Severe Thunderstorm Warning 115, NWS Jacksonville, FL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
216 PM EDT Sat May 13 2017

.NEAR TERM.../THROUGH SUNDAY/...

An area of low pressure will track East across the region this
afternoon, with showers and storms expected. A cold front will
move Southeast into SE GA this evening, then slowly move across
NE FL overnight into Sunday morning. A few coastal showers and
storms will be possible in the morning hours Sunday as the front
passes. Clouds will decrease Sunday afternoon following the front.
Temperatures will trend below normal for Sunday.

&&

.SHORT TERM.../SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...

High pressure will build from the Northwest then North into Monday,
with mainly clear skies. High pressure will then build to the East
into Tuesday. Temperatures will trend above normal this period.

&&

.LONG TERM.../TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...

High pressure will be East of the region this period, with a
prolonged period of dry weather expected. Could be enough moisture
return by Saturday, to initiate afternoon convection on sea breeze.
Temperatures will be above normal this period.

&&

.MARINE...

A COLD FRONT WILL SLIDE SOUTHEAST ACROSS AREA WATERS TONIGHT INTO
SUNDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TO THE NORTHWEST AND
NORTH INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...THEN TO THE EAST THROUGH MID WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...

Scattered to numerous showers and storms are expected this afternoon
into evening, with restrictions expected. VFR conditions will then
be expected for much of the overnight. There is a chance for a few
showers and storms near the coast Sunday morning, which could cause
brief restrictions.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  64  84  60  91 /  50   0   0   0
SSI  68  81  68  83 /  30  20   0   0
JAX  66  82  65  88 /  30  20   0   0
SGJ  68  82  68  83 /  50  20  10  10
GNV  64  86  63  91 /  30  10   0   0
OCF  65  88  64  91 /  50  10   0   0

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.
&&

Struble

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
225 PM EDT Sat May 13 2017

AMZ450-452-454-470-472-474-FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-124-125-
GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-141830-
Coastal waters from Altamaha Sound to Fernandina Beach FL out
20 NM-
Coastal waters from Fernandina Beach to St. Augustine FL out
20 NM-
Coastal waters from St. Augustine to Flagler Beach FL out 20 NM-
Waters from Altamaha Sound GA to Fernandina Beach FL from 20 to
60 NM-
Waters from Fernandina Beach to St. Augustine FL from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from St. Augustine to Flagler Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-
Hamilton-Suwannee-Columbia-Baker-Inland Nassau-Inland Duval-Union-
Bradford-Clay-St. Johns-Gilchrist-Alachua-Putnam-Flagler-Marion-
Coastal Nassau-Coastal Duval-Coffee-Jeff Davis-Bacon-Appling-
Wayne-Atkinson-Ware-Pierce-Brantley-Inland Glynn-Coastal Glynn-
Echols-Clinch-Charlton-Inland Camden-Coastal Camden-
225 PM EDT Sat May 13 2017

...MARGINAL RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER THROUGH THIS EVENING...

...ELEVATED FIRE DANGER TODAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Northeast Florida,
Southeast Georgia and the Adjacent Coastal Waters.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER...WITH STRONG WINDS
BEING THE MAIN HAZARD.

ELEVATED FIRE DANGER TODAY.

REDUCED VISIBILITIES EXPECTED TONIGHT NEAR AREA WILDFIRES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday...

REDUCED VISIBILITIES EXPECTED NEAR AREA WILDFIRES EACH NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

For additional information, visit the National Weather Service in
Jacksonville website on the internet at weather.gov/jax.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
331 PM EDT SAT MAY 13 2017

FLZ031-032-036-037-132015-
Putnam FL-Alachua FL-Bradford FL-Clay FL-
331 PM EDT SAT MAY 13 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR ALACHUA...SOUTHEASTERN
BRADFORD...NORTHWESTERN PUTNAM AND SOUTHWESTERN CLAY COUNTIES UNTIL
415 PM EDT...

At 331 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
East Bronson, or near Bronson, moving northeast at 35 mph.

Wind gusts of 45 to 55 mph can be expected along with possible minor
wind damage.

Locations impacted include...
Gainesville, Starke, Interlachen, Keystone Heights, Melrose,
Hawthorne, Archer, University Of Florida, Florahome and Melrose
Landing.

LAT...LON 2946 8222 2946 8220 2949 8222 2948 8255
      2954 8256 2954 8265 2955 8265 2999 8208
      2956 8171 2946 8219 2945 8221
TIME...MOT...LOC 1931Z 231DEG 32KT 2949 8257

HESS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
335 PM EDT SAT MAY 13 2017

GAZ164-132000-
Charlton GA-
335 PM EDT SAT MAY 13 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CHARLTON COUNTY UNTIL 400 PM
EDT...

At 335 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles west of Homeland, or 9 miles east of Stephen Foster State Park,
moving east at 50 mph.

Wind gusts of 45 to 55 mph can be expected along with possible minor
wind damage.

Locations impacted include...
Folkston, Stephen Foster State Park, Homeland, Race Pond and Winokur.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3092 8192 3090 8190 3081 8191 3082 8194
      3083 8194 3083 8195 3082 8196 3080 8196
      3079 8197 3080 8242 3101 8241 3101 8208
      3108 8206 3104 8191 3100 8191 3098 8192
      3095 8189
TIME...MOT...LOC 1935Z 252DEG 42KT 3086 8218

SHULER

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