Alert archive / Virginia / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2017

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 157, NWS Baltimore/Washington

July 21, 20176 counties in Virginia; Hardy County, West Virginia

NWS Baltimore/Washington issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 21, 2017, 2:54 PM EDT for 6 counties in Virginia; Hardy County, West Virginia. It was in force for 51 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 21, 2017, 2:54 PM EDT (18:54 UTC)
Expired
Jul 21, 2017, 3:45 PM EDT
In force
51 min
Issued by
NWS Baltimore/Washington
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
0.75 in
Wind
60.0 mph

Counties Augusta County, VA, City of Harrisonburg, VA, Page County, VA, Rappahannock County, VA, Rockingham County, VA, Shenandoah County, VA, Hardy County, WV

The radar

The Sterling radar (KLWX), 113 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Roanoke, VA (KRNK), launched 12:00Z, 6.9 hours before the alert went out and 172 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2017-07-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 10 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2017-07-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 16 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
10 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-139 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1063 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
4 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
16 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
54 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Baltimore/Washington wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 21, 1:59 PM EDT, 55 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 21, 1:59 PM EDT, 55 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 21, 5:05 AM EDT, 9 hours 49 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
505 AM EDT Fri Jul 21 2017

ANZ530>543-DCZ001-MDZ011-013-014-016>018-508-VAZ052>057-220915-
Chesapeake Bay north of Pooles Island MD-
Chesapeake Bay from Pooles Island to Sandy Point MD-
Chesapeake Bay from Sandy Point to North Beach MD-
Chesapeake Bay from North Beach to Drum Point MD-
Chesapeake Bay from Drum Point MD to Smith Point VA-
Tidal Potomac from Key Bridge to Indian Head MD-
Tidal Potomac from Indian Head to Cobb Island MD-
Tidal Potomac from Cobb Island MD to Smith Point VA-
Patapsco River including Baltimore Harbor-
Chester River to Queenstown MD-Eastern Bay-
Choptank River to Cambridge MD and the Little Choptank River-
Patuxent River to Broomes Island MD-
Tangier Sound and the inland waters surrounding Bloodsworth
Island-District of Columbia-Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges-
Anne Arundel-Charles-St. Marys-Calvert-Southeast Harford-
Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park-Fairfax-
Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Stafford-Spotsylvania-
King George-
505 AM EDT Fri Jul 21 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Maryland portion of the
Chesapeake Bay, Tidal Potomac River, and adjacent counties in
central Maryland and northern Virginia as well as the District of
Columbia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A Heat Advisory is in effect from 10 am until 8 pm today.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Heat indices of 105 degrees or higher are likely Saturday and
Sunday.

Isolated severe thunderstorms with damaging winds and hail are
possible Saturday and Sunday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is possible Saturday and Sunday.

MDZ003>006-501>507-VAZ025>031-036>040-050-051-501>508-WVZ050>053-
055-501>506-220915-
Washington-Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore-
Extreme Western Allegany-Central and Eastern Allegany-
Northwest Montgomery-Central and Southeast Montgomery-
Northwest Howard-Central and Southeast Howard-Northwest Harford-
Augusta-Rockingham-Shenandoah-Frederick VA-Page-Warren-Clarke-
Nelson-Albemarle-Greene-Madison-Rappahannock-Orange-Culpeper-
Northern Fauquier-Southern Fauquier-Western Highland-
Eastern Highland-Western Loudoun-Eastern Loudoun-
Northern Virginia Blue Ridge-Central Virginia Blue Ridge-
Hampshire-Morgan-Berkeley-Jefferson-Hardy-Western Grant-
Eastern Grant-Western Mineral-Eastern Mineral-Western Pendleton-
Eastern Pendleton-
505 AM EDT Fri Jul 21 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern West Virginia,
northern and central Virginia, and central and western Maryland
with the exception of Garrett County.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A Heat Advisory is in effect for portions of northern and central
Virginia as well as central Maryland from 10 am until 8 pm today.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Heat indices around 105 degrees or higher are likely for Piedmont
areas east of the Blue Ridge Saturday and Sunday. Heat indices of
100 degrees or higher are possible for lower elevations west of
the Blue Ridge Saturday.

Isolated severe thunderstorms with damaging winds and hail are
possible Saturday and Sunday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is possible Saturday and Sunday.

Jackson

The office that day

Everything else NWS Baltimore/Washington issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 20, 8:30 PM EDTHeat AdvisoryLWXArlington, Culpeper, Fairfax, Fauquier, Greene, King George and 10 more23 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Virginia, 2017Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in West Virginia, 2017Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.