Alert archive / Texas / River Flood Warnings in 2017

River Flood Warning 42, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

September 27, 2017Presidio County, Texas

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this river flood warning at Sep 27, 2017, 8:29 AM CDT for Presidio County, Texas. It was in force for 49 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 27, 2017, 8:29 AM CDT (13:29 UTC)
Expired
Sep 29, 2017, 9:13 AM CDT
In force
49 hr
Issued by
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Presidio County, TX

The river

Written for the forecast point Rio Grande 6 miles WNW of Presidio (PIOT2).

Action stage
15 ft
Minor stage
16 ft
Moderate stage
17 ft
Major stage
18 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

107 
WGUS44 KMAF 271329
FLWMAF
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
829 AM CDT Wed Sep 27 2017

...The National Weather Service in Midland has issued a flood warning
for the following rivers in Texas...

  Rio Grande above Presidio 6WNW affecting Presidio County
  Rio Grande at Candelaria 3N affecting Presidio County
  
.Recent rainfall has caused river levels to rise to flood stage
 at Candelaria 3N and above flood stage at 6WNW of Presidio. 
 River levels are forecast to remain in flood stage through 
 tomorrow morning. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists are urged to heed flood warnings, and exercise caution if 
traveling through this area.  Vehicle-related fatalities are the 
number one source of flood fatalities in West Texas and New Mexico.
If you encounter a flooded stretch of roadway, do not attempt to  
cross it.  You and your vehicle could be swept downstream in rushing 
floodwaters.  Turn around, don't drown!  

River levels are high.  Ranchers and farmers should move livestock 
and machinery out of flood-prone areas if time permits.

Keep in mind that any additional rainfall across the area could
significantly change the present forecast stage.

Additional information is available at:  www.weather.gov/midland

The next statement will be issued

&&

TXC377-280529-
/O.EXT.KMAF.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CDET2.2.ER.170926T1334Z.170926T1500Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
829 AM CDT Wed Sep 27 2017

The Flood Warning continues for 
 the Rio Grande at Candelaria 3N.
* until further notice, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7AM Wednesday the stage was 8.5 feet (2.6 meters).
* flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 8.5 feet (2.6 meters).
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage this 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 8.5 feet (2.6 meters), the river reaches minor flood 
  stage, possibly resulting in flooding of FM 170 in low areas.  
  Homes in Candelaria are not expected to be affected.  Farmers and 
  ranchers need to remain alert to the weather and river conditions 
  as livestock and machinery may need to be moved to higher ground.

This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.5 feet (2.6 meters) on 
Sep 7 2016.

&&

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Wed   Wed   Thu   Thu
                                                1PM   7PM   1AM   7AM
  Candelaria 3N   7.5  8.5    8.5   Wed  7 AM   8.5   8.5   8.5   8.5

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Wed   Wed   Thu   Thu
                                                1PM   7PM   1AM   7AM
  Candelaria 3N   2.3  2.6    2.6   Wed  7 AM   2.6   2.6   2.6   2.6

&&

LAT...LON 3057 10504 3069 10492 3022 10463 2980 10451 2975 10465


$$

TXC377-280529-
/O.NEW.KMAF.FL.W.0042.170927T1329Z-000000T0000Z/
/PIOT2.1.ER.170927T1131Z.170929T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
829 AM CDT Wed Sep 27 2017

The National Weather Service in  has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Rio Grande above Presidio 6WNW.
* until further notice, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7AM Wednesday the stage was 9.4 feet (2.9 meters).
* flooding is occurring and  flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet (2.7 meters).
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 10.7 feet (3.3 
  meters) by tomorrow evening then begin falling.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet (3.7 meters), water reaches the base of the 
  levees.  

This crest compares to a previous crest of 10.6 feet (3.2 meters) on 
Sep 26 2014.

&&

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Wed   Wed   Thu   Thu
                                                1PM   7PM   1AM   7AM
  Presidio 6WNW   6.0  9.0    9.4   Wed  7 AM   9.6   9.4   9.3   9.4

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Wed   Wed   Thu   Thu
                                                1PM   7PM   1AM   7AM
  Presidio 6WNW   1.8  2.7    2.9   Wed  7 AM   2.9   2.9   2.8   2.9

&&

LAT...LON 2975 10465 2980 10451 2963 10437 2951 10446 2957 10453


$$
6 follow-up statements
425 
WGUS84 KMAF 271915
FLSMAF
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
215 PM CDT Wed Sep 27 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas..
  Rio Grande at Candelaria 3N affecting Presidio County
  Rio Grande above Presidio 6WNW affecting Presidio County
  
Due to recent thunderstorm activity and heavy rainfall, river
levels on the Rio Grande at Candelaria 3N and Presidio 6WNW
will remain in minor flood stage for the next few days. More
rain is possible, so updates are also likely.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists are urged to heed flood warnings, and exercise caution if 
traveling through this area.  Vehicle-related fatalities are the 
number one source of flood fatalities in West Texas and New Mexico.
If you encounter a flooded stretch of roadway, do not attempt to  
cross it.  You and your vehicle could be swept downstream in rushing 
floodwaters.  Turn around, don't drown!  

River levels are high.  Ranchers and farmers should move livestock 
and machinery out of flood-prone areas if time permits.

Keep in mind that any additional rainfall across the area could
significantly change the present forecast stage.

Additional information is available at:  www.weather.gov/midland

&&

TXC377-281115-
/O.CON.KMAF.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CDET2.2.ER.170926T1334Z.170926T1500Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
215 PM CDT Wed Sep 27 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Rio Grande at Candelaria 3N.
* until further notice, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1PM Wednesday the stage was 8.3 feet (2.5 meters).
* flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 8.5 feet (2.6 meters).
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage 
  tomorrow early afternoon.
* Impact...At 8.5 feet (2.6 meters), the river reaches minor flood 
  stage, possibly resulting in flooding of FM 170 in low areas.  
  Homes in Candelaria are not expected to be affected.  Farmers and 
  ranchers need to remain alert to the weather and river conditions 
  as livestock and machinery may need to be moved to higher ground.

This crest compares to a previous crest of 10.0 feet (3.0 meters) on 
Sep 26 2017.

&&

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun
                                                7AM   7AM   7AM   7AM
  Candelaria 3N   7.5  8.5    8.3   Wed  1 PM   8.4   8.5   8.5   8.5

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun
                                                7AM   7AM   7AM   7AM
  Candelaria 3N   2.3  2.6    2.5   Wed  1 PM   2.6   2.6   2.6   2.6

&&

LAT...LON 3057 10504 3069 10492 3022 10463 2980 10451 2975 10465


$$

TXC377-281115-
/O.CON.KMAF.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PIOT2.1.ER.170927T1131Z.170928T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
215 PM CDT Wed Sep 27 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Rio Grande above Presidio 6WNW.
* until further notice, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1PM Wednesday the stage was 10.7 feet (3.3 meters).
* flooding is occurring and  flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet (2.7 meters).
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 10.9 feet (3.3 
  meters) by this evening then begin falling.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet (3.7 meters), water reaches the base of the 
  levees.  

This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.8 feet (3.6 meters) on 
Jul 19 2017.

&&

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun
                                                7AM   7AM   7AM   7AM
  Presidio 6WNW   6.0  9.0   10.7   Wed  1 PM  10.7  10.0   9.2   9.4

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun
                                                7AM   7AM   7AM   7AM
  Presidio 6WNW   1.8  2.7    3.3   Wed  1 PM   3.3   3.0   2.8   2.9

&&

LAT...LON 2975 10465 2980 10451 2963 10437 2951 10446 2957 10453


$$
433 
WGUS84 KMAF 280157
FLSMAF
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
857 PM CDT Wed Sep 27 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas..
  Rio Grande at Candelaria 3N affecting Presidio County
  Rio Grande above Presidio 6WNW affecting Presidio County
  
Runoff from recent rainfall will raise the river levels at
Candelaria 3N above flood stage and will remain there for the next
few days. Levels at Presidio 6WNW will crest early Thursday and
also remain in minor flood stage for the next few days.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists are urged to heed flood warnings, and exercise caution if 
traveling through this area.  Vehicle-related fatalities are the 
number one source of flood fatalities in West Texas and New Mexico.
If you encounter a flooded stretch of roadway, do not attempt to  
cross it.  You and your vehicle could be swept downstream in rushing 
floodwaters.  Turn around, don't drown!  

River levels are high.  Ranchers and farmers should move livestock 
and machinery out of flood-prone areas if time permits.

Keep in mind that any additional rainfall across the area could
significantly change the present forecast stage.

Additional information is available at:  www.weather.gov/midland


&&

TXC377-281757-
/O.CON.KMAF.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CDET2.2.ER.170926T1334Z.170926T1500Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
857 PM CDT Wed Sep 27 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Rio Grande at Candelaria 3N.
* until further notice, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8PM Wednesday the stage was 8.2 feet (2.5 meters).
* flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 8.5 feet (2.6 meters).
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage Friday
  early afternoon.
* Impact...At 8.5 feet (2.6 meters), the river reaches minor flood 
  stage, possibly resulting in flooding of FM 170 in low areas.  
  Homes in Candelaria are not expected to be affected.  Farmers and 
  ranchers need to remain alert to the weather and river conditions 
  as livestock and machinery may need to be moved to higher ground.

This crest compares to a previous crest of 10.0 feet (3.0 meters) on 
Sep 26 2017.

&&

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun
                                                7AM   7AM   7AM   7AM
  Candelaria 3N   7.5  8.5    8.2   Wed  8 PM   8.4   8.5   8.5   8.5

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun
                                                7AM   7AM   7AM   7AM
  Candelaria 3N   2.3  2.6    2.5   Wed  8 PM   2.6   2.6   2.6   2.6

&&

LAT...LON 3057 10504 3069 10492 3022 10463 2980 10451 2975 10465


$$

TXC377-281757-
/O.CON.KMAF.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PIOT2.1.ER.170927T1131Z.170928T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
857 PM CDT Wed Sep 27 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Rio Grande above Presidio 6WNW.
* until further notice, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8PM Wednesday the stage was 11.3 feet (3.4 meters).
* flooding is occurring and  flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet (2.7 meters).
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 11.4 feet (3.5 
  meters) by after midnight tomorrow then begin falling.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet (3.7 meters), water reaches the base of the 
  levees.  

This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.8 feet (3.6 meters) on 
Jul 19 2017.

&&

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun
                                                7AM   7AM   7AM   7AM
  Presidio 6WNW   6.0  9.0   11.3   Wed  8 PM   9.8   9.2   9.4   9.4

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun
                                                7AM   7AM   7AM   7AM
  Presidio 6WNW   1.8  2.7    3.4   Wed  8 PM   3.0   2.8   2.9   2.9

&&

LAT...LON 2975 10465 2980 10451 2963 10437 2951 10446 2957 10453


$$
876 
WGUS84 KMAF 281335
FLSMAF
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
835 AM CDT Thu Sep 28 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas..
  Rio Grande at Candelaria 3N affecting Presidio County
  Rio Grande above Presidio 6WNW affecting Presidio County

Runoff from recent rainfall will raise the river levels at
Candelaria 3N above flood stage and will remain there for the next
few days. Levels at Presidio 6WNW are cresting now and will remain
in minor flood stage for the next few days.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists are urged to heed flood warnings, and exercise caution if 
traveling through this area.  Vehicle-related fatalities are the 
number one source of flood fatalities in West Texas and New Mexico.
If you encounter a flooded stretch of roadway, do not attempt to  
cross it.  You and your vehicle could be swept downstream in rushing 
floodwaters.  Turn around, don't drown!  

River levels are high.  Ranchers and farmers should move livestock 
and machinery out of flood-prone areas if time permits.

Keep in mind that any additional rainfall across the area could
significantly change the present forecast stage.

Additional information is available at:  www.weather.gov/midland

The next statement will be issued later this afternoon.

&&

TXC377-290535-
/O.CON.KMAF.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CDET2.2.ER.170926T1334Z.170926T1500Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
835 AM CDT Thu Sep 28 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Rio Grande at Candelaria 3N.
* until further notice, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8AM Thursday the stage was 8.1 feet (2.5 meters).
* flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 8.5 feet (2.6 meters).
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow evening and continue 
  to rise to near 8.8 feet (2.7 meters) by Saturday evening.  
  Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 8.5 feet (2.6 meters), the river reaches minor flood 
  stage, possibly resulting in flooding of FM 170 in low areas.  
  Homes in Candelaria are not expected to be affected.  Farmers and 
  ranchers need to remain alert to the weather and river conditions 
  as livestock and machinery may need to be moved to higher ground.

This crest compares to a previous crest of 10.0 feet (3.0 meters) on 
Sep 26 2017.

&&

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon
                                                7AM   7AM   7AM   7AM
  Candelaria 3N   7.5  8.5    8.1   Thu  8 AM   8.4   8.7   8.7   8.7

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon
                                                7AM   7AM   7AM   7AM
  Candelaria 3N   2.3  2.6    2.5   Thu  8 AM   2.6   2.7   2.7   2.7

&&

LAT...LON 3057 10504 3069 10492 3022 10463 2980 10451 2975 10465


$$

TXC377-290535-
/O.CON.KMAF.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PIOT2.1.ER.170927T1131Z.170928T0900Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
835 AM CDT Thu Sep 28 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Rio Grande above Presidio 6WNW.
* until further notice, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8AM Thursday the stage was 11.3 feet (3.5 meters).
* flooding is occurring and  flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet (2.7 meters).
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 10.2 feet 
  (3.1 meters) by tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet (3.7 meters), water reaches the base of the 
  levees.  

This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.8 feet (3.6 meters) on 
Jul 19 2017.

&&

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon
                                                7AM   7AM   7AM   7AM
  Presidio 6WNW   6.0  9.0   11.3   Thu  8 AM  10.2   8.9   9.3   9.8

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon
                                                7AM   7AM   7AM   7AM
  Presidio 6WNW   1.8  2.7    3.5   Thu  8 AM   3.1   2.7   2.8   3.0

&&

LAT...LON 2975 10465 2980 10451 2963 10437 2951 10446 2957 10453


$$
627 
WGUS84 KMAF 281950
FLSMAF
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
250 PM CDT Thu Sep 28 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas..
  Rio Grande at Candelaria 3N affecting Presidio County
  Rio Grande above Presidio 6WNW affecting Presidio County
  
.Runoff from recent rainfall will raise the river levels at
Candelaria 3N above flood stage and will remain there for the next
few days. Levels at Presidio 6WNW are cresting now and will remain
in minor flood stage for the next few days.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists are urged to heed flood warnings, and exercise caution if 
traveling through this area.  Vehicle-related fatalities are the 
number one source of flood fatalities in West Texas and New Mexico.
If you encounter a flooded stretch of roadway, do not attempt to  
cross it.  You and your vehicle could be swept downstream in rushing 
floodwaters.  Turn around, don't drown!  

River levels are high.  Ranchers and farmers should move livestock 
and machinery out of flood-prone areas if time permits.

Keep in mind that any additional rainfall across the area could
significantly change the present forecast stage.

Additional information is available at:  www.weather.gov/midland

The next statement will be issued

&&

TXC377-291150-
/O.CON.KMAF.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CDET2.2.ER.170926T1334Z.170926T1500Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
250 PM CDT Thu Sep 28 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Rio Grande at Candelaria 3N.
* until further notice, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  2PM Thursday the stage was 8.2 feet (2.5 meters).
* flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 8.5 feet (2.6 meters).
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow evening and continue 
  to rise to near 8.8 feet (2.7 meters) by Sunday early afternoon.
* Impact...At 8.5 feet (2.6 meters), the river reaches minor flood 
  stage, possibly resulting in flooding of FM 170 in low areas.  
  Homes in Candelaria are not expected to be affected.  Farmers and 
  ranchers need to remain alert to the weather and river conditions 
  as livestock and machinery may need to be moved to higher ground.

This crest compares to a previous crest of 10.0 feet (3.0 meters) on 
Sep 26 2017.

&&

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Fri   Fri
                                                7PM   1AM   7AM   1PM
  Candelaria 3N   7.5  8.5    8.2   Thu  2 PM   8.2   8.3   8.4   8.4

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Fri   Fri
                                                7PM   1AM   7AM   1PM
  Candelaria 3N   2.3  2.6    2.5   Thu  2 PM   2.5   2.5   2.6   2.6

&&

LAT...LON 3057 10504 3069 10492 3022 10463 2980 10451 2975 10465


$$

TXC377-291150-
/O.CON.KMAF.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PIOT2.1.ER.170927T1131Z.170928T0900Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
250 PM CDT Thu Sep 28 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Rio Grande above Presidio 6WNW.
* until further notice, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  2PM Thursday the stage was 10.7 feet (3.3 meters).
* flooding is occurring and  flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet (2.7 meters).
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 10.0 feet 
  (3.0 meters) by tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet (3.7 meters), water reaches the base of the 
  levees.  

This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.8 feet (3.6 meters) on 
Jul 19 2017.

&&

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Fri   Fri
                                                7PM   1AM   7AM   1PM
  Presidio 6WNW   6.0  9.0   10.7   Thu  2 PM  10.6  10.3  10.0   9.7

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Fri   Fri
                                                7PM   1AM   7AM   1PM
  Presidio 6WNW   1.8  2.7    3.3   Thu  2 PM   3.2   3.1   3.0   3.0

&&

LAT...LON 2975 10465 2980 10451 2963 10437 2951 10446 2957 10453


$$
736 
WGUS84 KMAF 290113
FLSMAF
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
813 PM CDT Thu Sep 28 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas..
  Rio Grande at Candelaria 3N affecting Presidio County
  Rio Grande above Presidio 6WNW affecting Presidio County
  
.Runoff from recent rainfall have brought river levels at
Candelaria 3N above flood stage and will remain there for the next
few days. Levels at Presidio 6WNW are cresting now and will remain
in minor flood stage for the next few days.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists are urged to heed flood warnings, and exercise caution if 
traveling through this area.  Vehicle-related fatalities are the 
number one source of flood fatalities in West Texas and New Mexico.
If you encounter a flooded stretch of roadway, do not attempt to  
cross it.  You and your vehicle could be swept downstream in rushing 
floodwaters.  Turn around, don't drown!  

River levels are high.  Ranchers and farmers should move livestock 
and machinery out of flood-prone areas if time permits.

Keep in mind that any additional rainfall across the area could
significantly change the present forecast stage.

Additional information is available at:  www.weather.gov/midland

The next statement will be issued

&&

TXC377-291713-
/O.CON.KMAF.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CDET2.2.ER.170926T1334Z.170926T1500Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
813 PM CDT Thu Sep 28 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Rio Grande at Candelaria 3N.
* until further notice, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7PM Thursday the stage was 8.1 feet (2.5 meters).
* flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 8.5 feet (2.6 meters).
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning and continue 
  to rise to near 8.9 feet (2.7 meters) by Monday early afternoon.
* Impact...At 8.5 feet (2.6 meters), the river reaches minor flood 
  stage, possibly resulting in flooding of FM 170 in low areas.  
  Homes in Candelaria are not expected to be affected.  Farmers and 
  ranchers need to remain alert to the weather and river conditions 
  as livestock and machinery may need to be moved to higher ground.

This crest compares to a previous crest of 10.0 feet (3.0 meters) on 
Sep 26 2017.

&&

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Fri   Fri   Fri   Fri
                                                1AM   7AM   1PM   7PM
  Candelaria 3N   7.5  8.5    8.1   Thu  7 PM   8.3   8.5   8.6   8.7

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Fri   Fri   Fri   Fri
                                                1AM   7AM   1PM   7PM
  Candelaria 3N   2.3  2.6    2.5   Thu  7 PM   2.5   2.6   2.6   2.7

&&

LAT...LON 3057 10504 3069 10492 3022 10463 2980 10451 2975 10465


$$

TXC377-291713-
/O.CON.KMAF.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PIOT2.1.ER.170927T1131Z.170928T0900Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
813 PM CDT Thu Sep 28 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Rio Grande above Presidio 6WNW.
* until further notice, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7PM Thursday the stage was 10.4 feet (3.2 meters).
* flooding is occurring and  flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet (2.7 meters).
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 9.4 feet 
  (2.9 meters) by Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet (2.7 meters), the river reaches minor flood 
  stage, and flooding between the levees occurs.  No damage to 
  structures is expected.

This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.8 feet (3.6 meters) on 
Jul 19 2017.

&&

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Fri   Fri   Fri   Fri
                                                1AM   7AM   1PM   7PM
  Presidio 6WNW   6.0  9.0   10.4   Thu  7 PM  10.2  10.0   9.8   9.6

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Fri   Fri   Fri   Fri
                                                1AM   7AM   1PM   7PM
  Presidio 6WNW   1.8  2.7    3.2   Thu  7 PM   3.1   3.0   3.0   2.9

&&

LAT...LON 2975 10465 2980 10451 2963 10437 2951 10446 2957 10453


$$
937 
WGUS84 KMAF 291413
FLSMAF
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
913 AM CDT Fri Sep 29 2017

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Texas...

  Rio Grande at Candelaria 3N affecting Presidio County
  Rio Grande above Presidio 6WNW affecting Presidio County
  
The river levels on the Rio Grande at Candelaria 3N and Presidio
6WNW have fallen below flood stage.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists are urged to heed flood warnings, and exercise caution if 
traveling through this area.  Vehicle-related fatalities are the 
number one source of flood fatalities in West Texas and New Mexico.
If you encounter a flooded stretch of roadway, do not attempt to  
cross it.  You and your vehicle could be swept downstream in rushing 
floodwaters.  Turn around, don't drown!  

River levels are high.  Ranchers and farmers should move livestock 
and machinery out of flood-prone areas if time permits.

Keep in mind that any additional rainfall across the area could
significantly change the present forecast stage.

Additional information is available at:  www.weather.gov/midland

Ths will be the last statement issued for these forecast points.

&&

TXC377-291443-
/O.CAN.KMAF.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-170929T1413Z/
/CDET2.2.ER.170926T1334Z.170926T1500Z.170927T1245Z.NO/
913 AM CDT Fri Sep 29 2017

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Rio Grande at Candelaria 3N.
* At  8AM Friday the stage was 8.2 feet (2.5 meters).
* Fell below flood stage at  7:45 AM Wednesday.
* Flood stage is 8.5 feet (2.6 meters).
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 8.2 feet (2.5 meters)
  by tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 8.5 feet (2.6 meters), the river reaches minor flood 
  stage, possibly resulting in flooding of FM 170 in low areas.  
  Homes in Candelaria are not expected to be affected.  Farmers and 
  ranchers need to remain alert to the weather and river conditions 
  as livestock and machinery may need to be moved to higher ground.

This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.6 feet (2.6 meters) on 
Sep 27 2017.

&&

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Fri   Fri   Sat   Sat
                                                1PM   7PM   1AM   7AM
  Candelaria 3N   7.5  8.5    8.2   Fri  8 AM   8.2   8.2   8.2   8.2

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Fri   Fri   Sat   Sat
                                                1PM   7PM   1AM   7AM
  Candelaria 3N   2.3  2.6    2.5   Fri  8 AM   2.5   2.5   2.5   2.5

&&

LAT...LON 3057 10504 3069 10492 3022 10463 2980 10451 2975 10465


$$

TXC377-291443-
/O.CAN.KMAF.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-170929T1413Z/
/PIOT2.1.ER.170927T1131Z.170928T0900Z.170929T1130Z.NO/
913 AM CDT Fri Sep 29 2017

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Rio Grande above Presidio 6WNW.
* At  8AM Friday the stage was 8.8 feet (2.7 meters).
* Fell below flood stage at  6:30 AM Friday.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet (2.7 meters).
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 7.5 feet (2.3 meters)
  by tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet (2.7 meters), the river reaches minor flood 
  stage, and flooding between the levees occurs.  No damage to 
  structures is expected.

This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.8 feet (3.6 meters) on 
Jul 19 2017.

&&

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Fri   Fri   Sat   Sat
                                                1PM   7PM   1AM   7AM
  Presidio 6WNW   6.0  9.0    8.8   Fri  8 AM   8.4   7.8   7.7   7.5

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Fri   Fri   Sat   Sat
                                                1PM   7PM   1AM   7AM
  Presidio 6WNW   1.8  2.7    2.7   Fri  8 AM   2.6   2.4   2.3   2.3

&&

LAT...LON 2975 10465 2980 10451 2963 10437 2951 10446 2957 10453


$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Sep 27, 6:07 AM CDT, 2 hours 22 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 27, 6:07 AM CDT, 2 hours 22 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
607 AM CDT Wed Sep 27 2017

.DISCUSSION...
See aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...
MVFR to IFR ceilings with tempo IFR conditions in light rain and
fog are expected at the west Texas and southeast New Mexico terminals
the next 24 hours. Winds will be generally be northeasterly at 10
to 20 mph and gusty at times.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 318 AM CDT Wed Sep 27 2017/

DISCUSSION...
An upper low was INVOF wrn AZ with a plume of deep rich theta-e air
with PWs of +1 to +2 standard deviations in the sw flow aloft e
of said low. Included in the sw flow is a weakening 3h jet of
70kts. Today most of the CWFA will be just on the back side of the
theta-e ridge axis, exception will be the far reaches of the
Lower Trans Pecos/Big Bend Region. Early this AM SHRA/TSRA across
wrn PB/Upper Trans Pecos near the 3h jet look to move into SE NM
then dissipate, elsewhere SHRA are slowly decreasing in coverage.
Models are in pretty good agreement that there is/will be steady
stream of shrtwv trofs with the sw flow aloft that will have a
good chance to impact the Lower Trans Pecos/Big Bend Region/Edward
Plateau area thru Thursday. As such these areas will be favored
for hydrologic concerns/flash flooding and the watch will continue
thru Thursday AM. For areas of the PB/SE NM (on back side or
within gradient of theta-e ridge) the SB instability will be
absent per NAM12/GFS CAPE/LI forecast (very cool temps and poor
LRs). There is some low level lift/weak upglide I305K and with the
mentioned jet scattered SHRA are the most favored scenario for
this PM across PB/SE NM. We will opt to expire watch early for the
PB at 23Z today. More of the same instability wise on Thursday
and low levels will be absent of upglide with focus being across
the far southern Lower Trans Pecos/Big Bend where flooding rains
will remain possible and the watch may need to be extended there?
Cool temps will continue Thursday. NAM12 is outlier developing
high end scattered SHRA on Fri and will tend to downplay precip,
but it should still be cool. Warmer and mostly drier from Sun-Tue.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     66  59  70  58 /  60  30  40  40
Carlsbad                       66  57  68  57 /  50  30  40  40
Dryden                         75  65  74  64 /  70  80  70  40
Fort Stockton                  71  62  71  61 /  60  60  50  40
Guadalupe Pass                 61  55  65  56 /  50  40  50  40
Hobbs                          63  55  66  55 /  60  30  40  30
Marfa                          70  55  69  55 /  50  40  40  40
Midland Intl Airport           66  60  70  59 /  50  30  30  30
Odessa                         66  60  69  59 /  50  30  30  30
Wink                           69  59  71  59 /  50  30  30  30

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...Flash Flood Watch until 6 PM CDT this evening for Andrews-Borden-
     Crane-Dawson-Ector-Gaines-Glasscock-Howard-Martin-Midland-
     Mitchell-Reagan-Scurry-Upton-Ward-Winkler.

     Flash Flood Watch through Thursday morning for Big Bend Area-
     Pecos-Terrell.

     High Wind Warning until 8 AM MDT this morning for Guadalupe
     Mountains.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 27, 3:53 AM CDT, 4 hours 36 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
353 AM CDT Wed Sep 27 2017

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-280900-
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains-
Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines-
Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Reeves County and Upper Trans Pecos-
Loving-Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-
Davis/Apache Mountains Area-Pecos-Presidio Valley-Marfa Plateau-
Big Bend Area-Terrell-Guadalupe Mountains-
353 AM CDT Wed Sep 27 2017 /253 AM MDT Wed Sep 27 2017/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast New
Mexico, southwest Texas and western Texas.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

Scattered to numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms are expected
across the region through tonight. Locally heavy rainfall and flash
flooding will be possible today across much of the Permian Basin,
lower Trans Pecos and Big Bend. Locally heavy rainfall and flash
flooding is possible tonight across the lower Trans Pecos and Big
Bend. A Flash Flood Watch is in effect.

Strong gap winds are also likely through Guadalupe Pass through mid
morning. A High Wind Warning is in effect.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

Showers and thunderstorms could produce locally heavy rainfall and
localized flooding Thursday across the lower Trans Pecos Region and
Big Bend of west Texas.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories,
and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in
Midland, can be found on the internet at...
http://weather.gov/midland

The office that day

Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 27, 12:18 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMAF42 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Texas, 2017Every river flood warning in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.