Alert archive / Nebraska / Special Weather Statements in 2017

Special Weather Statement, NWS North Platte, NE

October 6, 2017Logan County, Nebraska

NWS North Platte, NE issued this special weather statement at Oct 6, 2017, 3:33 AM CDT for Logan County, Nebraska. It was in force for 42 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 6, 2017, 3:33 AM CDT (08:33 UTC)
Expired
Oct 6, 2017, 4:15 AM CDT
In force
42 min
Issued by
NWS North Platte, NE

County Logan County, NE

The radar

The North Platte radar (KLNX), 69 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:33 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), launched 00:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 25 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 00:00Z on 2017-10-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 00:00Z on 2017-10-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 5 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
810 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
49 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
5 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
183 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS North Platte, NE wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Oct 6, 3:15 AM CDT, 18 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 6, 3:15 AM CDT, 18 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
315 AM CDT Fri Oct 6 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 315 AM CDT Fri Oct 6 2017

A fairly prolific area of showers and thunderstorms is underway and
the HRRR shows this activity continuing throughout the day and
ending late tonight. The HRRR and RAP K-indices suggest the
thunderstorm activity would continue throughout the day also.

The rain forecast follows the model consensus which suggests highest
rain totals around an inch today. The temperature forecast today and
tonight is a blend of the previous forecast plus blended bias
corrected guidance for highs in the 50s to lower 60s.

Dry air will be moving in aloft tonight and this will set the stage
for fog development. Winds aloft, 850mb-700mb, will be strong,
around 30kt and this will hinder moisture pooling for widespread
fog. The forecast follows the model consensus for patchy fog.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 315 AM CDT Fri Oct 6 2017

High pressure and drier weather returns for the weekend.
Temperatures will return into the mid 70s on Saturday with slightly
cooler temperatures on Sunday (low to upper 60s).

The next chance of precipitation arrives on Sunday night as a cold
front drops south across the region. While most precipitation
associated with this front will remain all rain across the forecast
area, much colder air will move in behind the front. This colder air
could change some of the rain across the Pine Ridge region
(northwest of a line from Antioch to Merriman) into a rain/snow mix
early Monday morning. Accumulations will be limited if at all as
ground temperatures remain fairly warm.

The cold front will quickly move eastward by Monday evening with
high pressure building back into the region. Dry weather will
continue through next Friday. With mostly clear skies and overnight
temperatures dropping into the upper 20s and low 30s, have added
frost to the forecast for Monday and Tuesday nights. The best chance
for frost both nights will be northwest of a Ogallala to Springview
line. Frost chances during the overnight hours will diminish as
temperatures continue to rise throughout the week. Daytime high
temperatures will steadily rise throughout the week starting in the
upper 40s to low 50s on Monday. High temperatures by Friday will be
in the upper 60s to low 70s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Friday night)
Issued at 1220 AM CDT Fri Oct 6 2017

Upper level trough to the west of the Rockies will swing east
with an increase in mid level ascent overnight. This combined with
ample moisture/low level warm air advection will increase chances
of precipitation overnight across west central Nebraska. The latest
bufr sounding indicate some elevated instability will persist for
much of the night, with occasional thunderstorms embedded in the
showers continuing as well. Ceilings are lowering to IFR and in some
cases reaching airport minimums with the potential of local dense
fog, especially from KLBF and points south. The prospects of fog are
not certain, kept visibilities at 1sm or greater at this time as
some dense fog is materializing over northern Kansas with some
models indicating that it could continue to travel north.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...CDC
LONG TERM...Kulik
AVIATION...Allen
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 5, 2:33 PM CDT, 13 hours before
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In the hours before

Special weather statement, Oct 6, 3:02 AM CDT, 31 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service North Platte NE
302 AM CDT FRI OCT 6 2017

NEZ059-060845-
Lincoln NE-
302 AM CDT FRI OCT 6 2017

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...

At 301 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Hershey, or 10 miles northwest of North Platte, moving east at 25
mph.

Half inch hail will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
North Platte, Hershey and Birdwood.

This includes the following highways...
 Highway 97 between mile markers 1 and 12.
 Interstate 80 in Nebraska between mile markers 164 and 168.
 Highway 83 between mile markers 84 and 99.

LAT...LON 4112 10102 4128 10108 4139 10067 4117 10045
TIME...MOT...LOC 0801Z 260DEG 24KT 4120 10095

CDC
Special weather statement, Oct 6, 3:33 AM CDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service North Platte NE
333 AM CDT FRI OCT 6 2017

NEZ037-059-060915-
Lincoln NE-Logan NE-
333 AM CDT FRI OCT 6 2017

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...

At 333 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 11
miles north of North Platte Airport, or 12 miles northeast of North
Platte, moving northeast at 30 mph.

Half inch hail and 1 inch of rainfall will be possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Gandy, Hoagland and Tarboz Lake.

This includes the following highways...
 Highway 92 between mile markers 233 and 244.
 Highway 83 between mile markers 92 and 112.

LAT...LON 4123 10072 4137 10077 4153 10038 4136 10023
      4134 10024
TIME...MOT...LOC 0833Z 244DEG 25KT 4130 10067

CDC

The office that day

Everything else NWS North Platte, NE issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 6, 3:02 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLBFLincoln43 min
Oct 6, 3:59 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLBFLogan46 min
Oct 6, 4:05 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLBFLogan40 min
Oct 6, 4:25 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryLBFCuster3 hr
Oct 6, 4:29 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLBFCuster46 min
Oct 6, 5:07 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLBFCuster38 min
Oct 6, 5:41 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLBFValley19 min
Oct 6, 6:20 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLBFGarfield40 min
Oct 6, 6:56 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLBFWheeler49 min
Oct 6, 7:13 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryLBFCuster3 hr
Oct 6, 10:15 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryLBFCuster3 hr
Oct 6, 3:50 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLBFLincoln25 min
Oct 6, 4:16 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLBFLincoln29 min
Oct 6, 4:35 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLBFLogan40 min
Oct 6, 5:05 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLBFCuster55 min
Oct 6, 5:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCuster35 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Nebraska, 2017Every special weather statement in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.