Severe Thunderstorm Warning 137, NWS Jacksonville, FL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
314 PM EDT Tue May 23 2017

.MARINE...

Updated to include small craft advisory for nearshore waters.

Rip Currents: Low risk through Wednesday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  68  82  61  79 /  70 100  40  10
SSI  72  84  68  80 /  70 100  50  10
JAX  71  85  65  83 /  70 100  50  10
SGJ  71  84  67  82 /  70  90  60  20
GNV  70  82  65  81 /  70 100  60  10
OCF  72  81  67  82 /  70  90  60  20

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...Small Craft Advisory from 8 PM this evening to 2 PM EDT Thursday
     for Coastal waters from Altamaha Sound to Fernandina Beach
     FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Fernandina Beach to St.
     Augustine FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from St. Augustine to
     Flagler Beach FL out 20 NM-Waters from Altamaha Sound GA to
     Fernandina Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Fernandina
     Beach to St. Augustine FL from 20 to 60 NM-Waters from St.
     Augustine to Flagler Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM.

&&

Struble

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
313 PM EDT Tue May 23 2017

AMZ450-452-454-470-472-474-FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-124-125-
GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-241915-
Coastal waters from Altamaha Sound to Fernandina Beach FL out
20 NM-
Coastal waters from Fernandina Beach to St. Augustine FL out
20 NM-
Coastal waters from St. Augustine to Flagler Beach FL out 20 NM-
Waters from Altamaha Sound GA to Fernandina Beach FL from 20 to
60 NM-
Waters from Fernandina Beach to St. Augustine FL from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from St. Augustine to Flagler Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-
Hamilton-Suwannee-Columbia-Baker-Inland Nassau-Inland Duval-Union-
Bradford-Clay-St. Johns-Gilchrist-Alachua-Putnam-Flagler-Marion-
Coastal Nassau-Coastal Duval-Coffee-Jeff Davis-Bacon-Appling-
Wayne-Atkinson-Ware-Pierce-Brantley-Inland Glynn-Coastal Glynn-
Echols-Clinch-Charlton-Inland Camden-Coastal Camden-
313 PM EDT Tue May 23 2017

...TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT FOR SE GA AND HAMILTON COUNTY FL...

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY...

...WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Northeast Florida,
Southeast Georgia and the Adjacent Coastal Waters.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Tornado watch in effect for all of SE GA and HAMILTON COUNTY FL.

Potential exists for strong to severe storms through Tonight.

Small craft advisory in effect.

Widespread heavy rainfall possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday...

An unusually strong late season frontal system will continue to
bring multiple rounds of widespread rain Wednesday and Wednesday
night. There is a slight risk of severe thunderstorms for all of
southeast Georgia and northeast Florida through Wednesday evening.
Localized flooding, damaging wind gusts, isolated tornadoes, and
hail will be possible.

Additional widespread rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches will be
possible through Wednesday night.

A small craft advisory is in effect through Thursday afternoon.
The strongest winds are expected Wednesday night and a Gale
Warning may be needed.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation IS REQUESTED.

For additional information, visit the National Weather Service in
Jacksonville website on the internet at weather.gov/jax.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
655 PM EDT TUE MAY 23 2017

FLZ020-021-232345-
Hamilton FL-Suwannee FL-
655 PM EDT TUE MAY 23 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN SUWANNEE AND CENTRAL
HAMILTON COUNTIES UNTIL 745 PM EDT...

At 655 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Suwannee River State Park, moving east at 40 mph.

Wind gusts of 45 to 55 mph can be expected along with possible minor
damage. Doppler radar has indicated weak rotation within this storm.
Tornadoes may develop with little or no advanced warning.

Locations impacted include...
Live Oak, Jasper, Suwannee Springs and Suwannee River State Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1100 PM EDT for northern
Florida.

LAT...LON 3029 8323 3031 8321 3032 8322 3033 8321
      3035 8321 3035 8319 3038 8319 3039 8317
      3041 8318 3042 8322 3046 8322 3058 8283
      3031 8281 3027 8324
TIME...MOT...LOC 2255Z 254DEG 35KT 3033 8320

NELSON

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
717 PM EDT TUE MAY 23 2017

GAZ133-135-232345-
Appling GA-Jeff Davis GA-
717 PM EDT TUE MAY 23 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN APPLING AND JEFF DAVIS
COUNTIES UNTIL 745 PM EDT...

At 717 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Snipesville, or near Hazlehurst, moving east at 45 mph.

Wind gusts of 45 to 55 mph can be expected along with possible minor
damage. Doppler radar has indicated weak rotation within this storm.
Tornadoes may develop with little or no advanced warning.

Locations impacted include...
Hazlehurst, Graham, Plant Hatch, Snipesville, Denton and Pine Grove.

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1100 PM EDT for southeastern
Georgia.

LAT...LON 3196 8238 3193 8232 3195 8231 3194 8228
      3190 8219 3191 8213 3189 8212 3190 8211
      3187 8211 3171 8277 3182 8282 3192 8268
      3193 8259 3196 8256 3195 8249 3195 8248
      3196 8250 3197 8248
TIME...MOT...LOC 2317Z 248DEG 39KT 3183 8271

SHASHY

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
722 PM EDT TUE MAY 23 2017

FLZ022-023-240000-
Columbia FL-Baker FL-
722 PM EDT TUE MAY 23 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN BAKER AND CENTRAL
COLUMBIA COUNTIES UNTIL 800 PM EDT...

At 722 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Columbia, or 8 miles south of Lake City, moving northeast at 30 mph.

Wind gusts of 45 to 55 mph can be expected along with possible minor
damage. Doppler radar has indicated weak rotation within this storm.
Tornadoes may develop with little or no advanced warning.

Locations impacted include...
Lake City, Columbia, Sanderson, Watertown, Lulu and Olustee.

LAT...LON 3041 8233 3018 8218 3014 8232 3014 8246
      3011 8245 3010 8246 3002 8272 3011 8278
TIME...MOT...LOC 2322Z 241DEG 28KT 3008 8269

NELSON

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
724 PM EDT TUE MAY 23 2017

GAZ132-149-150-240000-
Ware GA-Atkinson GA-Coffee GA-
724 PM EDT TUE MAY 23 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN COFFEE...EASTERN
ATKINSON AND NORTHWESTERN WARE COUNTIES UNTIL 800 PM EDT...

At 724 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Pearson, moving northeast at 35 mph.

Wind gusts of 45 to 55 mph can be expected along with possible minor
damage. Doppler radar has indicated weak rotation within this storm.
Tornadoes may develop with little or no advanced warning.

Locations impacted include...
Pearson, Dixie Union, Bickley, Millwood and Axson.

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1100 PM EDT for southeastern
Georgia.

LAT...LON 3136 8288 3150 8260 3147 8260 3147 8252
      3133 8240 3119 8288 3131 8294
TIME...MOT...LOC 2324Z 246DEG 31KT 3128 8282

SHASHY

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
732 PM EDT TUE MAY 23 2017

FLZ020-022-240015-
Columbia FL-Hamilton FL-
732 PM EDT TUE MAY 23 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN COLUMBIA AND
SOUTHEASTERN HAMILTON COUNTIES UNTIL 815 PM EDT...

At 732 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Suwannee Springs, moving east at 30 mph.

Nickel size hail and Wind gusts of 45 to 55 mph can be expected along
with possible minor damage.

Locations impacted include...
Belmont.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1100 PM EDT for northern
Florida.

LAT...LON 3059 8257 3058 8246 3039 8246 3037 8289
      3039 8289 3038 8291 3046 8294
TIME...MOT...LOC 2332Z 256DEG 28KT 3040 8293

NELSON

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
748 PM EDT TUE MAY 23 2017

FLZ020>022-240030-
Columbia FL-Hamilton FL-Suwannee FL-
748 PM EDT TUE MAY 23 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN SUWANNEE...NORTHERN
COLUMBIA AND SOUTHEASTERN HAMILTON COUNTIES UNTIL 830 PM EDT...

At 748 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Live Oak, moving northeast at 45 mph.

Excessive cloud-to-ground lightning and Wind gusts of 45 to 55 mph
can be expected along with possible minor damage.

Locations impacted include...
Live Oak, White Springs, Suwannee Springs, Winfield, Suwannee Valley,
Dowling Park, Belmont, Wellborn, Newburn and Houston.

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1100 PM EDT for northern
Florida.

LAT...LON 3026 8324 3029 8323 3031 8321 3032 8322
      3033 8321 3059 8268 3029 8252 3015 8323
      3017 8323 3018 8325 3023 8324 3023 8325
      3025 8324 3025 8325 3026 8325
TIME...MOT...LOC 2348Z 245DEG 40KT 3030 8299

NELSON