Severe Thunderstorm Warning 41, NWS Jackson, MS

796 
WWUS54 KJAN 211051
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
451 AM CST SAT JAN 21 2017

MSC035-211100-
/O.CAN.KJAN.SV.W.0041.000000T0000Z-170121T1130Z/
Forrest MS-
451 AM CST SAT JAN 21 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN FORREST COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of
the warned area. therefore the warning has been cancelled.

A tornado watch remains in effect until 700 AM CST for southeastern
Mississippi.

LAT...LON 3163 8916 3177 8894 3143 8894 3143 8914
TIME...MOT...LOC 1050Z 255DEG 48KT 3153 8899 

$$

MSC067-211130-
/O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0041.000000T0000Z-170121T1130Z/
Jones MS-
451 AM CST SAT JAN 21 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 AM CST
FOR SOUTHEASTERN JONES COUNTY...

At 450 AM CST, a severe thunderstorm was located near Ovett, or 12
miles north of Richton, moving east at 55 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain alert for a possible tornado! Tornadoes can develop quickly
from severe thunderstorms. If you spot a tornado go at once into the
basement or small central room in a sturdy structure.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until 700 AM CST for southeastern
Mississippi.

LAT...LON 3163 8916 3177 8894 3143 8894 3143 8914
TIME...MOT...LOC 1050Z 255DEG 48KT 3153 8899 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

19

863 
WWUS54 KJAN 211106
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
506 AM CST SAT JAN 21 2017

MSC067-211116-
/O.CAN.KJAN.SV.W.0041.000000T0000Z-170121T1130Z/
Jones MS-
506 AM CST SAT JAN 21 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN JONES COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore the warning has been cancelled.  However gusty winds are
still possible with this thunderstorm.

A tornado watch remains in effect until 700 AM CST for southeastern
Mississippi.

LAT...LON 3163 8916 3177 8894 3143 8894 3143 8914
TIME...MOT...LOC 1104Z 233DEG 44KT 3165 8880 

$$

19

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1156 PM CST Fri Jan 20 2017

...SEVERE STORMS TONIGHT AND POSSIBLE AGAIN SATURDAY NIGHT...

.UPDATE...
Updated for 06Z aviation discussion

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF discussion:

Patchy fog and low clouds to will affect PIB/HBG/MEI/NMM for the next
few hours but the main aviation impact to the region through early
tomorrow will come from a solid cluster of strong to severe
thunderstorms pushing in the west between midnight and daybreak,
possibly impacting sites such as HKS/JAN/NMM/MEI/PIB/HBG with strong
winds and some hail. Confidence of the worst conditions is at
PIB/HBG. Locations to the north such (such as GLH/GWO/GTR/CBM) will
have the most intense activity pass to the south. After storms clear
around or shortly after daybreak expect lower stratus clouds in the
IFR to MVFR range to take at least until midday to break up at some
sites. More storms and potential high impact will come late tomorrow
into tomorrow night, but probably remained mostly confined north of
the I-20 corridor. /BB/

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Intense convection has initiated and continued to organize to our
southwest over the last several hours in response to a potent upper
disturbance interacting with a baroclinic zone near the northwest
Gulf Coast. These storms are tending to grow upscale as expected and
should eventually manifest in a linear mesoscale convection system
(MCS) that marches through the southern half of the forecast area
overnight. Even though surface moisture will be recovering from the
south quickly in advance of this system expect surface instability to
struggle to get north of the I-20 before the thunderstorm activity
passes through. This means confidence in damaging winds (and a few
embedded tornadoes) produced by the storms will be highest over
southern areas, although locations along and north of I-20 could
still see pockets of wind to 60 mph with hail a possibility and
tornadoes a non-zero proposition. Of course, as mentioned, further
south risks of damaging hail (up to golfball size) and wind will be
higher and this will especially be the case along the Highway 98
corridor in far SE MS. Here the SPC has increased potential of
tornadoes and enough instability could develop in juxtaposition with
high shear to warrant mention that strong tornadoes cannot be ruled
out as well.

Assessed movement of developing activity to our southwest, along with
latest hires model forecasts, has lead to us slightly speeding up
timing expectations through the region overnight. Graphics are in the
process of being updated to reflect the tweaks in thinking. /BB/

Prior discussion below:

Tonight through Saturday night:

Mostly sunny skies, a breezy southwest wind, and warmer than normal
temperatures in the mid 70s were being observed over our CWA this
afternoon. This pleasant weather will fade fast this evening as
another round of severe storms is expected to move through our CWA
tonight. Mid afternoon water vapor imagery/RAP analysis had a potent
shortwave trough over the central and southern plains that will swing
northeast through Saturday. Ahead of this wave this evening, WAA will
strengthen and help increase deep moisture back across at least the
southern half of our CWA. The 12Z JAN sounding had a PWAT of 0.64in
and our dew points were running in the lower 50s this afternoon. Hi-
res models develop convection this evening along the Texas/Louisiana
coast and spread rapidly east northeast into our southwest most zones
by 11 pm. There will be the potential for a few discrete cells ahead
of the main surge but model consensus suggests more of a cluster or
line spreading east northeast across our CWA. Model parameters
haven't changed much from previous runs including MLCAPE 500-1000j/kg
with 0-6km bulk shear of 40-60 kts, mid level lapse rates of 6-7 C/km
and 0-1 km shear values of 20 to 30 kts. Any discrete cells would be
capable of producing large hail to the size of golfballs as well as
damaging winds and tornadoes. A line or cluster would likely produce
more of a wind and tornado threat. In addition, the area south of
Interstate 20 received several inches of rain yesterday so a quick
inch or two in a short period of time may lead to runoff issues. Our
Hazardous Weather Outlook continues an elevated risk for all modes of
severe weather across the southern half of the forecast area tonight,
with a limited threat across the remainder of the area. After the
convection shifts east Saturday morning there will be a lull in
activity through Saturday afternoon. A few breaks in the afternoon
sky cover will allow temperatures to top out in the lower 70s at most
sites. This will lend to decent instability going into Saturday
evening for the advertised second round of severe storms but the
potential for additional severe storms is more of a question this
afternoon as hi-res models do not show a lot of redevelopment. The
cold core low will approach our delta region by sunrise Sunday
morning. This is expected to steepen lapse rates and initiate
convection Saturday evening. Large hail and damaging winds are
expected with the storms that develop. The northern half of our CWA
will have the more favorable conditions for severe storms. /22/

Sunday through Friday morning:

Sunday morning the deep upper trough will have dived far south into
the ArkLaTex and moving into the ArkLaMiss. Anomalously low heights
and surface pressures will be present as the surface low deepens
~990-995mb just to the north in the low-mid Mississippi Valley. In
addition, height falls will be some 10-15DM at 500mb. This with
strong upper lift, anomalously low surface pressures/upper heights
and 150kt upper jet over the northern Gulf will help continue shower
and thunderstorm development to be possible through the early morning
into the afternoon. Lapse rates could approach 7-8 deg C/km but
limited moisture will limit overall destabilization and coverage of
storms. With such cold low-mid levels (500mb temperatures around
-20), some destabilization will be still ongoing. With efficient
shear around, there is definitely a possibility of some stronger to
severe storms. Wet bulb zero heights around 5-7kft will support small
hail being achieved even in showers and any storms that could attain
enough depth to have possibility of any severe hail. In addition,
there is enough flow and height falls that there looks to be some
type of squall line progressing across early-mid morning or so across
the region, mainly east of the Mississippi River. For now, there is
quite a bit of uncertainty on how this event will pan out, limited
moisture, extremely low heights, and how far east it will have
progressed by Sunday morning. For now, left out of any mention in the
graphics but this will have to continue to be evaluated. Still have
mention in the HWO for Saturday night into Sunday morning, so some of
that has a possibility of lingering over into the daytime hours.
There could also be some gusty winds of 20-25mph or so due to a
strong pressure gradient around. Some increasing isentropic
lift/moisture transport could keep some chances of rain lingering
north of I-20 as the upper low swings through Sunday night. Expect
rain and storm chances to decrease into Sunday evening as the surface
low ejects northeast.

As the upper trough/surface low eject northeast, expect a strong
pressure gradient as surface ridging and drier air move in the wake.
Highs should top out near or slightly above normal in the wake. This
dry and cooler period will last through early-mid week as surface
ridging moves through the region. A deep trough will dive down into
the western half of the CONUS around mid-week and a strong surface
low moves into the Great Lakes. Temperatures will moderate around
mid-week around mid 60s-low 70s. Rain chances will moving back in
mid-week around Wednesday or so as an attendant cold front helps
isentropic/moisture transport to move back in, helping chances of
showers to move back in. As the cold front moves through, strong
surface high (~1030-1040mb) will be diving into the Rockies, bringing
much drier air with PW's less than a quarter of an inch across the
country and into our region. This will usher in much cooler
conditions than recently, much closer to climatological normals. /DC/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       59  73  54  64 /  91  19  73  54
Meridian      58  73  54  64 /  99  53  71  61
Vicksburg     58  74  53  64 /  74  15  73  39
Hattiesburg   62  76  56  67 / 100  55  66  46
Natchez       59  74  54  66 / 100  18  68  31
Greenville    56  71  53  62 /  41  13  73  67
Greenwood     57  72  54  63 /  54  15  73  73

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.

&&

22/28/BB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
347 AM CST SAT JAN 21 2017

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-MSZ018-019-025>029-034>036-040>042-
047-221000-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-
WEBSTER-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-
WARREN-
347 AM CST SAT JAN 21 2017

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTH
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

TORNADOES
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TONIGHT...POTENTIALLY STARTING IN THE
VERY EARLY EVENING. THE MAIN RISKS WILL BE HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE
AND DAMAGING WINDS POSSIBLY IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. IN ADDITION...A FEW
TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

(WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IMAGES/JAN/GRAPHICAST/IMAGE2.PNG)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TONIGHT.

MSZ030-032-033-037-038-043-044-048-049-221000-
CLAY-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-ATTALA-WINSTON-MADISON MS-LEAKE-HINDS-
RANKIN-
347 AM CST SAT JAN 21 2017

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND NORTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

TORNADOES
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...EARLY THIS MORNING AND AGAIN TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...MAINLY TONIGHT

THERE IS A POSSIBILITY FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH 7 AM THIS
MORNING WITH THE MAIN RISKS BEING HAIL UP TO QUARTER SIZE AND WINDS
UP TO 60 MPH. A TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

(WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IMAGES/JAN/GRAPHICAST/IMAGE1.PNG)

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TONIGHT...POTENTIALLY STARTING IN THE
VERY EARLY EVENING. THE MAIN RISKS WILL BE HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE
AND DAMAGING WINDS POSSIBLY IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. IN ADDITION...A FEW
TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

(WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IMAGES/JAN/GRAPHICAST/IMAGE2.PNG)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION EARLY THIS
MORNING AND TONIGHT.

MSZ031-039-053-054-059>061-221000-
LOWNDES-NOXUBEE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-
347 AM CST SAT JAN 21 2017

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
AND SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

TORNADOES
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...EARLY THIS MORNING AND AGAIN TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...EARLY THIS MORNING AND AGAIN TONIGHT

THERE IS A POSSIBILITY FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH 7 AM THIS
MORNING WITH THE MAIN RISKS BEING HAIL UP TO QUARTER SIZE AND WINDS
UP TO 60 MPH. A TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

(WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IMAGES/JAN/GRAPHICAST/IMAGE1.PNG)

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE A POSSIBILITY AGAIN TONIGHT...POTENTIALLY
STARTING IN THE VERY EARLY EVENING. THE MAIN RISKS WILL BE HAIL UP TO
QUARTER SIZE AND DAMAGING WINDS UP TO 60 MPH. IN ADDITION...A FEW
TORNADOES CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

(WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IMAGES/JAN/GRAPHICAST/IMAGE2.PNG)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION EARLY THIS
MORNING AND TONIGHT.

MSZ045-050-051-221000-
NESHOBA-SCOTT-NEWTON-
347 AM CST SAT JAN 21 2017

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...AND EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

TORNADOES
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...MAINLY THROUGH DAYBREAK

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...EARLY THIS MORNING AND AGAIN TONIGHT

FLOODING
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...THROUGH DAYBREAK

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY THROUGH 7 AM THIS MORNING WITH HAIL
UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE...DAMAGING WINDS...AND A FEW TORNADOES ALL A
POSSIBILITY WITH ANY STORM. IN ADDITION...TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS WILL
MAKE LOCALIZED FLOODING A POSSIBILITY.

(WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IMAGES/JAN/GRAPHICAST/IMAGE1.PNG)

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY AGAIN TONIGHT...POTENTIALLY STARTING
IN THE VERY EARLY EVENING. THE MAIN RISKS WILL BE HAIL UP TO QUARTER
SIZE AND DAMAGING WINDS UP TO 60 MPH. IN ADDITION...A FEW TORNADOES
CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

(WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IMAGES/JAN/GRAPHICAST/IMAGE2.PNG)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION EARLY THIS
MORNING AND TONIGHT.

MSZ046-052-055>058-062>064-221000-
KEMPER-LAUDERDALE-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-
JEFFERSON DAVIS-
347 AM CST SAT JAN 21 2017

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTH CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

TORNADOES
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...MAINLY THROUGH DAYBREAK

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...MAINLY THROUGH DAYBREAK

FLOODING
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...THROUGH DAYBREAK

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY THROUGH 7 AM THIS MORNING WITH HAIL
UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE...DAMAGING WINDS...AND A FEW TORNADOES ALL A
POSSIBILITY WITH ANY STORM. IN ADDITION...TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS WILL
MAKE LOCALIZED FLOODING A POSSIBILITY.

(WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IMAGES/JAN/GRAPHICAST/IMAGE1.PNG)

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE A POSSIBILITY AGAIN TONIGHT...POTENTIALLY
STARTING IN THE VERY EARLY EVENING. THE MAIN RISKS WILL BE HAIL UP TO
QUARTER SIZE AND DAMAGING WINDS UP TO 60 MPH. IN ADDITION...A FEW
TORNADOES CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

(WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IMAGES/JAN/GRAPHICAST/IMAGE2.PNG)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION EARLY THIS
MORNING AND TONIGHT.

LAZ023>026-221000-
FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-
347 AM CST SAT JAN 21 2017

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
LOUISIANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

TORNADOES
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE A POSSIBILITY AGAIN TONIGHT...POTENTIALLY
STARTING IN THE VERY EARLY EVENING. THE MAIN RISKS WILL BE HAIL UP TO
QUARTER SIZE AND DAMAGING WINDS UP TO 60 MPH. IN ADDITION...A FEW
TORNADOES CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

(WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IMAGES/JAN/GRAPHICAST/IMAGE2.PNG)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TONIGHT.

MSZ065-066-072>074-221000-
COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
347 AM CST SAT JAN 21 2017

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

TORNADOES
THREAT...SIGNIFICANT
TIMING...MAINLY THROUGH DAYBREAK

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...MAINLY THROUGH DAYBREAK

FLOODING
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...THROUGH DAYBREAK

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POTENTIALLY PRODUCING TORNADOES ARE LIKELY
THROUGH 7 AM THIS MORNING WITH HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE AND DAMAGING
WINDS ALSO LIKELY. A STRONG TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT. IN
ADDITION...TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS WILL MAKE LOCALIZED FLOODING A
POSSIBILITY.

(WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IMAGES/JAN/GRAPHICAST/IMAGE1.PNG)

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE A POSSIBILITY AGAIN TONIGHT...POTENTIALLY
STARTING IN THE VERY EARLY EVENING. THE MAIN RISKS WILL BE HAIL UP TO
QUARTER SIZE AND DAMAGING WINDS UP TO 60 MPH. IN ADDITION...A FEW
TORNADOES CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

(WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IMAGES/JAN/GRAPHICAST/IMAGE2.PNG)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION EARLY THIS
MORNING AND TONIGHT.

50

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*TORNADOES*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN STRONG TORNADOES WITH RATINGS EF2 OR
 GREATER.
SIGNIFICANT...STRONG TORNADOES POSSIBLE WITH RATINGS EF2 OR
 GREATER.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN TORNADOES.
LIMITED...TORNADOES POSSIBLE.

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WIND GUSTS OF
 75 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
SIGNIFICANT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF
 75 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WINDS GUSTS OF
 60 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
LIMITED...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF 60
 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.

*FLOODING*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN SIGNIFICANT FLOODING.
SIGNIFICANT...SIGNIFICANT FLOODING POSSIBLE.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN FLOODING.
LIMITED...FLOODING POSSIBLE.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN HOME PAGE...
   WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN
STAY AWARE, STAY SAFE NWS JAN BRIEFING PAGE...
   WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN/SAFE
LATEST WEATHER BRIEFING...
   WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN/WEATHER_BRIEFING

FIND NWS JAN ON FACEBOOK...
   WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSJACKSONMS
FOLLOW NWS JAN ON TWITTER...
   @NWSJACKSONMS

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
   WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN/SAFE

LATEST WEATHER BRIEFING...
   WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN/WEATHER_BRIEFING

STORM PREDICTION CENTER (SPC)...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/
MESO ANALYSIS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/EXPER/MESOANALYSIS/DAY 1 THROUGH 3 OUTLOOKS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/OUTLOOK/
STORM REPORTS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/CLIMO/ONLINE/
...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES...

CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
   WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN/SAFE_HEAVYRAIN

OBSERVED PRECIPITATION IMAGES...
   WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN/PRECIPMAPS

LATEST WEATHER BRIEFING...
   WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN/WEATHER_BRIEFING

RIVER FORECAST CENTER...
   WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LMRFC/
SIGNIFICANT RIVER FLOOD OUTLOOK...
   WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/NATIONALFLOODOUTLOOK/INDEX.HTML
DAY 1 THROUGH 3 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL...
   WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/EXCESS_RAIN.SHTML
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DISCUSSION...
   WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/DISCUSSIONS/QPFERD.HTML
DAY 1 THROUGH 7 QPF...
   WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML
QPF DISCUSSION...
   WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/DISCUSSIONS/QPFPFD.HTML
   PLEASE CONVERT ALL WEB ADDRESSES TO LOWER CASE BEFORE ENTERING!

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
240 AM CST SAT JAN 21 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1238 AM     HAIL             5 S ROXIE               31.43N 91.07W
01/21/2017  E1.75 INCH       FRANKLIN           MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            PEA...DIME AND GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL REPORTED NEAR THE
            WHITE APPLE COMMUNITY IN SOUTHWESERN FRANKLIN. REPORTED
            BY EMA

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
252 AM CST SAT JAN 21 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0120 AM     HAIL             3 SE PLEASANT HILL      31.69N 90.70W
01/21/2017  E1.00 INCH       LINCOLN            MS   PUBLIC

            PEA TO QUARTER SIZED HAIL REPORTED IN NORTHWEST LINCOLN
            COUNTY. REPORT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
254 AM CST SAT JAN 21 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0205 AM     HAIL             BUDE                    31.46N 90.85W
01/21/2017  E0.25 INCH       FRANKLIN           MS   PUBLIC

            PEA SIZED HAIL REPORTED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
304 AM CST SAT JAN 21 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0246 AM     HAIL             BASSFIELD               31.50N 89.74W
01/21/2017  E1.00 INCH       JEFFERSON DAVIS    MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            QUARTER SIZED HAIL REPORTED TO EMA BY FIRE CHIEF.

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
304 AM CST SAT JAN 21 2017

MSZ049-050-056-210930-
Smith MS-Rankin MS-Scott MS-
304 AM CST SAT JAN 21 2017

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN RANKIN...SCOTT AND
SMITH COUNTIES UNTIL 330 AM CST...

At 304 AM CST, Meteorologists were tracking strong thunderstorms
along a line extending from Branch to 7 miles north of White Oak to
Martinville. Movement was northeast at 45 mph.

Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Strong thunderstorms will be near...
  Forkville, Branch and Leesburg around 310 AM CST.
  Pulaski around 315 AM CST.
  Harperville, Midway, Homewood and Hillsboro around 320 AM CST.
  Forest, Raleigh and Steele around 325 AM CST.
  Burns and Pineville around 330 AM CST.

Other locations impacted by these storms include Polkville,
Sylvarena, Lake and Sebastopol.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until 700 AM CST for central and
east central Mississippi.

LAT...LON 3200 8934 3192 8965 3205 8966 3205 8979
      3215 8975 3248 8978 3258 8958 3258 8932
      3207 8932
TIME...MOT...LOC 0904Z 237DEG 38KT 3245 8972 3219 8969 3197 8977

NF

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
326 AM CST SAT JAN 21 2017

MSZ058-211000-
Clarke MS-
326 AM CST SAT JAN 21 2017

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN CLARKE COUNTY UNTIL
400 AM CST...

At 324 AM CST, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
near Shubuta, or 11 miles south of Quitman, moving northeast at 45
mph.

Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Crandall around 335 AM CST.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Shubuta.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until 700 AM CST for east central
Mississippi.

LAT...LON 3190 8847 3185 8864 3183 8876 3184 8880
      3220 8844
TIME...MOT...LOC 0924Z 228DEG 40KT 3189 8865

NF