have kept rain chances at or below 50 percent through the
period. Weak ridging aloft depicted by the models will provide
for less storm coverage...until Sunday when the upper flow
strengthens from the Northwest and deeper moisture pools ahead of
an approaching cold front. Isolated strong storms will be
possible during the peak heating hours each day...with the
potential for some severe weather late Sunday into Monday.
Confidence of this occurring is low at this time...as shear will
be marginal. Bumped high temperatures up a degree or two through
the period...with skies generally partly sunny and winds light.

Tuesday through next Thursday...surface high pressure will build
south from the Midwest and persist through this period. Dewpoints
will fall into the 50s...with north to northeast winds providing
for very comfortable temperature's and humidity. A second
reinforcing front will slide across the lower Ohio Valley late
Thursday...but the lack of moisture should keep the Midsouth dry.

JAB

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF cycle

VFR conditions should prevail for most of the forecast period.
Scattered thunderstorms were mainly over northern sections of the
forecast area at this time and they should die out over the next
couple of hours. More scattered thunderstorms may develop Friday
afternoon. Winds will be mainly from the south at 5 to 10 knots
for much of the forecast period.

ARS

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Memphis TN
235 PM CDT Thu Jun 1 2017

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-022145-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Benton TN-Calhoun-Carroll-Chester-Chickasaw-Clay-
Coahoma-Craighead-Crittenden-Crockett-Cross-DeSoto-Decatur-
Dunklin-Dyer-Fayette-Gibson-Greene-Hardeman-Hardin-Haywood-
Henderson-Henry-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lake-Lauderdale-Lawrence-
Lee AR-Lee MS-Madison-Marshall-McNairy-Mississippi-Monroe-Obion-
Panola-Pemiscot-Phillips-Poinsett-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Quitman-
Randolph-Shelby-St. Francis-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tippah-Tipton-
Tishomingo-Tunica-Union-Weakley-Yalobusha-
235 PM CDT Thu Jun 1 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of East Arkansas...
the Missouri Bootheel...North Mississippi...and West Tennessee.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

A few strong thunderstorms containing gusty winds...small hail
and localized heavy rainfall are possible late this afternoon into
this evening across the Mid-South.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

A few strong thunderstorms will be possible during the afternoon
and evening hours Friday and Saturday. A severe storm or two will
be possible Sunday and Monday with an approaching cold front.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

JAB

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
444 PM CDT THU JUN 1 2017

ARZ008-009-018-012230-
Greene AR-Randolph AR-Clay AR-
444 PM CDT THU JUN 1 2017

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED UNTIL 530 PM CDT
FOR...

Northwestern Greene County in eastern Arkansas...
Southeastern Randolph County in eastern Arkansas...
Southwestern Clay County in eastern Arkansas...

At 444 PM CDT...a strong thunderstorm producing pea size hail or
larger and winds at least 40 mph was located near Pocahontas, moving
east at 15 mph.

People in northwestern Greene...southeastern Randolph and
southwestern Clay Counties should monitor this storm closely.

LAT...LON 3632 9054 3606 9062 3611 9077 3612 9077
      3615 9075 3615 9091 3618 9101 3636 9096
TIME...MOT...LOC 2144Z 283DEG 13KT 3626 9091

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
518 PM CDT THU JUN 1 2017

ARZ018-026-028-MOZ113-012300-
Greene AR-Craighead AR-Mississippi AR-Dunklin MO-
518 PM CDT THU JUN 1 2017

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED UNTIL 600 PM CDT
FOR...

Southeastern Greene County in eastern Arkansas...
Northeastern Craighead County in eastern Arkansas...
Northwestern Mississippi County in eastern Arkansas...
Southwestern Dunklin County in southeastern Missouri...

At 517 PM CDT...a strong thunderstorm producing pea size hail or
larger and winds at least 40 mph was located near Monette, moving
east at 15 mph.

Very heavy rain along with continuous cloud to ground lightning are
also possible with this thunderstorm.

People in southeastern Greene...northeastern Craighead...northwestern
Mississippi and southwestern Dunklin Counties should monitor this
storm closely.

LAT...LON 3588 9055 3608 9045 3601 8999 3575 9006
TIME...MOT...LOC 2217Z 283DEG 13KT 3595 9034

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
521 PM CDT THU JUN 1 2017

TNZ004-022-012300-
Benton TN-Henry TN-
521 PM CDT THU JUN 1 2017

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED UNTIL 600 PM CDT
FOR...

Northern Benton County in western Tennessee...
Central Henry County in western Tennessee...

At 520 PM CDT...a strong thunderstorm producing pea size hail or
larger and winds at least 40 mph was located over Paris, moving east
at 15 mph.

Very heavy rain along with continuous cloud to ground lightning are
also possible with this thunderstorm.

People in northern Benton and central Henry Counties should monitor
this storm closely.

LAT...LON 3608 8801 3613 8821 3615 8821 3615 8828
      3621 8853 3639 8852 3634 8797 3629 8795
TIME...MOT...LOC 2220Z 283DEG 13KT 3628 8829

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
522 PM CDT THU JUN 1 2017

ARZ028-MOZ115-012300-
Mississippi AR-Pemiscot MO-
522 PM CDT THU JUN 1 2017

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED UNTIL 600 PM CDT
FOR...

Northeastern Mississippi County in eastern Arkansas...
Southwestern Pemiscot County in southeastern Missouri...

At 522 PM CDT...a strong thunderstorm producing pea size hail or
larger was located near Blytheville, moving northwest at 10 mph.

Very heavy rain along with continuous cloud to ground lightning are
also possible with this thunderstorm.

People in northeastern Mississippi and southwestern Pemiscot Counties
should monitor this storm closely.

LAT...LON 3615 8990 3591 8973 3589 8977 3586 8977
      3578 8989 3588 9002 3600 8999 3600 8996
      3605 8996
TIME...MOT...LOC 2222Z 141DEG 10KT 3590 8987

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
603 PM CDT THU JUN 1 2017

TNZ019-048-050-051-012345-
Crockett TN-Lauderdale TN-Dyer TN-Haywood TN-
603 PM CDT THU JUN 1 2017

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED UNTIL 645 PM CDT
FOR...

West central Crockett County in western Tennessee...
Northeastern Lauderdale County in western Tennessee...
Southeastern Dyer County in western Tennessee...
Northwestern Haywood County in western Tennessee...

At 603 PM CDT...a strong thunderstorm producing pea size hail or
larger and winds at least 40 mph was located near Halls, or 9 miles
north of Ripley, moving east at 5 mph.

Very heavy rain along with continuous cloud to ground lightning are
also possible with this thunderstorm.

People in west central Crockett...northeastern Lauderdale...
southeastern Dyer and northwestern Haywood Counties should monitor
this storm closely.

LAT...LON 3581 8959 3599 8953 3596 8923 3570 8933
TIME...MOT...LOC 2303Z 287DEG 6KT 3588 8948

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
639 PM CDT THU JUN 1 2017

TNZ021-020030-
Carroll TN-
639 PM CDT THU JUN 1 2017

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED UNTIL 730 PM CDT
FOR...

Central Carroll County in western Tennessee...

At 639 PM CDT...a strong thunderstorm producing pea size hail or
larger and winds at least 40 mph was located near Huntingdon. this
storm was nearly stationary.

Very heavy rain along with continuous cloud to ground lightning are
also possible with this thunderstorm.

People in central Carroll County should monitor this storm closely.

LAT...LON 3586 8822 3583 8861 3601 8870 3602 8868
      3610 8842
TIME...MOT...LOC 2339Z 314DEG 4KT 3595 8849