Alert archive / Mississippi / Flash Flood Watches in 2017

Flash Flood Watch 4, NWS Jackson, MS

April 29, 201747 counties in Mississippi; 9 parishes in Louisiana; Ashley County, Chicot County, Arkansas

NWS Jackson, MS issued this flash flood watch at Apr 29, 2017, 11:50 AM CDT for 47 counties in Mississippi; 9 parishes in Louisiana; Ashley County, Chicot County, Arkansas. It took effect at Apr 30, 2017, 4:00 AM CDT. It was in force for 11 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Apr 29, 2017, 11:50 AM CDT (16:50 UTC)
In effect from
Apr 30, 2017, 4:00 AM CDT
Expired
Apr 30, 2017, 3:24 PM CDT
In force
11 hr
Issued by
NWS Jackson, MS
Flood severity
None
All 58 counties

Ashley County, AR, Chicot County, AR, Catahoula Parish, LA, Concordia Parish, LA, East Carroll Parish, LA, Franklin Parish, LA, Madison Parish, LA, Morehouse Parish, LA, Richland Parish, LA, Tensas Parish, LA, West Carroll Parish, LA, Adams County, MS, Attala County, MS, Bolivar County, MS, Carroll County, MS, Choctaw County, MS, Claiborne County, MS, Clarke County, MS, Clay County, MS, Copiah County, MS, Covington County, MS, Forrest County, MS, Franklin County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Hinds County, MS, Holmes County, MS, Humphreys County, MS, Issaquena County, MS, Jasper County, MS, Jefferson County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Jones County, MS, Kemper County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Lauderdale County, MS, Lawrence County, MS, Leake County, MS, Leflore County, MS, Lincoln County, MS, Lowndes County, MS, Madison County, MS, Marion County, MS, Montgomery County, MS, Neshoba County, MS, Newton County, MS, Noxubee County, MS, Oktibbeha County, MS, Rankin County, MS, Scott County, MS, Sharkey County, MS, Simpson County, MS, Smith County, MS, Sunflower County, MS, Warren County, MS, Washington County, MS, Webster County, MS, Winston County, MS, Yazoo County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 32 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 12:00Z, 4.8 hours before the alert went out and 24 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2017-04-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1457 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2017-04-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 109 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1457 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-210 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
762 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
14 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
109 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
152 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

184 
WGUS64 KJAN 291650
FFAJAN

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1150 AM CDT Sat Apr 29 2017

...TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS LEADING TO FLASH FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE
LATE TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY...

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>029-032-
034>037-040>043-047>049-053>055-059>063-300100-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FF.A.0004.170430T0900Z-170501T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland-
Madison LA-Franklin LA-Catahoula-Tensas-Concordia-Bolivar-
Sunflower-Leflore-Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-Webster-Choctaw-
Washington-Humphreys-Holmes-Attala-Issaquena-Sharkey-Yazoo-
Madison MS-Warren-Hinds-Rankin-Claiborne-Copiah-Simpson-Jefferson-
Adams-Franklin MS-Lincoln-Lawrence-
Including the cities of Crossett, North Crossett, Hamburg, 
West Crossett, Dermott, Lake Village, Eudora, Bastrop, Oak Grove,
Epps, Lake Providence, Rayville, Delhi, Tallulah, Winnsboro, 
Jonesville, Harrisonburg, Newellton, St. Joseph, Waterproof, 
Vidalia, Ferriday, West Ferriday, Cleveland, Indianola, 
Ruleville, Greenwood, Grenada, Vaiden, North Carrollton, 
Carrollton, Winona, Eupora, Maben, Mathiston, Ackerman, Weir, 
Greenville, Belzoni, Isola, Durant, Tchula, Lexington, Pickens, 
Goodman, Kosciusko, Mayersville, Rolling Fork, Anguilla, 
Yazoo City, Ridgeland, Madison, Canton, Vicksburg, Jackson, 
Pearl, Brandon, Richland, Port Gibson, Crystal Springs, 
Hazlehurst, Wesson, Magee, Mendenhall, Fayette, Natchez, Bude, 
Roxie, Meadville, Brookhaven, Monticello, and New Hebron
1150 AM CDT Sat Apr 29 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a

* Flash Flood Watch for portions of southeast Arkansas, 
  northeast Louisiana and Mississippi, including the following 
  areas in southeast Arkansas, Ashley and Chicot. In northeast 
  Louisiana, Catahoula, Concordia, East Carroll, Franklin LA, 
  Madison LA, Morehouse, Richland, Tensas and West Carroll. In 
  Mississippi, Adams, Attala, Bolivar, Carroll, Choctaw, 
  Claiborne, Copiah, Franklin MS, Grenada, Hinds, Holmes, 
  Humphreys, Issaquena, Jefferson, Lawrence, Leflore, Lincoln, 
  Madison MS, Montgomery, Rankin, Sharkey, Simpson, Sunflower, 
  Warren, Washington, Webster and Yazoo. 

* From late tonight through Sunday evening

* Rainfall amounts ranging from 2 to 4 inches with localized
  amounts up to 6 inches over a short amount of time could lead 
  to flash flooding. 

* The flooding of roads, low lying areas, and areas with poor 
  drainage will be possible. If encountering flooded roadways, 
  remember to turn around, don't drown. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should flash flood warnings be issued.

&&

$$
6 follow-up statements
388 
WGUS64 KJAN 292103
FFAJAN

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Jackson MS
403 PM CDT Sat Apr 29 2017

...TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS LEADING TO FLASH FLOODING ARE EXPECTED LATE
TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...

MSZ030-031-033-038-039-044>046-050>052-056>058-064>066-072>074-
300515-
/O.EXB.KJAN.FF.A.0004.170430T1500Z-170501T0500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Clay-Lowndes-Oktibbeha-Winston-Noxubee-Leake-Neshoba-Kemper-Scott-
Newton-Lauderdale-Smith-Jasper-Clarke-Jefferson Davis-Covington-
Jones-Marion-Lamar-Forrest-
Including the cities of West Point, Columbus, Starkville, 
Louisville, Macon, Brooksville, Carthage, Philadelphia, 
Pearl River, De Kalb, Scooba, Forest, Morton, Newton, Union, 
Decatur, Conehatta, Meridian, Taylorsville, Raleigh, Bay Springs,
Heidelberg, Quitman, Stonewall, Shubuta, Prentiss, Bassfield, 
Collins, Mount Olive, Laurel, Columbia, West Hattiesburg, 
Lumberton, Purvis, and Hattiesburg
403 PM CDT Sat Apr 29 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Jackson has expanded the

* Flash Flood Watch to include portions of central Mississippi, 
  east central Mississippi, northeast Mississippi, south central 
  Mississippi and southeast Mississippi, including the following 
  areas in central Mississippi, Leake, Scott and Smith. In east 
  central Mississippi, Clarke, Jasper, Kemper, Lauderdale, 
  Neshoba, Newton, Noxubee and Winston. In northeast 
  Mississippi, Clay, Lowndes and Oktibbeha. In south central 
  Mississippi, Jefferson Davis and Marion. In southeast 
  Mississippi, Covington, Forrest, Jones and Lamar. 

* From Sunday morning through Sunday evening

* Rainfall amounts ranging from 2 to 3 inches with localized 
  amounts up to 6 inches over a short amount of time could lead 
  to flash flooding. 

* The flooding of roads, low lying areas, and areas with poor 
  drainage will be possible. If encountering flooded roadways, 
  remember to turn around, don't drown. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should flash flood warnings be issued.

&&

$$

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>029-032-
034>037-040>043-047>049-053>055-059>063-300515-
/O.CON.KJAN.FF.A.0004.170430T0900Z-170501T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland-
Madison LA-Franklin LA-Catahoula-Tensas-Concordia-Bolivar-
Sunflower-Leflore-Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-Webster-Choctaw-
Washington-Humphreys-Holmes-Attala-Issaquena-Sharkey-Yazoo-
Madison MS-Warren-Hinds-Rankin-Claiborne-Copiah-Simpson-Jefferson-
Adams-Franklin MS-Lincoln-Lawrence-
Including the cities of Crossett, North Crossett, Hamburg, 
West Crossett, Dermott, Lake Village, Eudora, Bastrop, Oak Grove,
Epps, Lake Providence, Rayville, Delhi, Tallulah, Winnsboro, 
Jonesville, Harrisonburg, Newellton, St. Joseph, Waterproof, 
Vidalia, Ferriday, West Ferriday, Cleveland, Indianola, 
Ruleville, Greenwood, Grenada, Vaiden, North Carrollton, 
Carrollton, Winona, Eupora, Maben, Mathiston, Ackerman, Weir, 
Greenville, Belzoni, Isola, Durant, Tchula, Lexington, Pickens, 
Goodman, Kosciusko, Mayersville, Rolling Fork, Anguilla, 
Yazoo City, Ridgeland, Madison, Canton, Vicksburg, Jackson, 
Pearl, Brandon, Richland, Port Gibson, Crystal Springs, 
Hazlehurst, Wesson, Magee, Mendenhall, Fayette, Natchez, Bude, 
Roxie, Meadville, Brookhaven, Monticello, and New Hebron
403 PM CDT Sat Apr 29 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of southeast Arkansas, northeast Louisiana and 
  Mississippi, including the following areas in southeast 
  Arkansas, Ashley and Chicot. In northeast Louisiana, 
  Catahoula, Concordia, East Carroll, Franklin LA, Madison LA, 
  Morehouse, Richland, Tensas and West Carroll. In Mississippi, 
  Adams, Attala, Bolivar, Carroll, Choctaw, Claiborne, Copiah, 
  Franklin MS, Grenada, Hinds, Holmes, Humphreys, Issaquena, 
  Jefferson, Lawrence, Leflore, Lincoln, Madison MS, Montgomery, 
  Rankin, Sharkey, Simpson, Sunflower, Warren, Washington, 
  Webster and Yazoo. 

* From late tonight through Sunday evening

* Rainfall amounts ranging from 2 to 4 inches with localized 
  amounts up to 6 inches over a short amount of time could lead 
  to flash flooding. 

* The flooding of roads, low lying areas, and areas with poor 
  drainage will be possible. If encountering flooded roadways, 
  remember to turn around, don't drown. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should flash flood warnings be issued.

&&

$$
859 
WGUS64 KJAN 300301
FFAJAN

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1001 PM CDT Sat Apr 29 2017

...TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS LEADING TO FLASH FLOODING ARE EXPECTED
LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>029-032-
034>037-040>043-047>049-053>055-059>063-301115-
/O.CON.KJAN.FF.A.0004.170430T0900Z-170501T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland-
Madison LA-Franklin LA-Catahoula-Tensas-Concordia-Bolivar-
Sunflower-Leflore-Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-Webster-Choctaw-
Washington-Humphreys-Holmes-Attala-Issaquena-Sharkey-Yazoo-
Madison MS-Warren-Hinds-Rankin-Claiborne-Copiah-Simpson-Jefferson-
Adams-Franklin MS-Lincoln-Lawrence-
Including the cities of Crossett, North Crossett, Hamburg, 
West Crossett, Dermott, Lake Village, Eudora, Bastrop, Oak Grove,
Epps, Lake Providence, Rayville, Delhi, Tallulah, Winnsboro, 
Jonesville, Harrisonburg, Newellton, St. Joseph, Waterproof, 
Vidalia, Ferriday, West Ferriday, Cleveland, Indianola, 
Ruleville, Greenwood, Grenada, Vaiden, North Carrollton, 
Carrollton, Winona, Eupora, Maben, Mathiston, Ackerman, Weir, 
Greenville, Belzoni, Isola, Durant, Tchula, Lexington, Pickens, 
Goodman, Kosciusko, Mayersville, Rolling Fork, Anguilla, 
Yazoo City, Ridgeland, Madison, Canton, Vicksburg, Jackson, 
Pearl, Brandon, Richland, Port Gibson, Crystal Springs, 
Hazlehurst, Wesson, Magee, Mendenhall, Fayette, Natchez, Bude, 
Roxie, Meadville, Brookhaven, Monticello, and New Hebron
1001 PM CDT Sat Apr 29 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM CDT SUNDAY
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of southeast Arkansas, northeast Louisiana and 
  Mississippi, including the following areas in southeast 
  Arkansas, Ashley and Chicot. In northeast Louisiana, 
  Catahoula, Concordia, East Carroll, Franklin LA, Madison LA, 
  Morehouse, Richland, Tensas and West Carroll. In Mississippi, 
  Adams, Attala, Bolivar, Carroll, Choctaw, Claiborne, Copiah, 
  Franklin MS, Grenada, Hinds, Holmes, Humphreys, Issaquena, 
  Jefferson, Lawrence, Leflore, Lincoln, Madison MS, Montgomery, 
  Rankin, Sharkey, Simpson, Sunflower, Warren, Washington, 
  Webster and Yazoo. 

* From 4 AM CDT Sunday through Sunday evening

* Rainfall amounts ranging from 2 to 4 inches with localized 
  amounts up to 6 inches over a short amount of time could lead 
  to flash flooding. 

* The flooding of roads, low lying areas, and areas with poor 
  drainage will be possible. If encountering flooded roadways, 
  remember to turn around, don't drown. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should flash flood warnings be issued.

&&

$$

MSZ030-031-033-038-039-044>046-050>052-056>058-064>066-072>074-
301115-
/O.CON.KJAN.FF.A.0004.170430T1500Z-170501T0500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Clay-Lowndes-Oktibbeha-Winston-Noxubee-Leake-Neshoba-Kemper-Scott-
Newton-Lauderdale-Smith-Jasper-Clarke-Jefferson Davis-Covington-
Jones-Marion-Lamar-Forrest-
Including the cities of West Point, Columbus, Starkville, 
Louisville, Macon, Brooksville, Carthage, Philadelphia, 
Pearl River, De Kalb, Scooba, Forest, Morton, Newton, Union, 
Decatur, Conehatta, Meridian, Taylorsville, Raleigh, Bay Springs,
Heidelberg, Quitman, Stonewall, Shubuta, Prentiss, Bassfield, 
Collins, Mount Olive, Laurel, Columbia, West Hattiesburg, 
Lumberton, Purvis, and Hattiesburg
1001 PM CDT Sat Apr 29 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of central Mississippi, east central Mississippi, 
  northeast Mississippi, south central Mississippi and southeast 
  Mississippi, including the following areas in central 
  Mississippi, Leake, Scott and Smith. In east central 
  Mississippi, Clarke, Jasper, Kemper, Lauderdale, Neshoba, 
  Newton, Noxubee and Winston. In northeast Mississippi, Clay, 
  Lowndes and Oktibbeha. In south central Mississippi, Jefferson 
  Davis and Marion. In southeast Mississippi, Covington, 
  Forrest, Jones and Lamar. 

* From Sunday morning through Sunday evening

* Rainfall amounts ranging from 2 to 3 inches with localized 
  amounts up to 6 inches over a short amount of time could lead 
  to flash flooding. 

* The flooding of roads, low lying areas, and areas with poor 
  drainage will be possible. If encountering flooded roadways, 
  remember to turn around, don't drown. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should flash flood warnings be issued.

&&

$$
333 
WGUS64 KJAN 301218
FFAJAN

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Jackson MS
718 AM CDT Sun Apr 30 2017

...TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS LEADING TO FLASH FLOODING ARE EXPECTED
LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>029-032-
034>037-040>043-047>049-053>055-059>063-302030-
/O.CON.KJAN.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-170501T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland-
Madison LA-Franklin LA-Catahoula-Tensas-Concordia-Bolivar-
Sunflower-Leflore-Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-Webster-Choctaw-
Washington-Humphreys-Holmes-Attala-Issaquena-Sharkey-Yazoo-
Madison MS-Warren-Hinds-Rankin-Claiborne-Copiah-Simpson-Jefferson-
Adams-Franklin MS-Lincoln-Lawrence-
Including the cities of Crossett, North Crossett, Hamburg, 
West Crossett, Dermott, Lake Village, Eudora, Bastrop, Oak Grove,
Epps, Lake Providence, Rayville, Delhi, Tallulah, Winnsboro, 
Jonesville, Harrisonburg, Newellton, St. Joseph, Waterproof, 
Vidalia, Ferriday, West Ferriday, Cleveland, Indianola, 
Ruleville, Greenwood, Grenada, Vaiden, North Carrollton, 
Carrollton, Winona, Eupora, Maben, Mathiston, Ackerman, Weir, 
Greenville, Belzoni, Isola, Durant, Tchula, Lexington, Pickens, 
Goodman, Kosciusko, Mayersville, Rolling Fork, Anguilla, 
Yazoo City, Ridgeland, Madison, Canton, Vicksburg, Jackson, 
Pearl, Brandon, Richland, Port Gibson, Crystal Springs, 
Hazlehurst, Wesson, Magee, Mendenhall, Fayette, Natchez, Bude, 
Roxie, Meadville, Brookhaven, Monticello, and New Hebron
718 AM CDT Sun Apr 30 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of southeast Arkansas, northeast Louisiana and 
  Mississippi, including the following areas in southeast 
  Arkansas, Ashley and Chicot. In northeast Louisiana, 
  Catahoula, Concordia, East Carroll, Franklin LA, Madison LA, 
  Morehouse, Richland, Tensas and West Carroll. In Mississippi, 
  Adams, Attala, Bolivar, Carroll, Choctaw, Claiborne, Copiah, 
  Franklin MS, Grenada, Hinds, Holmes, Humphreys, Issaquena, 
  Jefferson, Lawrence, Leflore, Lincoln, Madison MS, Montgomery, 
  Rankin, Sharkey, Simpson, Sunflower, Warren, Washington, 
  Webster and Yazoo. 

* Until 7 PM CDT this evening

* Rainfall amounts ranging from 2 to 4 inches with localized 
  amounts up to 6 inches over a short amount of time could lead 
  to flash flooding. 

* The flooding of roads, low lying areas, and areas with poor 
  drainage will be possible. If encountering flooded roadways, 
  remember to turn around, don't drown. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should flash flood warnings be issued.

&&

$$

MSZ030-031-033-038-039-044>046-050>052-056>058-064>066-072>074-
302030-
/O.CON.KJAN.FF.A.0004.170430T1500Z-170501T0500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Clay-Lowndes-Oktibbeha-Winston-Noxubee-Leake-Neshoba-Kemper-Scott-
Newton-Lauderdale-Smith-Jasper-Clarke-Jefferson Davis-Covington-
Jones-Marion-Lamar-Forrest-
Including the cities of West Point, Columbus, Starkville, 
Louisville, Macon, Brooksville, Carthage, Philadelphia, 
Pearl River, De Kalb, Scooba, Forest, Morton, Newton, Union, 
Decatur, Conehatta, Meridian, Taylorsville, Raleigh, Bay Springs,
Heidelberg, Quitman, Stonewall, Shubuta, Prentiss, Bassfield, 
Collins, Mount Olive, Laurel, Columbia, West Hattiesburg, 
Lumberton, Purvis, and Hattiesburg
718 AM CDT Sun Apr 30 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of central Mississippi, east central Mississippi, 
  northeast Mississippi, south central Mississippi and southeast 
  Mississippi, including the following areas in central 
  Mississippi, Leake, Scott and Smith. In east central 
  Mississippi, Clarke, Jasper, Kemper, Lauderdale, Neshoba, 
  Newton, Noxubee and Winston. In northeast Mississippi, Clay, 
  Lowndes and Oktibbeha. In south central Mississippi, Jefferson 
  Davis and Marion. In southeast Mississippi, Covington, 
  Forrest, Jones and Lamar. 

* Until Midnight CDT tonight

* Rainfall amounts ranging from 2 to 3 inches with localized 
  amounts up to 6 inches over a short amount of time could lead 
  to flash flooding. 

* The flooding of roads, low lying areas, and areas with poor 
  drainage will be possible. If encountering flooded roadways, 
  remember to turn around, don't drown. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should flash flood warnings be issued.

&&

$$

NF
363 
WGUS64 KJAN 301701 AAA
FFAJAN

Flood Watch...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1201 PM CDT Sun Apr 30 2017

...TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS LEADING TO FLASH FLOODING ARE EXPECTED
NEXT SEVERAL HOURS ACROSS EAST AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-034-040-041-047-
053-059>061-301815-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-170501T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland-
Madison LA-Franklin LA-Catahoula-Tensas-Concordia-Bolivar-
Sunflower-Washington-Issaquena-Sharkey-Warren-Claiborne-Jefferson-
Adams-Franklin MS-
Including the cities of Crossett, North Crossett, Hamburg, 
West Crossett, Dermott, Lake Village, Eudora, Bastrop, Oak Grove,
Epps, Lake Providence, Rayville, Delhi, Tallulah, Winnsboro, 
Jonesville, Harrisonburg, Newellton, St. Joseph, Waterproof, 
Vidalia, Ferriday, West Ferriday, Cleveland, Indianola, 
Ruleville, Greenville, Mayersville, Rolling Fork, Anguilla, 
Vicksburg, Port Gibson, Fayette, Natchez, Bude, Roxie, 
and Meadville
1201 PM CDT Sun Apr 30 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flash Flood Watch for portions of southeast Arkansas,
northeast Louisiana and Mississippi has been cancelled. Runoff
will continue from earlier heavy rainfall but the rain will
continue to taper off from the west and no additional flood threat
is expected. 

$$

MSZ030-031-033-038-039-044>046-050>052-056>058-064>066-072>074-
010115-
/O.CON.KJAN.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-170501T0500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Clay-Lowndes-Oktibbeha-Winston-Noxubee-Leake-Neshoba-Kemper-Scott-
Newton-Lauderdale-Smith-Jasper-Clarke-Jefferson Davis-Covington-
Jones-Marion-Lamar-Forrest-
Including the cities of West Point, Columbus, Starkville, 
Louisville, Macon, Brooksville, Carthage, Philadelphia, 
Pearl River, De Kalb, Scooba, Forest, Morton, Newton, Union, 
Decatur, Conehatta, Meridian, Taylorsville, Raleigh, Bay Springs,
Heidelberg, Quitman, Stonewall, Shubuta, Prentiss, Bassfield, 
Collins, Mount Olive, Laurel, Columbia, West Hattiesburg, 
Lumberton, Purvis, and Hattiesburg
1201 PM CDT Sun Apr 30 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of central Mississippi, east central Mississippi, 
  northeast Mississippi, south central Mississippi and southeast 
  Mississippi, including the following areas in central 
  Mississippi, Leake, Scott and Smith. In east central 
  Mississippi, Clarke, Jasper, Kemper, Lauderdale, Neshoba, 
  Newton, Noxubee and Winston. In northeast Mississippi, Clay, 
  Lowndes and Oktibbeha. In south central Mississippi, Jefferson 
  Davis and Marion. In southeast Mississippi, Covington, 
  Forrest, Jones and Lamar. 

* Through this evening

* Additional rainfall amounts ranging from 1 to 3 inches with
  locally higher amounts over a short amount of time could lead 
  to flash flooding. 

* The flooding of roads, low lying areas, and areas with poor 
  drainage will be possible. If encountering flooded roadways, 
  remember to turn around, don't drown. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should flash flood warnings be issued.

&&

$$

MSZ025>029-032-035>037-042-043-048-049-054-055-062-063-010000-
/O.CON.KJAN.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-170501T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Leflore-Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-Webster-Choctaw-Humphreys-
Holmes-Attala-Yazoo-Madison MS-Hinds-Rankin-Copiah-Simpson-
Lincoln-Lawrence-
Including the cities of Greenwood, Grenada, Vaiden, 
North Carrollton, Carrollton, Winona, Eupora, Maben, Mathiston, 
Ackerman, Weir, Belzoni, Isola, Durant, Tchula, Lexington, 
Pickens, Goodman, Kosciusko, Yazoo City, Ridgeland, Madison, 
Canton, Jackson, Pearl, Brandon, Richland, Crystal Springs, 
Hazlehurst, Wesson, Magee, Mendenhall, Brookhaven, Monticello, 
and New Hebron
1201 PM CDT Sun Apr 30 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of central Mississippi, north central Mississippi and 
  south central Mississippi, including the following areas in 
  central Mississippi, Attala, Choctaw, Copiah, Hinds, Holmes, 
  Humphreys, Madison MS, Rankin, Simpson and Yazoo. In north 
  central Mississippi, Carroll, Grenada, Leflore, Montgomery and 
  Webster. In south central Mississippi, Lawrence and Lincoln. 

* Until 7 PM CDT this evening

* Additional rainfall amounts ranging from 1 to 3 inches with
  locally higher amounts over a short amount of time could lead 
  to flash flooding. 

* The flooding of roads, low lying areas, and areas with poor 
  drainage will be possible. If encountering flooded roadways, 
  remember to turn around, don't drown. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should flash flood warnings be issued.

&&

$$
22
787 
WGUS64 KJAN 301821
FFAJAN

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Jackson MS
121 PM CDT Sun Apr 30 2017

...HEAVY RAIN LEADING TO FLASH FLOODING ARE EXPECTED OVER THE
NEXT FEW HOURS ACROSS EAST AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...

MSZ025>028-035-036-042-043-048-054-062-301930-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-170501T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Leflore-Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-Humphreys-Holmes-Yazoo-
Madison MS-Hinds-Copiah-Lincoln-
Including the cities of Greenwood, Grenada, Vaiden, 
North Carrollton, Carrollton, Winona, Belzoni, Isola, Durant, 
Tchula, Lexington, Pickens, Goodman, Yazoo City, Ridgeland, 
Madison, Canton, Jackson, Crystal Springs, Hazlehurst, Wesson, 
and Brookhaven
121 PM CDT Sun Apr 30 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flash Flood Watch for portions of central Mississippi, north
central Mississippi and south central Mississippi has been
cancelled. They heavy rainfall has move east of these areas.

$$

MSZ030-031-033-038-039-044>046-050>052-056>058-064>066-072>074-
010230-
/O.CON.KJAN.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-170501T0500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Clay-Lowndes-Oktibbeha-Winston-Noxubee-Leake-Neshoba-Kemper-Scott-
Newton-Lauderdale-Smith-Jasper-Clarke-Jefferson Davis-Covington-
Jones-Marion-Lamar-Forrest-
Including the cities of West Point, Columbus, Starkville, 
Louisville, Macon, Brooksville, Carthage, Philadelphia, 
Pearl River, De Kalb, Scooba, Forest, Morton, Newton, Union, 
Decatur, Conehatta, Meridian, Taylorsville, Raleigh, Bay Springs,
Heidelberg, Quitman, Stonewall, Shubuta, Prentiss, Bassfield, 
Collins, Mount Olive, Laurel, Columbia, West Hattiesburg, 
Lumberton, Purvis, and Hattiesburg
121 PM CDT Sun Apr 30 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT
TONIGHT...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of central Mississippi, east central Mississippi, 
  northeast Mississippi, south central Mississippi and southeast 
  Mississippi, including the following areas in central 
  Mississippi, Leake, Scott and Smith. In east central 
  Mississippi, Clarke, Jasper, Kemper, Lauderdale, Neshoba, 
  Newton, Noxubee and Winston. In northeast Mississippi, Clay, 
  Lowndes and Oktibbeha. In south central Mississippi, Jefferson 
  Davis and Marion. In southeast Mississippi, Covington, 
  Forrest, Jones and Lamar. 

* Until midnight CDT tonight

* Additional rainfall amounts ranging from 1 to 3 inches with 
  locally higher amounts over a short amount of time could lead 
  to flash flooding. 

* The flooding of roads, low lying areas, and areas with poor 
  drainage will be possible. If encountering flooded roadways, 
  remember to turn around, don't drown. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should flash flood warnings be issued.

&&

$$

MSZ029-032-037-049-055-063-010000-
/O.CON.KJAN.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-170501T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Webster-Choctaw-Attala-Rankin-Simpson-Lawrence-
Including the cities of Eupora, Maben, Mathiston, Ackerman, Weir,
Kosciusko, Pearl, Brandon, Richland, Magee, Mendenhall, 
Monticello, and New Hebron
121 PM CDT Sun Apr 30 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of central Mississippi, north central Mississippi and 
  south central Mississippi, including the following areas in 
  central Mississippi, Attala, Choctaw, Rankin and Simpson. In 
  north central Mississippi, Webster. In south central 
  Mississippi, Lawrence. 

* Until 7 PM CDT this evening

* Additional rainfall amounts ranging from 1 to 3 inches with 
  locally higher amounts over a short amount of time could lead 
  to flash flooding. 

* The flooding of roads, low lying areas, and areas with poor 
  drainage will be possible. If encountering flooded roadways, 
  remember to turn around, don't drown. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should flash flood warnings be issued.

&&

$$
185 
WGUS64 KJAN 302024
FFAJAN

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Jackson MS
324 PM CDT Sun Apr 30 2017


MSZ030-031-033-038-039-044>046-050>052-056>058-064>066-072>074-
302130-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-170501T0500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Clay-Lowndes-Oktibbeha-Winston-Noxubee-Leake-Neshoba-Kemper-Scott-
Newton-Lauderdale-Smith-Jasper-Clarke-Jefferson Davis-Covington-
Jones-Marion-Lamar-Forrest-
Including the cities of West Point, Columbus, Starkville, 
Louisville, Macon, Brooksville, Carthage, Philadelphia, 
Pearl River, De Kalb, Scooba, Forest, Morton, Newton, Union, 
Decatur, Conehatta, Meridian, Taylorsville, Raleigh, Bay Springs,
Heidelberg, Quitman, Stonewall, Shubuta, Prentiss, Bassfield, 
Collins, Mount Olive, Laurel, Columbia, West Hattiesburg, 
Lumberton, Purvis, and Hattiesburg
324 PM CDT Sun Apr 30 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flash Flood Watch for portions of central Mississippi, east
central Mississippi, northeast Mississippi, south central
Mississippi and southeast Mississippi has been cancelled. The 
heaviest of the precipitation has move to the east of the area.

$$

MSZ029-032-037-049-055-063-302130-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-170501T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Webster-Choctaw-Attala-Rankin-Simpson-Lawrence-
Including the cities of Eupora, Maben, Mathiston, Ackerman, Weir,
Kosciusko, Pearl, Brandon, Richland, Magee, Mendenhall, 
Monticello, and New Hebron
324 PM CDT Sun Apr 30 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flash Flood Watch for portions of central Mississippi, north
central Mississippi and south central Mississippi has been
cancelled. The heaviest of the precipitation has move to the east
of the area.


$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at Apr 29, 10:27 AM CDT, 1 hour 23 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 29, 10:27 AM CDT, 1 hour 23 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1027 AM CDT Sat Apr 29 2017

...SEVERE WEATHER AND FLOODING POSSIBLE THIS WEEKEND...

.UPDATE...
Updated for morning discussion.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

At 10AM, temperatures have already eclipsed the 80 degree mark
throughout the ArkLaMiss coupled with strong southerly winds.
Sustained windspeeds of 20 mph with gusts near 30 have already
been observed at several sites around the region. These winds
will continue to increase over the next few hours. Changes were
made to the forecast to increase thunderstorm chances this
afternoon and evening due to convection, associated with a
shortwave, already firing along the Texas-Louisiana border. Well
initialized short term models such as the HRRR, portray this blob
of convective storms racing towards the region today before
entering NE Louisiana this afternoon, eventually crossing the MS
River late this afternoon and evening. An unstable atmosphere
will be in place by this afternoon with SBCAPE readings exceeding
2000 j/kg and 0-6km lapse rates greater than 6.5 C/km. This
unstable atmosphere coupled with deep layer sheer values
approaching 30kts could result in some severe thunderstorms. The
best chances for storms today will be in the western portions of
the area but can't count out a storm reaching as far east as the
Jackson Metro during the early evening. /jpm3/

Prior discussion below:

Today through tonight,

The main concerns for today will be the potential for strong and
gusty winds across the entire forecast area, and perhaps a few
severe storms over western portions of the area this afternoon.
An upper-level closed low spinning over the Four Corners region
this morning will swing into the Southern Plains by tonight. A
surface low will move from central Texas toward the KS/MO border
during this time as well, advancing a north-south oriented cold
front through central Louisiana by late tonight. In response to
the advancing low pressure system, the pressure gradient and low-
level height gradients will tighten across the region. We expect
this to result in strong winds across the ArkLaMiss by mid-morning
and lasting through the afternoon. Sustained southerly winds
around 25 to 30 mph during peak afternoon heating will be
accompanied by gusts of 35 to 40 mph. A few stronger gusts can't
be ruled out especially through the Delta where the gradient
should be strongest. Although upper- level forcing will be fairly
meager during the afternoon and most of the area should remain
capped, a few showers and thunderstorms may develop across mainly
western portions of the area today. A compact shortwave
disturbance was noted on water vapor satellite imagery off the
TX/LA coastline this morning. Various model guidance responds to
this disturbance by generating a cluster of thunderstorms by late
afternoon. High amounts of instability coupled with around 20 to
30 kts of deep layer shear suggest that any storms that do develop
could be strong to severe. The primary hazards would be hail and
damaging wind gusts. Convection could also help to mix down some
of the stronger winds from a few thousand feet off the surface.

Then attention turns toward the approaching cold front and the
thunderstorms which are expected to accompany it into our region
late tonight. Most of the heavy rain and severe weather potential
with these storms will be during the day on Sunday, but the line is
currently expected to move into northeast Louisiana and far
southeast Arkansas just before sunrise tomorrow. See below for more
details on this round of thunderstorms. /NF/

Sunday through next Friday night,

Severe weather/heavy rainfall are still anticipated Sunday into
Sunday evening, and potentially again during the middle of next
week.

For Sunday, NWP guidance continues to portray a consistent
scenario with an intense linear convective system expected to
move into Southeast Arkansas and Northeast Louisiana by daybreak,
and then east of the MS River by mid morning. However, uncertainty
exists regarding convective evolution along and east of the I-55
corridor as we go into the afternoon.

Expect the potential for severe weather (including damaging wind
gusts, hail, and perhaps a few tornadoes) with the first round of
convection in the morning given ML CAPE ~ 1000 j/kg and strong
low level shear, and the potential for flash flooding due to
rainfall rainfall rates > 2 inches per hour in what will be a
maxed out airmass in terms of climatological moisture values
(Precipitable water ~ 2.2 inches, H850 Td ~ 16C). From there, CAM
guidance suggests the initial storms will diminish as the QLCS
moves east of the I-55 corridor and into a less favorable
environment, but continued impressive moisture transport
associated with a 50+ kt low level jet and ~350K low level theta-e
ridge should combine with upstream instability/convergence to
support renewed convection ahead of the surface cold front later
in the afternoon. So expect a new convective system to potentially
form farther west as the initial system dissipates during the
afternoon. This newer system would have a similar environment to
work with, one that is supportive of severe weather and heavy
rainfall, as it moves through Central and into eastern MS.

In the graphics/HWO, we are adding some timing detail and
generally conveying the same impacts as previously depicted, but
we're not quite ready to issue a flash flood watch until some
inconsistencies associated with coordination can be ironed out.
Would also like to see a clearer depiction of the convective
evolution Sunday afternoon - the current signals do not inspire a
lot confidence in where locally heavier rainfall may occur.

After storms move east of the area Sunday night, expect a couple
of days of dry weather. But the flow will back quickly ahead of an
amplifying trough Wednesday resulting the rapid return of very
moist and unstable air. Various ensemble/deterministic global
models offer a range of QPF scenarios, and they all point to the
potential for heavy rainfall and severe weather, especially for
locations along/south of the I-20 corridor. With this event
several days away, will continue to focus on the near term threats
before advertising this system in the HWO/graphics. It looks for
now like the potential will end as we go beyond Thursday. /EC/

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF discussion:
Scattered to broken stratus around 1500 to 2500 feet early this
morning will begin to scatter out and lift by mid-morning. As the
sun rises today, southerly winds will increase to around 20 to 25
kts, with gusts to around 30 kts at all TAF sites. A few gusts up
to around 35 to 40 kts will also be possible during the day
especially at KGLH and KGWO. Winds will stay breezy after 00Z
Sunday with some gusts possible throughout the night. The chance
for thunderstorms will increase late in the period, but do not
have high confidence in impacts to TAF sites before 12Z Sunday.
/NF/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       89  73  78  54 /  19  19  99  45
Meridian      89  72  81  56 /  11  13  78  87
Vicksburg     89  72  74  54 /  32  46 100  15
Hattiesburg   87  72  81  57 /  21  12  81  80
Natchez       88  72  74  54 /  36  44 100  17
Greenville    89  72  73  53 /  39  72 100  12
Greenwood     89  72  76  53 /  24  31 100  25

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...Wind Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for MSZ018-019-025>066-
     072>074.

LA...Wind Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for LAZ007>009-015-016-
     023>026.

AR...Wind Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for ARZ074-075.

&&

JPM3
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 29, 6:36 AM CDT, 5 hours 14 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
636 AM CDT Sat Apr 29 2017

ARZ074-075-LAZ007-008-015-023-024-MSZ018-301145-
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-Richland-Franklin LA-
Catahoula-Bolivar-
636 AM CDT Sat Apr 29 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, and northwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...This Afternoon through Tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Through this evening

Strong to severe thunderstorms capable of producing hail and
damaging winds will be possible this afternoon and evening.

Strong and gusty winds will develop across the area today, with
the strongest winds expected through northeast Louisiana, far
southeast Arkansas, and the Delta region of Mississippi where
gusts from 40 to 45 mph will be possible. A wind advisory is in
effect for the entire area.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)
(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

A line of thunderstorms bringing torrential rainfall and severe
weather is expected to move through the region on Sunday. Areas
of flooding are likely due to the potential for rainfall of 2 to 3
inches over a relatively short period of time. Some areas could
see as much as 4 to 6 inches of rain. Hail, damaging wind gusts,
and a few tornadoes will also be possible with the thunderstorms.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image3.png)
(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image4.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today
through Sunday.

LAZ009-016-025-026-MSZ019-025-034-035-040-041-047-060-301145-
East Carroll-Madison LA-Tensas-Concordia-Sunflower-Leflore-
Washington-Humphreys-Issaquena-Sharkey-Warren-Adams-
636 AM CDT Sat Apr 29 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, north central Mississippi,
northwest Mississippi, southwest Mississippi, and west central
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...This Afternoon through Tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Through this evening

Strong to severe thunderstorms capable of producing hail and
damaging winds will be possible this afternoon and evening.

Strong and gusty winds will develop across the area today, with
the strongest winds expected through northeast Louisiana, far
southeast Arkansas, and the Delta region of Mississippi where
gusts from 40 to 45 mph will be possible. A wind advisory is in
effect for the entire area.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)
(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

A line of thunderstorms bringing torrential rainfall and severe
weather is expected to move through the region on Sunday. Areas
of flooding are likely due to the potential for rainfall of 2 to 3
inches over a relatively short period of time. Some areas could
see as much as 4 to 6 inches of rain. Hail, damaging wind gusts,
and a few tornadoes will also be possible with the thunderstorms.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image3.png)
(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image4.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today
through Sunday.

MSZ026>033-036>039-042>046-048>059-061>066-072>074-301145-
Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-Webster-Clay-Lowndes-Choctaw-Oktibbeha-
Holmes-Attala-Winston-Noxubee-Yazoo-Madison MS-Leake-Neshoba-
Kemper-Hinds-Rankin-Scott-Newton-Lauderdale-Claiborne-Copiah-
Simpson-Smith-Jasper-Clarke-Jefferson-Franklin MS-Lincoln-
Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Covington-Jones-Marion-Lamar-Forrest-
636 AM CDT Sat Apr 29 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, east central Mississippi, north central Mississippi,
northeast Mississippi, and south central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Today

Strong and gusty winds will develop across the area today, with
wind gusts of 35 to 45 mph possible. A wind advisory is in effect
for the entire area.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

A line of thunderstorms bringing torrential rainfall and severe
weather is expected to move through the region on Sunday. Areas
of flooding are likely due to the potential for rainfall of 2 to 3
inches over a relatively short period of time. Some areas could
see as much as 4 to 6 inches of rain. Hail, damaging wind gusts,
and a few tornadoes will also be possible with the thunderstorms.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image3.png)
(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image4.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region Sunday
through Sunday night.

NF

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
High...Significant severe thunderstorms are expected.
Moderate...Severe storms expected with significant
 severe weather possible.
Enhanced...Severe storms expected.
Slight...Severe storms possible.
Marginal...Isolated severe storms possible.

*NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS*
Extreme...Sustained winds 50 mph or greater or wind gusts 65 mph
 or greater.
Significant...Sustained winds 40-49 mph or wind gusts 58-64 mph.
Elevated...Sustained winds 30-39 mph or wind gusts 45-57 mph.
Limited...Sustained winds 20-29 mph or wind gusts 30 to 44 mph.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

Storm Prediction Center (SPC)...
   www.spc.noaa.gov/
Meso Analysis...
   www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/Day 1 through 3 Outlooks...
   www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/
Storm Reports...
   www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 29, 10:15 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANAttala, Holmes36 hr
Apr 29, 10:15 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANMadison, Yazoo36 hr
Apr 29, 10:15 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANHinds, Warren36 hr
Apr 29, 10:21 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANNeshoba5 days
Apr 29, 10:21 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANLeake36 hr
Apr 29, 6:17 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANBolivar43 min
Apr 29, 4:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANMorehouse85 min
Apr 29, 4:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANWest Carroll86 min
Apr 29, 5:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANMorehouse29 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Watches in Mississippi, 2017Flash Flood Watches in Louisiana, 2017Flash Flood Watches in Arkansas, 2017Every flash flood watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.