Alert archive / Texas / Special Weather Statements in 2017

Special Weather Statement, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

July 3, 2017Pecos County, Texas

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this special weather statement at Jul 3, 2017, 4:15 PM CDT for Pecos County, Texas. It was in force for 45 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 3, 2017, 4:15 PM CDT (21:15 UTC)
Expired: Jul 3, 2017, 5:00 PM CDT
In force: 45 min
Issued by: NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

County Pecos County, TX

The radar

The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 131 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:17 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 3, 1:39 PM CDT, 2 hours 36 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 3, 1:39 PM CDT, 2 hours 36 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
139 PM CDT Mon Jul 3 2017

.DISCUSSION...

A shortwave trough translating eastward over the central U.S. Plains
today will flatten an upper ridge over New Mexico/Arizona and put
southeast New Mexico and west Texas under northwest flow aloft.  The
flow aloft will become more northerly Tuesday as the shortwave
through lingers over the plains, and the upper ridge expands
northward over the Rockies.  The upper ridge will then stay centered
over the Four Corners region through next weekend and leave the
region under easterly or northeasterly flow aloft.  Weak
disturbances within the veering flow aloft will aide convective
development this afternoon as the atmosphere destabilizes from ample
low level moisture and above normal temperatures over the region.
The higher terrain will serve as a focus for thunderstorm
development, as will a couple of now ill-defined outflow boundaries
which moved south into the region last night.  One is located over
the northern Permian Basin, and the other is over the higher terrain
hugging the eastern slopes of the Guadalupes and Delawares, mainly
in Culberson County.  We could see storms develop through 03/22Z,
with some strengthening enough to produce strong downburst winds
considering SBCape will be 1500-2500 J/Kg, and steep mid level lapse
rates of 7.5-8.5 C/km are present.  More organized storms, and for
that matter, large hail are not likely as 0 to 6km bulk Shear will
top out around 20kt.  Frequent lightning strikes will accompany the
stronger storms too, as will heavy rainfall and localized flash
flooding.  Storms could form into a MCS and move east through the
Permian Basin this evening/overnight.

Additional thunderstorms will move over the Texas Panhandle tonight
and send another outflow boundary south into the area.  This
boundary, along with any residual boundaries from convection here
and the higher terrain, will provide a low level focus for more
thunderstorm development Tuesday afternoon.  Will likely hone in on
the higher terrain for now for PoPs until Tuesday night when we will
be susceptible to a MCS moving southeastward into the region from
east central New Mexico or the Texas Panhandle.  Some of these
storms could produce strong winds, frequent lightning and locally
heavy rainfall.  On Wednesday, more scattered thunderstorms will be
possible, but zeroing in one one location or another outside the
higher terrain will be difficult.  For thursday and beyond, it
appears rain chances will not be as great areawide under
northeasterly or easterly flow aloft, so will keep any Pops on the
low side.  Temperatures look to spike this afternoon and Tuesday,
then will be at, or a little above, normal for the rest of the
extended.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     75 100  74  96 /  40  10  20  20
Carlsbad                       69 103  71  96 /  20  20  10  30
Dryden                         75  98  73  96 /  30  20  10  20
Fort Stockton                  73 102  73  97 /  30  20  10  30
Guadalupe Pass                 70  94  71  89 /  20  20  10  30
Hobbs                          67  98  69  94 /  20  20  20  20
Marfa                          62  94  62  91 /  20  20  10  30
Midland Intl Airport           73 100  74  96 /  30  10  20  20
Odessa                         74 100  74  96 /  30  10  20  20
Wink                           73 103  72  98 /  20  20  20  30

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

80/67

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 3, 12:49 PM CDT, 3 hours 26 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1249 PM CDT Mon Jul 3 2017

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-041800-
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains-
Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines-
Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Reeves County and Upper Trans Pecos-
Loving-Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-
Davis/Apache Mountains Area-Pecos-Presidio Valley-Marfa Plateau-
Big Bend Area-Terrell-Guadalupe Mountains-
1249 PM CDT Mon Jul 3 2017 /1149 AM MDT Mon Jul 3 2017/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast New
Mexico, southwest Texas and western Texas.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

Scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop this afternoon, with
the best chances across the western/central Permian Basin and
southwest towards the Davis and Guadalupe Mountains. The highest
chances shift east this evening toward the central/eastern Permian
Basin and Lower Trans Pecos. Some storms may become strong, capable
of producing strong downburst winds, heavy rainfall, localized flash
flooding, frequent lightning, and small hail.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

Chances of thunderstorms continue into Tuesday and Wednesday. Some
storms may become strong, capable of producing strong downburst
winds, heavy rainfall, localized flash flooding, frequent lightning,
and small hail.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories,
and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in
Midland, can be found on the internet at...
http://weather.gov/midland

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 3, 1:48 PM CDT, 2 hours 27 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
148 PM CDT MON JUL 3 2017

TXZ058-074-031930-
Reeves County and Upper Trans Pecos TX-
Davis/Apache Mountains Area TX-
148 PM CDT MON JUL 3 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WEST CENTRAL REEVES COUNTY UNTIL
230 PM CDT...

At 148 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 15
miles northeast of Kent, moving north at 15 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of west central Reeves
County.

This includes Interstate 20 between mile markers 1 and 17.

LAT...LON 3107 10390 3110 10410 3138 10408 3135 10383
TIME...MOT...LOC 1848Z 190DEG 12KT 3117 10399

70

Special weather statement, Jul 3, 2:25 PM CDT, 1 hour 50 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
225 PM CDT MON JUL 3 2017

TXZ058-074-032030-
Reeves County and Upper Trans Pecos TX-
Davis/Apache Mountains Area TX-
225 PM CDT MON JUL 3 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WEST CENTRAL REEVES COUNTY UNTIL
330 PM CDT...

At 224 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Toyah, moving northeast at 15 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Toyah.

This includes Interstate 20 between mile markers 3 and 34.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3111 10393 3109 10403 3126 10403 3157 10377
      3121 10341
TIME...MOT...LOC 1924Z 241DEG 15KT 3127 10386

67

Special weather statement, Jul 3, 4:15 PM CDT, 0 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
415 PM CDT MON JUL 3 2017

TXZ075-032200-
Pecos TX-
415 PM CDT MON JUL 3 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTH CENTRAL PECOS COUNTY UNTIL
500 PM CDT...

At 415 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles north of Fort Stockton, moving north at 10 mph.

Half inch hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Fort Stockton, Belding, Firestone Test Track and Fort Stockton-Pecos
County Airport.

This includes Interstate 10 between mile markers 246 and 269.

LAT...LON 3069 10281 3079 10315 3127 10302 3118 10260
TIME...MOT...LOC 2115Z 192DEG 11KT 3102 10293

The office that day

Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 3, 1:48 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Reeves	42 min
Jul 3, 2:25 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Reeves	65 min
Jul 3, 2:43 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Brewster	3 hr
Jul 3, 2:47 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Reeves	3 hr
Jul 3, 4:21 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Andrews	39 min
Jul 3, 4:36 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Pecos	114 min
Jul 3, 4:58 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Andrews, Ector, Martin	2 hr
Jul 3, 5:58 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Dawson	47 min
Jul 3, 6:39 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Ector, Martin, Midland	2 hr
Jul 3, 6:42 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Ector	33 min
Jul 3, 6:49 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Ector	3 hr

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Texas, 2017 Every special weather statement in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.