Severe Thunderstorm Warning 80, NWS Lake Charles, LA

740 
WWUS54 KLCH 031148
SVSLCH

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
648 AM CDT WED MAY 3 2017

TXC199-241-457-031230-
/O.CON.KLCH.SV.W.0080.000000T0000Z-170503T1230Z/
Tyler TX-Hardin TX-Jasper TX-
648 AM CDT WED MAY 3 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 AM CDT
FOR TYLER...EASTERN HARDIN AND CENTRAL JASPER COUNTIES...

At 647 AM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Warren to near Village Mills, moving north at 40
mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Silsbee, Woodville, Kountze, Colmesneil, Saratoga, Fred, Wildwood,
Warren, Town Bluff, Caney Head, Honey Island, Mt. Union, Spurger,
Village Mills, Ivanhoe and Hillister.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3060 9406 3016 9436 3025 9457 3049 9457
      3049 9454 3062 9457 3098 9456 3071 9401
TIME...MOT...LOC 1147Z 188DEG 35KT 3060 9451 3052 9431 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

TWH

769 
WWUS54 KLCH 031200
SVSLCH

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
700 AM CDT WED MAY 3 2017

TXC241-031208-
/O.CAN.KLCH.SV.W.0080.000000T0000Z-170503T1230Z/
Jasper TX-
700 AM CDT WED MAY 3 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL JASPER COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned 
area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 3077 9413 3071 9414 3070 9412 3069 9413
      3069 9411 3043 9433 3050 9454 3097 9455
TIME...MOT...LOC 1158Z 188DEG 35KT 3071 9449 3063 9429 

$$

TXC199-457-031230-
/O.CON.KLCH.SV.W.0080.000000T0000Z-170503T1230Z/
Tyler TX-Hardin TX-
700 AM CDT WED MAY 3 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 AM CDT
FOR TYLER AND NORTH CENTRAL HARDIN COUNTIES...

At 658 AM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 6 miles southwest of Woodville to 7 miles east of
Warren, moving north at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Golf ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts. 

SOURCE...Public reported golf ball size hail in Warren. 

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect wind 
         damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Woodville, Colmesneil, Warren, Town Bluff, Wildwood, Spurger, Village
Mills, Ivanhoe and Hillister.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3077 9413 3071 9414 3070 9412 3069 9413
      3069 9411 3043 9433 3050 9454 3097 9455
TIME...MOT...LOC 1158Z 188DEG 35KT 3071 9449 3063 9429 

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

TWH

385 
WWUS54 KLCH 031224
SVSLCH

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
724 AM CDT WED MAY 3 2017

TXC199-457-031234-
/O.EXP.KLCH.SV.W.0080.000000T0000Z-170503T1230Z/
Tyler TX-Hardin TX-
724 AM CDT WED MAY 3 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR TYLER AND NORTH CENTRAL HARDIN
COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 730 AM CDT...
            
The storms which prompted the warning have weakened below severe
limits, and no longer pose an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore the warning will be allowed to expire.  However small hail
and gusty winds are still possible with these thunderstorms.

LAT...LON 3077 9413 3071 9414 3070 9412 3069 9413
      3069 9411 3043 9433 3050 9454 3097 9455
TIME...MOT...LOC 1224Z 188DEG 35KT 3096 9445 3088 9425 

$$

TWH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
434 AM CDT Wed May 3 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Rapid changes with deteriorating weather conditions expected
today. Severe thunderstorms possible, heavy rains leading to
additional flooding, strong south to southeast winds inland and
offshore with small craft advisories in effect, along with minor
tidal coastal flooding possible.

First wave of convection expected to ramp up significantly across
Southeast Texas around daybreak, with significant moisture and
lift allowing thunderstorms to spread across the remainder of the
region later this morning and afternoon. Reasoning: Significant
mid/upper level shortwave moving through the southern U.S. will
allow for surface low pressure to move East Texas and Louisiana
followed by a strong cold front for early May. The frontal passage
will likely result in a significant squall line either just ahead
or along the frontal passage later this evening, exiting from
northwest to southeast late this evening into early Thursday
morning. A quick summary of the hazards expected today include:

Severe weather threat:
SPC has upgraded entire area to an Enhanced Risk, with large hail
possible and damaging winds the primary severe weather threat.

Flash Flood Watch:
Moderate risk of excessive rainfall today with rain amounts of 3
to 6 inches are expected across Southern Louisiana, with isolated
amounts exceeding 8 inches possible. Elsewhere slight risk of
excessive rainfall with rain amounts of 2 to 3 inches are expected
with isolated amounts exceeding 5 inches possible across
Southeast Texas and Central Louisiana.

Coastal Flood Advisory:
South to southeasterly winds will continue strengthening today
ahead of the next cold front this evening and early Thursday
morning. The increased onshore flow will lead to elevated tides of
1.5 to 2.0 feet above predicted levels this afternoon and evening.
This will result in tidal levels between 3.3 - 3.8 feet MLLW later
this afternoon and evening.

Once the front passes, the precipitation will come to an end, with
cooler than normal temperatures expected though Saturday. A
warming trend with no precipitation is expected Sunday through
Tuesday.

DML

&&

.MARINE...
South to southeasterly winds will continue strengthening today
ahead of the next cold front this evening and early Thursday
morning. The increased onshore flow will lead to elevated tides
of 1.5 to 2.0 feet above predicted levels this afternoon and
evening. Abundant moisture and lift along and ahead of the front
will bring increasing shower and thunderstorms today, with the
strongest storms expected with the frontal passage later this
evening into Thursday morning. Moderate to strong offshore flow is
expected Thursday through early Friday as high pressure builds
over the region. For the increased winds today and post frontal
overnight, issued Small Craft Advisories for all marine zones,
tapering off Thursday evening for the lakes/bays into the
overnight hours Friday morning for the remaining zones.

DML

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  77  54  71  51 / 100 100  10   0
LCH  79  58  74  54 / 100 100  10   0
LFT  80  59  74  54 / 100 100  10   0
BPT  81  57  75  54 / 100 100  10   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...Flash Flood Watch from 10 AM CDT this morning through Thursday
     morning for LAZ027>033-041>045-052>055-073-074.

     Coastal Flood Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 1 AM CDT
     Thursday for LAZ073-074.

     Wind Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 1 AM CDT Thursday for
     LAZ044-045-052>055-073-074.

     Wind Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 7 PM CDT this evening
     for LAZ028-029-031>033-041>043.

     Coastal Flood Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 4 AM CDT
     Thursday for LAZ052>054.

TX...Flash Flood Watch from 10 AM CDT this morning through Thursday
     morning for TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262.

     Coastal Flood Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 1 AM CDT
     Thursday for TXZ215-216.

     Wind Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 7 PM CDT this evening
     for TXZ215-216.

GM...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM CDT Friday for GMZ470-472-475.

     Small Craft Exercise Caution from Thursday evening through
     Friday morning for GMZ470-472-475.

     Small Craft Advisory from 7 AM to 4 PM CDT Thursday for GMZ430-
     432-435.

     Small Craft Exercise Caution through Thursday morning for GMZ430-
     432-435.

     Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM CDT Friday for GMZ450-452-455.

&&

PUBLIC...08

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
515 AM CDT Wed May 3 2017

LAZ027>033-041>045-052>055-073-074-TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-
041100-
Vernon-Rapides-Avoyelles-Beauregard-Allen-Evangeline-St. Landry-
Calcasieu-Jefferson Davis-Acadia-Lafayette-Upper St. Martin-
Vermilion-Iberia-St. Mary-Lower St. Martin-West Cameron-
East Cameron-Tyler-Hardin-Jefferson-Orange-Northern Jasper-
Northern Newton-Southern Jasper-Southern Newton-
515 AM CDT Wed May 3 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central
Louisiana, south central Louisiana, southwest Louisiana, west
central Louisiana, and southeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
Rapid changes with deteriorating weather conditions expected
today. The Storm Prediction Center has entire area with an Enhanced
Risk of severe thunderstorms, with large hail possible and
damaging winds the primary severe weather threat.

Moderate risk of excessive rainfall today with rain amounts of 3
to 6 inches are expected across Southern Louisiana, with isolated
amounts exceeding 8 inches possible. Elsewhere slight risk of
excessive rainfall with rain amounts of 2 to 3 inches are expected
with isolated amounts exceeding 5 inches possible across
Southeast Texas and Central Louisiana.

Elevated south to southeasterly winds will lead to elevated tides
of 1.5 to 2.0 feet above predicted levels this afternoon and
evening. This will result in tidal levels between 3.3 - 3.8 feet
MLLW later this afternoon and evening along coastal Southern
Louisiana and Southeast Texas.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday
Precipitation expected to end once the cold front passes, with
cooler than normal temperatures expected though Saturday. A
warming trend with no precipitation is expected Sunday through
Tuesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation likely needed later this morning through the
evening hours.

GMZ430-432-435-450-452-455-470-472-475-041100-
Sabine Lake-Calcasieu Lake-Vermilion Bay-
Coastal waters from Cameron LA to High Island TX out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Intracoastal City to Cameron LA out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Lower Atchafalaya River to Intracoastal City
LA out 20 NM-
Waters from Cameron LA to High Island TX from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from  Intracoastal City to Cameron LA from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Lower Atchafalaya River to Intracoastal City LA from
20 to 60 NM-
515 AM CDT Wed May 3 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Gulf of Mexico.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
South to southeasterly winds will continue strengthening today
ahead of the next cold front this evening and early Thursday
morning. Moderate to strong offshore flow is expected behind the
cold front. Small craft advisories are in effect for all marine
zones.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday
Moderate to strong offshore flow will continue behind the cold
front on Thursday, subsiding on Friday. Small craft advisories
will continue into Thursday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation likely needed later this morning through the
evening hours.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
620 AM CDT WED MAY 3 2017

TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-031215-
Orange TX-Jefferson TX-Hardin TX-Southern Newton TX-
Northern Newton TX-Northern Jasper TX-Southern Jasper TX-Tyler TX-
620 AM CDT WED MAY 3 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTH CENTRAL JEFFERSON...
TYLER...SOUTHWESTERN NEWTON...HARDIN...NORTHWESTERN ORANGE AND
SOUTHEASTERN JASPER COUNTIES UNTIL 715 AM CDT...

At 620 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Thicket to near Rose City. Movement was
northeast at 40 mph.

Dime size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Beaumont, Lumberton, Vidor, Silsbee, Woodville, Kirbyville, Kountze,
Colmesneil, Chester, Evadale, Warren, Town Bluff, Thicket, Saratoga,
Call, Fred, Wildwood, Mauriceville, Buna and Bevil Oaks.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3049 9454 3102 9465 3057 9372 3054 9374
      3052 9371 3044 9370 3039 9376 3032 9375
      3001 9407 3029 9466 3049 9473
TIME...MOT...LOC 1120Z 218DEG 34KT 3038 9468 3010 9410

Landreneau