Flash Flood Watch 9, NWS Louisville, KY

Clark County, IN, Crawford County, IN, Dubois County, IN, Floyd County, IN, Harrison County, IN, Jefferson County, IN, Orange County, IN, Perry County, IN, Scott County, IN, Washington County, IN, Adair County, KY, Allen County, KY, Anderson County, KY, Barren County, KY, Bourbon County, KY, Boyle County, KY, Breckinridge County, KY, Bullitt County, KY, Butler County, KY, Casey County, KY, Clark County, KY, Clinton County, KY, Cumberland County, KY, Edmonson County, KY, Fayette County, KY, Franklin County, KY, Garrard County, KY, Grayson County, KY, Green County, KY, Hancock County, KY, Hardin County, KY, Harrison County, KY, Hart County, KY, Henry County, KY, Jefferson County, KY, Jessamine County, KY, Larue County, KY, Lincoln County, KY, Logan County, KY, Madison County, KY, Marion County, KY, Meade County, KY, Mercer County, KY, Metcalfe County, KY, Monroe County, KY, Nelson County, KY, Nicholas County, KY, Ohio County, KY, Oldham County, KY, Russell County, KY, Scott County, KY, Shelby County, KY, Simpson County, KY, Spencer County, KY, Taylor County, KY, Trimble County, KY, Warren County, KY, Washington County, KY, Woodford County, KY

203 
WGUS63 KLMK 230655
FFALMK

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Louisville KY
255 AM EDT Fri Jun 23 2017

...HEAVY RAIN FORECAST AS REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM CINTY MOVE
THROUGH THE REGION...

.The combination of Tropical Storm Cindy's remnants and an
incoming cold front will lead to the possibility of locally heavy
rain and flooding first over southern Indiana this morning and
then across the rest central Kentucky this afternoon and evening.

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-232000-
/O.CON.KLMK.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-170624T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Orange-Washington-Scott-Jefferson-Dubois-Crawford-Perry-Harrison-
Floyd-Clark-
Including the cities of Paoli, Salem, Scottsburg, Madison, 
Jasper, English, Tell City, Corydon, New Albany, 
and Jeffersonville
255 AM EDT Fri Jun 23 2017 /155 AM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017/

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* South Central Indiana

* Through late tonight

* A cold front coming in from the northwest will join forces 
  with the remnants of Tropical Storm Cindy to produce 
  widespread rain, possibly heavy. 

* Heavy rainfall may impact the morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-070>078-081-082-232000-
/O.CON.KLMK.FF.A.0009.170623T1500Z-170624T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Hancock-Breckinridge-Meade-Ohio-Grayson-Hardin-Bullitt-Jefferson-
Oldham-Trimble-Henry-Shelby-Franklin-Scott-Harrison-Spencer-
Anderson-Woodford-Fayette-Bourbon-Nicholas-Nelson-Washington-
Mercer-Jessamine-Clark-Larue-Marion-Boyle-Garrard-Madison-Butler-
Edmonson-Hart-Green-Taylor-Casey-Lincoln-Logan-Warren-Simpson-
Allen-Barren-Monroe-Metcalfe-Adair-Russell-Cumberland-Clinton-
Including the cities of Lewisport, Hawesville, Hardinsburg, 
Brandenburg, Hartford, Leitchfield, Elizabethtown, 
Shepherdsville, Louisville, La Grange, Bedford, Milton, 
New Castle, Shelbyville, Frankfort, Georgetown, Cynthiana, 
Taylorsville, Lawrenceburg, Versailles, Lexington, Paris, 
Carlisle, Bardstown, Springfield, Harrodsburg, Nicholasville, 
Winchester, Hodgenville, Lebanon, Danville, Lancaster, Richmond, 
Morgantown, Brownsville, Horse Cave, Greensburg, Campbellsville, 
Liberty, Stanford, Russellville, Bowling Green, Franklin, 
Providence, Scottsville, Glasgow, Tompkinsville, Edmonton, 
Columbia, Jamestown, Burkesville, and Albany
255 AM EDT Fri Jun 23 2017 /155 AM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017/

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/
THIS MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* All of Central Kentucky

* From 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/ this morning through Saturday 
  morning 

* A cold front coming in from the northwest will join forces 
  with the remnants of Tropical Storm Cindy to produce 
  widespread rain, possibly heavy. 

* The heaviest of the rainfall is expected during the afternoon
  hours today and may cause trouble with rush hour traffic.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

RJS

832 
WGUS63 KLMK 231616
FFALMK

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Louisville KY
1216 PM EDT Fri Jun 23 2017

...HEAVY RAIN FORECAST AS REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM CINDY MOVE
THROUGH THE REGION...

.The combination of Tropical Storm Cindy's remnants and an
incoming cold front will lead to the possibility of locally heavy
rain and flooding this afternoon and evening.

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-232000-
/O.CON.KLMK.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-170624T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Orange-Washington-Scott-Jefferson-Dubois-Crawford-Perry-Harrison-
Floyd-Clark-
Including the cities of Paoli, Salem, Scottsburg, Madison, 
Jasper, English, Tell City, Corydon, New Albany, 
and Jeffersonville
1216 PM EDT Fri Jun 23 2017 /1116 AM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017/

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* South central Indiana. 

* Through late tonight

* A cold front coming in from the northwest will join forces 
  with the remnants of Tropical Storm Cindy to produce 
  widespread rain, possibly heavy. 

* Heavy rainfall may impact the evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-070>078-081-082-232000-
/O.CON.KLMK.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-170624T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Hancock-Breckinridge-Meade-Ohio-Grayson-Hardin-Bullitt-Jefferson-
Oldham-Trimble-Henry-Shelby-Franklin-Scott-Harrison-Spencer-
Anderson-Woodford-Fayette-Bourbon-Nicholas-Nelson-Washington-
Mercer-Jessamine-Clark-Larue-Marion-Boyle-Garrard-Madison-Butler-
Edmonson-Hart-Green-Taylor-Casey-Lincoln-Logan-Warren-Simpson-
Allen-Barren-Monroe-Metcalfe-Adair-Russell-Cumberland-Clinton-
Including the cities of Lewisport, Hawesville, Hardinsburg, 
Brandenburg, Hartford, Leitchfield, Elizabethtown, 
Shepherdsville, Louisville, La Grange, Bedford, Milton, 
New Castle, Shelbyville, Frankfort, Georgetown, Cynthiana, 
Taylorsville, Lawrenceburg, Versailles, Lexington, Paris, 
Carlisle, Bardstown, Springfield, Harrodsburg, Nicholasville, 
Winchester, Hodgenville, Lebanon, Danville, Lancaster, Richmond, 
Morgantown, Brownsville, Horse Cave, Greensburg, Campbellsville, 
Liberty, Stanford, Russellville, Bowling Green, Franklin, 
Providence, Scottsville, Glasgow, Tompkinsville, Edmonton, 
Columbia, Jamestown, Burkesville, and Albany
1216 PM EDT Fri Jun 23 2017 /1116 AM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017/

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY 
MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Central Kentucky 

* Through early Saturday morning

* A cold front coming in from the northwest will join forces 
  with the remnants of Tropical Storm Cindy to produce 
  widespread rain, possibly heavy. 

* The heaviest of the rainfall is expected during the afternoon
  and evening hours today and may cause trouble with rush hour 
  traffic.
  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

13

130 
WGUS63 KLMK 231956
FFALMK

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Louisville KY
356 PM EDT Fri Jun 23 2017

...HEAVY RAIN AS REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM CINDY MOVE THROUGH 
THE REGION...

.The combination of Tropical Storm Cindy's remnants and an
incoming cold front will lead to the possibility of locally heavy
rain and minor flooding tonight.

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-240400-
/O.CON.KLMK.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-170624T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Orange-Washington-Scott-Jefferson-Dubois-Crawford-Perry-Harrison-
Floyd-Clark-
Including the cities of Paoli, Salem, Scottsburg, Madison, 
Jasper, English, Tell City, Corydon, New Albany, 
and Jeffersonville
356 PM EDT Fri Jun 23 2017 /256 PM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017/

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT /1 AM CDT/
SATURDAY...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* South central Indiana. 

* Until 2 AM EDT /1 AM CDT/ Saturday

* A cold front coming in from the northwest will join forces 
  with the remnants of Tropical Storm Cindy to produce 
  widespread rain, possibly heavy. 

* Heavy rainfall may impact the evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-070>078-081-082-240400-
/O.CON.KLMK.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-170624T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Hancock-Breckinridge-Meade-Ohio-Grayson-Hardin-Bullitt-Jefferson-
Oldham-Trimble-Henry-Shelby-Franklin-Scott-Harrison-Spencer-
Anderson-Woodford-Fayette-Bourbon-Nicholas-Nelson-Washington-
Mercer-Jessamine-Clark-Larue-Marion-Boyle-Garrard-Madison-Butler-
Edmonson-Hart-Green-Taylor-Casey-Lincoln-Logan-Warren-Simpson-
Allen-Barren-Monroe-Metcalfe-Adair-Russell-Cumberland-Clinton-
Including the cities of Lewisport, Hawesville, Hardinsburg, 
Brandenburg, Hartford, Leitchfield, Elizabethtown, 
Shepherdsville, Louisville, La Grange, Bedford, Milton, 
New Castle, Shelbyville, Frankfort, Georgetown, Cynthiana, 
Taylorsville, Lawrenceburg, Versailles, Lexington, Paris, 
Carlisle, Bardstown, Springfield, Harrodsburg, Nicholasville, 
Winchester, Hodgenville, Lebanon, Danville, Lancaster, Richmond, 
Morgantown, Brownsville, Horse Cave, Greensburg, Campbellsville, 
Liberty, Stanford, Russellville, Bowling Green, Franklin, 
Providence, Scottsville, Glasgow, Tompkinsville, Edmonton, 
Columbia, Jamestown, Burkesville, and Albany
356 PM EDT Fri Jun 23 2017 /256 PM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017/

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT TONIGHT...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of central Kentucky. 

* Through tonight

* A cold front coming in from the northwest will join forces 
  with the remnants of Tropical Storm Cindy to produce 
  widespread rain, possibly heavy. 

* The heaviest rainfall is expected during the evening hours and 
  may cause trouble with rush hour traffic. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

13

381 
WGUS63 KLMK 232346
FFALMK

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Louisville KY
746 PM EDT Fri Jun 23 2017


INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-240100-
/O.CAN.KLMK.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-170624T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Orange-Washington-Scott-Jefferson-Dubois-Crawford-Perry-Harrison-
Floyd-Clark-
Including the cities of Paoli, Salem, Scottsburg, Madison, 
Jasper, English, Tell City, Corydon, New Albany, 
and Jeffersonville
746 PM EDT Fri Jun 23 2017 /646 PM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017/

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flash Flood Watch for portions of Indiana and south central
Indiana has been cancelled. The threat of heavy rainfall and flash
flooding has come to an end. 

$$

KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-070>078-081-082-240800-
/O.CON.KLMK.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-170624T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Hancock-Breckinridge-Meade-Ohio-Grayson-Hardin-Bullitt-Jefferson-
Oldham-Trimble-Henry-Shelby-Franklin-Scott-Harrison-Spencer-
Anderson-Woodford-Fayette-Bourbon-Nicholas-Nelson-Washington-
Mercer-Jessamine-Clark-Larue-Marion-Boyle-Garrard-Madison-Butler-
Edmonson-Hart-Green-Taylor-Casey-Lincoln-Logan-Warren-Simpson-
Allen-Barren-Monroe-Metcalfe-Adair-Russell-Cumberland-Clinton-
Including the cities of Lewisport, Hawesville, Hardinsburg, 
Brandenburg, Hartford, Leitchfield, Elizabethtown, 
Shepherdsville, Louisville, La Grange, Bedford, Milton, 
New Castle, Shelbyville, Frankfort, Georgetown, Cynthiana, 
Taylorsville, Lawrenceburg, Versailles, Lexington, Paris, 
Carlisle, Bardstown, Springfield, Harrodsburg, Nicholasville, 
Winchester, Hodgenville, Lebanon, Danville, Lancaster, Richmond, 
Morgantown, Brownsville, Horse Cave, Greensburg, Campbellsville, 
Liberty, Stanford, Russellville, Bowling Green, Franklin, 
Providence, Scottsville, Glasgow, Tompkinsville, Edmonton, 
Columbia, Jamestown, Burkesville, and Albany
746 PM EDT Fri Jun 23 2017 /646 PM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017/

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of east central Kentucky, north central Kentucky, 
  northwest Kentucky, and south central Kentucky, including the 
  following areas, in east central Kentucky, Anderson, Bourbon, 
  Boyle, Clark, Fayette, Franklin, Garrard, Harrison, Jessamine, 
  Madison, Mercer, Nicholas, Scott, and Woodford. In north 
  central Kentucky, Breckinridge, Bullitt, Hardin, Henry, 
  Jefferson, Larue, Meade, Nelson, Oldham, Shelby, Spencer, 
  Trimble, and Washington. In northwest Kentucky, Hancock and 
  Ohio. In south central Kentucky, Adair, Allen, Barren, Butler, 
  Casey, Clinton, Cumberland, Edmonson, Grayson, Green, Hart, 
  Lincoln, Logan, Marion, Metcalfe, Monroe, Russell, Simpson, 
  Taylor, and Warren. 

* Through Saturday morning

* A cold front coming in from the northwest will join forces 
  with the remnants of Tropical Storm Cindy to produce 
  widespread rain, possibly heavy. 

* The heaviest rainfall is expected during the evening hours and 
  may cause trouble with rush hour traffic. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

760 
WGUS63 KLMK 240137
FFALMK

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Louisville KY
937 PM EDT Fri Jun 23 2017

KYZ023>032-061-070-240245-
/O.CAN.KLMK.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-170624T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Hancock-Breckinridge-Meade-Ohio-Grayson-Hardin-Bullitt-Jefferson-
Oldham-Trimble-Butler-Logan-
Including the cities of Lewisport, Hawesville, Hardinsburg, 
Brandenburg, Hartford, Leitchfield, Elizabethtown, 
Shepherdsville, Louisville, La Grange, Bedford, Milton, 
Morgantown, and Russellville
937 PM EDT Fri Jun 23 2017 /837 PM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017/

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flash Flood Watch for portions of north central Kentucky,
northwest Kentucky, and south central Kentucky has been
cancelled.

The threat of additional heavy rainfall has ended and the flash
flood watch has been cancelled.

$$

KYZ033>043-045>049-053>057-062>067-071>078-081-082-240945-
/O.CON.KLMK.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-170624T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Henry-Shelby-Franklin-Scott-Harrison-Spencer-Anderson-Woodford-
Fayette-Bourbon-Nicholas-Nelson-Washington-Mercer-Jessamine-Clark-
Larue-Marion-Boyle-Garrard-Madison-Edmonson-Hart-Green-Taylor-
Casey-Lincoln-Warren-Simpson-Allen-Barren-Monroe-Metcalfe-Adair-
Russell-Cumberland-Clinton-
Including the cities of New Castle, Shelbyville, Frankfort, 
Georgetown, Cynthiana, Taylorsville, Lawrenceburg, Versailles, 
Lexington, Paris, Carlisle, Bardstown, Springfield, Harrodsburg, 
Nicholasville, Winchester, Hodgenville, Lebanon, Danville, 
Lancaster, Richmond, Brownsville, Horse Cave, Greensburg, 
Campbellsville, Liberty, Stanford, Bowling Green, Franklin, 
Providence, Scottsville, Glasgow, Tompkinsville, Edmonton, 
Columbia, Jamestown, Burkesville, and Albany
937 PM EDT Fri Jun 23 2017 /837 PM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017/

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT /7 AM CDT/
SATURDAY...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of east central Kentucky, north central Kentucky, and 
  south central Kentucky, including the following areas, in east 
  central Kentucky, Anderson, Bourbon, Boyle, Clark, Fayette, 
  Franklin, Garrard, Harrison, Jessamine, Madison, Mercer, 
  Nicholas, Scott, and Woodford. In north central Kentucky, 
  Henry, Larue, Nelson, Shelby, Spencer, and Washington. In 
  south central Kentucky, Adair, Allen, Barren, Casey, Clinton, 
  Cumberland, Edmonson, Green, Hart, Lincoln, Marion, Metcalfe, 
  Monroe, Russell, Simpson, Taylor, and Warren. 

* Until 8 AM EDT /7 AM CDT/ Saturday

* Widespread rainfall is expected to continue across portions of
  central Kentucky. This additional rainfall will pose a threat of
  flash flooding into the overnight hours. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

878 
WGUS63 KLMK 240522
FFALMK

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Louisville KY
122 AM EDT Sat Jun 24 2017

KYZ033>043-045>049-053>057-062>067-071>078-081-082-240630-
/O.CAN.KLMK.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-170624T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Henry-Shelby-Franklin-Scott-Harrison-Spencer-Anderson-Woodford-
Fayette-Bourbon-Nicholas-Nelson-Washington-Mercer-Jessamine-Clark-
Larue-Marion-Boyle-Garrard-Madison-Edmonson-Hart-Green-Taylor-
Casey-Lincoln-Warren-Simpson-Allen-Barren-Monroe-Metcalfe-Adair-
Russell-Cumberland-Clinton-
Including the cities of New Castle, Shelbyville, Frankfort, 
Georgetown, Cynthiana, Taylorsville, Lawrenceburg, Versailles, 
Lexington, Paris, Carlisle, Bardstown, Springfield, Harrodsburg, 
Nicholasville, Winchester, Hodgenville, Lebanon, Danville, 
Lancaster, Richmond, Brownsville, Horse Cave, Greensburg, 
Campbellsville, Liberty, Stanford, Bowling Green, Franklin, 
Providence, Scottsville, Glasgow, Tompkinsville, Edmonton, 
Columbia, Jamestown, Burkesville, and Albany
122 AM EDT Sat Jun 24 2017 /1222 AM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017/

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flash Flood Watch for portions of east central Kentucky,
north central Kentucky, and south central Kentucky has been
cancelled. The heaviest rainfall has moved east of the region,
and flash flooding is no longer a threat.

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Louisville KY
630 AM EDT Thu Jun 22 2017

...Updated Aviation Discussion...

.Short Term...(Today through Friday)
Issued at 300 AM EDT Thu Jun 22 2017

It's about to get fairly humid. East/west boundary of 2 inch
precipitable water now lies over central Tennessee and is forecast
to cross into southern Kentucky by 12Z. It should reach our southern
Indiana counties by mid afternoon. Rain chances will not be too far
behind that surge, with scattered showers/storms moving to the I-64
corridor by lunchtime. Think there will be a slight break behind
this leading edge of rain chances, but coverage should fill in with
any type of heating.

With the tropical airmass in place, any showers/storms that develop
will be capable of heavy rainfall. Another threat is gusty
winds...as low-level winds do pick up in the afternoon to the 40-50
kt range at 850 mb (at least per NAM/RAP soundings). These winds
look valid as latest VWP from the Deep South do show these stronger
winds aloft. Cannot rule out a brief spinup given the low-level
shear in place.

We still should see a lull in the evening hours, with loss of
heating, but then models continue to show a well-defined deformation
band of heavier precip forming somewhere along the Ohio River late
Thursday night into Friday morning. A majority of model guidance
place this band just north of the river before 12Z, with some
hinting at additional weaker bands over central Kentucky. Given the
moist airmass in place, it will not take much instability to spark
new showers overnight, and again these will have potential to dump
some quick heavy rains. Briefly considered a flash flood watch for
these areas, but given some uncertainty in exact placement, and
after collaboration with neighboring offices and WPC, decided to
hold off for now and continue mentioning the threat in our outlook
products.

Assuming that band sets up over southern Indiana, any heating over
Kentucky during the day Friday should allow for new storm
development. In addition, the remnants of Tropical Storm Cindy will
be approaching our border with TN, providing extra forcing for deep
tropical rain showers. The period from Friday afternoon through
evening should provide the best chance for any flash flood
potential, with a relatively quick 2-4 inches of rain possible in
that period.

.Long Term...(Friday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 300 AM EDT Thu Jun 22 2017

The surface low pressure that are the remnants of TS Cindy should
move into western Virginia a little after midnight Friday night. By
this point it will be absorbed into a cold front that will swing
through our region that evening. Model guidance now brings an
earlier end to precip, clearing our eastern zones by daybreak
Saturday. Rainfall totals for the event should easily range from 2-4
inches, but would not be surprised to see some 6"+ amounts.

High pressure building into the region behind this low should bring
several days of dry weather and cooler conditions. A couple of
hiccups in the dry air may come over our Bluegrass and southern
Indiana zones as upper troughs swing by to the north later in the
day Saturday and then again Monday.

&&

.Aviation...(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 627 AM EDT Thu Jun 22 2017

Regional radars reveal large area of precipitation just south of the
Kentucky border at this hour. Will see precipitation spread
northward over time, with BWG receiving rain in the next few hours,
and the SDF/LEX terminals getting it this afternoon. MVFR cigs/vis
will be likely within this precipitation band, with isolated IFR
cigs/vis in heavier showers and thunderstorms. Should see a lull in
activity late this afternoon and evening and while visibilities will
improve, ceilings will remain MVFR for most sites. Another round of
precipitation looks to affect northern parts of the region toward
the end of the TAF forecast period.

&&

.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...None.
KY...None.
&&

Short Term...RJS
Long Term...RJS
Aviation...DM

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Louisville KY
402 AM EDT Thu Jun 22 2017

KYZ026>029-034>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-070>078-081-082-230815-
Ohio-Grayson-Hardin-Bullitt-Shelby-Franklin-Scott-Harrison-Spencer-
Anderson-Woodford-Fayette-Bourbon-Nicholas-Nelson-Washington-Mercer-
Jessamine-Clark-Larue-Marion-Boyle-Garrard-Madison-Butler-Edmonson-
Hart-Green-Taylor-Casey-Lincoln-Logan-Warren-Simpson-Allen-Barren-
Monroe-Metcalfe-Adair-Russell-Cumberland-Clinton-
Including the cities of Hartford, Leitchfield, Elizabethtown,
Shepherdsville, Shelbyville, Frankfort, Georgetown, Cynthiana,
Taylorsville, Lawrenceburg, Versailles, Lexington, Paris, Carlisle,
Bardstown, Springfield, Harrodsburg, Nicholasville, Winchester,
Hodgenville, Lebanon, Danville, Lancaster, Richmond, Morgantown,
Brownsville, Horse Cave, Greensburg, Campbellsville, Liberty,
Stanford, Russellville, Bowling Green, Franklin, Providence,
Scottsville, Glasgow, Tompkinsville, Edmonton, Columbia, Jamestown,
Burkesville, and Albany
402 AM EDT Thu Jun 22 2017 /302 AM CDT Thu Jun 22 2017/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms will form today as a
tropical airmass moves into the region. Expect heavy downpours and
brief gusty winds. With stronger winds just above the surface, an
isolated tornado is possible as well.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Scattered thunderstorms and widespread soaking rains are expected
to develop again Friday as the remnants of Tropical Storm Cindy
move near the southern Kentucky border and interact with a cold
front coming in from the northwest. Storms Friday afternoon and
evening have the best chance to produce localized flooding. Severe
weather is not the main threat with this rainfall event, but a few
strong storms with gusty winds and an isolated tornado will be
possible Friday afternoon and evening.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed beginning this afternoon through
Friday.

&&

More information, along with other weather, hydrological and
climate information can be found, at weather.gov/louisville.

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>025-030>033-230815-
Orange-Washington-Scott-Jefferson-Dubois-Crawford-Perry-Harrison-
Floyd-Clark-Hancock-Breckinridge-Meade-Oldham-Trimble-Henry-
Including the cities of Paoli, Salem, Scottsburg, Madison, Jasper,
English, Tell City, Corydon, New Albany, Jeffersonville, Lewisport,
Hawesville, Hardinsburg, Brandenburg, Louisville, La Grange,
Bedford, Milton, and New Castle
402 AM EDT Thu Jun 22 2017 /302 AM CDT Thu Jun 22 2017/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of south central
Indiana and North Central Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms will form today and then
again late tonight as a tropical airmass moves into the region.
Expect heavy downpours with these storms as well as brief gusty
winds.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Heavy rainfall is expected Friday morning somewhere along or north of
the Ohio River. Localized flooding is possible. The heaviest rainfall
threat should end as the remnants of Tropical Storm Cindy shift east
of the region.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed for heavy rain reports and street
flooding this afternoon through Friday.

&&

More information, along with other weather, hydrological and
climate information can be found, at weather.gov/louisville.

RJS