Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2017

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 142, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

May 22, 2017Culberson County, Loving County, Reeves County, Texas; Eddy County, Lea County, New Mexico

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 22, 2017, 8:00 PM CDT for Culberson County, Loving County, Reeves County, Texas; Eddy County, Lea County, New Mexico. It was in force for 30 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 22, 2017, 8:00 PM CDT (01:00 UTC)
Expired: May 22, 2017, 8:30 PM CDT
In force: 30 min
Issued by: NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Eddy County, NM, Lea County, NM, Culberson County, TX, Loving County, TX, Reeves County, TX

The radar

The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 177 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
May 22, 7:26 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	6 hr
May 22, 2:01 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 00:00Z, 1.0 hours before the alert went out and 176 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 998 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -176 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1281 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 43 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -3 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 88 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

401 
WUUS54 KMAF 230100
SVRMAF
NMC015-025-TXC109-301-389-230130-
/O.NEW.KMAF.SV.W.0142.170523T0100Z-170523T0130Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
800 PM CDT MON MAY 22 2017

The National Weather Service in Midland has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Southeastern Eddy County in southeastern New Mexico...
  Southern Lea County in southeastern New Mexico...
  Northwestern Reeves County in southwestern Texas...
  Northeastern Culberson County in southwestern Texas...
  Northwestern Loving County in western Texas...

* Until 830 PM CDT/730 PM MDT/

* At 800 PM CDT/700 PM MDT/, a severe thunderstorm was located 8
  miles southeast of Malaga, or 20 miles north of Orla, moving
  southeast at 20 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

  SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

  IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage 
           to roofs, siding, and trees. 

* Locations impacted include...
  Orla, Red Bluff Reservoir, Malaga, Whites City and Red Bluff. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3218 10437 3229 10381 3186 10354 3174 10421
TIME...MOT...LOC 0100Z 330DEG 16KT 3211 10400 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

82

1 follow-up statement

471 
WWUS54 KMAF 230117
SVSMAF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
817 PM CDT MON MAY 22 2017

NMC015-025-TXC109-301-389-230130-
/O.CON.KMAF.SV.W.0142.000000T0000Z-170523T0130Z/
Eddy NM-Lea NM-Reeves TX-Culberson TX-Loving TX-
817 PM CDT MON MAY 22 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM
CDT/730 PM MDT/ FOR SOUTHEASTERN EDDY...SOUTHERN LEA...NORTHWESTERN
REEVES...NORTHEASTERN CULBERSON AND NORTHWESTERN LOVING COUNTIES...

At 817 PM CDT/717 PM MDT/, a severe thunderstorm was located 7 miles
north of Red Bluff Reservoir, or 15 miles north of Orla, moving
southeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Orla, Red Bluff Reservoir and Red Bluff. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3212 10420 3229 10381 3186 10354 3177 10410
TIME...MOT...LOC 0117Z 330DEG 16KT 3204 10395 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

82

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 22, 5:48 PM CDT, 2 hours 12 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 22, 5:48 PM CDT, 2 hours 12 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
548 PM CDT Mon May 22 2017

.DISCUSSION...

The latest Aviation Discussion is included below.

&&

.AVIATION...

Expect thunderstorms to become more widespread through 23/00Z, so have
included a mention of TSRA in all area terminals.  Gusty and
variable winds could accompany any of the storms, in addition to
hail.  Think thunderstorms could be east of all area terminals by
23/04Z too.  A cold front will move south into the area late
tonight with gusty north winds behind it.  Ceilings will lower to
MVFR behind the front for a few hours, and could dip to IFR.
Expect VFR conditions areawide after 23/17Z.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 155 PM CDT Mon May 22 2017/

Water vapor depicts will a defined a shrtwv trof INVOF nrn NM
tracking se within NW flow aloft with trof axis extending sw
across NM. As lift assocd with shrtwv trof moves se into ern NM/W
TX it will encounter surface dwpnts around 55. Lift will be
modulated by mid level LR's 7h-5h of 8-8.5 LR's and MLCAPES of
1000-1500 J/KG result. A low level thermal/moisture gradient will
develop across ern NM too. This is a good pattern for tstms (MCS)
to develop in, bulk shear is forecast to be over 50kts and severe
storms are expected. 0-1km and 0-3km SRH do depict 300 m2/s2 or so
along the outflow, but LCLs are high, thus a non-zero probability
of a tornado. NAM12 continues to have the QPF max across the e
and GFS a little farther w. Confidence is high that severe storms
will come out somewhere between INK-SNK. There could even be 2
separate areas of storms, one that initiates in far SE NM or W PB
and another off to the nw initiating in ern NM or the wrn S Plain.
The forecast already has high PoPs in and will probably not make
too much change. Recent heavy rainfall across
Mitchell/Scurry/Howard Counties does raise concern for at least
localized flash flooding and responses along Colorado River and
tributaries. A cold front will follow Tue AM and models are in
agreement that post-frontal precip will develop. It will be
noticeably cooler Tue in wake of the front, but clouds will likely
break out late. Thereafter a modest warm-up on Wed followed by a
strong trend from the lower left to upper right. 85h temps 31C and
downslope wind will easily push temps into the U90s-L100s.
Dryline will probably hang up across far srn CWFA, may be storm in
Terrell Co.. A little cooler but still hot Fri-Sat with a
possible front on Sunday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     57  72  52  85 /  80  50  10   0
Carlsbad                       55  74  51  91 /  20  10   0   0
Dryden                         64  78  57  86 /  30  40  10   0
Fort Stockton                  59  72  54  89 /  50  40  10   0
Guadalupe Pass                 54  68  52  85 /  10  10   0   0
Hobbs                          52  69  48  84 /  60  20  10   0
Marfa                          53  75  48  88 /  30  20  10   0
Midland Intl Airport           56  72  53  85 /  70  40  10   0
Odessa                         56  71  53  85 /  70  40  10   0
Wink                           58  74  52  89 /  50  30  10   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

Hazardous weather outlook, May 22, 1:58 PM CDT, 6 hours 2 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
158 PM CDT Mon May 22 2017

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-231900-
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains-
Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines-
Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Reeves County and Upper Trans Pecos-
Loving-Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-
Davis/Apache Mountains Area-Pecos-Presidio Valley-Marfa Plateau-
Big Bend Area-Terrell-Guadalupe Mountains-
158 PM CDT Mon May 22 2017 /1258 PM MDT Mon May 22 2017/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast New
Mexico, southwest Texas and western Texas.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

Thunderstorms are possible across most areas this afternoon, evening
and potentially overnight. The greatest areal coverage of
thunderstorms look to begin across Southeast New Mexico this
afternoon, shifting southeast into the Permian Basin this evening.
Some storms are expected to become severe with large hail and
damaging winds the main threats. The stronger storms will also be
capable of producing locally heavy rainfall and flash flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

A cold front is expected to generate more thunderstorms across the
region Tuesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation likely requested this afternoon and this evening.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories,
and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in
Midland, can be found on the internet at...
http://weather.gov/midland

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 22, 7:06 PM CDT, 54 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
706 PM CDT MON MAY 22 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0703 PM     HAIL             5 WNW CARLSBAD          32.43N 104.32W
05/22/2017  M1.00 INCH       Eddy               NM   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

AKL

Local storm report, May 22, 7:18 PM CDT, 42 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
718 PM CDT MON MAY 22 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0703 PM     HAIL             2 WNW CARLSBAD          32.42N 104.27W
05/22/2017  E1.50 INCH       Eddy               NM   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

AKL

Local storm report, May 22, 7:20 PM CDT, 40 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
720 PM CDT MON MAY 22 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 PM     HAIL             3 S CARLSBAD            32.36N 104.24W
05/22/2017  E0.88 INCH       Eddy               NM   PUBLIC

&&

AKL

Local storm report, May 22, 7:23 PM CDT, 37 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
723 PM CDT MON MAY 22 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0720 PM     HAIL             17 SW CARLSBAD          32.23N 104.44W
05/22/2017  M1.75 INCH       Eddy               NM   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

AKL

Local storm report, May 22, 7:37 PM CDT, 23 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
737 PM CDT MON MAY 22 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0734 PM     HAIL             1 NNW MALAGA            32.24N 104.08W
05/22/2017  E1.00 INCH       Eddy               NM   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

AKL

Local storm report, May 22, 7:50 PM CDT, 10 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
750 PM CDT MON MAY 22 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0745 PM     TSTM WND GST     22 WNW JAL              32.23N 103.54W
05/22/2017  M77.00 MPH       Lea                NM   TRAINED SPOTTER

            A TRAINED SPOTTER MEASURED A 77 MPH THUNDERSTORM WIND
            GUST WHICH SNAPPED 2 POWER POLES.

&&

AKL

The office that day

Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 22, 7:08 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Crane, Pecos, Upton	52 min
May 22, 7:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Culberson	47 min
May 22, 8:30 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Ector, Loving, Ward, Winkler	45 min
May 22, 9:05 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Andrews, Crane, Ector, Midland, Upton, Ward and 1 more	55 min
May 22, 9:36 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Glasscock, Howard, Martin, Midland	39 min
May 22, 9:41 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Ector, Midland	3 hr
May 22, 9:58 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Crane, Midland, Pecos, Reagan, Upton	47 min
May 22, 10:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Glasscock, Howard, Midland, Reagan	47 min
May 22, 10:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Reagan, Upton	44 min
May 23, 2:30 PM CDT	Fire Weather Watch	MAF		24 hr
May 22, 7:00 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Lea	45 min
May 22, 7:03 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Eddy, Lea	42 min
May 22, 7:35 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Eddy, Lea	3 hr
May 22, 7:45 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Eddy, Lea	45 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2017 Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in New Mexico, 2017 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.