Alert archive / Mississippi / River Flood Warnings in 2017

River Flood Warning 61, NWS Jackson, MS

August 7, 2017Attala County, Holmes County, Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this river flood warning at Aug 7, 2017, 10:52 AM CDT for Attala County, Holmes County, Mississippi. It took effect at Aug 9, 2017, 9:00 AM CDT. It was in force for 5 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 7, 2017, 10:52 AM CDT (15:52 UTC)
In effect from
Aug 9, 2017, 9:00 AM CDT
Expired
Aug 14, 2017, 8:43 PM CDT
In force
5 days
Issued by
NWS Jackson, MS
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Attala County, MS, Holmes County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 88 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Big Black River at West (WSTM6). The gauge peaked at 16.84 ft at Aug 12, 2017, 11:00 PM CDT.

actionminormoderate510152008/0708/0808/0908/1008/1108/1208/1308/1408/1508/16
Action stage
12 ft
Minor stage
15 ft
Moderate stage
20 ft
Major stage
25 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 07289350, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

231 
WGUS44 KJAN 071552
FLWJAN
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1052 AM CDT Mon Aug 7 2017


...The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a Flood Warning
for the following rivers in Mississippi... 

  Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. 

Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC007-051-082152-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FL.W.0061.170809T1400Z-170812T1245Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.170809T1400Z.170810T1800Z.170812T0045Z.NO/
1052 AM CDT Mon Aug 7 2017

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Big Black River At West
* from Wednesday morning to Saturday morning.
* At  9:45 AM Monday the stage was 2.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage late Wednesday 
  morning and will continue to rise to near 16.0 feet  early Thursday
  afternoon. 
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Lowlands and agricultural land near the 
  river begin to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Tue   Wed   Thu Crest Time  Date

Upper Big Black River 
West           15   2.7 Mon 10 AM   9.9  14.9  15.9  16.0 01 PM 08/10


&&


LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
      3313 8969 3285 8987             



$$
15 follow-up statements
142 
WGUS84 KJAN 080049
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
749 PM CDT Mon Aug 7 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Mississippi...

  Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee 
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC007-051-090649-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0061.170809T1400Z-170812T1245Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.170809T1400Z.170810T1800Z.170812T0045Z.NO/
749 PM CDT Mon Aug 7 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River At West
* from Wednesday morning to Saturday morning.
* At 6:45 PM Monday the stage was 3.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage late Wednesday 
  morning and will continue to rise to near 16.0 feet by early
  Thursday afternoon. 
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Lowlands and agricultural land near the 
  river begin to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Tue   Wed   Thu Crest Time  Date

Upper Big Black River 
West           15   3.2 Mon 07 PM   9.9  14.9  15.9  16.0 01 PM 08/10


&&


LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
      3313 8969 3285 8987             



$$
249 
WGUS84 KJAN 081529
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1029 AM CDT Tue Aug 8 2017


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. 

Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC007-051-092129-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0061.170809T2145Z-170812T2248Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.170809T2145Z.170811T0000Z.170812T1048Z.NO/
1029 AM CDT Tue Aug 8 2017

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River At West
* from Wednesday afternoon to Saturday afternoon.
* At  9:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 7.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage tomorrow afternoon
  and will continue to rise to near 16.0 feet Thursday evening. 
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Lowlands and agricultural land near the 
  river begin to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Upper Big Black River 
West           15   7.1 Tue 10 AM  13.4  15.8  15.9  16.0 07 PM 08/10


&&


LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
      3313 8969 3285 8987             



$$
036 
WGUS84 KJAN 090042
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
742 PM CDT Tue Aug 8 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Mississippi...

  Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee 
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC007-051-100642-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0061.170810T2100Z-170813T0224Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.170810T2100Z.170811T1200Z.170812T1424Z.NO/
742 PM CDT Tue Aug 8 2017

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River At West
* from Thursday afternoon to Saturday evening.
* At 6:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 8.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Thursday afternoon
  and will continue to rise to near 16.0 feet by Friday morning. 
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Lowlands and agricultural land near the 
  river begin to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Upper Big Black River 
West           15   8.1 Tue 07 PM   9.5  13.5  16.0  16.0 07 AM 08/11


&&


LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
      3313 8969 3285 8987             



$$
195 
WGUS84 KJAN 091532
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1032 AM CDT Wed Aug 9 2017



...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites.

Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC007-051-102132-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0061.170810T2034Z-170813T1312Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.170810T2034Z.170811T1800Z.170813T0112Z.NO/
1032 AM CDT Wed Aug 9 2017

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River At West
* from Thursday afternoon to Sunday morning.
* At  8:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 8.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage tomorrow afternoon
  and will continue to rise to near 16.0 feet  early Friday 
  afternoon. 
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Lowlands and agricultural land near the 
  river begin to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Upper Big Black River 
West           15   8.9 Wed 09 AM  13.7  15.9  15.7  16.0 01 PM 08/11


&&


LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
      3313 8969 3285 8987             



$$
424 
WGUS84 KJAN 100042
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
742 PM CDT Wed Aug 9 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Mississippi...

  Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee 
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC007-051-110642-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0061.170811T0515Z-170813T1312Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.170811T0515Z.170811T1800Z.170813T0112Z.NO/
742 PM CDT Wed Aug 9 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River At West
* from late Thursday night to Sunday morning.
* At 6:45 PM Wednesday the stage was 9.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage early Friday 
  morning and will continue to rise to near 16.0 feet early Friday 
  afternoon. 
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Lowlands and agricultural land near the 
  river begin to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Upper Big Black River 
West           15   9.5 Wed 07 PM  12.0  15.6  15.7  16.0 01 PM 08/11


&&


LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
      3313 8969 3285 8987             



$$
724 
WGUS84 KJAN 101534
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1034 AM CDT Thu Aug 10 2017




...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites.

Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC007-051-112134-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0061.170811T1330Z-170813T0600Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.170811T1330Z.170812T0000Z.170812T1800Z.NO/
1034 AM CDT Thu Aug 10 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River At West
* from Friday morning to late Saturday night.
* At  9:45 AM Thursday the stage was 11.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage tomorrow morning 
  and will continue to rise to near 15.5 feet  tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Lowlands and agricultural land near the 
  river begin to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Upper Big Black River 
West           15  11.7 Thu 10 AM  14.9  15.3  13.0  15.5 07 PM 08/11


&&


LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
      3313 8969 3285 8987             



$$
672 
WGUS84 KJAN 110103
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
803 PM CDT Thu Aug 10 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Mississippi...

  Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee 
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC007-051-120703-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0061.170811T1600Z-170813T0600Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.170811T1600Z.170812T0000Z.170812T1800Z.NO/
803 PM CDT Thu Aug 10 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River At West
* from Friday morning to late Saturday night.
* At 7:45 PM Thursday the stage was 13.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage late tomorrow 
  morning and will continue to rise to near 15.5 feet tomorrow 
  evening. 
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Lowlands and agricultural land near the 
  river begin to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Upper Big Black River 
West           15  13.3 Thu 08 PM  14.4  15.3  13.0  15.5 07 PM 08/11


&&


LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
      3313 8969 3285 8987             



$$
836 
WGUS84 KJAN 111521
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1021 AM CDT Fri Aug 11 2017




...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. 

Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC007-051-122121-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0061.170811T2000Z-170814T0000Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.170811T2000Z.170812T1200Z.170813T1200Z.NO/
1021 AM CDT Fri Aug 11 2017

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River At West
* from this afternoon to Sunday evening.
* At  9:45 AM Friday the stage was 14.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage late this 
  afternoon and will continue to rise to near 15.5 feet  tomorrow 
  morning. 
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Lowlands and agricultural land near the 
  river begin to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Upper Big Black River 
West           15  14.6 Fri 10 AM  15.5  15.0  12.6  15.5 07 AM 08/12


&&


LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
      3313 8969 3285 8987             



$$
830 
WGUS84 KJAN 120107
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
807 PM CDT Fri Aug 11 2017




...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee 
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC007-051-130707-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-170814T0800Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.170811T1952Z.170812T1800Z.170813T2000Z.NO/
807 PM CDT Fri Aug 11 2017

...Flood Warning extended until late Sunday night...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River At West
* until late Sunday night.
* At  7:45 PM Friday the stage was 15.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 16.0 feet  
  tomorrow evening. The river will fall below flood stage Sunday 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Lowlands and agricultural land near the 
  river begin to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Upper Big Black River 
West           15  15.3 Fri 08 PM  15.8  15.7  13.0  16.0 07 PM 08/12


&&


LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
      3313 8969 3285 8987             



$$
431 
WGUS84 KJAN 121534
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1034 AM CDT Sat Aug 12 2017




...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee 
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.

Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC007-051-132134-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-170816T0051Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.170811T1952Z.170813T1200Z.170815T1251Z.NO/
1034 AM CDT Sat Aug 12 2017

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River At West
* until Tuesday evening.
* At  9:45 AM Saturday the stage was 16.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 16.5 feet  
  tomorrow morning. 
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Several thousand acres of agricultural and 
  lowland become inundated.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Lowlands and agricultural land near the 
  river begin to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Upper Big Black River 
West           15  16.3 Sat 10 AM  16.5  16.2  15.1  16.5 07 AM 08/13


&&


LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
      3313 8969 3285 8987             



$$
717 
WGUS84 KJAN 130119
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
819 PM CDT Sat Aug 12 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites.

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC007-051-140719-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-170816T1630Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.170811T1952Z.170813T1800Z.170816T0430Z.NO/
819 PM CDT Sat Aug 12 2017

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River At West
* until Wednesday morning.
* At  7:45 PM Saturday the stage was 16.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 17.0 feet  
  tomorrow evening. The river will fall below flood stage Tuesday 
  before midnight.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Several thousand acres of agricultural and 
  lowland become inundated.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Lowlands and agricultural land near the 
  river begin to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Upper Big Black River 
West           15  16.8 Sat 08 PM  16.9  16.9  16.0  17.0 07 PM 08/13


&&


LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
      3313 8969 3285 8987             



$$
320 
WGUS84 KJAN 131603
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1103 AM CDT Sun Aug 13 2017




...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee 
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.

Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC007-051-142203-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-170816T1500Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.170811T1952Z.170813T0845Z.170816T0300Z.NO/
1103 AM CDT Sun Aug 13 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River At West
* until Wednesday morning.
* At  9:45 AM Sunday the stage was 16.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will has crested and will continue falling.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Several thousand acres of agricultural and 
  lowland become inundated.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Lowlands and agricultural land near the 
  river begin to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Mon   Tue   Wed Crest Time  Date

Upper Big Black River 
West           15  16.7 Sun 10 AM  16.4  15.7  14.3     crested          


&&


LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
      3313 8969 3285 8987             



$$
777 
WGUS84 KJAN 140235
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
935 PM CDT Sun Aug 13 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee 
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC007-051-150835-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-170816T0224Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.170811T1952Z.170813T0845Z.170815T1424Z.NO/
935 PM CDT Sun Aug 13 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River At West
* until Tuesday evening.
* At  8:45 PM Sunday the stage was 16.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling and will fall below 
  flood stage late Tuesday morning.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Mon   Tue   Wed Crest Time  Date

Upper Big Black River 
West           15  16.3 Sun 09 PM  16.2  15.2  12.7 Falling         


&&


LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
      3313 8969 3285 8987             



$$
966 
WGUS84 KJAN 141541
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1041 AM CDT Mon Aug 14 2017



...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. 

Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC007-051-151300-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-170815T1300Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.170811T1952Z.170813T0845Z.170815T0100Z.NO/
1041 AM CDT Mon Aug 14 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River At West
* until Tuesday morning.
* At  9:45 AM Monday the stage was 15.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river has crested and will continue falling 
  and will fall below flood stage this evening.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Lowlands and agricultural land near the 
  river begin to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Tue   Wed   Thu Crest Time  Date

Upper Big Black River 
West           15  15.6 Mon 10 AM  13.9  11.8   9.4 Crested         


&&


LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
      3313 8969 3285 8987             



$$
412 
WGUS84 KJAN 150143
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
843 PM CDT Mon Aug 14 2017


...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers 
in Mississippi...
 
  Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. 

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC007-051-150213-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-170815T1300Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.170811T1952Z.170813T0845Z.170814T2037Z.NO/
843 PM CDT Mon Aug 14 2017

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Big Black River At West.
* At  7:45 PM Monday the stage was 14.5 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage at  3:37 PM Monday.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 11.8 feet  Wednesday 
  morning.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Tue   Wed   Thu Crest Time  Date

Upper Big Black River 
West           15  14.5 Mon 08 PM  13.6  11.8   9.4     

&&


LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
      3313 8969 3285 8987             



$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Aug 7, 10:42 AM CDT, 10 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 7, 10:42 AM CDT, 10 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1042 AM CDT Mon Aug 7 2017

.UPDATE...
Updated for morning discussion.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Latest observations trends indicate strong low level convergence
focusing 2+ inch PW air along the Hwy 82 corridor preceding a
mesoscale convective vortex approaching from the west. Upper 70
sfc dewpoints over much of the ArkLaMiss combined with insolation
is yielding an unstable airmass to go along with the very moist
air with mixed layer CAPE near 2000 j/kg. Will be considering a
flash flood watch as we go into the afternoon given recent heavy
rain and threat for additional heavy rain.

Recent CAM guidance suggests convective precipitation will begin
filling in south of the current activity with some multicell
activity developing with the potential for strong wind gusts
similar to what was experienced yesterday given favorable low
level shear direction orthogonal to storm segments. Currently
seeing such segments develop west of the area so will consider
adding a mention marginal severe storm threat for this afternoon. /EC/

Prior discussion below:

Today and tonight: Cooler than normal temperatures with above normal
rain chances are anticipated today. Early morning surface analysis
had a ridge nosing west along the Gulf coast states, a stalled front
from western Tennessee then southwest across the Red River Valley
and a weak stalled outflow boundary across southern Arkansas and
north central Mississippi. There was already convection refiring
along our Highway 82 corridor associated with the stalled outflow
boundary. Additional convection was also noted over our southwest
moving into central Mississippi. This convection was being supported
by an anomalously moist airmass. The 00Z Mon JAN sounding had a PWAT
of 2.08in which is the 90th percentile for this time of the year.
Models show this PWAT will increase to near 2.25 inches through
tonight and support a couple of rounds of widespread coverage of
storms. Convection is expected to increase this morning across the
stalled boundary in our north then spread south across the remainder
of our CWA during the heat of the day. Hi-res models suggest a brief
lull in convection this evening with an increase after midnight from
the west as a shortwave over the southern plains shifts east into
our area. There is a spread on where the axis of heaviest rain (1-2
inches) will fall through tonight but, models agree that our
southeast zones will see the lowest amounts; generally less than an
inch. The abundant cloud cover and rain will hold afternoon
temperatures well below normal over most of the area. Conversely,
temperatures will be held near normal again tonight. /22/

Through the remainder of the week and into this weekend:
The week ahead offers one of the wettest forecasts one could
expect to see this time of year without a nearby tropical system.
This is the result of a persistent regime featuring an upper
trough over the Midwest/Northeast channeling periodic mid level
waves across our region along a quasi-stationary surface boundary
near or just north of the region. GFS progged PW values will
generally stay around or above 2 inches throughout the entire
forecast period. While average rainfall totals of 2 to 5 inches
over several days aren't much of a concern on their own, this
tropically moist environment will create the potential for locally
higher amounts over shorter time periods resulting in flash
flooding. We will continue to advertise a limited flood threat in
the HWO and graphics into this week, and we will expand this to
include the entire forecast area, as I see no notable difference
in the potential over the areas where we're not currently
advertising a threat. Based on how things evolve over the next few
days (where the most rain occurs, where heaviest rain is
anticipated as we move into closer time frames), a flash flood
watch may be needed for some portion of the area.

With respect to specifics, Tuesday appears to be a day with somewhat
greater rain potential as a more pronounced upper trough axis moves
across the region, and a surface trough/convergence zone is
stationary over the area. High res guidance suggests scattered rain
and storms will either be ongoing already or develop during the
morning, continuing into the day. This will likely help to hold
daytime temps down, with some areas possibly struggling to get into
the lower 80s. The surface boundary will waver northward through
midweek but remain nearby, with continuing rain chances as weak
disturbances traverse the region. Another slightly more pronounced
upper trough might shove the weak front southward into the area
again around Friday, but there are no signs of it pushing far enough
south to result in an airmass change. In fact at this stage, there
are no real signs of a pattern change through early next week. Keep
that umbrella handy, my friends. /DL/

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF discussion:
A TSRA was observed at GTR at 1030Z. Sct to numerous SHRA/TSRA wl
cont along HWY 82 this morning then spread south through the aftn.
Additional TSRA development is expected from the west tonight.
Otherwise, a mix of MVFR/IFR cigs were being observed at 1030Z and
wl cont through 15Z before improving. VFR conds should prevail
away from TSRA activity by 17Z before lower cigs redevelop this
evening. /22/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       86  72  82  71 /  60  66  75  43
Meridian      86  71  83  71 /  70  60  71  38
Vicksburg     85  71  80  72 /  60  77  79  46
Hattiesburg   88  73  85  72 /  50  50  64  37
Natchez       84  72  81  71 /  60  75  73  48
Greenville    83  71  83  71 /  63  72  66  26
Greenwood     82  71  83  71 /  63  68  70  28

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 7, 4:50 AM CDT, 6 hours 2 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
450 AM CDT Mon Aug 7 2017

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>025-MSZ018-019-025>053-081000-
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland-
Madison LA-Franklin LA-Catahoula-Tensas-Bolivar-Sunflower-Leflore-
Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-Webster-Clay-Lowndes-Choctaw-Oktibbeha-
Washington-Humphreys-Holmes-Attala-Winston-Noxubee-Issaquena-
Sharkey-Yazoo-Madison MS-Leake-Neshoba-Kemper-Warren-Hinds-Rankin-
Scott-Newton-Lauderdale-Claiborne-
450 AM CDT Mon Aug 7 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, central Mississippi, north central
Mississippi, and southwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today through Tonight

Flash flooding is possible as thunderstorms with heavy rainfall
may train over the same area at times.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

Flash flooding will be possible across the outlook area Tuesday
through Thursday. Periods of heavy rain and storms moving over the
same areas may lead to localized flooding. Rainfall amounts from
2-5 inches with locally higher amounts will be possible.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Sunday.

LAZ026-MSZ054>066-072>074-081000-
Concordia-Copiah-Simpson-Smith-Jasper-Clarke-Jefferson-Adams-
Franklin MS-Lincoln-Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Covington-Jones-
Marion-Lamar-Forrest-
450 AM CDT Mon Aug 7 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, east central Mississippi, and
south central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

Flash flooding will be possible across the outlook area Tuesday
through Thursday. Periods of heavy rain and storms moving over the
same areas may lead to localized flooding. Rainfall amounts from
2-5 inches with locally higher amounts will be possible.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Sunday.

21

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*FLOODING*
Extreme...Confident in significant flooding.
Significant...Significant flooding possible.
Elevated...Confident in flooding.
Limited...Flooding possible.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Tropical page...
   www.weather.gov/jan/tropical
National Hurricane Center Home Page...
   www.nhc.noaa.gov/
Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES...

Current Watches and Warnings...
   www.weather.gov/jan/safe_HeavyRain

Observed Precipitation Images...
   www.weather.gov/jan/precipmaps

River Forecast Center...
   www.weather.gov/lmrfc/
Significant River Flood Outlook...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/nationalfloodoutlook/index.html
Day 1 through 3 Excessive Rainfall...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml
Excessive Rainfall Discussion...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpferd.html
Day 1 through 7 QPF...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml
QPF Discussion...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpfpfd.html

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Aug 7, 5:13 AM CDT, 5 hours 39 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
513 AM CDT MON AUG 7 2017

MSZ033-071115-
Oktibbeha MS-
513 AM CDT MON AUG 7 2017

...THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS OKTIBBEHA
COUNTY...

At 512 AM CDT, Meteorologists were tracking thunderstorms producing
locally heavy rainfall across Oktibbeha County.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with these storms, and may lead to
localized flooding.

Locations impacted include...
Starkville, Maben, Craig Springs, Longview and Sturgis.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3331 8876 3331 8909 3356 8909 3356 8875
TIME...MOT...LOC 1012Z 264DEG 7KT 3344 8902

DL
Local storm report, Aug 7, 8:40 AM CDT, 2 hours 12 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
840 AM CDT MON AUG 07 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0714 AM     FLASH FLOOD      6 SW EUPORA             33.48N 89.35W
08/07/2017                   WEBSTER            MS   PUBLIC

            WATER UP TO THE GRILL OF A CAR, AND A WATERMARK OF AT
            LEAST A FOOT AND A HALF UP ON A BRICK HOUSE IN TOMNOLEN.
            PICTURE AND REPORT RELAYED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

&&

19

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 6, 7:24 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANOktibbeha36 min
Aug 7, 4:12 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANChoctaw, Montgomery, Webster3 hr
Aug 7, 4:26 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANOktibbeha49 min
Aug 7, 4:30 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANChoctaw, Oktibbeha27 min
Aug 7, 5:13 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANOktibbeha62 min
Aug 7, 11:40 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANChoctaw, Montgomery, Oktibbeha, Webster3 hr
Aug 7, 12:29 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANLowndes31 min
Aug 7, 1:14 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANClay, Lowndes3 hr
Aug 7, 1:15 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANIssaquena45 min
Aug 7, 1:28 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANHolmes47 min
Aug 7, 2:02 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANRankin43 min
Aug 7, 2:04 PM CDTFlash Flood WatchJANAttala, Bolivar, Carroll, Choctaw, Claiborne, Clay and 25 more17 hr
Aug 7, 2:18 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANRankin42 min
Aug 7, 2:42 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANMadison, Rankin48 min
Aug 7, 2:44 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANNewton46 min
Aug 7, 3:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANRankin, Scott, Smith42 min
Aug 7, 3:16 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANCopiah44 min
Aug 7, 3:36 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANNewton, Scott39 min
Aug 7, 3:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCopiah, Hinds, Rankin, Simpson47 min
Aug 7, 3:56 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANLauderdale, Newton3 hr
Aug 7, 4:54 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANRankin21 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Mississippi, 2017Every river flood warning in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.