Severe Thunderstorm Warning 134, NWS Jackson, MS

379 
WWUS54 KJAN 272351
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
651 PM CDT MON MAR 27 2017

MSC061-280000-
/O.CAN.KJAN.SV.W.0134.000000T0000Z-170328T0015Z/
Jasper MS-
651 PM CDT MON MAR 27 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN JASPER COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 3181 8926 3203 8919 3204 8891 3183 8891
TIME...MOT...LOC 2347Z 267DEG 19KT 3195 8904 

$$

GRG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
420 PM CDT Mon Mar 27 2017

.DISCUSSION...

Rest of today through Tuesday:

Numerous showers and thunderstorms are ongoing across the CWA with a
few storms reaching severe criteria. Latest water vapor imagery
shows a mid/upper level shortwave over SW Missouri with the trough
axis extending down the MS river valley. Current SPC mesoanalysis
has anywhere from 1000-2000 J/kg of MLCAPE across the region with
moderate to steep 6.5-7 C mid level lapse rates in conjunction with
30-40 kts of effective bulk shear. This will help to maintain a
severe thunderstorm threat across the majority of the area with the
main threats being large hail (some of which could exceed golf
ball size in the strongest storms) and damaging winds. Shear
remains weak, especially in the low levels, and LCL heights are
relatively high so any tornado threat will remain isolated to the
strongest storms at best. The best potential for severe weather
will be along and north of the I-20 corridor through the early
evening hours, however severe storms are possible across the
entire area. Storms will tend to weaken into the evening as
instability wanes and the best forcing for ascent continues to
pull out to the north and east. Scattered shower and isolated
storm potential will remain during the evening in the NW where the
lingering frontal boundary will become quasi-stationary.
Otherwise, fog potential will return in a moist boundary layer,
especially across the SE and in the fog prone areas. Added mention
in the forecast, but left it out of the HWO for now as confidence
is not high enough at the moment. For Tuesday, a lingering
boundary across central MS will keep a warm and moist airmass in
place. Daytime heating will allow for weak to moderate
destabilization but with weak lapse rates and no source for
forcing any storms that develop will be isolated to scattered at
best. No severe weather is expected with this activity, although a
strong storm or two cannot be ruled out. /TW/

Tuesday Night through Monday:

The active weather pattern will continue through this work week
and the upcoming weekend as a parade of upper lows dig into the
Desert Southwest and move east across the country. The next period
to watch for the ArkLaMiss region specifically will be late
Wednesday night through Thursday night. A deepening low pressure
system over the Southern High Plains on Wednesday will lift toward
Missouri by Thursday night. While the finer details of this system
may change, the current thinking is that an MCS will approach
northeast Louisiana and southeast Arkansas by late Wednesday
night but should be weakening as it enters our area and outruns
the best instability. Warm, moist advection will continue across our
region through the day Thursday with dew points climbing into the
mid 60s and around 1000-1500 J/kg of MLCAPE developing by the
afternoon. An additional round of convection is expected to
develop under these conditions before a cold front sweeps in with
drier and cooler air Thursday night. At this time, all modes of
severe weather look possible during the day Thursday with an
increasing heavy rain threat before the cold front moves through.
The next system looks to take shape by late in the weekend and
will possibly bring another round of severe thunderstorms through
the region some time Sunday into Monday. Be sure to tune in for
updates throughout the week as the details come into better focus
for these next few rounds of severe weather. /NF/

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF discussion:
Numerous showers and thunderstorms have developed across the
western half of the area late this morning and early this
afternoon. These showers and storms are expected to intensify in
a favorable severe weather environment with large hail possible in
the strongest storms. Storms will move from the west to east
through the remainder of the afternoon and into the early evening.
VCTS, TSRA, and VCSH was updated accordingly at all TAF sites.
Some showers could linger longer at GLH/GWO along a stalled
frontal boundary this evening. Otherwise, low ceilings and
possible fog development could result in IFR conditions after
9z/28 at most TAF sites, especially in the southeast. /TW/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       64  83  63  87 /  51  25   9   2
Meridian      63  82  61  86 /  39  26   8   3
Vicksburg     65  82  63  86 /  35  24   9   5
Hattiesburg   63  83  63  86 /  20  22   6   2
Natchez       65  83  64  85 /  21  23   9   8
Greenville    60  78  62  83 /  43  17  14   3
Greenwood     61  79  62  85 /  62  21  13   4

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.

&&

TW/NF

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
346 PM CDT Mon Mar 27 2017

ARZ074-LAZ007-024-026-MSZ060-061-064-066-072>074-282100-
Ashley-Morehouse-Catahoula-Concordia-Adams-Franklin MS-
Jefferson Davis-Jones-Marion-Lamar-Forrest-
346 PM CDT Mon Mar 27 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, and south central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today through Tuesday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

Isolated severe storms possible with damaging winds and hail up to
the size of quarters.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday night through Sunday

Severe thunderstorms are possible for extreme southeast
Arkansas, portions of central Mississippi, west central
Mississippi, southwest Mississippi, northwest Mississippi,
north central Mississippi, and northeast Louisiana on
Wednesday night.

Severe thunderstorms are possible for the entire outlook area
on Thursday.

A potent weather system will bring the potential for severe weather
to the entire outlook area from late Wednesday night through
Thursday. The primary severe weather concerns will be damaging wind
gusts, large hail, and the possibility for tornadoes. Locally
heavy rainfall is also possible. Stay tuned for updates
concerning this potential severe weather event.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through tonight and Wednesday night through
Thursday.

ARZ075-MSZ018-282100-
Chicot-Bolivar-
346 PM CDT Mon Mar 27 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, and northwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tuesday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Mainly through the rest of this afternoon

Severe storms possible with damaging winds, hail up to the size of
golf balls, and a tornado can not be ruled out.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image*.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday night through Sunday

Severe thunderstorms are possible for extreme southeast
Arkansas, portions of central Mississippi, west central
Mississippi, southwest Mississippi, northwest Mississippi,
north central Mississippi, and northeast Louisiana on
Wednesday night.

Severe thunderstorms are possible for the entire outlook area
on Thursday.

A potent weather system will bring the potential for severe weather
to the entire outlook area from late Wednesday night through
Thursday. The primary severe weather concerns will be damaging wind
gusts, large hail, and the possibility for tornadoes. Locally
heavy rainfall is also possible. Stay tuned for updates
concerning this potential severe weather event.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image*.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through tonight and Wednesday night through
Thursday.

LAZ008-009-015-016-023-025-MSZ019-034>059-062-063-065-282100-
West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland-Madison LA-Franklin LA-Tensas-
Sunflower-Washington-Humphreys-Holmes-Attala-Winston-Noxubee-
Issaquena-Sharkey-Yazoo-Madison MS-Leake-Neshoba-Kemper-Warren-
Hinds-Rankin-Scott-Newton-Lauderdale-Claiborne-Copiah-Simpson-
Smith-Jasper-Clarke-Jefferson-Lincoln-Lawrence-Covington-
346 PM CDT Mon Mar 27 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, northwest Mississippi, and south
central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tuesday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

Severe storms possible with damaging winds, hail up to the size of
golf balls, and a tornado can not be ruled out.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday night through Sunday

Severe thunderstorms are possible for extreme southeast
Arkansas, portions of central Mississippi, west central
Mississippi, southwest Mississippi, northwest Mississippi,
north central Mississippi, and northeast Louisiana on
Wednesday night.

Severe thunderstorms are possible for the entire outlook area
on Thursday.

A potent weather system will bring the potential for severe weather
to the entire outlook area from late Wednesday night through
Thursday. The primary severe weather concerns will be damaging wind
gusts, large hail, and the possibility for tornadoes. Locally
heavy rainfall is also possible. Stay tuned for updates
concerning this potential severe weather event.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through tonight and Wednesday night through
Thursday.

MSZ026-028>033-282100-
Grenada-Montgomery-Webster-Clay-Lowndes-Choctaw-Oktibbeha-
346 PM CDT Mon Mar 27 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, north central Mississippi, and northeast
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tuesday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

Severe storms expected with damaging winds, golf ball size hail,
and a tornado or two possible.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday night through Sunday

Severe thunderstorms are possible for extreme southeast
Arkansas, portions of central Mississippi, west central
Mississippi, southwest Mississippi, northwest Mississippi,
north central Mississippi, and northeast Louisiana on
Wednesday night.

Severe thunderstorms are possible for the entire outlook area
on Thursday.

A potent weather system will bring the potential for severe weather
to the entire outlook area from late Wednesday night through
Thursday. The primary severe weather concerns will be damaging wind
gusts, large hail, and the possibility for tornadoes. Locally
heavy rainfall is also possible. Stay tuned for updates
concerning this potential severe weather event.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through tonight and Wednesday night through
Thursday.

MSZ025-027-282100-
Leflore-Carroll-
346 PM CDT Mon Mar 27 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of north central
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tuesday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...Mainly through the rest of this afternoon

Severe storms expected with damaging winds, golf ball size hail,
and a tornado or two possible.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday night through Sunday

Severe thunderstorms are possible for extreme southeast
Arkansas, portions of central Mississippi, west central
Mississippi, southwest Mississippi, northwest Mississippi,
north central Mississippi, and northeast Louisiana on
Wednesday night.

Severe thunderstorms are possible for the entire outlook area
on Thursday.

A potent weather system will bring the potential for severe weather
to the entire outlook area from late Wednesday night through
Thursday. The primary severe weather concerns will be damaging wind
gusts, large hail, and the possibility for tornadoes. Locally
heavy rainfall is also possible. Stay tuned for updates
concerning this potential severe weather event.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through tonight and Wednesday night through
Thursday.

1

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
High...Significant severe thunderstorms are expected.
Moderate...Severe storms expected with significant
 severe weather possible.
Enhanced...Severe storms expected.
Slight...Severe storms possible.
Marginal...Isolated severe storms possible.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

Storm Prediction Center (SPC)...
   www.spc.noaa.gov/
Meso Analysis...
   www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/Day 1 through 3 Outlooks...
   www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/
Storm Reports...
   www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
528 PM CDT MON MAR 27 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0448 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 NE NEWTON             32.35N 89.13W
03/27/2017                   NEWTON             MS   NEWSPAPER

            A TREE WAS DOWNED BLOCKING MS HIGHWAY 15
            JUST NORTH OF NEWTON.

&&

NWS JACKSON MS
IRIS SYSTEM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
529 PM CDT MON MAR 27 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0514 PM     HAIL             2 WNW DE KALB           32.78N 88.68W
03/27/2017  E1.00 INCH       KEMPER             MS   PUBLIC

            QUARTER SIZE HAIL AT THE JOHN C STENNIS
            MEMORIAL HOSPITAL.

&&

TW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
551 PM CDT MON MAR 27 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0549 PM     HAIL             NEWELLTON               32.07N 91.24W
03/27/2017  E1.00 INCH       TENSAS             LA   PUBLIC

            NICKEL TO QUARTER SIZED HAIL WITH POWER
            OUTAGES IN THE AREA. REPORTED VIA SOCIAL
            MEDIA.

&&

NWS JACKSON MS
IRIS SYSTEM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
559 PM CDT MON MAR 27 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0550 PM     HAIL             BAY SPRINGS             31.98N 89.29W
03/27/2017  E0.75 INCH       JASPER             MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            .

&&

NWS JACKSON MS
IRIS SYSTEM

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
608 PM CDT MON MAR 27 2017

MSZ058-280015-
Clarke MS-
608 PM CDT MON MAR 27 2017

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL CLARKE COUNTY UNTIL 715
PM CDT...

At 608 PM CDT, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
over Barnett, or 12 miles west of Quitman, moving east at 20 mph.

Dime size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this
storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Goodwater around 625 PM CDT.
  Quitman around 640 PM CDT.
  De Soto around 645 PM CDT.
  Crandall around 710 PM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Pachuta and Shubuta.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

&&

LAT...LON 3190 8847 3189 8848 3185 8868 3192 8891
      3211 8891 3206 8845
TIME...MOT...LOC 2308Z 283DEG 19KT 3202 8893

GRG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
612 PM CDT MON MAR 27 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 PM     HAIL             2 SSW BAY SPRINGS       31.95N 89.29W
03/27/2017  E1.00 INCH       JASPER             MS   PUBLIC

            HAIL AS LARGE AS A QUARTER.

&&

JPM