Alert archive / Texas / Red Flag Warnings in 2017
Red Flag Warning 14, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this red flag warning at Mar 22, 2017, 2:21 PM CDT for 4 counties in Texas. It took effect at Mar 23, 2017, 12:00 PM CDT. It was in force for 10 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 22, 2017, 2:21 PM CDT (19:21 UTC)
- In effect from
- Mar 23, 2017, 12:00 PM CDT
- Expired
- Mar 23, 2017, 10:24 PM CDT
- In force
- 10 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Counties Loving County, TX, Pecos County, TX, Ward County, TX, Winkler County, TX
The radar
The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 101 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:20 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 7.4 hours before the alert went out and 100 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 40 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -532 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1980 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 32 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 135 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 164 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
017 WWUS84 KMAF 221921 RFWMAF URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 221 PM CDT Wed Mar 22 2017 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15% OR LESS, 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR MORE, AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER FOR THE GUADALUPE, DAVIS, AND APACHE MOUNTAINS, SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS, VAN HORN AND THE HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR...REEVES COUNTY AND THE UPPER TRANS PECOS, AND LOVING AND PRESIDIO COUNTIES... .An upper level storm system will pass through the region Thursday. Unseasonably warm temperatures and strong southwest winds associated with the system will result in very low relative humidity west of a sharpening dryline near the Pecos River. Critical fire weather conditions will develop Thursday afternoon and evening west of the dryline. NMZ114-115-TXZ057>059-074-079-080-258-231100- /O.UPG.KMAF.FW.A.0009.170323T1700Z-170324T0200Z/ /O.NEW.KMAF.FW.W.0014.170323T1700Z-170324T0200Z/ Guadalupe Mountains-Southeast Plains- Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor- Reeves County and Upper Trans Pecos-Loving- Davis/Apache Mountains Area-Presidio Valley-Marfa Plateau- 221 PM CDT Wed Mar 22 2017 /121 PM MDT Wed Mar 22 2017/ ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON CDT /11 AM MDT/ TO 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ THURSDAY FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15% OR LESS, 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR MORE, AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER... The National Weather Service in Midland/Odessa has issued a Red Flag Warning, which is in effect from noon CDT /11 AM MDT/ to 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ Thursday. * HUMIDITY...6 TO 15%. * WIND...Southwest to west 25 to 35 mph. Above 6000ft...west winds 35 to 50 mph with higher gusts. * FIRE DANGER...High to very high. * IMPACTS...any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. Outdoor burning is not recommended. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity and warm temperatures can contribute to dangerous fire behavior. && $$
6 follow-up statements
065 WWUS84 KMAF 222345 AAA RFWMAF URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 645 PM CDT Wed Mar 22 2017 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE THURSDAY EVENING FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15% OR LESS, 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR MORE, AND VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR THE GUADALUPE, DAVIS, AND APACHE MOUNTAINS, SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS, VAN HORN AND THE HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR, REEVES COUNTY AND THE UPPER TRANS PECOS, AND LOVING, PRESIDIO, BREWSTER, PECOS, LOVING, AND WARD COUNTIES... .Critical to extremely critical fire weather on Thursday combined with fuels nearing the 90th percentile will result in increased Significant Fire Potential, large problematic fires are possible. Dry and windy conditions will persist into the evening so relief will be slow to come. TXZ060-067-075-081-231100- /O.EXB.KMAF.FW.W.0014.170323T1700Z-170324T0600Z/ Winkler-Ward-Pecos-Big Bend Area- 645 PM CDT Wed Mar 22 2017 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON THURSDAY TO 1 AM CDT FRIDAY FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15% OR LESS, 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR MORE, AND VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER... The National Weather Service in Midland/Odessa has issued a Red Flag Warning, which is in effect from noon Thursday to 1 AM CDT Friday. * HUMIDITY...8 TO 15%. * WIND...Southwest 20 to 30 mph. Above 6000 ft...west winds 25 to 35 mph with higher gusts. * FIRE DANGER...Very high to extreme. * IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. Outdoor burning is not recommended. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Here are some things you can do to help prevent wildland fires: Observe outdoor burning restrictions for your area. Stow trailer chains properly. Hold off on yard work or welding near dry vegetation. Avoid driving in dry grass. Extinguish cigarettes inside your vehicle. && $$ NMZ114-115-TXZ057>059-074-079-080-258-231100- /O.EXT.KMAF.FW.W.0014.170323T1700Z-170324T0600Z/ Guadalupe Mountains-Southeast Plains- Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor- Reeves County and Upper Trans Pecos-Loving- Davis/Apache Mountains Area-Presidio Valley-Marfa Plateau- 645 PM CDT Wed Mar 22 2017 /545 PM MDT Wed Mar 22 2017/ ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON CDT /11 AM MDT/ THURSDAY TO 1 AM CDT /MIDNIGHT MDT/ FRIDAY FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15% OR LESS, 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR MORE, AND VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER... * HUMIDITY...4 TO 15%. * WIND...Southwest to west 20 to 35 mph. Above 6000 ft...west winds 35 to 50 mph with higher gusts. * FIRE DANGER...Very high to extreme. * IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. Outdoor burning is not recommended. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Do not throw cigarettes onto the ground or out of a moving vehicle. Do not drive through tall grass. Avoid activities that may produce outdoor flames or sparks. Accidental ignitions will have the potential to grow rapidly into dangerous wind-driven wildfires. && $$
356 WWUS84 KMAF 231033 RFWMAF URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 533 AM CDT Thu Mar 23 2017 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON CDT /11 AM MDT/ TODAY TO 1 AM CDT /MIDNIGHT MDT/ FRIDAY FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15% OR LESS, 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR MORE, AND HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR THE GUADALUPE, DAVIS, AND APACHE MOUNTAINS, SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS, VAN HORN AND THE HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR, REEVES COUNTY AND THE UPPER TRANS PECOS, AND LOVING, WINKLER, WARD, PECOS, PRESIDIO, AND BREWSTER COUNTIES... .Critical to extremely critical fire weather on today, combined with fuels nearing the 90th percentile, will result in increased Significant Fire Potential. Large, problematic fires are possible. Dry and windy conditions will persist into the evening, so relief will be slow to come. NMZ114-115-TXZ057>059-074-079-080-258-232100- /O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0014.170323T1700Z-170324T0600Z/ Guadalupe Mountains-Southeast Plains- Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor- Reeves County and Upper Trans Pecos-Loving- Davis/Apache Mountains Area-Presidio Valley-Marfa Plateau- 533 AM CDT Thu Mar 23 2017 /433 AM MDT Thu Mar 23 2017/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON CDT /11 AM MDT/ TODAY TO 1 AM CDT /MIDNIGHT MDT/ FRIDAY FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15% OR LESS, 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR MORE, AND HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER... * HUMIDITY...5 TO 10%. * WIND...Above 6000 feet...southwest 20 to 30 mph increasing to 30 to 50 mph in the afternoon. Below 6000 feet...southwest 20 to 25 mph increasing to 25 to 45 mph in the afternoon. * FIRE DANGER...High to extreme. * IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. Outdoor burning is not recommended. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Do not throw cigarettes onto the ground or out of a moving vehicle. Do not drive through tall grass. Avoid activities that may produce outdoor flames or sparks. Accidental ignitions will have the potential to grow rapidly into dangerous wind-driven wildfires. && $$ TXZ060-067-075-081-232100- /O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0014.170323T1700Z-170324T0600Z/ Winkler-Ward-Pecos-Big Bend Area- 533 AM CDT Thu Mar 23 2017 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 1 AM CDT FRIDAY FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15% OR LESS, 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR MORE, AND HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER... * HUMIDITY...5 TO 15%. * WIND...Above 5000 feet...southwest 25 to 35 mph. Below 5000 feet...south to southwest 20 to 35 mph. * FIRE DANGER...High to very high. * IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. Outdoor burning is not recommended. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Here are some things you can do to help prevent wildland fires: Observe outdoor burning restrictions for your area. Stow trailer chains properly. Hold off on yard work or welding near dry vegetation. Avoid driving in dry grass. Extinguish cigarettes inside your vehicle. && $$
035 WWUS84 KMAF 231046 CCA RFWMAF URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 546 AM CDT Thu Mar 23 2017 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON CDT /11 AM MDT/ TODAY TO 1 AM CDT /MIDNIGHT MDT/ FRIDAY FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15% OR LESS, 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR MORE, AND HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR THE GUADALUPE, DAVIS, AND APACHE MOUNTAINS, SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS, VAN HORN AND THE HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR, REEVES COUNTY AND THE UPPER TRANS PECOS, AND LOVING, WINKLER, WARD, PECOS, PRESIDIO, AND BREWSTER COUNTIES... .Critical to extremely critical fire weather on today, combined with fuels nearing the 90th percentile, will result in increased Significant Fire Potential. Large, problematic fires are possible. Dry and windy conditions will persist into the evening, so relief will be slow to come. NMZ114-115-TXZ057>059-074-079-080-258-232300- /O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0014.170323T1700Z-170324T0600Z/ Guadalupe Mountains-Southeast Plains- Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor- Reeves County and Upper Trans Pecos-Loving- Davis/Apache Mountains Area-Presidio Valley-Marfa Plateau- 546 AM CDT Thu Mar 23 2017 /446 AM MDT Thu Mar 23 2017/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON CDT /11 AM MDT/ TODAY TO 1 AM CDT /MIDNIGHT MDT/ FRIDAY FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15% OR LESS, 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR MORE, AND HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER... * HUMIDITY...5 TO 10%. * WIND...Above 6000 feet...southwest 20 to 30 mph increasing to 30 to 50 mph in the afternoon. Below 6000 feet...southwest 20 to 25 mph increasing to 25 to 45 mph in the afternoon. * FIRE DANGER...High to extreme. * IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. Outdoor burning is not recommended. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Do not throw cigarettes onto the ground or out of a moving vehicle. Do not drive through tall grass. Avoid activities that may produce outdoor flames or sparks. Accidental ignitions will have the potential to grow rapidly into dangerous wind-driven wildfires. && $$ TXZ060-067-075-081-232300- /O.COR.KMAF.FW.W.0014.170323T1700Z-170324T0600Z/ Winkler-Ward-Pecos-Big Bend Area- 546 AM CDT Thu Mar 23 2017 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 1 AM CDT FRIDAY FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15% OR LESS, 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR MORE, AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER... * HUMIDITY...5 TO 15%. * WIND...Above 5000 feet...southwest 25 to 35 mph. Below 5000 feet...south to southwest 20 to 35 mph. * FIRE DANGER...High to very high. * IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. Outdoor burning is not recommended. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Here are some things you can do to help prevent wildland fires: Observe outdoor burning restrictions for your area. Stow trailer chains properly. Hold off on yard work or welding near dry vegetation. Avoid driving in dry grass. Extinguish cigarettes inside your vehicle. && $$
737
WWUS84 KMAF 231907
RFWMAF
URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
207 PM CDT Thu Mar 23 2017
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT TODAY FROM NOON CDT /11 AM
MDT/ TODAY TO 1 AM CDT /MIDNIGHT MDT/ FRIDAY FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY
OF 15% OR LESS, 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR MORE, AND HIGH TO
EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR THE GUADALUPE, DAVIS, AND APACHE
MOUNTAINS, SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS, VAN HORN AND THE HIGHWAY
54 CORRIDOR, REEVES COUNTY AND THE UPPER TRANS PECOS, AND LOVING,
WINKLER, WARD, PECOS, PRESIDIO, AND BREWSTER COUNTIES...
...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FRIDAY FOR THE SOUTHEAST
NEW MEXICO PLAINS... THE TRANS PECOS... AND THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS.
.Critical to extremely critical fire weather today, combined with
with very dry conditions and high fire danger will result in
a Significant Fire Potential. Large, problematic fires are
possible. Dry and windy conditions will persist into the evening,
so relief will be slow to come. Similar but not as bad fire
weather conditions possible Friday.
NMZ115-TXZ058-059-074-240315-
/O.NEW.KMAF.FW.A.0010.170324T1700Z-170325T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-170324T0600Z/
Southeast Plains-Reeves County and Upper Trans Pecos-Loving-
Davis/Apache Mountains Area-
207 PM CDT Thu Mar 23 2017 /107 PM MDT Thu Mar 23 2017/
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT /MIDNIGHT
MDT/ FRIDAY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 058, 059, 074, AND 115...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 058, 059, 074, AND 115...
The National Weather Service in Midland/Odessa has issued a Fire
Weather Watch, which is in effect from Friday afternoon through
Friday evening.
* HUMIDITY...Today 5 TO 10 Percent.
Friday 10 to 15 Percent.
* WIND...Today above 6000 feet...southwest increasing to 30 to 50
mph in the afternoon. Below 6000 feet...southwest 20 to 25 mph
increasing to 25 to 45 mph in the afternoon.
Friday...west 15 to 25 mph.
* FIRE DANGER...High to extreme.
* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly.
Outdoor burning is not recommended.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not throw cigarettes onto the ground or out of a moving
vehicle. Do not drive through tall grass. Avoid activities that
may produce outdoor flames or sparks. Accidental ignitions will
have the potential to grow rapidly into dangerous wind-driven
wildfires.
A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.
&&
$$
TXZ067-075-240315-
/O.NEW.KMAF.FW.A.0010.170324T1700Z-170325T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-170324T0600Z/
Ward-Pecos-
207 PM CDT Thu Mar 23 2017
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT FRIDAY FOR
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 067 AND 075...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 067 AND 075...
The National Weather Service in Midland/Odessa has issued a Fire
Weather Watch, which is in effect from Friday afternoon through
Friday evening.
* HUMIDITY...5 TO 15%.
* WIND...Today above 5000 feet...southwest 25 to 35 mph. Below 5000
feet...south to southwest 20 to 35 mph.
Friday... 15 to 25 mph.
* FIRE DANGER...High to very high.
* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly.
Outdoor burning is not recommended.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Here are some things you can do to help prevent wildland fires:
Observe outdoor burning restrictions for your area. Stow trailer
chains properly. Hold off on yard work or welding near dry
vegetation. Avoid driving in dry grass. Extinguish cigarettes
inside your vehicle.
A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.
&&
$$
NMZ114-TXZ057-079-080-258-240315-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-170324T0600Z/
Guadalupe Mountains-Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-
Presidio Valley-Marfa Plateau-
207 PM CDT Thu Mar 23 2017 /107 PM MDT Thu Mar 23 2017/
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT /MIDNIGHT
MDT/ FRIDAY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 057, 079,080, 114, AND 258...
* HUMIDITY...5 TO 10%.
* WIND...Above 6000 feet...southwest 20 to 30 mph increasing to
30 to 50 mph in the afternoon. Below 6000 feet...southwest 20
to 25 mph increasing to 25 to 45 mph in the afternoon.
* FIRE DANGER...High to extreme.
* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly.
Outdoor burning is not recommended.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not throw cigarettes onto the ground or out of a moving
vehicle. Do not drive through tall grass. Avoid activities that
may produce outdoor flames or sparks. Accidental ignitions will
have the potential to grow rapidly into dangerous wind-driven
wildfires.
&&
$$
TXZ060-081-240315-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-170324T0600Z/
Winkler-Big Bend Area-
207 PM CDT Thu Mar 23 2017
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT FRIDAY FOR
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 060 AND 081...
* HUMIDITY...5 TO 15%.
* WIND...Above 5000 feet...southwest 25 to 35 mph. Below 5000
feet...south to southwest 20 to 35 mph.
* FIRE DANGER...High to very high.
* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly.
Outdoor burning is not recommended.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Here are some things you can do to help prevent wildland fires:
Observe outdoor burning restrictions for your area. Stow trailer
chains properly. Hold off on yard work or welding near dry
vegetation. Avoid driving in dry grass. Extinguish cigarettes
inside your vehicle.
&&
$$843 WWUS84 KMAF 232042 RFWMAF URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 342 PM CDT Thu Mar 23 2017 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT /MIDNIGHT MDT/ FRIDAY FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15% OR LESS, STRONG WINDS, AND VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR THE GUADALUPE, DAVIS, AND APACHE MOUNTAINS, SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS, VAN HORN AND THE HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR, REEVES COUNTY AND THE UPPER TRANS PECOS, AND LOVING, WINKLER, WARD, PECOS, PRESIDIO, AND BREWSTER COUNTIES... ...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FRIDAY FOR ALL AREAS FOR HIGH FIRE DANGER, MINIMUM HUMIDITY OF 15% OR LESS AND WIND OVER 20 MPH... .High end fire weather conditions along with dry fuels are promoting a high probability of significant fire potential into early evening. Large fires that will strongly resist control are likely. Strong winds will continue through at least mid evening and RH will be slow to recovery. More critical fire weather is expected Friday and watch has been issued for all areas. NMZ114-TXZ057-079-080-258-240445- /O.EXB.KMAF.FW.A.0010.170324T1400Z-170325T0000Z/ /O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-170324T0600Z/ Guadalupe Mountains-Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor- Presidio Valley-Marfa Plateau- 342 PM CDT Thu Mar 23 2017 /242 PM MDT Thu Mar 23 2017/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT /MIDNIGHT MDT/ FRIDAY FOR WINDY AND DRY CONDITIONS... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING FOR WINDY AND DRY CONDITIONS... The National Weather Service in Midland/Odessa has issued a Fire Weather Watch, which is in effect from Friday morning through Friday evening. * HUMIDITY...Today 4 to 10 percent. Friday 12 to 15 percent. * WIND...Today above 6000 feet...southwest increasing to 30 to 50 mph in the afternoon. Below 6000 feet...southwest 25 to 45 mph in the afternoon. Friday west 15 to 25 mph. * FIRE DANGER...Very high to extreme. * IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. Outdoor burning is not recommended. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... This is a very dangerous and potentially life threatening fire weather situation. High winds and very low relative humidities combined with recent dry spell are resulting weather conditions favorable for fires. A regional outbreak of dangerous wind-driven wildfires is possible into this evening. && $$ NMZ115-TXZ058-059-074-240445- /O.EXT.KMAF.FW.A.0010.170324T1400Z-170325T0000Z/ /O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-170324T0600Z/ Southeast Plains-Reeves County and Upper Trans Pecos-Loving- Davis/Apache Mountains Area- 342 PM CDT Thu Mar 23 2017 /242 PM MDT Thu Mar 23 2017/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT /MIDNIGHT MDT/ FRIDAY FOR WINDY AND DRY CONDITIONS... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING FOR WINDY AND DRY CONDITIONS... * HUMIDITY...Today 3 TO 10 Percent. Friday 12 to 15 Percent. * WIND...Today above 6000 feet...southwest 30 to 50 mph. Below 6000 feet southwest 25 to 45 mph. Friday west 15 to 25 mph. * FIRE DANGER...Very high to extreme. * IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. Outdoor burning is not recommended. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... This is a very dangerous and potentially life threatening fire weather situation. High winds and very low relative humidities combined with recent dry spell are resulting weather conditions favorable for fires. A regional outbreak of dangerous wind-driven wildfires is possible into this evening. && $$ TXZ060-081-240445- /O.EXB.KMAF.FW.A.0010.170324T1400Z-170325T0000Z/ /O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-170324T0600Z/ Winkler-Big Bend Area- 342 PM CDT Thu Mar 23 2017 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT /MIDNIGHT MDT/ FRIDAY FOR WINDY AND DRY CONDITIONS... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING FOR WINDY AND DRY CONDITIONS... The National Weather Service in Midland/Odessa has issued a Fire Weather Watch, which is in effect from Friday morning through Friday evening. * HUMIDITY...Today 5 TO 10 Percent. Friday 10 to 15 Percent. * WIND...Today above 6000 feet southwest 30 to 45 mph. Below 6000 feet southwest 25 to 40 mph. Friday west 15 to 25 mph. * FIRE DANGER...Very high to extreme. * IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. Outdoor burning is not recommended. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... This is a very dangerous and potentially life threatening fire weather situation. High winds and very low relative humidities combined with recent dry spell are resulting weather conditions favorable for fires. A regional outbreak of dangerous wind-driven wildfires is possible into this evening. && $$ TXZ067-075-240445- /O.EXT.KMAF.FW.A.0010.170324T1400Z-170325T0000Z/ /O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-170324T0600Z/ Ward-Pecos- 342 PM CDT Thu Mar 23 2017 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT /MIDNIGHT MDT/ FRIDAY FOR WINDY AND DRY CONDITIONS... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING FOR WINDY AND DRY CONDITIONS... * HUMIDITY...4 to 15%. * WIND...Today southwest 25 to 35 mph. Friday west 15 to 25 mph. * FIRE DANGER...High to very high. * IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. Outdoor burning is not recommended. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Here are some things you can do to help prevent wildland fires: Observe outdoor burning restrictions for your area. Stow trailer chains properly. Hold off on yard work or welding near dry vegetation. Avoid driving in dry grass. Extinguish cigarettes inside your vehicle. && $$ TXZ045>048-050>053-061>063-068>070-082-240445- /O.EXB.KMAF.FW.A.0010.170324T1400Z-170325T0000Z/ Gaines-Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Ector- Midland-Glasscock-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Terrell- 342 PM CDT Thu Mar 23 2017 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING FOR WINDY AND DRY CONDITIONS... The National Weather Service in Midland/Odessa has issued a Fire Weather Watch, which is in effect from Friday morning through Friday evening. * HUMIDITY...Friday 12 to 15 Percent. * WIND...West 15 to 25 mph. * FIRE DANGER...High to very high. * IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. Outdoor burning is not recommended. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$
888 WWUS84 KMAF 240324 AAA RFWMAF URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 1024 PM CDT Thu Mar 23 2017 ...RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR THIS EVENING... ...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FRIDAY FOR ALL AREAS FOR HIGH FIRE DANGER, MINIMUM HUMIDITY OF 15% OR LESS AND WIND OVER 20 MPH... .Critical fire weather in combination with very dry grass has resulted in the continuation of the fire weather watch for Friday. NMZ114-115-TXZ057>060-067-074-075-079>081-258-241130- /O.CAN.KMAF.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-170324T0600Z/ /O.CON.KMAF.FW.A.0010.170324T1400Z-170325T0000Z/ Guadalupe Mountains-Southeast Plains- Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor- Reeves County and Upper Trans Pecos-Loving-Winkler-Ward- Davis/Apache Mountains Area-Pecos-Presidio Valley-Marfa Plateau- Big Bend Area- 1024 PM CDT Thu Mar 23 2017 /924 PM MDT Thu Mar 23 2017/ ...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM CDT /8 AM MDT/ FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING FOR WINDY AND DRY CONDITIONS... The National Weather Service in Midland/Odessa has cancelled the Red Flag Warning. * HUMIDITY...Friday 12 to 15 percent. * WIND...Friday west 15 to 25 mph. * FIRE DANGER...High to very high. * IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. Outdoor burning is not recommended. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$ TXZ045>048-050>053-061>063-068>070-082-241130- /O.CON.KMAF.FW.A.0010.170324T1400Z-170325T0000Z/ Gaines-Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Ector- Midland-Glasscock-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Terrell- 1024 PM CDT Thu Mar 23 2017 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM CDT FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING FOR DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS... * HUMIDITY...Friday 12 to 15 Percent. * WIND...West 15 to 25 mph. * FIRE DANGER...High to very high. * IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. Outdoor burning is not recommended. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Mar 22, 12:12 PM CDT, 2 hours 9 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 22, 12:12 PM CDT, 2 hours 9 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1212 PM CDT Wed Mar 22 2017
.DISCUSSION...
See 18Z aviation discussion below.
&&
.AVIATION...
A weak cold front has shifted winds from the northeast and east at
TAF issuance, but winds will veer around from the southeast by
around 00Z and increase overnight. MVFR or IFR CIGs will develop
at most eastern TAF sites including MAF 06Z-12Z and remain
through the remainder of the TAF period.
Hennig
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 503 AM CDT Wed Mar 22 2017/
DISCUSSION...
A cold front continues to push south tonight and should stall out
around the Pecos River by the morning. Main result will be
slightly cooler temps in the upper 80s/low 90s and easterly
surface winds across the Permian Basin. There will also be a
chance for some isolated thunderstorms as the boundary lifts
northward through the late afternoon and evening. A more active
weather pattern begins Thursday affecting most of West Texas and
southeast New Mexico. A potent upper trough will move across the
central and southern Rockies and eventually become a closed low as
it moves east into the plains by Thursday night. A tightening
surface pressure gradient will cause windy conditions across much
of the CWA by Thursday afternoon and evening. The gusty winds may
have the potential to kick up some dust in the process, so will
add in some patchy blowing dust the forecast for the afternoon. A
strong upper jet associated with the passing trough will also
result some high winds across the Guadalupe Mountains and parts of
the adjacent plains through this same time frame. Will issue a
High Wind Watch for the Guadalupe Mountains for now. A dryline
will develop and be the focus for some thunderstorm activity. An
area of increased instability and shear will be enough to support
severe thunderstorms as the upper trough approaches and large
scale lift will aid thunderstorm development by late afternoon
Thursday and into the evening. West of the dryline will be very
dry air and gusty winds resulting in fire weather concerns. See
fire weather discussion below for more information.
By Friday afternoon we will be on the backside of the trough
under northwesterly flow aloft and westerly surface winds behind a
Pacific front. Even cooler air will reside over the area and
should bring temperatures back down closer to normal. The dryline
will have pushed east of the area by Friday morning, which will
likely limit any chances of precipitation heading into the
weekend. Fire weather will be a concern again Friday afternoon
with the very dry air and elevated winds continuing across much of
the area. As the aforementioned trough finally lifts out of the
area we should get a break from the winds on Saturday before a
weak trough moves across the central Rockies and will result in
elevated westerly winds again on Sunday.
Another strong trough is expected to impact the area sometime
early to mid next week. Depending on the track and timing, we
could yet again see some elevated winds, fire weather and another
chance for precipitation. Temperatures will look to remain in the
upper 70s and low 80s through mid week.
Fire Weather Discussion...
Models have finally come into agreement on the upper trough
expected thru West Texas and Southeast New Mexico Thu/Fri. Latest
runs put it at the Four Corners by 00Z Fri, and the Texas/OK
panhandles 12 hrs later. Thu afternoon, models mix from 850-825mb
east to 575-550mb west, w/the GFS slightly deeper than the NAM.
this SW-W flow will shunt the low-lvl thermal ridge more into the
central CWA, along w/accompanying critical RH up against a
sharpening dryline. Cloud cover is still the variable in question
Thu afternoon, but looks to be much less than yesterday. Latest
wind/RH fields suggest that the Presidio Valley and Loving County
can be added to the watch. Pecos County looks to have critical
winds Thu afternoon, but most of the county will be on the ern
side of the dryline, whereas Brewster will have the critical RH,
but not the 20' winds. Consequently, forecast RFTI for these
counties is low, and we'll keep them out of the watch attm.
Friday looks to be another critical fire wx day as subsidence on
the backside of the trough continues mixing strong winds to the
sfc. Forecast mixing isn't quite as deep as Thursday, but a
critical fire wx day is still in order, mainly west of the Pecos.
The lowest RH/best winds look to be in the Big Bend Area. With a
watch already out for Thu, to avoid sowing a confusing product,
we'll not issue any products fro Friday attm, but continue
emphasizing the hazard in the HWO.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring 87 61 82 52 / 10 10 10 40
Carlsbad 90 57 90 48 / 0 10 10 10
Dryden 88 62 84 55 / 0 10 10 10
Fort Stockton 93 62 87 52 / 0 10 10 20
Guadalupe Pass 84 58 77 42 / 0 10 10 0
Hobbs 85 57 84 46 / 0 10 20 30
Marfa 88 49 85 42 / 0 10 10 0
Midland Intl Airport 90 62 83 53 / 0 10 10 40
Odessa 90 62 83 51 / 0 10 10 40
Wink 92 60 88 49 / 0 10 10 20
&&
.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...Fire Weather Watch from Thursday morning through Thursday
evening for Guadalupe Mountains-Southeast Plains.
High Wind Watch from Thursday afternoon through late Thursday
night for Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County.
TX...Fire Weather Watch from Thursday afternoon through Thursday
evening for Davis/Apache Mountains Area-Guadalupe Mountains-
Loving-Marfa Plateau-Presidio Valley-Reeves County and
Upper Trans Pecos-Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor.
High Wind Watch from Thursday afternoon through late Thursday
night for Guadalupe Mountains.
&&
99/99/10Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 22, 2:16 PM CDT, 5 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 216 PM CDT Wed Mar 22 2017 NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075- 079>082-258-231930- Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains- Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines- Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell- Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Reeves County and Upper Trans Pecos- Loving-Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan- Davis/Apache Mountains Area-Pecos-Presidio Valley-Marfa Plateau- Big Bend Area-Terrell-Guadalupe Mountains- 216 PM CDT Wed Mar 22 2017 /116 PM MDT Wed Mar 22 2017/ This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast New Mexico, southwest Texas and western Texas. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT Isolated thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon across the higher elevations from the Guadalupe to the Davis Mountains. Any storms that develop will be accompanied by frequent lightning, small hail, and gusty winds. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY An upper level storm system will pass through the region Thursday and Friday, resulting in strong winds and extremely critical fire weather conditions. A Red Flag Warning is in effect Thursday afternoon and evening for Southeast New Mexico and areas of West Texas to the south. Strong west winds are expected in the Guadalupe Mountains. A High Wind Warning is in effect Thursday afternoon through Friday for west winds 35 to 50 mph gusting to 70 mph. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in Midland, can be found on the internet at... http://weather.gov/midland
The office that day
Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 7:16 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Mitchell | 29 min |
| Mar 22, 5:07 AM CDT | High Wind Watch | MAF | 9 hr | |
| Mar 22, 2:26 PM CDT | High Wind Warning | MAF | Andrews, Crane, Ector, Gaines, Loving, Midland and 3 more | 53 hr |
Nearby
Red Flag Warnings in Texas, 2017Red Flag Warnings in New Mexico, 2017Every red flag warning in 2017
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.