Special Weather Statement, NWS Louisville, KY

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Louisville KY
705 PM EDT Mon Jun 5 2017

...Updated Aviation Discussion...

.Short Term...(This evening through Tuesday night)
Issued at 310 PM EDT Mon Jun 5 2017

Late this afternoon steady rain showers were slowly exiting south
central KY.  The flash flood threat is over so cancelled the watch a
little early.

Isolated to scattered showers/storms are still expected to develop
ahead of a cold front sinking south late this afternoon/evening.  A
cell has popped up over central KY and a better line of convection
has developed over east central IN/central OH as of 3pm.  Enough
wind shear and instability exist over southern IN/north central KY
for storms to pose a small hail and gusty wind threat in addition to
brief heavy rainfall this evening. This convection should diminish
by late evening with the rest of the overnight hours mainly dry.

Do expect some fog to develop overnight especially over south
central KY which has received the most rainfall over the last 24-36
hrs. Any fog formation will be battling dry air advection though
behind the front late tonight into Tues morning.  Still feel most
locations over south central KY will see fog...maybe even some
patchy dense fog depending on how quickly the drier air arrives and
clouds clear. Lows tonight should range from the upper 50s to lower
60s.

Tuesday will feature dry, pleasant weather behind the cold front.
Highs will top out in the mid 70s to around 80 with lower humidity.
Lows Tues night will fall back into the 50s.

.Long Term...(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 330 PM EDT Mon Jun 5 2017

Wednesday - Friday...

An upper low lingering over the northeast U.S. will provide a mainly
dry mid week with below normal temperatures.  Some models do
indicate a couple of disturbances on the back side of the low
producing a few light showers but kept the forecast mainly dry.
Highs Wed/Thu should range through the 70s with lows in the 50s.

The upper low will begin to exit the continental U.S. by the end of
the work week resulting in rebounding temps over the Ohio Valley
with highs back into the upper 70s/lower 80s for Fri.

Saturday - Monday...

Weak disturbances may bring small chances for showers on Sat and
again on Mon but expect a mostly dry period from Sat-Mon.  A strong
upper level ridge will begin to work into the region by late in the
weekend causing temps to warm each day.  By Sun/Mon highs will be
back in the upper 80s to around 90 with humidity levels increasing
as well.

&&

.Aviation...(This evening through tomorrow evening)
Issued at 700 PM EDT Mon Jun 5 2017

Line of showers and thunderstorms currently across portions of
southern Indiana and northern Kentucky moving southward at this
hour. Will see reduced visibilities and gusty winds along the line,
but it should move out of the region over the next few hours.
Clearing skies will allow some fog to develop tonight, with greatest
concentration over south-central Kentucky. Visibilities could fall
as low as IFR with isolated areas of LIFR. After sunrise should see
fog burn off quickly with VFR conditions expected the rest of the
day.

&&

.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...None.
KY...None.
&&

Short Term...AMS
Long Term...AMS
Aviation...DM

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Louisville KY
347 PM EDT Mon Jun 5 2017

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-
070>078-081-082-062000-
Orange-Washington-Scott-Jefferson-Dubois-Crawford-Perry-Harrison-
Floyd-Clark-Hancock-Breckinridge-Meade-Ohio-Grayson-Hardin-Bullitt-
Oldham-Trimble-Henry-Shelby-Franklin-Spencer-Anderson-Woodford-
Fayette-Bourbon-Nicholas-Nelson-Mercer-Jessamine-Larue-Marion-Boyle-
Garrard-Madison-Butler-Edmonson-Hart-Green-Taylor-Casey-Lincoln-
Logan-Warren-Simpson-Allen-Barren-Monroe-Metcalfe-Adair-Russell-
Cumberland-Clinton-
Including the cities of Paoli, Salem, Scottsburg, Madison, Jasper,
English, Tell City, Corydon, New Albany, Jeffersonville, Lewisport,
Hawesville, Hardinsburg, Brandenburg, Hartford, Leitchfield,
Elizabethtown, Shepherdsville, Louisville, La Grange, Bedford,
Milton, New Castle, Shelbyville, Frankfort, Georgetown, Cynthiana,
Taylorsville, Lawrenceburg, Versailles, Lexington, Paris, Carlisle,
Bardstown, Springfield, Harrodsburg, Nicholasville, Winchester,
Hodgenville, Lebanon, Danville, Lancaster, Richmond, Morgantown,
Brownsville, Horse Cave, Greensburg, Campbellsville, Liberty,
Stanford, Russellville, Bowling Green, Franklin, Providence,
Scottsville, Glasgow, Tompkinsville, Edmonton, Columbia, Jamestown,
Burkesville, and Albany
347 PM EDT Mon Jun 5 2017 /247 PM CDT Mon Jun 5 2017/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of south central
Indiana and Central Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are possible late this afternoon
into this evening ahead of a cold front. A few strong storms may
produce gusty winds, small hail and locally heavy rainfall, mainly
over southern Indiana and north central Kentucky.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

More information, along with other weather, hydrological and
climate information can be found, at weather.gov/louisville.

AMS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
711 PM EDT MON JUN 5 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0640 PM     TSTM WND DMG     PROSPECT                38.35N 85.61W
06/05/2017                   JEFFERSON          KY   BROADCAST MEDIA

            POWER OUTAGES IN PROSPECT.

&&

RL

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
715 PM EDT MON JUN 5 2017

INZ090-091-KYZ029-030-038-052345-
Floyd-Harrison-Jefferson-Bullitt-Spencer-
715 PM EDT MON JUN 5 2017

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT HARRISON...SOUTHWESTERN
FLOYD...WESTERN SPENCER...JEFFERSON AND NORTHERN BULLITT COUNTIES...

At 714 PM EDT, radar indicated strong thunderstorms were located
along a line extending from 11 miles north of Corydon to near
Pleasure Ridge Par to near Fern Creek. Movement was south at 15 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail are possible with these
storms.

Locations impacted include...
Louisville, Jeffersontown, Shively, Shepherdsville, Corydon, Pioneer
Village, Audubon Park, West Buechel, Watterson Park and Lynnview.

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

LAT...LON 3823 8585 3820 8544 3796 8537 3796 8544
      3799 8549 3796 8553 3797 8589 3799 8591
      3799 8592 3821 8627 3842 8617 3842 8613
TIME...MOT...LOC 2314Z 356DEG 12KT 3837 8613 3814 8591 3814 8554

RJS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
719 PM EDT MON JUN 5 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0659 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 ENE LOUISVILLE        38.24N 85.71W
06/05/2017                   JEFFERSON          KY   BROADCAST MEDIA

            SEVERAL DOWNED TREES BLOCKING CHEROKEE
            PARKWAY.

&&

RL

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
720 PM EDT MON JUN 5 2017

KYZ034-038>041-045-047-048-052345-
Shelby-Mercer-Woodford-Fayette-Jessamine-Spencer-Nelson-Anderson-
720 PM EDT MON JUN 5 2017

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SPENCER...SOUTHERN
SHELBY...NORTHEASTERN NELSON...NORTHERN MERCER...WOODFORD...
ANDERSON...NORTHERN JESSAMINE AND SOUTHWESTERN FAYETTE COUNTIES...

At 719 PM EDT, radar indicated strong thunderstorms were located
along a line extending from near Taylorsville to near Lawrenceburg to
near Dunbar High School. Movement was south at 25 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph are possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Lexington, Nicholasville, Lawrenceburg, Versailles, Taylorsville,
Meadowthorpe, Dunbar High School, Cardinal Hill, Fayette Mall and
Veterans Park.

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They can relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Louisville.

LAT...LON 3788 8494 3790 8511 3792 8512 3790 8513
      3793 8537 3815 8543 3819 8542 3810 8501
      3810 8453 3787 8445
TIME...MOT...LOC 2319Z 351DEG 20KT 3811 8537 3803 8500 3801 8463

RJS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
735 PM EDT MON JUN 5 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0630 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 S PROSPECT            38.32N 85.61W
06/05/2017                   JEFFERSON          KY   BROADCAST MEDIA

            DOWNED TREES NEAR PROSPECT IN THE WOLF
            PEN/SPRINGDALE AREA.

&&

RL

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