Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2017
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 114, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 14, 2017, 7:28 PM CDT for Pecos County, Texas. It was in force for 43 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 14, 2017, 7:28 PM CDT (00:28 UTC)
- Expired
- May 14, 2017, 8:11 PM CDT
- In force
- 43 min
- Issued by
- NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Hail
- 1.0 in
- Wind
- 60.0 mph
County Pecos County, TX
The radar
The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 120 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:31 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 00:00Z, 0.5 hours before the alert went out and 121 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 365 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -11 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 3331 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 24 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -11 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 4 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- -0.1
The text
As transmitted.
510
WUUS54 KMAF 150028
SVRMAF
TXC371-150130-
/O.NEW.KMAF.SV.W.0114.170515T0028Z-170515T0130Z/
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
728 PM CDT SUN MAY 14 2017
The National Weather Service in Midland has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Central Pecos County in southwestern Texas...
* Until 830 PM CDT
* At 728 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 12 miles southwest
of Girvin, or 13 miles west of Bakersfield, moving east at 20 mph.
HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage
to roofs, siding, and trees.
* Locations impacted include...
Bakersfield.
THIS INCLUDES Interstate 10 between mile markers 276 and 300.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.
&&
LAT...LON 3085 10263 3103 10258 3100 10219 3070 10226
TIME...MOT...LOC 0028Z 282DEG 10KT 3093 10253
HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
$$1 follow-up statement
416
WWUS54 KMAF 150111
SVSMAF
Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
811 PM CDT SUN MAY 14 2017
TXC371-150121-
/O.CAN.KMAF.SV.W.0114.000000T0000Z-170515T0130Z/
Pecos TX-
811 PM CDT SUN MAY 14 2017
...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL PECOS COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore the warning has been cancelled.
LAT...LON 3085 10263 3103 10258 3100 10219 3070 10226
TIME...MOT...LOC 0109Z 282DEG 10KT 3090 10239
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 14, 6:31 PM CDT, 57 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 14, 6:31 PM CDT, 57 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 631 PM CDT Sun May 14 2017 .DISCUSSION... See aviation discussion below. && .AVIATION... A few storms area around INK/FST, but trend is to moving away from TAFs sites. As such will leave TSRA out of PEQ/INK, but will keep at FST only until 01Z. TSRA not out of the question for MAF, especially now that outflow had been generated by storms to the w? Otherwise after early evening not much else is expected overnight, but it will be windy at MAF/FST. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 244 PM CDT Sun May 14 2017/ DISCUSSION... A few showers are developing this afternoon in northern Jeff Davis county and are moving east. Strong surface heating should cause more convection to develop though coverage will be isolated. Most storms will be weak to moderate but cannot rule out a storm going severe. Conditions are more favorable for severe storms tomorrow as an upper trough moves into southern California backing upper flow, increasing instability and shear, and causing a dryline to develop providing a low level focus. The trough will quickly move across the southwestern U.S. reaching New Mexico on Tuesday. This will push the dryline into the central or eastern Permian Basin where rain chances will be highest. Strong winds on the southern periphery of the trough will mix into the higher elevations of the Guadalupe Mountains and a High Wind Watch may be needed to highlight this threat. The trough moves east of the area on Wednesday but a deep low pressure system will move into the Four Corners Region maintaining west to southwesterly flow aloft and keeping the dryline in the Permian Basin the remainder of the week. This will keep rain chances in the forecast with our eastern CWA most likely to get appreciable QPF. Hennig FIRE WEATHER... A wildfire has started in the Chisos Mountains and current satellite is showing what may be some pyro-cumulus developing near the burn site. Showers and thunderstorms will develop farther north and while not affecting the burn site, could cause additional lightning starts and will be closely monitored this afternoon. The greatest fire weather threat through Tuesday will be in the Guadalupe Mountains and southeast New Mexico where winds associated with an upper trough could create critical fire weather conditions. Areas farther south will be very dry but wind speeds will be lighter. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Big Spring 67 92 70 90 / 20 20 40 10 Carlsbad 62 93 60 84 / 10 0 10 10 Dryden 68 94 70 96 / 20 20 20 10 Fort Stockton 68 96 67 93 / 20 20 20 10 Guadalupe Pass 63 82 58 73 / 10 0 0 10 Hobbs 63 91 61 84 / 20 20 20 10 Marfa 59 86 56 82 / 10 0 10 0 Midland Intl Airport 67 92 68 92 / 20 20 30 10 Odessa 68 92 68 91 / 20 20 30 10 Wink 68 97 65 91 / 20 20 20 10 && .MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NM...None. TX...None. &&
Hazardous weather outlook, May 14, 2:31 PM CDT, 4 hours 57 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 231 PM CDT Sun May 14 2017 NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075- 079>082-258-151945- Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains- Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines- Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell- Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Reeves County and Upper Trans Pecos- Loving-Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan- Davis/Apache Mountains Area-Pecos-Presidio Valley-Marfa Plateau- Big Bend Area-Terrell-Guadalupe Mountains- 231 PM CDT Sun May 14 2017 /131 PM MDT Sun May 14 2017/ This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast New Mexico, southwest Texas and western Texas. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT Thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon and evening across portions of the Permian Basin, Trans Pecos, and the Davis Mountains. Any storms that do develop will be accompanied by frequent lightning, damaging winds, and large hail. Near critical fire weather conditions are possible this afternoon across the Guadalupe Mountains. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY Thunderstorms will be possible through Friday. Any storms that do develop may be severe with damaging winds and large hail. Heavy rain will also be possible which may cause localized flash flooding. Elevated fire weather conditions are possible much of the week across the Guadalupe Mountains and southeast New Mexico. Strong winds are possible in the Guadalupe Mountains on Tuesday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in Midland, can be found on the internet at... http://weather.gov/midland
In the hours before
Special weather statement, May 14, 4:13 PM CDT, 3 hours 15 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
413 PM CDT SUN MAY 14 2017
TXZ058-059-067-142215-
Loving TX-Reeves County and Upper Trans Pecos TX-Ward TX-
413 PM CDT SUN MAY 14 2017
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR REEVES...NORTHWESTERN WARD AND
SOUTHEASTERN LOVING COUNTIES UNTIL 515 PM CDT...
At 413 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8
miles northeast of Toyah, moving northeast at 30 mph.
Half inch hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.
Locations impacted include...
Pecos, Toyah, Mentone, Orla, Barstow, Verhalen, Saragosa, Toyah Lake,
and Pecos Municipal Airport.
This includes the following highways...
Interstate 10 between mile markers 211 and 214.
Interstate 20 between mile markers 10 and 62.
LAT...LON 3097 10365 3124 10403 3186 10398 3172 10343
3143 10306
TIME...MOT...LOC 2113Z 236DEG 27KT 3142 10372
49Special weather statement, May 14, 5:27 PM CDT, 2 hours 1 minute before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 527 PM CDT SUN MAY 14 2017 TXZ058-067-068-075-142330- Pecos TX-Reeves County and Upper Trans Pecos TX-Crane TX-Ward TX- 527 PM CDT SUN MAY 14 2017 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTH CENTRAL PECOS...EAST CENTRAL REEVES...WARD AND WESTERN CRANE COUNTIES UNTIL 630 PM CDT... At 525 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near Fort Stockton, moving northeast at 15 mph. Other storms are in the area too and capable of strong gusty winds. Half inch hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible. Locations impacted include... Pecos, Fort Stockton, Monahans, Grandfalls, Wickett, Barstow, Pyote, Coyanosa, Imperial Reservoir, Royalty, Imperial, Monahans Sandhills State Park, Tubbs Corner and Cordona Lake. This includes the following highways... Interstate 10 between mile markers 260 and 277. Interstate 20 between mile markers 42 and 89. LAT...LON 3073 10266 3165 10379 3164 10275 3122 10241 TIME...MOT...LOC 2225Z 211DEG 14KT 3089 10278 49
Special weather statement, May 14, 5:53 PM CDT, 1 hour 35 minutes before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 553 PM CDT SUN MAY 14 2017 NMZ034-TXZ050-059-060-067-142345- Southern Lea County NM-Loving TX-Andrews TX-Ward TX-Winkler TX- 553 PM CDT SUN MAY 14 2017 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN LEA...SOUTHWESTERN ANDREWS...NORTHERN WARD...WINKLER AND EASTERN LOVING COUNTIES UNTIL 645 PM CDT/545 PM MDT/... At 551 PM CDT/451 PM MDT/, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over Wink, moving northeast at 35 mph. Additional storms in that area may become strong in a short time. Dime size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm. Locations impacted include... Kermit, Jal, Wink, Jal Airport, Monahans Sandhills State Park, Winkler County Airport and Bennett. LAT...LON 3164 10281 3166 10358 3238 10364 3210 10281 TIME...MOT...LOC 2251Z 230DEG 32KT 3173 10314
Special weather statement, May 14, 6:46 PM CDT, 42 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
646 PM CDT SUN MAY 14 2017
TXZ050-060-150045-
Andrews TX-Winkler TX-
646 PM CDT SUN MAY 14 2017
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR ANDREWS AND NORTHEASTERN WINKLER
COUNTIES UNTIL 745 PM CDT...
At 646 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 16
miles northwest of Goldsmith, or 19 miles southwest of Andrews,
moving northeast at 30 mph.
Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.
Locations impacted include...
Andrews, Frankel City, Florey and Andrews County Airport.
LAT...LON 3201 10290 3214 10302 3250 10305 3251 10230
3212 10241 3210 10278
TIME...MOT...LOC 2346Z 217DEG 25KT 3214 10281The office that day
Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 14, 7:04 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Andrews | 56 min |
| May 14, 8:26 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Midland | 49 min |
| May 15, 4:00 AM CDT | Red Flag Warning | MAF | 18 hr | |
| May 15, 2:17 PM CDT | Fire Weather Watch | MAF | 14 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2017Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2017
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.