Alert archive / Nebraska / Special Weather Statements in 2017

Special Weather Statement, NWS North Platte, NE

July 5, 2017Cherry County, Nebraska

NWS North Platte, NE issued this special weather statement at Jul 5, 2017, 7:22 PM MDT for Cherry County, Nebraska. It was in force for 38 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 5, 2017, 7:22 PM MDT (01:22 UTC)
Expired
Jul 5, 2017, 8:00 PM MDT
In force
38 min
Issued by
NWS North Platte, NE

County Cherry County, NE

The radar

The North Platte radar (KLNX), 108 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:27 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), launched 00:00Z, 1.4 hours before the alert went out and 181 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 00:00Z on 2017-07-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 418 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 00:00Z on 2017-07-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -12 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
418 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-78 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2875 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-12 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
146 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS North Platte, NE wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 5, 5:22 PM MDT, 2 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 5, 5:22 PM MDT, 2 hours before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service North Platte NE
622 PM CDT Wed Jul 5 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 336 PM CDT Wed Jul 5 2017

Latest water vapor imagery shows northwest mid-level flow aloft
across the Central High Plains as a upper-level ridge builds
across the western CONUS, stretching from the Four Corners region
into British Columbia and Alberta. Elsewhere, a weak shortwave
trough was moving across Saskatchewan into southwestern Manitoba.
Latest visible satellite shows cu developing across northern NEB,
NEB Panhandle, and southwest NEB. Of which, the cu field has been
most enhanced over the northern Sandhills into south central
NEB. Latest surface plot showed a broad surface low near eastern
MT/western ND with a central pressure near 1012 mb and a weak
trough extending south into the Central High Plains.

Rest of this afternoon-evening: There is at least a remote risk
for widely isolated thunderstorms. Best chances north of I-80 and
east of NE Highway 61, albeit with low confidence. Moderate
instability is expected (ranging MLCAPES 1000-2000 J/kg) across
the southeastern half of the CWA based on guidance/model soundings
with little-scant convective inhibition. Primary fly in the
ointment revolves around low-level forcing and strength of given
the uncertainty. Of which, any development is expected to diminish
this evening with the loss of daytime heating.

Another hot day tomorrow with most places outside of northwest NEB
expected to see highs 98-101 degrees. There is a risk for isolated
strong to briefly severe thunderstorms tomorrow afternoon and
evening. Some uncertainty involved with respect to coverage, but
isolated storms are the most likely.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 336 PM CDT Wed Jul 5 2017

Thursday night through Tuesday night...A ridge of High pressure
will remain in place over the western CONUS through early next
week giving us a mostly dry and warm air mass over the high
plains. That being said there are some isolated chances for
thunderstorms over the next several days however confidence in
thunderstorm development is low for most days with the exception
of Thursday evening into overnight. Although confidence is a
little better for Thursday evening/overnight, timing of
thunderstorm development is uncertain as models have discrepancies
in timing. Some models suggest development by late afternoon and
continuing through the evening hours and some suggest thunderstorm
development will take place after 00z. Tending to lean more to
late afternoon/evening development of storms as the main driving
force for initiation will be the weak cold front that moves across
Thursday late afternoon and evening in combination with strong
daytime heating.

After the front passes temperatures will cool slightly with highs
in the mid to upper 80s Friday and Saturday. Temperatures warm
back into the 90s Sunday through Tuesday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Thursday evening)
Issued at 622 PM CDT Wed Jul 5 2017

The forecast uses the HRRR model but places the thunderstorms
about 60 miles or so west of the model. This follows the latest
radar trends which shows the thunderstorms developing southward
near highway 61, versus the model which shows the storms
developing in a southeast direction toward KVTN.

Storm activity, if it develops, could continue for several hours,
perhaps past midnight. The low level jet tonight should veer off
to the east toward morning and this will cause the storms to
dissipate, if not sooner.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...ET
LONG TERM...Gomez
AVIATION...CDC
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 5, 5:09 PM MDT, 2 hours 13 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service North Platte NE
609 PM CDT Wed Jul 5 2017

NEZ004>010-022>029-035>038-056>059-069>071-094-062315-
Sheridan-Eastern Cherry-Keya Paha-Boyd-Brown-Rock-Holt-Garden-
Grant-Hooker-Thomas-Blaine-Loup-Garfield-Wheeler-Arthur-McPherson-
Logan-Custer-Deuel-Keith-Perkins-Lincoln-Chase-Hayes-Frontier-
Western Cherry-
609 PM CDT Wed Jul 5 2017 /509 PM MDT Wed Jul 5 2017/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and
north central Nebraska.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

Scattered thunderstorms are expected this evening and overnight north
of Interstate 80. The hazards are large hail, wind damage and
wildfires. Storm motion will be south and southeast at 20 to 30
mph.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

Isolated strong to briefly severe thunderstorms are possible
Thursday afternoon and evening over western Nebraska, south of a
line from Merriman to Ainsworth to O'Neill. Isolated strong to
briefly severe thunderstorms will be possible Friday and Friday
night as well, mainly west of a line from Eli to Thedford to
Arnold.

The main threats with any storms that become severe would be
damaging winds and large hail.

Beyond Friday night, the pattern will bring slight chances of
thunderstorms at times to western Nebraska through Tuesday,
mainly in the late afternoon and early evening. At this time the
threat for organized severe weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

Get your weather, hydrological, and climate information at
http://www.weather.gov/northplatte

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 5, 2:51 PM MDT, 4 hours 31 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
351 PM CDT WED JUL 05 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0845 PM     TSTM WND DMG     6 E HAMLET              40.37N 101.13W
07/02/2017                   HAYES              NE   EMERGENCY MNGR

            ROOF BLOWN OFF HOUSE AND TREE DOWNED... TIME ESTIMATED

&&

JGOMEZ
Special weather statement, Jul 5, 6:05 PM MDT, 1 hour 17 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service North Platte NE
605 PM MDT WED JUL 5 2017

NEZ094-060045-
Western Cherry NE-
605 PM MDT WED JUL 5 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN CHERRY COUNTY UNTIL
645 PM MDT...

At 604 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Swett, or 9 miles west of Martin, moving southeast at 30 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm. Lightning is occurring miles away from the storm itself
and this could spark range fires.

Locations impacted include...
Merriman and Eli.

This includes the following highways...
 Highway 20 between mile markers 131 and 153.
 Highway 61 between mile markers 226 and 231.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 4300 10145 4292 10135 4291 10191 4300 10196
TIME...MOT...LOC 0004Z 320DEG 27KT 4320 10192

CDC
Special weather statement, Jul 5, 6:35 PM MDT, 47 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service North Platte NE
635 PM MDT WED JUL 5 2017

NEZ004-094-060115-
Sheridan NE-Western Cherry NE-
635 PM MDT WED JUL 5 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN CHERRY AND
NORTHEASTERN SHERIDAN COUNTIES UNTIL 715 PM MDT...

At 633 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 12
miles west of Merriman, or 17 miles northeast of Gordon, moving
south at 35 mph. A second weaker thunderstorm was over Merriman,
moving southeast at 25 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible
with this storm. Lightning is occurring miles away from the storm
and this could spark range fires.

Locations impacted include...
Merriman, Medicine Lake, Hoover Lake, Highway 61 crossing the Snake
River, Highway 61 Crossing The Niobrara River, Irwin, Indian Hill,
Intersection of Highway 61 and Shadbolt Road, Intersection of Highway
20 and Irwin Road, Shell Lake State Wildlife Management Area, Rock
Hill and Bayonne.

This includes the following highways...
 Highway 20 between mile markers 111 and 147.
 Highway 61 between mile markers 199 and 231.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 4300 10148 4256 10139 4252 10215 4300 10210
TIME...MOT...LOC 0033Z 005DEG 35KT 4296 10193

CDC
Special weather statement, Jul 5, 7:22 PM MDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service North Platte NE
722 PM MDT WED JUL 5 2017

NEZ094-060200-
Western Cherry NE-
722 PM MDT WED JUL 5 2017

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...

At 721 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 20 miles southeast of Gordon to 15 miles south
of Merriman to 11 miles southeast of Medicine Lake. Movement was
southeast at 30 mph.

Half inch hail and winds of 30 mph will be possible with these
storms. Lightning is occurring miles away from the storm and this
could spark range fires.

Locations impacted include...
Medicine Lake, Indian Hill, Intersection of Highway 61 and Shadbolt
Road, Highway 61 crossing the Snake River, Round Lake and Morgan
Lake.

This includes the following highways...
 Highway 61 between mile markers 186 and 211.
 Highway 97 near mile marker 90.

LAT...LON 4277 10145 4235 10101 4238 10194 4268 10201
TIME...MOT...LOC 0121Z 322DEG 25KT 4263 10189 4270 10173 4259 10130

CDC

The office that day

Everything else NWS North Platte, NE issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 5, 6:44 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCherry, Sheridan46 min
Jul 5, 7:51 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementLBFCherry39 min
Jul 5, 9:59 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementLBFBoyd, Keya Paha61 min
Jul 5, 10:28 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementLBFBoyd, Keya Paha, Rock62 min
Jul 5, 11:21 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFHolt, Rock39 min
Jul 5, 11:28 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementLBFHolt47 min
Jul 5, 11:50 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementLBFWheeler40 min
Jul 6, 12:03 AM MDTSpecial Weather StatementLBFGarfield57 min
Jul 6, 1:57 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFGarden28 min
Jul 6, 3:18 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementLBFHayes42 min
Jul 6, 3:56 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementLBFChase49 min
Jul 6, 4:51 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementLBFHayes54 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Nebraska, 2017Every special weather statement in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.