Alert archive / Mississippi / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2017

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 243, NWS Jackson, MS

April 30, 2017Humphreys County, Yazoo County, Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Apr 30, 2017, 8:06 AM CDT for Humphreys County, Yazoo County, Mississippi. It was in force for 54 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Apr 30, 2017, 8:06 AM CDT (13:06 UTC)
Expired: Apr 30, 2017, 9:00 AM CDT
In force: 54 min
Issued by: NWS Jackson, MS
Area: Storm-based polygon
Tornado: Possible
Hail: 0.75 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Humphreys County, MS, Yazoo County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 88 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 13:09 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Apr 30, 8:27 AM CDT	TSTM WND DMG	6 Wnw Yazoo City, MS	NUMEROUS TREES DOWN ACROSS THE COUNTY.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 21 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Apr 30, 7:32 AM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 12:00Z, 1.1 hours before the alert went out and 80 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 647 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -84 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 920 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 32 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 221 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 398 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.7
Supercell composite: 3.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

576 
WUUS54 KJAN 301306
SVRJAN
MSC053-163-301400-
/O.NEW.KJAN.SV.W.0243.170430T1306Z-170430T1400Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Jackson MS
806 AM CDT SUN APR 30 2017

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Central Yazoo County in central Mississippi...
  Southern Humphreys County in central Mississippi...

* Until 900 AM CDT

* At 806 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 9 miles west of
  Tinsley, or 15 miles east of Valley Park, moving northeast at 40
  mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. 

  SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

  IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

* This severe thunderstorm will be near,
  Tinsley around 815 AM CDT. 
  Yazoo City around 830 AM CDT. 

Other locations impacted by this severe thunderstorm include Eden,
Satartia, Silver City and Louise.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain alert for a possible tornado! Tornadoes can develop quickly
from severe thunderstorms. If you spot a tornado go at once into the
basement or small central room in a sturdy structure.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until 900 AM CDT for west central
Mississippi. A tornado watch also remains in effect until 300 PM CDT
for central Mississippi.

LAT...LON 3309 9043 3305 9043 3304 9038 3301 9037
      3302 9034 3300 9032 3291 9007 3263 9048
      3275 9074 3275 9070 3277 9069 3280 9072
      3281 9069 3282 9076 3284 9076 3292 9066
      3301 9066 3310 9059 3311 9046
TIME...MOT...LOC 1306Z 217DEG 35KT 3271 9061 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

CME

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Apr 30, 6:52 AM CDT, 1 hour 14 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 30, 6:52 AM CDT, 1 hour 14 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson MS
652 AM CDT Sun Apr 30 2017

...SEVERE WEATHER AND FLOODING TODAY AND POTENTIALLY AGAIN MID
WEEK...

.UPDATE...
Updated for 12Z aviation discussion.

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF discussion:

Gusty southerly winds will continue to affect the TAF sites today
in advance of a line of thunderstorms pushing east across the
region. Periods of lower ceiling and reduced visibility, as well
as gusty and erratic winds may accompany the thunderstorms. Very
heavy rainfall and frequent lightning have been observed with this
line of storms already this morning. A chance for showers and
possibly a few thunderstorms will linger into the afternoon until
the cold front ushers in drier air from west to east. Amendments
may be necessary to refine the timing for thunderstorms. /NF/

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Today through Tonight,

Today's focus remains on the potential for severe weather and heavy
rainfall, as a deep low pressure system sweeps through the central
CONUS. The deepening low has increased southerly flow over the
Southern Mississippi Valley at all heights, causing a surge of
anomalous moisture into our region. Blended total precipitable water
imagery shows a broad swath of 1.5 to 2 inch PWAT values extending
from south central Louisiana through southern Missouri. A line of
thunderstorms - focused mainly along an advancing cold front - will
continue marching eastward throughout the day today. The heaviest
and most intense rainfall looks to be associated with and MCS
centered in central Louisiana and another moving through northern
Mississippi and western Tennessee. Bowing segments along the line of
storms will have to be monitored for wind and brief tornado
potential. Rainfall amounts of 2 to 3 inches will be common across
the area today, with isolated higher amounts. Flash flooding and
areas of river flooding will be possible with this heavy rain.
/NF/

Monday through Saturday night,

A lull in the active weather pattern is expected early this week
before the next potential heavy rain/severe weather event
threatens the ArkLaMiss as we go into Wednesday/Thursday. That
system should be followed by much cooler conditions to finish up
the week.

For the Monday through Tuesday night period, weak surface high
pressure will move east across the forecast area bringing dry
conditions with seasonably warm days and cool nights.

The next shortwave trough will then dig southward in association
with a fairly impressive tropospheric undulation (2.0 PVU
intrusion to near H600) that would result in rapid cyclogenesis
over the southeast CONUS. Global models have been quite erratic in
how much digging and cyclogenesis will take place, but they have
also been pretty consistent with the general large scale response
including impressive warm advection followed by strong height
falls. So expect the combination of forcing/moisture/instability
will be supportive of multiple convective rounds that could result
in very heavy rainfall in addition to severe weather.

Of course, depending on what transpires today, antecedent
conditions could be an issue with much of the area under a threat
for more significant flooding. We will be focusing more on this
event immediately following today's system. Beyond Thursday, if
the more wrapped up solutions verify, would expect cyclonic flow
to maintain some what unsettled and much cooler conditions with
continued light rain chances as we go into Friday. If the more
progressive solutions verify, then drier/clearer and cooler
conditions would be the general rule going into next weekend. /EC/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       76  52  77  53 / 100  38   0   0
Meridian      80  54  78  52 /  94 100   0   0
Vicksburg     74  51  78  54 / 100  11   0   0
Hattiesburg   79  53  80  52 /  94  92   0   0
Natchez       73  51  78  54 / 100  10   0   0
Greenville    72  51  75  55 / 100  10   0   0
Greenwood     75  52  74  54 / 100  25   0   0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...Flash Flood Watch from 10 AM CDT this morning through this
     evening for MSZ030-031-033-038-039-044>046-050>052-056>058-
     064>066-072>074.

     Flash Flood Watch through this evening for MSZ018-019-025>029-
     032-034>037-040>043-047>049-053>055-059>063.

LA...Flash Flood Watch through this evening for LAZ007>009-015-016-
     023>026.

AR...Flash Flood Watch through this evening for ARZ074-075.

&&

NF/EC

Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 30, 6:57 AM CDT, 1 hour 9 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
657 AM CDT Sun Apr 30 2017

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074-
011200-
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland-
Madison LA-Franklin LA-Catahoula-Tensas-Concordia-Bolivar-
Sunflower-Leflore-Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-Webster-Clay-Lowndes-
Choctaw-Oktibbeha-Washington-Humphreys-Holmes-Attala-Winston-
Noxubee-Issaquena-Sharkey-Yazoo-Madison MS-Leake-Neshoba-Kemper-
Warren-Hinds-Rankin-Scott-Newton-Lauderdale-Claiborne-Copiah-
Simpson-Smith-Jasper-Clarke-Jefferson-Adams-Franklin MS-Lincoln-
Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Covington-Jones-Marion-Lamar-Forrest-
657 AM CDT Sun Apr 30 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, central Mississippi, north central
Mississippi, and south central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Today

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Today

A squall line will push across the outlook area today. It will
bring with it the threat for severe weather and flash flooding.
Look for storms to move east of the area early this evening.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png)
(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today.

21

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
High...Significant severe thunderstorms are expected.
Moderate...Severe storms expected with significant
 severe weather possible.
Enhanced...Severe storms expected.
Slight...Severe storms possible.
Marginal...Isolated severe storms possible.

*FLOODING*
Extreme...Confident in significant flooding.
Significant...Significant flooding possible.
Elevated...Confident in flooding.
Limited...Flooding possible.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

Storm Prediction Center (SPC)...
   www.spc.noaa.gov/
Meso Analysis...
   www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/Day 1 through 3 Outlooks...
   www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/
Storm Reports...
   www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/
...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES...

Current Watches and Warnings...
   www.weather.gov/jan/safe_HeavyRain

Observed Precipitation Images...
   www.weather.gov/jan/precipmaps

River Forecast Center...
   www.weather.gov/lmrfc/
Significant River Flood Outlook...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/nationalfloodoutlook/index.html
Day 1 through 3 Excessive Rainfall...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml
Excessive Rainfall Discussion...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpferd.html
Day 1 through 7 QPF...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml
QPF Discussion...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpfpfd.html

In the hours before

Local storm report, Apr 30, 6:03 AM CDT, 2 hours 3 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
603 AM CDT SUN APR 30 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0450 AM     TORNADO          2 W OAK RIDGE           32.63N 91.81W
04/30/2017                   MOREHOUSE          LA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN ALONG WITH
            SIGNIFICANT ROOF DAMAGE TO A HOME. DEBRIS
            SIGNATURE ALSO NOTED FROM KULM RADAR.

&&

CE

Local storm report, Apr 30, 6:04 AM CDT, 2 hours 2 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
604 AM CDT SUN APR 30 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0455 AM     TSTM WND DMG     2 N OAK RIDGE           32.65N 91.77W
04/30/2017                   MOREHOUSE          LA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES DOWN ALONG HWY 425 N, POSSIBLE
            CONTINUATION OF TORNADO W OF OAK RIDGE.

&&

CE

Local storm report, Apr 30, 7:44 AM CDT, 22 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
744 AM CDT SUN APR 30 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0732 AM     TORNADO          1 SSE PORT GIBSON       31.94N 90.97W
04/30/2017                   CLAIBORNE          MS   AMATEUR RADIO

            TREES DOWN ALONG HWY 547 BY THE PORT GIBSON
            CITY LIMITS. TORNADO DEBRIS SIGNATURE ALSO
            OBSERVED ON RADAR.

&&

TW

Local storm report, Apr 30, 7:57 AM CDT, 9 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
757 AM CDT SUN APR 30 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0716 AM     TORNADO          1 WSW DELTA             32.32N 90.93W
04/30/2017                   MADISON            LA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            PICTURE OF TORNADO ON THE GROUND TAKEN BY
            LAW ENFORCEMENT IN VICKSBURG. TORNADO DEBRIS
            SIGNATURE ALSO OBSERVED ON RADAR.

&&

TW

Local storm report, Apr 30, 8:00 AM CDT, 6 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
800 AM CDT SUN APR 30 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 AM     HEAVY RAIN       25 S JONESVILLE         31.27N 91.83W
04/30/2017  M3.91 INCH       CONCORDIA          LA   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL ENDING AT 7 AM AT
            ACML1 RIVER GAUGE.

&&

NF

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Apr 30, 5:29 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Adams	61 min
Apr 30, 6:10 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Adams	4 hr
Apr 30, 6:14 AM CDT	Tornado Warning	JAN	Adams	34 min
Apr 30, 6:34 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Claiborne, Warren	56 min
Apr 30, 6:41 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Claiborne, Jefferson	49 min
Apr 30, 6:43 AM CDT	Tornado Warning	JAN	Warren	62 min
Apr 30, 6:50 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Adams, Franklin, Jefferson	55 min
Apr 30, 7:20 AM CDT	Tornado Warning Tornado observed	JAN	Issaquena, Sharkey, Warren, Yazoo	55 min
Apr 30, 7:21 AM CDT	Tornado Warning	JAN	Claiborne, Copiah, Jefferson	39 min
Apr 30, 7:28 AM CDT	Tornado Warning	JAN	Claiborne, Hinds, Warren	62 min
Apr 30, 7:35 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Copiah, Franklin, Lincoln	40 min
Apr 30, 7:56 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Copiah, Hinds, Madison, Rankin, Simpson	64 min
Apr 30, 7:57 AM CDT	Tornado Warning	JAN	Hinds	48 min
Apr 30, 8:01 AM CDT	Tornado Warning	JAN	Copiah, Hinds, Rankin	44 min
Apr 30, 8:12 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Franklin, Lincoln	3 hr
Apr 30, 8:13 AM CDT	Tornado Warning	JAN	Hinds, Madison, Warren, Yazoo	62 min
Apr 30, 8:20 AM CDT	Tornado Warning	JAN	Holmes, Humphreys, Yazoo	55 min
Apr 30, 8:31 AM CDT	Tornado Warning	JAN	Hinds, Madison	59 min
Apr 30, 8:59 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Rankin, Scott, Simpson, Smith	61 min
Apr 30, 9:00 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Humphreys, Issaquena, Sharkey, Warren, Yazoo	3 hr
Apr 30, 9:05 AM CDT	Tornado Warning Tornado observed	JAN	Attala, Holmes, Madison, Yazoo	55 min
Apr 30, 9:09 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Carroll, Holmes, Humphreys, Leflore	66 min
Apr 30, 9:18 AM CDT	Tornado Warning	JAN	Scott	42 min
Apr 30, 9:30 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Attala, Holmes, Humphreys, Madison	3 hr
Apr 30, 9:37 AM CDT	Tornado Warning	JAN	Carroll, Holmes, Montgomery	53 min
Apr 30, 9:48 AM CDT	Tornado Warning Tornado observed	JAN	Leake, Neshoba, Newton, Scott	57 min
Apr 30, 9:50 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Grenada, Leflore	40 min
Apr 30, 9:50 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Covington, Jefferson Davis, Lamar, Marion	55 min
Apr 30, 9:53 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Attala, Montgomery, Webster	52 min
Apr 30, 9:54 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Copiah, Covington, Jefferson Davis, Lawrence, Simpson, Smith	3 hr
Apr 30, 10:05 AM CDT	Tornado Warning	JAN	Montgomery, Webster	27 min
Apr 30, 10:07 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Kemper, Lauderdale, Neshoba, Newton	38 min
Apr 30, 10:16 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Grenada, Montgomery	22 min
Apr 30, 10:22 AM CDT	Tornado Warning	JAN	Grenada	23 min
Apr 30, 10:33 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Noxubee, Winston	57 min
Apr 30, 10:43 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Covington, Forrest, Jones, Lamar	62 min
Apr 30, 10:45 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Kemper, Lauderdale, Noxubee	60 min
Apr 30, 10:59 AM CDT	Tornado Warning	JAN	Kemper, Noxubee	43 min
Apr 30, 11:12 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Covington, Forrest, Jones, Lamar, Marion	3 hr
Apr 30, 11:24 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Lowndes	36 min
Apr 30, 11:33 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Covington, Forrest, Jones	3 hr
Apr 30, 11:42 AM CDT	Tornado Warning	JAN	Lowndes	8 min
Apr 30, 12:31 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Forrest, Jones	34 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Mississippi, 2017 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.