Red Flag Warning 10, NWS Los Angeles, CA

425 
WWUS86 KLOX 152157
RFWLOX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
157 PM PST Fri Dec 15 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 10 PM PST SATURDAY FOR
THE SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT FOOTHILLS OF THE
SOUTH COAST DUE TO GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW 
RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA
COUNTIES LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...After the passage of an upper level disturbance, 
there will be increasing upper level wind support and cold air 
advection that will bring strengthening north to northeast winds 
across the mountains and adjacent coastal foothills of Santa 
Barbara county (including the Thomas Fire) late tonight through 
Saturday evening, with gusts of 30 to 40 mph being common. Due to 
the stronger winds in the upper atmosphere, there is the potential
for locally stronger gusts across exposed ridgetops on Saturday. 
The combination of these gusty winds with humidities generally 
ranging between 10 to 20 percent will result in critical Red Flag
conditions across the Santa Barbara County mountains and adjacent
coastal foothills, mainly east of Santa Barbara. As a result, 
there will be an increased threat of very rapid fire spread, long 
range spotting, and extreme fire behavior across the warning area,
including portions of the Thomas Fire incident.

For the remainder of Ventura and Los Angeles Counties, the flow
is expected to shift to the northeast by Saturday evening, with a
threat of increased Santa Ana winds and low humidities late 
Saturday night into Sunday when gusts between 35 and 55 mph will 
be likely. A Red Flag Warning is in effect for late Saturday night
through Sunday evening for much of Los Angeles and Ventura 
Counties. 


CAZ246-253-254-161800-
/O.UPG.KLOX.FW.A.0012.171217T0900Z-171218T0400Z/
/O.NEW.KLOX.FW.W.0011.171217T0900Z-171218T0400Z/
Santa Monica Mountains Recreational Area-
Ventura County Mountains / Los Padres National Forest-
Los Angeles County Mountains / Angeles National Forest-
157 PM PST Fri Dec 15 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 8 PM PST SUNDAY FOR
GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE MOUNTAINS
OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES...

The National Weather Service in Los Angeles/Oxnard has issued a 
Red Flag Warning for gusty northeast winds and low relative
humidity, which is in effect from 1 AM to 8 PM PST Sunday. The 
Fire Weather Watch is no longer in effect.

* Winds...Northeast winds are expected to peak late Saturday night
  into Sunday morning at 20 to 35 mph with gusts 45 to 55 mph.
  Isolated gusts to 60 mph possible. 

* Relative Humidity...Humidities above 15 percent will be possible 
  late Saturday night, but are expected to lower to 10 to 15 
  percent on Sunday.

* Impacts...If fire ignition occurs, there will be the potential 
  for very rapid spread of wildfire, long range spotting, and 
  extreme fire behavior that could lead to a threat to life and 
  property. Use extreme caution with potential fire ignition 
  sources.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are expected. A combination of strong winds...low relative 
humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire 
behavior.

&&

$$

CAZ244-245-288-161800-
/O.UPG.KLOX.FW.A.0012.171217T0900Z-171218T0400Z/
/O.NEW.KLOX.FW.W.0011.171217T0900Z-171218T0400Z/
Ventura County Interior Valleys-Ventura County Coastal Valleys-
Santa Clarita Valley-
157 PM PST Fri Dec 15 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 8 PM PST SUNDAY FOR
GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE VENTURA 
COUNTY VALLEYS AND SANTA CLARITA VALLEY...

The National Weather Service in Los Angeles/Oxnard has issued a
Red Flag Warning for gusty northeast winds and low relative
humidity, which is in effect from 1 AM to 8 PM PST Sunday. The 
Fire Weather Watch is no longer in effect.

* Winds...Northeast winds are expected to peak late Saturday night
  into Sunday morning at 15 to 30 mph with gusts 40 to 50 mph.

* Relative Humidity...Humidities above 15 percent will be possible 
  late Saturday night, but are expected to lower to 10 to 15 
  percent on Sunday.

* Impacts...If fire ignition occurs, there will be the potential 
  for very rapid spread of wildfire, long range spotting, and 
  extreme fire behavior that could lead to a threat to life and 
  property. Use extreme caution with potential fire ignition 
  sources.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are expected. A combination of strong winds...low relative 
humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire 
behavior.

&&

$$

CAZ547-161800-
/O.UPG.KLOX.FW.A.0012.171217T0900Z-171218T0400Z/
/O.NEW.KLOX.FW.W.0011.171217T0900Z-171218T0400Z/
Los Angeles County San Fernando Valley-
157 PM PST Fri Dec 15 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 8 PM PST SUNDAY FOR
GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR 
THE SAN FERNANDO VALLEY...

The National Weather Service in Los Angeles/Oxnard has issued a
Red Flag Warning for gusty north to northeast winds and low
relative humidity, which is in effect from 1 AM to 8 PM PST 
Sunday. The Fire Weather Watch is no longer in effect.

* Winds...Northeast winds are expected to peak late Saturday night
  into Sunday morning at 15 to 30 mph with gusts 35 to 45 mph. 
  Strongest winds northern and western portions.

* Relative Humidity...Humidities above 15 percent will be possible 
  late Saturday night, but are expected to lower to 10 to 15 
  percent on Sunday.

* Impacts...If fire ignition occurs, there will be the potential 
  for very rapid spread of wildfire, long range spotting, and 
  extreme fire behavior that could lead to a threat to life and 
  property. Use extreme caution with potential fire ignition 
  sources.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are expected. A combination of strong winds...low relative 
humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire 
behavior.

&&

$$

CAZ240-241-161800-
/O.NEW.KLOX.FW.W.0011.171217T1400Z-171218T0400Z/
Ventura County Coast-
Los Angeles County Coast including Downtown Los Angeles-
157 PM PST Fri Dec 15 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 8 PM PST SUNDAY FOR
GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE VENTURA
COAST AND LOS ANGELES COAST FROM MALIBU TO HOLLYWOOD HILLS...

The National Weather Service in Los Angeles/Oxnard has issued a
Red Flag Warning for gusty north to northeast winds and low
relative humidity, which is in effect from 6 AM to 8 PM PST 
Sunday.

* Winds...Northeast winds are expected to peak late Saturday night
  into Sunday morning at 15 to 25 mph with gusts 35 to 45 mph. 

* Relative Humidity...Humidities above 15 percent will be possible
  late Saturday night, but are expected to lower to 10 to 15
  percent on Sunday.

* Impacts...If fire ignition occurs, there will be the potential 
  for very rapid spread of wildfire, long range spotting, and 
  extreme fire behavior that could lead to a threat to life and 
  property. Use extreme caution with potential fire ignition 
  sources.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are expected. A combination of strong winds...low relative 
humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire 
behavior.

&&

$$

CAZ239-161800-
/O.EXA.KLOX.FW.W.0010.171216T1000Z-171217T0600Z/
Santa Barbara County South Coast-
157 PM PST Fri Dec 15 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 10 PM PST SATURDAY FOR
GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE
FOOTHILLS MAINLY SANTA BARBARA EASTWARD...

The National Weather Service in Los Angeles/Oxnard has issued a 
Red Flag Warning for gusty north to northeast winds and low
relative humidity, which is in effect from 2 AM to 10 PM PST 
Saturday.

* Winds...Areas of north to northeast winds 15 to 25 mph with
  gusts up to 35 mph...strongest in the foothills from Santa
  Barbara eastward.

* Relative Humidity...Minimum values 10 to 20 percent in the
  foothills.

* Impacts...If fire ignition occurs, there will be the potential 
  for very rapid spread of wildfire, long range spotting, and 
  extreme fire behavior that could lead to a threat to life and 
  property. Use extreme caution with potential fire ignition 
  sources.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are expected. A combination of gusty winds...low relative 
humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire 
behavior. Use extreme caution when using potential fire ignition 
sources. This is a dangerous situation, please follow evacuation 
orders.

&&

$$

CAZ252-161800-
/O.CON.KLOX.FW.W.0010.171216T1000Z-171217T0600Z/
Santa Barbara County Mountains-
157 PM PST Fri Dec 15 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 10 PM PST
SATURDAY FOR GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR THE SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT
FOOTHILLS...

* Winds...Areas of north to northeast winds 15 to 30 mph with 
  gusts to 40 mph in the mountains and adjacent foothills. 
  Locally stronger gusts possible across ridgetops.

* Relative Humidity...Minimum values 10 to 20 percent.

* Impacts...If fire ignition occurs, there will be the potential 
  for very rapid spread of wildfire, long range spotting, and 
  extreme fire behavior that could lead to a threat to life and 
  property. Use extreme caution with potential fire ignition 
  sources.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are expected. A combination of strong winds...low relative
humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire
behavior. Use extreme caution when using potential fire ignition
sources. This is a dangerous situation, please follow evacuation
orders.

&&

$$

GOMBERG/SMITH

271 
WWUS86 KLOX 161746
RFWLOX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
946 AM PST Sat Dec 16 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR 
THE SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND SOUTH COAST DUE TO GUSTY 
NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA
COUNTIES LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
Strong upper level winds behind the passage of an upper level disturbance
combined with strengthening north-south pressure gradients caused
a significant increase in winds across the Santa Barbara county
mountains and south coast this morning, causing major impacts
on the Thomas Fire. Wind gusts of 35 to 50 mph have been common this morning
across these areas, with isolated gusts up to 65 mph being observed
in the Montecito Hills. While humidities have modified somewhat this
morning, the strong north to northeast winds through this evening
will continue to maintain dangerous Red Flag conditions for the Santa
Barbara county mountains and south coast. As a result of these strong winds,
there will be very rapid fire spread, long range spotting, and extreme
fire behavior observed at the Thomas Fire and any new fire ignitions.
In addition, there will be gusty north winds across the Ventura county
mountains today, especially near the Highway 33 and Interstate 5 corridors
which will impact the Ventura county portion of the Thomas Fire.

For the remainder of Ventura and Los Angeles Counties, the flow
is expected to shift to the northeast this evening, with increasing
Santa Ana winds overnight into Sunday when gusts between 35 and 55 mph will 
be likely. A Red Flag Warning is in effect for late tonight
through Sunday evening for much of Los Angeles and Ventura 
Counties.


CAZ246-253-254-170000-
/O.CON.KLOX.FW.W.0011.171217T0900Z-171218T0400Z/
Santa Monica Mountains Recreational Area-
Ventura County Mountains / Los Padres National Forest-
Los Angeles County Mountains / Angeles National Forest-
946 AM PST Sat Dec 16 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 8 PM PST
SUNDAY FOR GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR
THE MOUNTAINS OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES...

* Winds...Northeast winds increasing this evening, peaking late
  tonight into Sunday morning at 20 to 35 mph with gusts 45 to 55
  mph. Isolated gusts to 60 mph possible.

* Relative Humidity...Humidities above 15 percent will be possible
  tonight, but are expected to lower to 10 to 15 percent on 
  Sunday.

* Impacts...There will be the potential for very rapid spread of 
  wildfire, long range spotting, and extreme fire behavior that 
  could lead to a threat to life and property. Use extreme caution
  with potential fire ignition sources.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are occurring. A combination of strong winds...low relative 
humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire 
behavior.

&&

$$

CAZ244-245-288-170000-
/O.CON.KLOX.FW.W.0011.171217T0900Z-171218T0400Z/
Ventura County Interior Valleys-Ventura County Coastal Valleys-
Santa Clarita Valley-
946 AM PST Sat Dec 16 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 8 PM PST
SUNDAY FOR GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR
THE VENTURA COUNTY VALLEYS AND SANTA CLARITA VALLEY...

* Winds...Northeast winds are expected to increase this evening
  peaking late tonight into Sunday morning at 15 to 30 mph with
  gusts to 50 mph.

* Relative Humidity...Humidities above 15 percent will be possible 
  tonight, but are expected to lower to 10 to 15 percent on 
  Sunday.

* Impacts...If fire ignition occurs, there will be the potential 
  for very rapid spread of wildfire, long range spotting, and 
  extreme fire behavior that could lead to a threat to life and 
  property. Use extreme caution with potential fire ignition 
  sources.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are expected. A combination of strong winds...low relative
humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire
behavior.

&&

$$

CAZ252-170000-
/O.CON.KLOX.FW.W.0010.000000T0000Z-171217T0600Z/
Santa Barbara County Mountains-
946 AM PST Sat Dec 16 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS
EVENING FOR GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR THE SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT
FOOTHILLS...

* Winds...Areas of north to northeast winds 20 to 35 mph with
  gusts to 55 mph in the mountains and adjacent foothills.
  Isolated gusts up to 65 mph across favored ridgetops. 

* Relative Humidity...Minimum values 15 to 25 percent.

* Impacts...There will be the potential for very rapid spread of 
  wildfire, long range spotting, and extreme fire behavior that 
  could lead to a threat to life and property. Use extreme caution
  with potential fire ignition sources.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are occurring. A combination of strong winds...low relative 
humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire 
behavior. Use extreme caution when using potential fire ignition 
sources. This is a dangerous situation, please follow evacuation 
orders.

&&

$$

CAZ547-170000-
/O.CON.KLOX.FW.W.0011.171217T0900Z-171218T0400Z/
Los Angeles County San Fernando Valley-
946 AM PST Sat Dec 16 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 8 PM PST
SUNDAY FOR GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR THE SAN FERNANDO VALLEY...

* Winds...Northeast winds are expected to increase this evening,
  peaking later tonight into Sunday morning at 15 to 30 mph with
  gusts to 45 mph. Strongest winds northern and western portions.

* Relative Humidity...Humidities above 15 percent will be possible
  tonight, but are expected to lower to 10 to 15 percent on 
  Sunday.

* Impacts...If fire ignition occurs, there will be the potential 
  for very rapid spread of wildfire, long range spotting, and 
  extreme fire behavior that could lead to a threat to life and 
  property. Use extreme caution with potential fire ignition 
  sources.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are expected. A combination of strong winds...low relative
humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire
behavior.

&&

$$

CAZ239-170000-
/O.CON.KLOX.FW.W.0010.000000T0000Z-171217T0600Z/
Santa Barbara County South Coast-
946 AM PST Sat Dec 16 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS
EVENING FOR GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY...

* Winds...Areas of north to northeast winds 15 to 30 mph with
  gusts to 50 mph below passes and canyons. Isolated gusts to 60 
  mph in the foothills. Strongest winds Santa Barbara eastward.

* Relative Humidity...Minimum values 15 to 25 percent.

* Impacts...If fire ignition occurs, there will be the potential 
  for very rapid spread of wildfire, long range spotting, and 
  extreme fire behavior that could lead to a threat to life and 
  property. Use extreme caution with potential fire ignition 
  sources.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are expected. A combination of gusty winds...low relative
humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire
behavior. Use extreme caution when using potential fire ignition
sources. This is a dangerous situation, please follow evacuation
orders.

&&

$$

CAZ240-241-170000-
/O.CON.KLOX.FW.W.0011.171217T1400Z-171218T0400Z/
Ventura County Coast-
Los Angeles County Coast including Downtown Los Angeles-
946 AM PST Sat Dec 16 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 8 PM PST
SUNDAY FOR GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR
THE VENTURA COAST AND LOS ANGELES COAST FROM MALIBU TO HOLLYWOOD
HILLS...

* Winds...Northeast winds are expected to peak late Saturday 
  night into Sunday morning at 15 to 25 mph with gusts 35 to 45 
  mph.

* Relative Humidity...Humidities above 15 percent will be 
  possible late Saturday night, but are expected to lower to 10 
  to 15 percent on Sunday.

* Impacts...If fire ignition occurs, there will be the potential 
  for very rapid spread of wildfire, long range spotting, and 
  extreme fire behavior that could lead to a threat to life and 
  property. Use extreme caution with potential fire ignition 
  sources.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are expected. A combination of strong winds...low relative
humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire
behavior.

&&

$$

GOMBERG

083 
WWUS86 KLOX 162118
RFWLOX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
118 PM PST Sat Dec 16 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR
THE SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND SOUTH COAST DUE TO GUSTY
NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA
COUNTIES TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...Strong upper level winds behind the passage of an 
upper level disturbance combined with strengthening north-south 
pressure gradients caused a significant increase in winds across 
the Santa Barbara county mountains and south coast this morning, 
causing major impacts on the Thomas Fire. Wind gusts of 35 to 50 
mph were common this morning across these areas, with isolated 
gusts up to 65 mph observed in the Montecito Hills. While 
humidities have modified somewhat today, the strong north to 
northeast winds through this evening will continue to maintain 
dangerous Red Flag conditions for the Santa Barbara county 
mountains and south coast. As a result of these strong winds, 
there will be very rapid fire spread, long range spotting, and 
extreme fire behavior observed at the Thomas Fire and any new fire
ignitions. In addition, there will be gusty north winds across 
the Ventura county mountains today, especially near the Highway 33
and Interstate 5 corridors which will impact the Ventura county 
portion of the Thomas Fire.

For the remainder of Ventura and Los Angeles Counties, the Santa
Ana winds are expected to begin this evening, then peak overnight
into Sunday when gusts between 35 and 55 mph will be likely. A 
Red Flag Warning is in effect for tonight through Sunday evening 
for much of Los Angeles and Ventura Counties.

CAZ548-170530-
/O.EXB.KLOX.FW.W.0010.171217T0500Z-171218T0400Z/
Los Angeles County San Gabriel Valley-
118 PM PST Sat Dec 16 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM PST
SUNDAY FOR GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE 
FOOTHILLS OF THE SAN GABRIEL VALLEY...

The National Weather Service in Los Angeles/Oxnard has issued a
Red Flag Warning for gusty northeast winds and low relative
humidity, which is in effect from 9 PM this evening to 8 PM PST 
Sunday.

* Winds...Areas of northeast winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 
  mph in the foothills.

* Relative Humidity...Humidities 15 to 25 percent tonight,
  lowering to 10 to 15 percent on Sunday.

* Impacts...If fire ignition occurs, there will be the potential 
  for very rapid spread of wildfire, long range spotting, and 
  extreme fire behavior that could lead to a threat to life and 
  property. Use extreme caution with potential fire ignition 
  sources.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are expected. A combination of gusty winds...low relative
humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire
behavior. Use extreme caution when using potential fire ignition
sources. 

&&

$$

CAZ246-253-254-170530-
/O.EXT.KLOX.FW.W.0011.171217T0500Z-171218T0400Z/
Santa Monica Mountains Recreational Area-
Ventura County Mountains / Los Padres National Forest-
Los Angeles County Mountains / Angeles National Forest-
118 PM PST Sat Dec 16 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM
PST SUNDAY FOR GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
FOR THE MOUNTAINS OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES...

* Winds...Northeast winds increasing this evening, peaking
  overnight into Sunday morning at 25 to 40 mph with gusts to 55 
  mph. Isolated gusts to 60 mph possible.

* Relative Humidity...Humidities 15 to 25 percent tonight,
  lowering to 10 to 15 percent on Sunday.

* Impacts...There will be the potential for very rapid spread of 
  wildfire, long range spotting, and extreme fire behavior that 
  could lead to a threat to life and property. Use extreme 
  caution with potential fire ignition sources.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are expected. A combination of strong winds...low relative 
humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire 
behavior. Use extreme caution when using potential fire ignition 
sources. 

&&

$$

CAZ244-245-288-170530-
/O.EXT.KLOX.FW.W.0011.171217T0500Z-171218T0400Z/
Ventura County Interior Valleys-Ventura County Coastal Valleys-
Santa Clarita Valley-
118 PM PST Sat Dec 16 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM
PST SUNDAY FOR GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
FOR THE VENTURA COUNTY VALLEYS AND SANTA CLARITA VALLEY...

* Winds...Northeast winds are expected to increase this evening
  peaking overnight into Sunday morning at 20 to 30 mph with 
  gusts to 50 mph.

* Relative Humidity...Humidities 15 to 25 percent tonight,
  lowering to 10 to 15 percent on Sunday.

* Impacts...If fire ignition occurs, there will be the potential 
  for very rapid spread of wildfire, long range spotting, and 
  extreme fire behavior that could lead to a threat to life and 
  property. Use extreme caution with potential fire ignition 
  sources.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are expected. A combination of strong winds...low relative
humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire
behavior. Use extreme caution when using potential fire ignition
sources. 


&&

$$

CAZ547-170530-
/O.EXT.KLOX.FW.W.0011.171217T0500Z-171218T0400Z/
Los Angeles County San Fernando Valley-
118 PM PST Sat Dec 16 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM 
PST SUNDAY FOR GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE 
HUMIDITY FOR THE SAN FERNANDO VALLEY...

* Winds...North to northeast winds are expected to increase this
  evening, peaking overnight into Sunday morning at 15 to 30 mph 
  with gusts to 45 mph. Strongest winds northern and western 
  portions.

* Relative Humidity...Humidities 15 to 25 percent tonight,
  lowering to 10 to 15 percent on Sunday.

* Impacts...If fire ignition occurs, there will be the potential 
  for very rapid spread of wildfire, long range spotting, and 
  extreme fire behavior that could lead to a threat to life and 
  property. Use extreme caution with potential fire ignition 
  sources.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are expected. A combination of strong winds...low relative
humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire
behavior. Use extreme caution when using potential fire ignition
sources. 

&&

$$

CAZ240-241-170530-
/O.EXT.KLOX.FW.W.0011.171217T0900Z-171218T0400Z/
Ventura County Coast-
Los Angeles County Coast including Downtown Los Angeles-
118 PM PST Sat Dec 16 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 8 PM PST SUNDAY
FOR GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE
VENTURA COAST AND LOS ANGELES COAST FROM MALIBU TO HOLLYWOOD
HILLS...

* Winds...North to northeast winds are expected to increase this
  evening peaking overnight into Sunday morning at 15 to 30 mph
  with gusts 35 to 45 mph. Strongest winds across the Ventura
  county coastal plain and Malibu to Hollywood Hills.

* Relative Humidity...Humidities 15 to 25 percent tonight,
  lowering to 10 to 15 percent on Sunday.

* Impacts...If fire ignition occurs, there will be the potential 
  for very rapid spread of wildfire, long range spotting, and 
  extreme fire behavior that could lead to a threat to life and 
  property. Use extreme caution with potential fire ignition 
  sources.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are expected. A combination of strong winds...low relative
humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire
behavior. Use extreme caution when using potential fire ignition
sources. 

&&

$$

CAZ252-170530-
/O.CON.KLOX.FW.W.0010.000000T0000Z-171217T0600Z/
Santa Barbara County Mountains-
118 PM PST Sat Dec 16 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS
EVENING FOR GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR THE SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT
FOOTHILLS...

* Winds...Areas of north to northeast winds 20 to 35 mph with
  gusts to 55 mph in the mountains and adjacent foothills. 

* Relative Humidity...Minimum values 15 to 25 percent.

* Impacts...There will be the potential for very rapid spread of 
  wildfire, long range spotting, and extreme fire behavior that 
  could lead to a threat to life and property. Use extreme 
  caution with potential fire ignition sources.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are occurring. A combination of strong winds...low relative
humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire
behavior. Use extreme caution when using potential fire ignition
sources. This is a dangerous situation, please follow evacuation
orders.

&&

$$

CAZ239-170530-
/O.CON.KLOX.FW.W.0010.000000T0000Z-171217T0600Z/
Santa Barbara County South Coast-
118 PM PST Sat Dec 16 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS
EVENING FOR GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY...

* Winds...Areas of north to northeast winds 15 to 30 mph with
  gusts to 45 mph below passes and canyons. Isolated gusts to 55 
  mph in the foothills. Strongest winds Santa Barbara eastward.

* Relative Humidity...Minimum values 15 to 25 percent.

* Impacts...If fire ignition occurs, there will be the potential 
  for very rapid spread of wildfire, long range spotting, and 
  extreme fire behavior that could lead to a threat to life and 
  property. Use extreme caution with potential fire ignition 
  sources.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are expected. A combination of gusty winds...low relative
humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire
behavior. Use extreme caution when using potential fire ignition
sources. This is a dangerous situation, please follow evacuation
orders.

&&

$$

GOMBERG

362 
WWUS86 KLOX 170150
RFWLOX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
550 PM PST Sat Dec 16 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR
THE SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND SOUTH COAST DUE TO GUSTY
NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA
COUNTIES TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...Strong upper level winds behind the passage of an
upper level disturbance combined with strengthening north-south
pressure gradients caused a significant increase in winds across
the Santa Barbara county mountains and south coast this morning,
causing major impacts on the Thomas Fire. Wind gusts of 35 to
50 mph were common this morning across these areas, with isolated
gusts up to 65 mph observed in the Montecito Hills. While
humidities have modified somewhat today, the strong north to
northeast winds through this evening will continue to maintain
dangerous Red Flag conditions for the Santa Barbara county
mountains and south coast. As a result of these strong winds,
there will be very rapid fire spread, long range spotting, and
extreme fire behavior observed at the Thomas Fire and any new
fire ignitions. In addition, there will be gusty north winds
across the Ventura county mountains today, especially near the
Highway 33 and Interstate 5 corridors which will impact the
Ventura county portion of the Thomas Fire.

For the remainder of Ventura and Los Angeles Counties, the Santa
Ana winds are expected to begin this evening, then peak overnight
into Sunday when gusts between 35 and 55 mph will be likely. A
Red Flag Warning is in effect for tonight through Sunday evening
for much of Los Angeles and Ventura Counties.

CAZ246-253-254-170600-
/O.CON.KLOX.FW.W.0011.171217T0500Z-171218T0400Z/
Santa Monica Mountains Recreational Area-
Ventura County Mountains / Los Padres National Forest-
Los Angeles County Mountains / Angeles National Forest-
550 PM PST Sat Dec 16 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO
8 PM PST SUNDAY FOR GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR THE MOUNTAINS OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES...

* Winds...Northeast winds increasing this evening, peaking
  overnight into Sunday morning at 25 to 40 mph with gusts to 55 
  mph. Isolated gusts to 60 mph possible.

* Relative Humidity...Humidities 15 to 25 percent tonight, 
  lowering to 10 to 15 percent on Sunday.

* Impacts...There will be the potential for very rapid spread of 
  wildfire, long range spotting, and extreme fire behavior that 
  could lead to a threat to life and property. Use extreme 
  caution with potential fire ignition sources.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are expected. A combination of strong winds...low relative
humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire
behavior. Use extreme caution when using potential fire ignition
sources.

&&

$$

CAZ244-245-288-170600-
/O.CON.KLOX.FW.W.0011.171217T0500Z-171218T0400Z/
Ventura County Interior Valleys-Ventura County Coastal Valleys-
Santa Clarita Valley-
550 PM PST Sat Dec 16 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO
8 PM PST SUNDAY FOR GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR THE VENTURA COUNTY VALLEYS AND SANTA CLARITA
VALLEY...

* Winds...Northeast winds are expected to increase this evening 
  peaking overnight into Sunday morning at 20 to 30 mph with 
  gusts to 50 mph.

* Relative Humidity...Humidities 15 to 25 percent tonight, 
  lowering to 10 to 15 percent on Sunday.

* Impacts...If fire ignition occurs, there will be the potential 
  for very rapid spread of wildfire, long range spotting, and 
  extreme fire behavior that could lead to a threat to life and 
  property. Use extreme caution with potential fire ignition 
  sources.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are expected. A combination of strong winds...low relative
humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire
behavior. Use extreme caution when using potential fire ignition
sources.

&&

$$

CAZ547-170600-
/O.CON.KLOX.FW.W.0011.171217T0500Z-171218T0400Z/
Los Angeles County San Fernando Valley-
550 PM PST Sat Dec 16 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO
8 PM PST SUNDAY FOR GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE SAN FERNANDO VALLEY...

* Winds...North to northeast winds are expected to increase this 
  evening, peaking overnight into Sunday morning at 15 to 30 mph 
  with gusts to 45 mph. Strongest winds northern and western 
  portions.

* Relative Humidity...Humidities 15 to 25 percent tonight, 
  lowering to 10 to 15 percent on Sunday.

* Impacts...If fire ignition occurs, there will be the potential 
  for very rapid spread of wildfire, long range spotting, and 
  extreme fire behavior that could lead to a threat to life and 
  property. Use extreme caution with potential fire ignition 
  sources.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are expected. A combination of strong winds...low relative
humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire
behavior. Use extreme caution when using potential fire ignition
sources.

&&

$$

CAZ252-170600-
/O.CON.KLOX.FW.W.0010.000000T0000Z-171217T0600Z/
Santa Barbara County Mountains-
550 PM PST Sat Dec 16 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS
EVENING FOR GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR THE SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT
FOOTHILLS...

* Winds...Areas of north to northeast winds 20 to 30 mph with
  gusts to 45 mph in the mountains and adjacent foothills.
  Isolated gusts to 55 mph possible. 

* Relative Humidity...Minimum values 15 to 25 percent.

* Impacts...There will be the potential for very rapid spread of 
  wildfire, long range spotting, and extreme fire behavior that 
  could lead to a threat to life and property. Use extreme 
  caution with potential fire ignition sources.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are occurring. A combination of strong winds...low relative
humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire
behavior. Use extreme caution when using potential fire ignition
sources. This is a dangerous situation, please follow evacuation
orders.

&&

$$

CAZ240-241-170600-
/O.CON.KLOX.FW.W.0011.171217T0900Z-171218T0400Z/
Ventura County Coast-
Los Angeles County Coast including Downtown Los Angeles-
550 PM PST Sat Dec 16 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 8 PM PST
SUNDAY FOR GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR
THE VENTURA COAST AND LOS ANGELES COAST FROM MALIBU TO HOLLYWOOD
HILLS...

* Winds...North to northeast winds are expected to increase this 
  evening peaking overnight into Sunday morning at 15 to 30 mph 
  with gusts 35 to 45 mph. Strongest winds across the Ventura 
  county coastal plain and Malibu to Hollywood Hills.

* Relative Humidity...Humidities 15 to 25 percent tonight, 
  lowering to 10 to 15 percent on Sunday.

* Impacts...If fire ignition occurs, there will be the potential 
  for very rapid spread of wildfire, long range spotting, and 
  extreme fire behavior that could lead to a threat to life and 
  property. Use extreme caution with potential fire ignition 
  sources.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are expected. A combination of strong winds...low relative
humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire
behavior. Use extreme caution when using potential fire ignition
sources.

&&

$$

CAZ239-170600-
/O.CON.KLOX.FW.W.0010.000000T0000Z-171217T0600Z/
Santa Barbara County South Coast-
550 PM PST Sat Dec 16 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS
EVENING FOR GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY...

* Winds...Areas of north to northeast winds 15 to 25 mph with 
  gusts to 35 mph below passes and canyons. Isolated gusts to 45 
  mph in the foothills. Strongest winds Santa Barbara eastward.

* Relative Humidity...Minimum values 15 to 25 percent.

* Impacts...If fire ignition occurs, there will be the potential 
  for very rapid spread of wildfire, long range spotting, and 
  extreme fire behavior that could lead to a threat to life and 
  property. Use extreme caution with potential fire ignition 
  sources.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are expected. A combination of gusty winds...low relative
humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire
behavior. Use extreme caution when using potential fire ignition
sources. This is a dangerous situation, please follow evacuation
orders.

&&

$$

CAZ548-170600-
/O.CON.KLOX.FW.W.0010.171217T0500Z-171218T0400Z/
Los Angeles County San Gabriel Valley-
550 PM PST Sat Dec 16 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO
8 PM PST SUNDAY FOR GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR THE FOOTHILLS OF THE SAN GABRIEL VALLEY...

* Winds...Areas of northeast winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 
  mph in the foothills.

* Relative Humidity...Humidities 15 to 25 percent tonight, 
  lowering to 10 to 15 percent on Sunday.

* Impacts...If fire ignition occurs, there will be the potential 
  for very rapid spread of wildfire, long range spotting, and 
  extreme fire behavior that could lead to a threat to life and 
  property. Use extreme caution with potential fire ignition 
  sources.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are expected. A combination of gusty winds...low relative
humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire
behavior. Use extreme caution when using potential fire ignition
sources.

&&

$$
Gomberg/Smith

720 
WWUS86 KLOX 170556
RFWLOX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
956 PM PST Sat Dec 16 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM PST SUNDAY FOR THE SANTA
BARBARA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND SOUTH COAST DUE TO GUSTY NORTH TO 
NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA
COUNTIES TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...Strong upper level winds behind the passage of an
upper level disturbance combined with strengthening north-south
pressure gradients caused a significant increase in winds across
the Santa Barbara county mountains and south coast this morning,
causing major impacts on the Thomas Fire. Wind gusts of 35 to
45 mph continue to linger across the area. While humidities have 
modified somewhat earlier and this evening, the strong north to 
northeast winds will continue to maintain dangerous Red Flag 
conditions for the Santa Barbara County Mountains and South Coast
through late tonight. As a result of these strong winds, there 
will be very rapid fire spread, long range spotting, and extreme 
fire behavior observed at the Thomas Fire and any new fire 
ignitions. In addition, there will be gusty north winds across the
Ventura county mountains today, especially near the Highway 33 
and Interstate 5 corridors which will impact the Ventura county 
portion of the Thomas Fire.

For the remainder of Ventura and Los Angeles Counties, the Santa
Ana winds are expected to begin this evening, then peak overnight
into Sunday when gusts between 35 and 55 mph will be likely. A
Red Flag Warning is in effect for tonight through Sunday evening
for much of Los Angeles and Ventura Counties.

CAZ252-171100-
/O.EXT.KLOX.FW.W.0010.000000T0000Z-171217T1100Z/
Santa Barbara County Mountains-
956 PM PST Sat Dec 16 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM PST SUNDAY FOR GUSTY
NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE SANTA
BARBARA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT FOOTHILLS...

* Winds...Areas of north to northeast winds 20 to 30 mph with
  gusts to 45 mph in the mountains and adjacent foothills.

* Relative Humidity...Minimum values 15 to 25 percent.

* Impacts...There will be the potential for very rapid spread of 
  wildfire, long range spotting, and extreme fire behavior that 
  could lead to a threat to life and property. Use extreme 
  caution with potential fire ignition sources.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are occurring. A combination of strong winds...low relative
humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire
behavior. Use extreme caution when using potential fire ignition
sources. This is a dangerous situation, please follow evacuation
orders.

&&

$$

CAZ239-171100-
/O.EXT.KLOX.FW.W.0010.000000T0000Z-171217T1100Z/
Santa Barbara County South Coast-
956 PM PST Sat Dec 16 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM PST SUNDAY FOR GUSTY
NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE SANTA
BARBARA SOUTH COAST AND ADJACENT FOOTHILLS...

* Winds...Areas of north to northeast winds 15 to 25 mph with 
  gusts to 35 mph below passes and canyons. Isolated gusts to 45 
  mph in the foothills. Strongest winds Santa Barbara eastward.

* Relative Humidity...Minimum values 15 to 25 percent.

* Impacts...If fire ignition occurs, there will be the potential 
  for very rapid spread of wildfire, long range spotting, and 
  extreme fire behavior that could lead to a threat to life and 
  property. Use extreme caution with potential fire ignition 
  sources.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are expected. A combination of gusty winds...low relative
humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire
behavior. Use extreme caution when using potential fire ignition
sources. This is a dangerous situation, please follow evacuation
orders.

&&

$$

CAZ246-253-254-171400-
/O.CON.KLOX.FW.W.0011.000000T0000Z-171218T0400Z/
Santa Monica Mountains Recreational Area-
Ventura County Mountains / Los Padres National Forest-
Los Angeles County Mountains / Angeles National Forest-
956 PM PST Sat Dec 16 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PST SUNDAY FOR
GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE MOUNTAINS
OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES...

* Winds...Northeast winds will increase to 25 to 40 mph with gusts
  to 55 mph and continue into Sunday morning. Isolated gusts to 
  60 mph possible.

* Relative Humidity...Humidities 15 to 25 percent tonight, 
  lowering to 10 to 15 percent on Sunday.

* Impacts...There will be the potential for very rapid spread of 
  wildfire, long range spotting, and extreme fire behavior that 
  could lead to a threat to life and property. Use extreme 
  caution with potential fire ignition sources.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are expected. A combination of strong winds...low relative
humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire
behavior. Use extreme caution when using potential fire ignition
sources.

&&

$$

CAZ244-245-288-171400-
/O.CON.KLOX.FW.W.0011.000000T0000Z-171218T0400Z/
Ventura County Interior Valleys-Ventura County Coastal Valleys-
Santa Clarita Valley-
956 PM PST Sat Dec 16 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PST SUNDAY FOR
GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE VENTURA
COUNTY VALLEYS AND SANTA CLARITA VALLEY...

* Winds...Northeast winds will increase to 20 to 30 mph with gusts
  to 50 mph and continue Sunday morning.

* Relative Humidity...Humidities 15 to 25 percent tonight, 
  lowering to 10 to 15 percent on Sunday.

* Impacts...If fire ignition occurs, there will be the potential 
  for very rapid spread of wildfire, long range spotting, and 
  extreme fire behavior that could lead to a threat to life and 
  property. Use extreme caution with potential fire ignition 
  sources.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are expected. A combination of strong winds...low relative
humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire
behavior. Use extreme caution when using potential fire ignition
sources.

&&

$$

CAZ547-171400-
/O.CON.KLOX.FW.W.0011.000000T0000Z-171218T0400Z/
Los Angeles County San Fernando Valley-
956 PM PST Sat Dec 16 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PST SUNDAY FOR
GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE
SAN FERNANDO VALLEY...

* Winds...North to northeast winds will increase to 15 to 30 mph 
  with gusts to 45 mph and continue into Sunday morning. Strongest
  winds northern and western portions.

* Relative Humidity...Humidities 15 to 25 percent tonight, 
  lowering to 10 to 15 percent on Sunday.

* Impacts...If fire ignition occurs, there will be the potential 
  for very rapid spread of wildfire, long range spotting, and 
  extreme fire behavior that could lead to a threat to life and 
  property. Use extreme caution with potential fire ignition 
  sources.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are expected. A combination of strong winds...low relative
humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire
behavior. Use extreme caution when using potential fire ignition
sources.

&&

$$

CAZ240-241-171400-
/O.CON.KLOX.FW.W.0011.171217T0900Z-171218T0400Z/
Ventura County Coast-
Los Angeles County Coast including Downtown Los Angeles-
956 PM PST Sat Dec 16 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 8 PM PST
SUNDAY FOR GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR
THE VENTURA COAST AND LOS ANGELES COAST FROM MALIBU TO HOLLYWOOD
HILLS...

* Winds...North to northeast winds will increase to 15 to 30 mph
  with gusts 35 to 45 mph and continue into Sunday morning. 
  Strongest winds across the Ventura county coastal plain and 
  Malibu to Hollywood Hills.

* Relative Humidity...Humidities 15 to 25 percent tonight, 
  lowering to 10 to 15 percent on Sunday.

* Impacts...If fire ignition occurs, there will be the potential 
  for very rapid spread of wildfire, long range spotting, and 
  extreme fire behavior that could lead to a threat to life and 
  property. Use extreme caution with potential fire ignition 
  sources.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are expected. A combination of strong winds...low relative
humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire
behavior. Use extreme caution when using potential fire ignition
sources.

&&

$$

CAZ548-171400-
/O.CON.KLOX.FW.W.0010.000000T0000Z-171218T0400Z/
Los Angeles County San Gabriel Valley-
956 PM PST Sat Dec 16 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PST SUNDAY FOR
GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE FOOTHILLS
OF THE SAN GABRIEL VALLEY...

* Winds...Areas of northeast winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 
  mph in the foothills.

* Relative Humidity...Humidities 15 to 25 percent tonight, 
  lowering to 10 to 15 percent on Sunday.

* Impacts...If fire ignition occurs, there will be the potential 
  for very rapid spread of wildfire, long range spotting, and 
  extreme fire behavior that could lead to a threat to life and 
  property. Use extreme caution with potential fire ignition 
  sources.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are expected. A combination of gusty winds...low relative
humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire
behavior. Use extreme caution when using potential fire ignition
sources.

&&

$$

Hall

743 
WWUS86 KLOX 171123
RFWLOX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
323 AM PST Sun Dec 17 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA
COUNTIES THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...The winds have significantly subsided across Santa
Barbara county and western Ventura county. 

For the remainder of Ventura and Los Angeles Counties, the Santa 
Ana winds are expected to begin this evening, then peak overnight 
into Sunday when gusts between 35 and 55 mph will be likely. A Red
Flag Warning is in effect for tonight through Sunday evening for 
much of Los Angeles and Ventura Counties.

CAZ239-252-171230-
/O.EXP.KLOX.FW.W.0010.000000T0000Z-171217T1100Z/
Santa Barbara County South Coast-Santa Barbara County Mountains-
323 AM PST Sun Dec 17 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR Santa Barbara county and western Ventura county...

The winds have significantly subsided and will not return through
at least Wednesday Evening. Minimum values will range from 15 to 
25 percent.

$$

CAZ246-253-254-171930-
/O.CON.KLOX.FW.W.0011.000000T0000Z-171218T0400Z/
Santa Monica Mountains Recreational Area-
Ventura County Mountains / Los Padres National Forest-
Los Angeles County Mountains / Angeles National Forest-
323 AM PST Sun Dec 17 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PST THIS EVENING
FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE MOUNTAINS
OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES...

* Winds...Northeast winds 25 to 40 mph with gusts to 60 mph will
  continue into the afternoon.

* Relative Humidity...Humidities will lower to 10 to 15 percent today.

* Impacts...There will be the potential for very rapid spread of
  wildfire, long range spotting, and extreme fire behavior that
  could lead to a threat to life and property. Use extreme caution
  with potential fire ignition sources.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are expected. A combination of strong winds...low relative
humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire
behavior. Use extreme caution when using potential fire ignition
sources.

&&

$$

CAZ244-245-288-171930-
/O.CON.KLOX.FW.W.0011.000000T0000Z-171218T0400Z/
Ventura County Interior Valleys-Ventura County Coastal Valleys-
Santa Clarita Valley-
323 AM PST Sun Dec 17 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PST THIS EVENING
FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE VENTURA COUNTY VALLEYS
AND SANTA CLARITA VALLEY...

* Winds...Northeast winds from 20 to 30 mph with gusts to 50 mph
  will continue into the afternoon.

* Relative Humidity...Humidities will fall from 15 to 25 percent
  early this morning to 10 to 15 percent.

* Impacts...If fire ignition occurs, there will be the potential 
  for very rapid spread of wildfire, long range spotting, and 
  extreme fire behavior that could lead to a threat to life and 
  property. Use extreme caution with potential fire ignition 
  sources.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are expected. A combination of strong winds...low relative
humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire
behavior. Use extreme caution when using potential fire ignition
sources.

&&

$$

CAZ547-171930-
/O.CON.KLOX.FW.W.0011.000000T0000Z-171218T0400Z/
Los Angeles County San Fernando Valley-
323 AM PST Sun Dec 17 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PST THIS EVENING
FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE SAN FERNANDO VALLEY...

* Winds...North to northeast winds 15 to 30 mph with gusts to 45
  mph will continue into the afternoon. Strongest winds northern 
  and western portions.

* Relative Humidity...Humidities 15 to 25 percent early this
  morning will lower to 10 to 15 percent.

* Impacts...If fire ignition occurs, there will be the potential 
  for very rapid spread of wildfire, long range spotting, and 
  extreme fire behavior that could lead to a threat to life and 
  property. Use extreme caution with potential fire ignition 
  sources.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are expected. A combination of strong winds...low relative
humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire
behavior. Use extreme caution when using potential fire ignition
sources.

&&

$$

CAZ240-241-171930-
/O.CON.KLOX.FW.W.0011.000000T0000Z-171218T0400Z/
Ventura County Coast-
Los Angeles County Coast including Downtown Los Angeles-
323 AM PST Sun Dec 17 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PST THIS EVENING
FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE VENTURA COAST AND LOS 
ANGELES COAST FROM MALIBU TO HOLLYWOOD HILLS...

* Winds...North to northeast winds 15 to 30 mph with gusts 35 to
  45 mph will continue into the afternoon. Strongest winds across
  the Ventura county coastal plain and Malibu to Hollywood Hills.

* Relative Humidity...Humidities 15 to 25 percent early this
  morning will lower to 10 to 15 percent.

* Impacts...If fire ignition occurs, there will be the potential 
  for very rapid spread of wildfire, long range spotting, and 
  extreme fire behavior that could lead to a threat to life and 
  property. Use extreme caution with potential fire ignition 
  sources.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are expected. A combination of strong winds...low relative
humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire
behavior. Use extreme caution when using potential fire ignition
sources.

&&

$$

CAZ548-171930-
/O.CON.KLOX.FW.W.0010.000000T0000Z-171218T0400Z/
Los Angeles County San Gabriel Valley-
323 AM PST Sun Dec 17 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PST THIS EVENING
FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE FOOTHILLS OF THE SAN 
GABRIEL VALLEY...

* Winds...Areas of northeast winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 
  mph in the foothills.

* Relative Humidity...Humidities 15 to 25 percent early this
  morning will lower to 10 to 15 percent.

* Impacts...If fire ignition occurs, there will be the potential 
  for very rapid spread of wildfire, long range spotting, and 
  extreme fire behavior that could lead to a threat to life and 
  property. Use extreme caution with potential fire ignition 
  sources.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are expected. A combination of gusty winds...low relative
humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire
behavior. Use extreme caution when using potential fire ignition
sources.

&&

$$

ASR

088 
WWUS86 KLOX 171801
RFWLOX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
1001 AM PST Sun Dec 17 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA
COUNTIES UNTIL 8 PM THIS EVENING DUE TO STRONG SANTA ANA WINDS 
AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

.DISCUSSION...
A moderate to strong Santa Ana wind event is impacting Ventura
and Los Angeles counties today, with alignment of the offshore
pressure gradient, upper level wind support, and cold air advection.
Critical Red Flag conditions can be expected for much of Los
Angeles and Ventura counties through 8 pm this evening. The strongest
winds are expected to occur this morning through early afternoon, with
damaging wind gusts of 60 to 70 mph across the mountains 
(including the Santa Monicas), and gusts 40 to 55 mph across 
coastal and valley areas. These powerful Santa Ana winds will 
bring considerable blowing dust and ash across the area from 
recent fire activity. In addition, very rapid fire spread, long 
range spotting, and extreme fire behavior will occur on the 
Ventura county portion of the Thomas Fire and any new ignitions
today.


CAZ246-253-254-180400-
/O.CON.KLOX.FW.W.0011.000000T0000Z-171218T0400Z/
Santa Monica Mountains Recreational Area-
Ventura County Mountains / Los Padres National Forest-
Los Angeles County Mountains / Angeles National Forest-
1001 AM PST Sun Dec 17 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PST THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE 
MOUNTAINS OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES...

* Winds...Northeast winds 30 to 45 mph with damaging gusts 60 to
  70 mph today will diminish to 15 to 30 mph with gusts to 40 mph
  by this evening. 

* Relative Humidity...Humidities will lower to 10 to 20 percent 
  today.

* Impacts...There will be the potential for very rapid spread of 
  wildfire, long range spotting, and extreme fire behavior that 
  could lead to a threat to life and property. Use extreme 
  caution with potential fire ignition sources.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are occurring. A combination of strong winds...low relative 
humidity...and very dry fuels can contribute to extreme fire 
behavior. Use extreme caution when using potential fire ignition 
sources.

&&

$$

CAZ244-245-288-180400-
/O.CON.KLOX.FW.W.0011.000000T0000Z-171218T0400Z/
Ventura County Interior Valleys-Ventura County Coastal Valleys-
Santa Clarita Valley-
1001 AM PST Sun Dec 17 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PST THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE 
VENTURA COUNTY VALLEYS AND SANTA CLARITA VALLEY...

* Winds...Northeast winds from 20 to 35 mph with gusts 45 to 55
  mph today will diminish to 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 30 mph by
  this evening.

* Relative Humidity...Humidities will lower to 10 to 15 percent.

* Impacts...If fire ignition occurs, there will be the potential 
  for very rapid spread of wildfire, long range spotting, and 
  extreme fire behavior that could lead to a threat to life and 
  property. Use extreme caution with potential fire ignition 
  sources.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are occurring. A combination of strong winds...low relative 
humidity...and very dry fuels can contribute to extreme fire 
behavior. Use extreme caution when using potential fire ignition 
sources.

&&

$$

CAZ547-180400-
/O.CON.KLOX.FW.W.0011.000000T0000Z-171218T0400Z/
Los Angeles County San Fernando Valley-
1001 AM PST Sun Dec 17 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PST THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR 
THE SAN FERNANDO VALLEY...

* Winds...North to northeast winds 20 to 35 mph with gusts to 50
  mph today will diminish to 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 25 mph by
  this evening. Strongest winds northern and western portions.

* Relative Humidity...Humidities will lower to 10 to 15 percent.

* Impacts...If fire ignition occurs, there will be the potential 
  for very rapid spread of wildfire, long range spotting, and 
  extreme fire behavior that could lead to a threat to life and 
  property. Use extreme caution with potential fire ignition 
  sources.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are expected. A combination of strong winds...low relative
humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire
behavior. Use extreme caution when using potential fire ignition
sources.

&&

$$

CAZ240-241-180400-
/O.CON.KLOX.FW.W.0011.000000T0000Z-171218T0400Z/
Ventura County Coast-
Los Angeles County Coast including Downtown Los Angeles-
1001 AM PST Sun Dec 17 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PST THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE 
VENTURA COAST AND LOS ANGELES COAST FROM MALIBU TO HOLLYWOOD 
HILLS...

* Winds...North to northeast winds 20 to 35 mph with gusts 40 to
  50 mph today will diminish to 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph
  by this evening.  Strongest winds across the Ventura county 
  coastal plain and Malibu to Hollywood Hills.

* Relative Humidity...Humidities will lower to 10 to 15 percent.

* Impacts...If fire ignition occurs, there will be the potential 
  for very rapid spread of wildfire, long range spotting, and 
  extreme fire behavior that could lead to a threat to life and 
  property. Use extreme caution with potential fire ignition 
  sources.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are occurring. A combination of strong winds...low relative 
humidity...and very dry fuels can contribute to extreme fire 
behavior. Use extreme caution when using potential fire ignition 
sources.

&&

$$

CAZ548-180400-
/O.CON.KLOX.FW.W.0010.000000T0000Z-171218T0400Z/
Los Angeles County San Gabriel Valley-
1001 AM PST Sun Dec 17 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PST THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE 
FOOTHILLS OF THE SAN GABRIEL VALLEY...

* Winds...Areas of northeast winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 
  mph in the foothills.

* Relative Humidity...Humidities will lower to 10 to 15 percent.

* Impacts...If fire ignition occurs, there will be the potential 
  for very rapid spread of wildfire, long range spotting, and 
  extreme fire behavior that could lead to a threat to life and 
  property. Use extreme caution with potential fire ignition 
  sources.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are occurring. A combination of gusty winds...low relative 
humidity...and very dry fuels can contribute to extreme fire 
behavior. Use extreme caution when using potential fire ignition 
sources.

&&

$$

Gomberg

673 
WWUS86 KLOX 180354
RFWLOX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
754 PM PST Sun Dec 17 2017


CAZ246-253-254-180500-
/O.EXP.KLOX.FW.W.0011.000000T0000Z-171218T0400Z/
Santa Monica Mountains Recreational Area-
Ventura County Mountains / Los Padres National Forest-
Los Angeles County Mountains / Angeles National Forest-
754 PM PST Sun Dec 17 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR
GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE MOUNTAINS
OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES...

Gusty northeast winds will continue across portions of Ventura and
Los Angeles Counties, but most areas will see improving fire
weather conditions through Monday morning. 

$$

CAZ244-245-288-180500-
/O.EXP.KLOX.FW.W.0011.000000T0000Z-171218T0400Z/
Ventura County Interior Valleys-Ventura County Coastal Valleys-
Santa Clarita Valley-
754 PM PST Sun Dec 17 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR
GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE VENTURA
COUNTY VALLEYS AND SANTA CLARITA VALLEY...

Gusty northeast winds will continue across portions of Ventura and
Los Angeles Counties, but most areas will see improving fire
weather conditions through Monday morning. 

$$

CAZ547-180500-
/O.EXP.KLOX.FW.W.0011.000000T0000Z-171218T0400Z/
Los Angeles County San Fernando Valley-
754 PM PST Sun Dec 17 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR
GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE
SAN FERNANDO VALLEY...

Gusty northeast winds will continue across portions of Ventura and
Los Angeles Counties, but most areas will see improving fire
weather conditions through Monday morning. 

$$

CAZ240-241-180500-
/O.EXP.KLOX.FW.W.0011.000000T0000Z-171218T0400Z/
Ventura County Coast-
Los Angeles County Coast including Downtown Los Angeles-
754 PM PST Sun Dec 17 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR
GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE VENTURA
COAST AND LOS ANGELES COAST FROM MALIBU TO HOLLYWOOD HILLS...

Northeast winds are diminishing across coastal areas of Los
Angeles and Ventura Counties, with improving fire weather
conditions.

$$

CAZ548-180500-
/O.EXP.KLOX.FW.W.0010.000000T0000Z-171218T0400Z/
Los Angeles County San Gabriel Valley-
754 PM PST Sun Dec 17 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR
GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE FOOTHILLS
OF THE SAN GABRIEL VALLEY...

Northeast winds are diminishing across coastal areas of Los
Angeles and Ventura Counties, with improving fire weather
conditions.

$$

Smith

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
936 AM PST Fri Dec 15 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
Very dry and warm conditions will persist today. Some cooling is
expected this weekend as a trough moves through the region. Northerly
winds will return on Saturday, turning into another Santa Ana
wind event late Saturday night into Sunday. Gradual warming early
next week with weaker offshore winds expected.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TDY-SUN)

Forecast on track today, with similarly warm conditions compared
to yesterday and mostly light winds during the day as we quickly
turn from offshore flow to light onshore. This light wind regime
will allow smoke from the Thomas fire to become more concentrated
and spread more into Ventura and possibly west Los Angeles County.
Updated the forecast to better reflect that. Northerly winds for
tonight into Saturday are still on target to strengthen, including
Sundowner winds over Santa Barbara County and the Thomas Fire.
These winds should stay just below wind advisory however.

***From Previous Discussion***

Synoptically, An upper level disturbance will ride down the
eastern side of the Eastern pac upper ridge through California
tonight into Saturday. Earlier models had this shortwave becoming
cutoff across the southern SoCal Bight early Saturday morning, but
the GFS, ECMWF and the high resolution NAM-WRF now quickly move
this digging trough towards San Diego or Baja before it becomes
cutoff Saturday morning into So Arizona. Areas to the south will
have the best chance of seeing a few showers develop, or off the
coastal waters of Orange County and San Diego. But this is still a
slight chance. With the height falls, clouds should develop
tonight across LA and VTU Counties then clear out by Saturday
afternoon.

The main story for Saturday will be the northerly winds
developing behind the frontal passage. Sundowner winds are
expected to develop by late tonight into Saturday morning. By late
Saturday into Sunday the pattern shifts to a Santa Ana. For
Ventura/LA Counties north to northeast winds will start up during
the day Saturday and increase overnight and peaking Sunday morning
with solid advisory level winds and possibly local gusts to 60
mph in the mountains as good upper support and cold air advection
will enhance this wind event Sunday. The additional cold air
coming in Saturday night and Sunday will more than offset any
warming from the downslope flow so highs at lower elevations
expected to top out in the lower 70s.

.LONG TERM...(MON-THU)

Both the GFS and ECMWF remain in good agreement with large scale
features through the Thursday. Offshore winds will be rather weak
both Monday and Tuesday with a gradual warming trend. By
Wednesday, another upper level trough begins to drop out of the
PAC NW and become an inside slider as it moves into the Great
Basin on Thursday. Both models then retrograde the upper low
towards northern Baja by Thursday night. By Wednesday night into
Thursday morning, northerly winds develop affecting the Santa
Barbara Mtns and adjacent south coast as well as the I-5 Corridor,
then turn offshore into another Santa Ana event. The placement of
the upper low over nrn Baja and more cold air advection could
bring another strong Santa Ana Wind event. OF course, this
scenario is still several days away, and models can flip-flop like
your buttermilk pancakes, so stay tuned.

&&

.AVIATION...15/1215Z.

At 12Z, there was a surface based inversion at KLAX. The top of the
marine inversion was around 400 ft with a temperature of 23C.

VFR conds are expected across the areas through early tonight,
except for local MVFR vsbys in smoke in coastal and valley
sections of VTU and SBA Counties.

Some clouds are expected to develop across coastal and valley
sections of L.A. and VTU Counties tonight. There is a 40% chance
that these clouds will be in the MVFR category, and a 20% chance
of they will be in the IFR category.

Gusty NE winds will affect portions of L.A. and VTU Counties this
morning, and there may be some LLWS and moderate UDDF through
noon.

KLAX...High confidence in the forecast through this midnight
with CAVU conditions expected. Cigs are expected to develop late
tonight. There is a 40% chance of MVFR cigs between 09z and 17Z
Saturday, and a 20% chance of IFR cigs.

KBUR...High confidence in the forecast through midnight with CAVU
conditions expected. There is 30% chance of moderate low-level
wind shear and turbulence through 18Z. Cigs are expected to
develop late tonight. There is a 40% chance of MVFR cigs after 10z
Saturday, and a 20% chance of IFR cigs.

&&

.MARINE...15/830 AM.

Across the outer waters, fairly good confidence that NW winds
will increase to SCA levels this evening, then to gale force
conditions by late tonight. There is a 30% chance that seas will
build to SCA levels as early as this afternoon, at least across
the northern two thirds of the outer waters. Gale force winds
will continue through late Sat night, then SCA conds will continue
for a few hours thereafter. Seas will possibly remain above SCA
thresholds for hazardous seas through around noon Sunday.

Across the inner waters north of Point Sal, moderate to high
confidence that winds and seas will reach SCA level winds
from late tonight and continue through late Saturday night. There
is a 20-30% chance that SCA conds will arrive before midnight
tonight.

Across the inner Waters south of Point Conception, winds and seas
are expected to be below SCA levels through Tue, except for a
40-50% chance of SCA level NE winds late Sat night into Sun
morning from Ventura to Anacapa Island south to Santa Monica,
and possibly from San Pedro to Catalina Island.

There will be areas of smoke from the Thomas fire over portions
of the coastal waters today, mainly from the waters west of
Ventura County through the Santa Barbara Channel and over the
outer waters. Visibilities could locally drop to 2 NM or
lower at times today.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...15/400 AM.

Red Flag Warnings in effect for much of Los Angeles and Ventura
counties through 10 am this morning. Fire weather watch in effect
from late tonight through Saturday evening for the Santa Barbara
County mountains. Fire Weather Watch in effect from late Saturday
night through Sunday evening for the Los Angeles and Ventura
county mountains and valleys.

The extended period of offshore flow will continue into this
morning...focused over Los Angeles and Ventura Counties.
The gusty offshore winds will create the potential for
very rapid fire spread, long range spotting, and extreme fire
behavior with existing fires and any new ignitions. The humidities
will remain very dry today with widespread single digit humidities.
This will result in continued critical fire weather this morning.

North to northeast winds gusting to 30 to 40 mph, and possibly
stronger, with continued low humidities, are expected across
the Santa Barbara County mountains and adjacent foothills late
tonight into Saturday. A Fire Weather Watch remains in effect
in the mountains of Santa Barbara County. Gusty northerly winds
could surface into the Santa Barbara county south coast as well,
but at this time, winds are not expected to be strong enough
there to warrant Red Flag conditions.

For Ventura and Los Angeles counties, the flow may begin to shift
to the northeast during the day Saturday, with a greater threat
of increased Santa Ana winds and low humidities later Saturday
night into Sunday when gusts between 35 and 55 mph will be
possible. An additional Santa Ana wind event will be possible
next Thursday into Friday.

Those near current wildfires need to stay aware of and follow
official evacuation orders. Everyone needs to exercise extreme
caution when handling any potential fire ignition sources...such
as campfires, cigarettes, welding and brush clearing equipment.

&&

.LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...High Surf Advisory in effect until 9 AM PST Sunday for zones
      34-35. (See LAXCFWLOX).
     Fire Weather Watch in effect from late Saturday night through
      Sunday evening for zones 244>246-253-254-288-547. (See LAXRFWLOX).
     Red Flag Warning in effect from 2 AM to 10 PM PST Saturday
      for zone 252. (See LAXRFWLOX).
PZ...Small Craft Advisory in effect from 3 AM Saturday to 3 AM PST
      Sunday for zone 645. (See LAXMWWLOX).
     Small Craft Advisory in effect from 9 PM this evening to 3 AM
      PST Saturday for zones 670-673-676. (See LAXMWWLOX).
     Gale Warning in effect from 3 AM Saturday to 3 AM PST Sunday
      for zones 670-673-676. (See LAXMWWLOX).

&&

.HAZARD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK...(SUN-THU)
Critical fire weather conditions possible Sunday with gusty north
to northeast winds and very low humidities. Gusty offshore winds
and critical fire weather conditions possible starting Thursday.

&&

PUBLIC...Kittell/Kaplan
AVIATION...DB
MARINE...DB/Sirard
FIRE...Gomberg/DB
SYNOPSIS...Kaplan/RK

weather.gov/losangeles