Severe Thunderstorm Warning 241, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

779 
WWUS54 KMAF 162351
SVSMAF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
651 PM CDT WED AUG 16 2017

TXC415-170015-
/O.CON.KMAF.SV.W.0241.000000T0000Z-170817T0015Z/
Scurry TX-
651 PM CDT WED AUG 16 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM CDT
FOR NORTHERN SCURRY COUNTY...

At 650 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 8 miles northeast of
Snyder, moving southeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Snyder, Hermleigh, Us-180 Near The Fisher-
Scurry County Line, Winston Field, Midway, Union and Hudd.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3266 10108 3291 10095 3293 10084 3294 10066
      3293 10065 3261 10066
TIME...MOT...LOC 2350Z 314DEG 11KT 3276 10078 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

67

008 
WWUS54 KMAF 162355
SVSMAF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
655 PM CDT WED AUG 16 2017

TXC415-170015-
/O.CON.KMAF.SV.W.0241.000000T0000Z-170817T0015Z/
Scurry TX-
655 PM CDT WED AUG 16 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM CDT
FOR NORTHERN SCURRY COUNTY...

At 655 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 7 miles east of
Snyder, moving south at 10 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and nickel size hail. 

SOURCE...Public. 

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Snyder, Hermleigh, Us-180 Near The Fisher-
Scurry County Line, Winston Field, Midway, Union and Hudd.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3266 10108 3291 10095 3293 10084 3294 10066
      3293 10065 3261 10066
TIME...MOT...LOC 2355Z 348DEG 8KT 3275 10080 

HAIL...0.88IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

67

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
610 PM CDT Wed Aug 16 2017

.DISCUSSION...

See 00z aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...

Thunderstorms are expected this evening around the MAF and FST
areas. Otherwise, VFR conditions are expected for the next 24
hours. Winds will shift toward the south this evening and
overnight and will mostly be light.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 247 PM CDT Wed Aug 16 2017/

DISCUSSION...

Today is shaping up to be another very warm day across Southeast
New Mexico and West Texas, as temperatures have already reached
into the upper 80s and lower 90s this afternoon with a few hours
of heating left to go. Scattered storms have already begun to
develop across the Davis Mountains and Stockton Plateau, with
additional thunderstorms possible this afternoon into tonight,
mainly across the favored higher terrain of the Davis
Mountains/Marfa Plateau as well as eastern portions of the area
where dewpoints in the upper 60s to around 70 degrees are
prevalent. A trailing cold front associated with yesterday's
shortwave may act as a focus for convection to the north of the
area, with the potential for additional development across the
northern Permian Basin/Western Low Rolling Plains due to outflow
boundary interactions. However, a diffuse dryline looks to be the
primary focus for convection across the central Permian Basin
southward to the Big Bend Area, as echoed by high-resolution
guidance. While shear is lacking, ample instability is expected to
result in a few strong to possibly severe storms, with damaging
downburst winds the primary threat. Also, given precipitable water
values around 1.25", heavy rainfall leading to localized
flooding/flash flooding is a concern. Storms that develop are
expected to continue into this evening before gradually
diminishing overnight.

Thursday onward, the pattern will be dominated by a broad upper
ridge currently located across the Gulf Coast, which will slowly
build westward across the region. Increasing southeasterly flow
around the periphery of the ridge will result in a westward
expansion of PoPs Thursday, however, as heights gradually rise
over the area, storm chances Friday into early next week will
generally be confined to the higher terrain and immediately
adjacent plains. Despite the rising heights, 850mb temperatures
will remain fairly steady in the 24-27C range the next several
days, which will yield highs each afternoon in the 90s for most
locations, and 80s across higher terrain, pretty close to normal
for this time of year.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     74  95  74  95 /  20  20  20  10
Carlsbad                       68  97  71  94 /   0  10  10  10
Dryden                         76  96  76  97 /  20  20  10  10
Fort Stockton                  73  95  72  94 /  10  20  10  20
Guadalupe Pass                 69  89  66  87 /   0  10  10  20
Hobbs                          68  92  69  91 /   0  20  20  10
Marfa                          63  87  61  86 /  10  30  30  30
Midland Intl Airport           74  95  74  95 /  10  20  20  10
Odessa                         74  95  73  94 /  10  20  20  10
Wink                           73  98  74  96 /   0  10  10  10

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

99/99/

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
107 PM CDT Wed Aug 16 2017

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-171815-
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains-
Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines-
Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Reeves County and Upper Trans Pecos-
Loving-Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-
Davis/Apache Mountains Area-Pecos-Presidio Valley-Marfa Plateau-
Big Bend Area-Terrell-Guadalupe Mountains-
107 PM CDT Wed Aug 16 2017 /1207 PM MDT Wed Aug 16 2017/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast New
Mexico, southwest Texas and western Texas.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop late
this afternoon, continuing into the evening, from the eastern
Permian Basin to the Presidio Valley eastward. Strong storms
with locally heavy rain, hail and gusty winds will be possible
mostly over the eastern Permian Basin. The main threat will
the potential for damaging winds and areas of dense blowing dust
near thunderstorms in this area.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories,
and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in
Midland, can be found on the internet at...
http://weather.gov/midland

05

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
527 PM CDT WED AUG 16 2017

TXZ075-081-162315-
Pecos TX-Big Bend Area TX-
527 PM CDT WED AUG 16 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTH CENTRAL PECOS AND EAST
CENTRAL BREWSTER COUNTIES UNTIL 615 PM CDT...

At 526 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles southwest of Longfellow, or 20 miles west of Sanderson, moving
south at 15 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Longfellow.

LAT...LON 3014 10285 3018 10265 2992 10248 2980 10284
TIME...MOT...LOC 2226Z 348DEG 11KT 3009 10273

80

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
551 PM CDT WED AUG 16 2017

TXZ048-162345-
Scurry TX-
551 PM CDT WED AUG 16 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN SCURRY COUNTY UNTIL
645 PM CDT...

At 551 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 14
miles northwest of Hobbs, or 20 miles northeast of Snyder, moving
southeast at 15 mph.

Dime size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Us-180 Near The Fisher-Scurry County Line, Midway and Hudd.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3270 10067 3285 10089 3296 10086 3296 10066
      3271 10066
TIME...MOT...LOC 2251Z 313DEG 15KT 3296 10072

67