Severe Thunderstorm Warning 84, NWS Jackson, KY

948 
WWUS53 KJKL 240108
SVSJKL

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
908 PM EDT FRI JUN 23 2017

KYC025-129-153-175-237-240130-
/O.CON.KJKL.SV.W.0084.000000T0000Z-170624T0130Z/
Morgan KY-Breathitt KY-Magoffin KY-Lee KY-Wolfe KY-
908 PM EDT FRI JUN 23 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 930 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN MORGAN...NORTHWESTERN BREATHITT...NORTHWESTERN
MAGOFFIN...SOUTHEASTERN LEE AND EASTERN WOLFE COUNTIES...

At 908 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Wilhurst, or
near Jackson, moving southeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Jackson, Salyersville, Simpson, Lewis, Burkhart, Lexie, Fillmore,
Wonnie, Noctor, Kernie, Panama, War Creek, Elkatawa, Tallega, Lane,
Sewell, Haddix, Malaga, Guage and Lizzielane.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1000 PM EDT for southeastern
Kentucky.

LAT...LON 3778 8302 3743 8329 3754 8363 3766 8352
      3776 8346 3790 8336
TIME...MOT...LOC 0108Z 295DEG 29KT 3764 8343 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

KAS

562 
WWUS53 KJKL 240115
SVSJKL

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
915 PM EDT FRI JUN 23 2017

KYC129-240125-
/O.CAN.KJKL.SV.W.0084.000000T0000Z-170624T0130Z/
Lee KY-
915 PM EDT FRI JUN 23 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN LEE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1000 PM EDT for southeastern
Kentucky.

LAT...LON 3778 8302 3743 8329 3751 8355 3762 8343
      3774 8335 3787 8328
TIME...MOT...LOC 0115Z 296DEG 28KT 3762 8337 

$$

KYC025-153-175-237-240130-
/O.CON.KJKL.SV.W.0084.000000T0000Z-170624T0130Z/
Morgan KY-Breathitt KY-Magoffin KY-Wolfe KY-
915 PM EDT FRI JUN 23 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 930 PM EDT
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL MORGAN...CENTRAL BREATHITT...NORTHWESTERN MAGOFFIN
AND EAST CENTRAL WOLFE COUNTIES...

At 915 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Keck, or near
Jackson, moving southeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Jackson, Salyersville, Simpson, Lewis, Burkhart, Bethanna, Gifford,
Copebranch, Wonnie, Noctor, Kernie, Rock Lick, Vancleve, Moct,
Wilhurst, Elkatawa, Inverness, Bays, Sewell and Haddix.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1000 PM EDT for southeastern
Kentucky.

LAT...LON 3778 8302 3743 8329 3751 8355 3762 8343
      3774 8335 3787 8328
TIME...MOT...LOC 0115Z 296DEG 28KT 3762 8337 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

KAS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Jackson KY
752 PM EDT Fri Jun 23 2017

.UPDATE...
Issued at 745 PM EDT FRI JUN 23 2017

Made a few more tweeks to pops and weather based on latest radar
trends over the last couple of hours. Also loaded in the most up
to date observations to make sure the near term grids were on
track with current conditions. A band of heavy rain is now
impacting our northern CWA with reports of flash flooding now
coming in. Will continue to monitor this and make adjustments in
the grids as needed. As of now all grids have been published and
sent to NDFD/web with no updates to the forecast package needed.

UPDATE Issued at 502 PM EDT FRI JUN 23 2017

Small update to freshen up the near term grids to make sure they
were on track with current conditions. Also updated pops and
weather based on the latest radar trends and hi-res model data,
with more widespread precipitation now entering into the western
CWA and expected to continue and progress eastward throughout the
afternoon/evening. All changes have been published and sent to
NDFD/web. Since the afternoon package ZFP started with tonight
wording, these updates should not impact the current product.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday night)
Issued at 359 PM EDT FRI JUN 23 2017

Severe weather and flash flood threat continue this evening.
Center of tropical depression Cindy has moved into western KY
while cold front now stretches from southeast MI through northwest
IN to OK. The low pressure center will continue to move ENE while
the front advances southeast. The interaction of these systems
will bring showers and thunderstorms to our area this evening and
early tonight.

Higher precipitable water is now advancing into eastern KY in
advance of the remnants of Cindy. Precipitable water will
increase to 2 to 2.25 inches so showers and thunderstorms will be
efficient rain producers. Rainfall rates in excess of 2 inches per
hour will be possible with the heaviest thunderstorms. It does
appear the heavy rain threat will mainly be confined to the time
frame before midnight, but will allow the flash flood watch to
continue as is, though it will likely be able to be cancelled
early.

As noted earlier today the surface to 1 KM storm relative helicity
will approach or exceed 400 m2/s2 this afternoon and evening. Some
rotating storms are likely and with rather low lifting
condensation levels a rotating storm could result in a brief
tornado touchdown. While breaks in the clouds this afternoon have
allowed for low level lapse rates to increase, mid level
instability remains rather limited. While a damaging wind and
tornado threat exist, any occurrences of severe weather are
expected to be isolated.

After the frontal passage tonight cooler and drier air will begin
to move into the area for the weekend.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 359 PM EDT FRI JUN 23 2017

The long term portion of the forecast will be highlighted by a
stretch of dry weather with well below normal temperatures
resulting from a mean upper level ridge in the western part of the
U.S. and a trough in the eastern part of the country. 850 mb
temperatures will drop to the single digits Celsius early next
week, and we'll see a multi-day stretch with maximum temperatures
in the 70s and and minimums in the 50s. Dewpoints will be around
50 degrees for the first part of the week. By the end of the week
the trough will be lifting out and flow will become more zonal and
temperatures will warm and dewpoints will increase back into the
60s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Saturday evening)
ISSUED AT 752 PM EDT FRI JUN 23 2017

TAFS are currently being impacted by a combination of moisture
from tropical depression Cindy, combining with an approaching cold
front, producing widespread heavy rain and isolated thunderstorms
to much of eastern Kentucky. The heaviest rain is currently
aligned in a band along the northeast portion of the state,
impacting KSYM. Over the next few hours, expect this rain to
continue to shift eastward as it slowly loses strength through
about 6Z. Winds will generally be from the S to SW and a bit
gusty, especially in any of the heavier rain/storms. After 6Z,
the rain will become less of a factor, and winds will diminish,
however residual moisture will likely lead to fog at the TAF
sites, and continued cloud cover throughout the night. Have
included a slow deterioration to below airport mins (mainly for
VIS) between 9Z and 11Z at all TAF sites, however timing and
exact impacts may need to be tweaked as fog sets up. By tomorrow,
a drier airmass will begin to take hold. Once fog lifts and
dissipates in the morning, expect only a few VFR fair weather CU
throughout the afternoon. Winds will generally be from the west
under 10 knots.

&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch through Saturday morning for KYZ044-050>052-
058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120.

&&

UPDATE...JMW
SHORT TERM...SBH
LONG TERM...SBH
AVIATION...JMW

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson KY
410 PM EDT Fri Jun 23 2017

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>118-242315-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Rockcastle-
Jackson-Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-
Elliott-Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-
Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Brodhead, Mount Vernon, McKee,
Annville, Burnside, Somerset, London, Monticello, Stearns,
Whitley City, Corbin, Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro,
Pineville, Cumberland, Harlan, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright,
Beattyville, Jackson, Hindman, Pippa Passes, Booneville, Hazard,
Manchester, Hyden, Jenkins, and Whitesburg
410 PM EDT Fri Jun 23 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...
...TORNADO WATCH 368 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Showers and scattered thunderstorms will occur through the first
part of the night. They will bring a potential for very heavy
rainfall, which could result in flash flooding along small
streams.

In addition, strong winds aloft will create conditions favorable
for some thunderstorms or intense showers to produce severe
weather. The greatest threat will be damaging winds. However,
isolated, brief tornadoes are also a possibility.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Concerns with high water may linger into the weekend. Rises may
occur on rivers, with portions of the Red, Kentucky, and Licking
River basins being most at risk for excessive rainfall.

There will be a slight chance of thunderstorms north of Interstate
64 Thursday afternoon.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report any instances of flooding, wind
damage, or tornadoes.

KYZ119-120-242315-
Martin-Pike-
Including the cities of Inez, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville,
and South Williamson
410 PM EDT Fri Jun 23 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Showers and scattered thunderstorms will occur through the first
part of the night. They will bring a potential for very heavy
rainfall, which could result in flash flooding along small
streams.

In addition, strong winds aloft will create conditions favorable
for some thunderstorms or intense showers to produce severe
weather. The greatest threat will be damaging winds. However,
isolated, brief tornadoes are also a possibility.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Concerns with high water may linger into the weekend. Rises may
occur on rivers, with portions of the Red, Kentucky, and Licking
River basins being most at risk for excessive rainfall.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report any instances of flooding, wind
damage, or tornadoes.

SBH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
753 PM EDT FRI JUN 23 2017

KYZ068-069-079-080-084>086-114-116-240045-
Jackson-Whitley-Clay-McCreary-Knox-Owsley-Rockcastle-Laurel-Pulaski-
753 PM EDT FRI JUN 23 2017

...A LINE OF SHOWERS WILL AFFECT LAUREL...NORTHWESTERN KNOX...
NORTHWESTERN OWSLEY...JACKSON...NORTHEASTERN MCCREARY...EASTERN
PULASKI...NORTHWESTERN WHITLEY...ROCKCASTLE AND NORTHWESTERN CLAY
COUNTIES...

At 753 PM EDT, radar indicated showers were located along a line
extending from 6 miles northwest of Shirley to Orlando to Bent to
Frazer. Movement was southeast at 35 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph are possible with these showers.

Locations impacted include...
Somerset, London, Mount Vernon, McKee, Burnside, Donaro, Travellers
Rest, Bummer, Fariston, Cumberland Falls S.P., Shop Branch,
Fogertown, Tyner, Privett, Mount Victory, Climax, Disputanta, Krupp,
Mershons and Shepherdtown.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these showers, and may
cause localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

LAT...LON 3701 8470 3713 8452 3752 8428 3751 8427
      3752 8420 3756 8415 3757 8401 3753 8389
      3749 8383 3749 8378 3747 8372 3717 8383
      3691 8398 3677 8428
TIME...MOT...LOC 2353Z 297DEG 32KT 3762 8419 3737 8428 3711 8445 3698
8471

KAS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
812 PM EDT FRI JUN 23 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0809 PM     FLASH FLOOD      6 NW OWINGSVILLE        38.20N 83.84W
06/23/2017                   BATH               KY   911 CALL CENTER

            WATER OVER THE ROAD AND IMPASSABLE AT THE 6MM OF HWY 36 W
            OUT OF OWINGSVILLE

&&

JMWIX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
816 PM EDT FRI JUN 23 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0809 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 NNE BETHEL            38.26N 83.86W
06/23/2017                   BATH               KY   911 CALL CENTER

            WATER OVER ROAD AND CAR STUCK ON LITTLE FLAT - LEDFORD
            ROAD JUST NORTH OF BETHEL. EXACT MILAGE FROM CITY
            ESTIMATED.

&&

JMWIX

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
822 PM EDT FRI JUN 23 2017

KYZ050-058>060-106-108-109-111-112-114-240100-
Montgomery-Menifee-Lee-Breathitt-Estill-Owsley-Magoffin-Morgan-
Powell-Wolfe-
822 PM EDT FRI JUN 23 2017

...A LINE OF SHOWERS WILL AFFECT POWELL...SOUTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY...
SOUTHWESTERN MORGAN...NORTHWESTERN OWSLEY...ESTILL...MENIFEE...
NORTHWESTERN BREATHITT...NORTHWESTERN MAGOFFIN...LEE AND WOLFE
COUNTIES...

At 822 PM EDT, radar indicated showers were located along a line
extending from Cornwell to near Blackburn. Movement was southeast at
40 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph are possible with these showers.

Locations impacted include...
Stanton, Irvine, Beattyville, Frenchburg, Campton, Booneville,
Simpson, Lewis, Jeffersonville, Clay City, Fincastle, Ravenna,
Wellington, Campsites in the Indian Creek area of the Daniel Boone
National Forrest, Pilot, Turin, Bowen, Cornwell, Kimbrell and
Rothwell.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these showers, and may
cause localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

LAT...LON 3781 8310 3744 8372 3751 8389 3753 8389
      3757 8394 3758 8397 3757 8403 3760 8411
      3764 8413 3767 8409 3768 8410 3776 8409
      3801 8373 3801 8371
TIME...MOT...LOC 0022Z 296DEG 35KT 3795 8372 3767 8415

KAS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
839 PM EDT FRI JUN 23 2017

KYZ069-080-085>087-112-114>117-240130-
Jackson-Whitley-Clay-Breathitt-Knox-Perry-Bell-Owsley-Laurel-Leslie-
839 PM EDT FRI JUN 23 2017

...A LINE OF SHOWERS WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN LAUREL...CENTRAL
BELL...KNOX...WESTERN LESLIE...OWSLEY...NORTHWESTERN PERRY...
SOUTHEASTERN JACKSON...WHITLEY...SOUTHWESTERN BREATHITT AND CLAY
COUNTIES...

At 838 PM EDT, radar indicated showers were located along a line
extending from Vincent to Blackwater to Krupp. Movement was southeast
at 35 mph.

Winds in excess of 35 mph are possible with these showers.

Locations impacted include...
Williamsburg, Barbourville, Pineville, Manchester, Buckhorn, Turin,
Travellers Rest, Brightshade, Southfork, Swan Lake, Cowcreek,
Fogertown, Goose Rock, Bush, Cranes Nest, Blanche, Krupp,
Shepherdtown, Herron and Hooker.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these showers, and may
cause localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

LAT...LON 3659 8406 3669 8432 3676 8433 3713 8396
      3749 8382 3738 8334 3689 8346 3689 8349
      3686 8349 3659 8387
TIME...MOT...LOC 0038Z 296DEG 29KT 3749 8376 3705 8386 3677 8424

KAS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
850 PM EDT FRI JUN 23 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0847 PM     FLASH FLOOD      WALTERSVILLE            37.86N 83.93W
06/23/2017                   POWELL             KY   911 CALL CENTER

            WATER OVER BLACK CREEK ROAD. ROAD IS IMPASSABLE.

&&

ABE