Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2017

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 145, NWS Lubbock, TX

June 15, 2017Hockley County, Lamb County, Texas

NWS Lubbock, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 15, 2017, 3:28 PM CDT for Hockley County, Lamb County, Texas. It was in force for 32 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jun 15, 2017, 3:28 PM CDT (20:28 UTC)
Expired
Jun 15, 2017, 4:00 PM CDT
In force
32 min
Issued by
NWS Lubbock, TX
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
1.0 in
Wind
60.0 mph

Counties Hockley County, TX, Lamb County, TX

The radar

The Lubbock radar (KLBB), 53 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:28 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jun 15, 2:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 12:00Z, 8.5 hours before the alert went out and 166 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2017-06-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 533 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2017-06-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -55 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
533 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-325 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2642 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
20 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-55 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
41 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Lubbock, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 15, 3:13 PM CDT, 15 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 15, 3:13 PM CDT, 15 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
313 PM CDT Thu Jun 15 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Severe thunderstorms are the immediate concern this afternoon
shifting to heat Friday and Saturday.

Hi-res models have handled the initial thunderstorm development
pretty well giving to confidence to evolution this afternoon and
evening. Convective initiation has been along the surface trough
with better low level moisture downstream per surface dew point
temperatures in the low to mid 60s and MLCAPE values of 3000-4500
J/kg generally east of I-27. Impinging mid level speed max is
strong enough to produce 0-6 km bulk shear. This combo should lead
to some supercellular structure. A severe watch has already been
issued. It doesn't appear at this point that these storms will
organize into a broad MCS, so will keep precip chances in the
chance category.

After this evening, heat becomes the story. The subtropical upper
high centered over Mexico is still progged to amplify over the
western CONUS and become centered over AZ and NM by the end of the
weekend. The evolution of 500 mb heights don't tell the whole
story with progged 1000-500 mb thicknesses and 850/700 mb
temperatures better indicators of the heat that should expand
eastward over the forecast area. MOS has decreased its highs for
Friday, although not really certain why, and they are now a
decided outlier. Have discounted and run to the higher end of
model blend at this time. It will be warmer still on Saturday with
MOS in line with other guidance. This will put the counties on the
Caprock decidedly in Heat Advisory criteria, and with high
confidence have decided to pull the trigger and issue this
product well in advance.

A pretty healthy cold front is still expected to move through the
forecast area Sunday with timing now favoring it clearing before
noon. This should knock highs back to seasonal norms for Sunday
with a lingering effect into Monday. Focus for convection Sunday
afternoon is thus now expected to be south of the forecast area
with warm mid level temps the other major negative factor toward
precipitation.

Finally, model projections of thicknesses and mid level
temperatures suggest temperatures returning to widespread triple-
digit highs Wednesday and Thursday. Have trended above model blend
and a touch above MOS numbers which in turn are well above climo.

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory from 1 PM to 8 PM CDT Saturday for TXZ021>024-
027>030-033>036-039>042.

&&

07
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 15, 11:04 AM CDT, 4 hours 24 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Lubbock, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 14, 7:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBKent50 min
Jun 14, 7:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBDickens, Kent, King, Stonewall41 min
Jun 14, 11:21 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLUBHale24 min
Jun 15, 2:41 PM CDTHeat AdvisoryLUBBailey, Briscoe, Castro, Cochran, Crosby, Floyd and 10 more53 hr
Jun 15, 3:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBHockley32 min
Jun 15, 4:08 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLUBHockley, Lamb112 min
Jun 15, 4:16 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryLUBHockley89 min
Jun 15, 4:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBBriscoe, Hall38 min
Jun 15, 4:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBHockley34 min
Jun 15, 4:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBLubbock28 min
Jun 15, 4:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBBriscoe, Hall36 min
Jun 15, 4:57 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningLUBHockley, Lynn, Terry2 hr
Jun 15, 4:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBHockley, Lubbock, Lynn, Terry33 min
Jun 15, 4:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBLubbock, Lynn31 min
Jun 15, 5:14 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryLUBLubbock91 min
Jun 15, 5:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBLynn, Terry24 min
Jun 15, 5:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBCrosby, Lubbock35 min
Jun 15, 5:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBBriscoe, Hall33 min
Jun 15, 5:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBChildress, Hall40 min
Jun 15, 5:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBLynn, Terry35 min
Jun 15, 5:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBCrosby, Floyd, Garza35 min
Jun 15, 5:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBHall47 min
Jun 15, 6:06 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningLUBChildress, Hall114 min
Jun 15, 6:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBChildress, Hall35 min
Jun 15, 6:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBLynn34 min
Jun 15, 6:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBChildress, Cottle, Hall, Motley47 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2017Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.