Alert archive / Nebraska / Special Weather Statements in 2017

Special Weather Statement, NWS North Platte, NE

July 4, 2017Custer County, Nebraska

NWS North Platte, NE issued this special weather statement at Jul 4, 2017, 4:55 PM CDT for Custer County, Nebraska. It was in force for 50 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 4, 2017, 4:55 PM CDT (21:55 UTC)
Expired
Jul 4, 2017, 5:45 PM CDT
In force
50 min
Issued by
NWS North Platte, NE

County Custer County, NE

The radar

The North Platte radar (KLNX), 60 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDEN), launched 12:00Z, 9.9 hours before the alert went out and 328 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2017-07-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2017-07-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 24 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2897 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
21 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
24 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
66 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS North Platte, NE wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 4, 3:20 PM CDT, 1 hour 35 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 4, 3:20 PM CDT, 1 hour 35 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
320 PM CDT Tue Jul 4 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 300 PM CDT Tue Jul 4 2017

Weather highlights over the next 24 hours include: possibility of
isolated thunderstorms through early tonight and highs above
seasonal normal values tomorrow. Highs are forecast 5 to 15
degrees above normal with the greatest departures in northwest
NEB.

Latest water vapor shows a weak shortwave trough moving east
roughly over southern Manitoba towards the Black Hills with
another weak disturbance near northeast WY. Meanwhile, an upper
level ridge continues to build across the western CONUS from the
Southwest US into the Northern Rockies and Northern High Plains.
Latest surface plot show a broad surface trough stretching from
western Manitoba to the Dakotas into the Central High Plains.
Latest visible satellite shows a growing diurnal cu field across
central NEB expanding west into parts of Lincoln, Hayes, and
Frontier counties. Of which, cu appears more enhanced across north
central NEB where there is enhanced growth/towering cu. A few
modest radar echoes have been seen.

There is potential for isolated showers/thunderstorms mid-
afternoon into the evening today, albeit with low confidence,
across the Sandhills north and over north central NEB. While
instability appears adequate, there is uncertainty associated
with the focus and forcing in the current setup. Weak surface
toughing and upslope flow is present and moisture appears
sufficient with surface dewpoints ranging from the low 50s into
the mid 60s. Current thinking is thunderstorms will be isolated if
they materialize. Concerns with any strong storms would be strong
gusts and small hail, especially the former given the environment
is characterized by a dry sub-cloud layer given model soundings
and moderate surface dew point depressions (generally 20-40 F).
Threat for storms should diminish this evening with clearing skies
taking hold. Mostly sunny skies will prevail tomorrow with highs
in the 90s.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 312 PM CDT Tue Jul 4 2017

Wednesday night through Monday night...An upper level ridge of
High pressure will remain in place of the western CONUS over the
next several days. This will bring hot and mostly dry conditions
over the high plains. There will be some isolated chances for
thunderstorms Thursday, Friday and Saturday however confidence is
low.

The greatest chance and confidence in thunderstorm development
will be Thursday late afternoon into the overnight as a weak
frontal boundary will push through the area. This may give just
enough forcing to initiate a few thunderstorms across the
CWA...especially since we will have adequate daytime heating with
temperatures in the upper 90s to even 100 degrees possible across
far southwest Nebraska.

After the front passes temperatures will cool slightly on Friday
and Saturday with highs in the mid to upper 80s. Temperatures
warm back into the low 90s Sunday and Monday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Wednesday afternoon)
Issued at 1229 PM CDT Tue Jul 4 2017

Latest satellite imagery shows diurnally driven cu developing and
expanding across south central NEB to north central NEB into
parts of Lincoln and Frontier counties. Latest surface plot shows
these cloud bases largely around 3-5 kft with SCT-BKN coverage.
These clouds should dissipate early evening with the loss of
daytime heating. Otherwise, there are a few areas of mid/high
level clouds moving east across north central NEB.

Main concern is possible isolated showers/thunderstorms this
afternoon/evening. Of which, the area of concern is generally
confined to north central NEB and northern NEB. However, overall
confidence with respect to their occurrence and them impacting
terminals is low given expected coverage (isolated) thus no
mention in KVTN TAF. Any thunderstorms should dissipate as well by
the early evening if they materialize. Thereafter, mostly clear
skies should prevail tonight and tomorrow.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...ET
LONG TERM...Gomez
AVIATION...ET
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 4, 4:00 PM CDT, 55 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service North Platte NE
400 PM CDT Tue Jul 4 2017

NEZ004>010-022>029-035>038-056>059-069>071-094-052100-
Sheridan-Eastern Cherry-Keya Paha-Boyd-Brown-Rock-Holt-Garden-
Grant-Hooker-Thomas-Blaine-Loup-Garfield-Wheeler-Arthur-McPherson-
Logan-Custer-Deuel-Keith-Perkins-Lincoln-Chase-Hayes-Frontier-
Western Cherry-
400 PM CDT Tue Jul 4 2017 /300 PM MDT Tue Jul 4 2017/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and
north central Nebraska.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

Thunderstorms are possible across the Sandhills north and over
north central NEB. A few storms may be be strong and could
approach severe levels briefly with both damaging winds and large
hail possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

There is a marginal risk for strong to briefly severe
thunderstorms Thursday afternoon and evening over western
Nebraska. The main threats with any severe thunderstorms would be
damaging winds and large hail.

The current weather pattern will bring slight chances of
thunderstorms to western Nebraska Friday through Sunday, mainly in
the late afternoon and early evening. At this time the threat for
organized severe weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

Get your weather, hydrological, and climate information at
http://www.weather.gov/northplatte

ET

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 4, 4:55 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service North Platte NE
455 PM CDT TUE JUL 4 2017

NEZ038-042245-
Custer NE-
455 PM CDT TUE JUL 4 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN CUSTER COUNTY UNTIL
545 PM CDT...

At 455 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles west of Anselmo, or 24 miles northwest of Broken Bow. This
storm was nearly stationary.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Pleasant Hill.

This includes the following highways...
 Highway 2 near mile marker 253.
 Highway 92 between mile markers 253 and 269.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 4165 10017 4168 9993 4148 9983 4144 10018
TIME...MOT...LOC 2155Z 351DEG 3KT 4160 10004

Buttler

The office that day

Everything else NWS North Platte, NE issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 3, 7:09 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLBFChase51 min
Jul 3, 7:13 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLBFGarden47 min
Jul 3, 8:01 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLBFKeith44 min
Jul 3, 8:34 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLBFCherry41 min
Jul 4, 4:59 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLBFBlaine46 min
Jul 4, 5:42 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLBFLogan48 min
Jul 4, 6:28 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLBFLogan47 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Nebraska, 2017Every special weather statement in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.