Alert archive / Mississippi / Flash Flood Watches in 2017

Flash Flood Watch 14, NWS Jackson, MS

August 10, 201733 counties in Mississippi; 7 parishes in Louisiana; Ashley County, Chicot County, Arkansas

NWS Jackson, MS issued this flash flood watch at Aug 10, 2017, 2:42 AM CDT for 33 counties in Mississippi; 7 parishes in Louisiana; Ashley County, Chicot County, Arkansas. It took effect at Aug 10, 2017, 4:00 AM CDT. It was in force for 15 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Aug 10, 2017, 2:42 AM CDT (07:42 UTC)
In effect from
Aug 10, 2017, 4:00 AM CDT
Expired
Aug 10, 2017, 7:00 PM CDT
In force
15 hr
Issued by
NWS Jackson, MS
Flood severity
None
All 42 counties

Ashley County, AR, Chicot County, AR, East Carroll Parish, LA, Franklin Parish, LA, Madison Parish, LA, Morehouse Parish, LA, Richland Parish, LA, Tensas Parish, LA, West Carroll Parish, LA, Attala County, MS, Carroll County, MS, Claiborne County, MS, Clarke County, MS, Copiah County, MS, Covington County, MS, Forrest County, MS, Hinds County, MS, Holmes County, MS, Humphreys County, MS, Issaquena County, MS, Jasper County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Jones County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Lauderdale County, MS, Lawrence County, MS, Leake County, MS, Leflore County, MS, Lincoln County, MS, Madison County, MS, Marion County, MS, Neshoba County, MS, Newton County, MS, Rankin County, MS, Scott County, MS, Sharkey County, MS, Simpson County, MS, Smith County, MS, Sunflower County, MS, Warren County, MS, Washington County, MS, Yazoo County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 30 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:43 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 00:00Z, 7.7 hours before the alert went out and 20 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 00:00Z on 2017-08-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 118 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 00:00Z on 2017-08-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 34 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
118 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-172 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1071 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
17 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
34 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-14 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at Aug 10, 12:54 AM CDT, 1 hour 48 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 10, 12:54 AM CDT, 1 hour 48 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 9, 2:57 PM CDT, 11 hours 45 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
257 PM CDT Wed Aug 9 2017

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ034-035-040>042-047-048-
053>056-059>066-072>074-102000-
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland-
Madison LA-Franklin LA-Catahoula-Tensas-Concordia-Washington-
Humphreys-Issaquena-Sharkey-Yazoo-Warren-Hinds-Claiborne-Copiah-
Simpson-Smith-Jefferson-Adams-Franklin MS-Lincoln-Lawrence-
Jefferson Davis-Covington-Jones-Marion-Lamar-Forrest-
257 PM CDT Wed Aug 9 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, central Mississippi, northwest
Mississippi, south central Mississippi, and west central
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Thursday

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Mainly Thursday

Flash Flooding is expected over portions of the region on
Thursday. Thunderstorms capable of 1 to 2 inches of rain in a short
amount of time will move across the same areas that have
received several inches of rain over the past several days.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday night through Tuesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Tuesday.

MSZ018-019-025>033-036>039-043>046-049>052-057-058-102000-
Bolivar-Sunflower-Leflore-Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-Webster-Clay-
Lowndes-Choctaw-Oktibbeha-Holmes-Attala-Winston-Noxubee-
Madison MS-Leake-Neshoba-Kemper-Rankin-Scott-Newton-Lauderdale-
Jasper-Clarke-
257 PM CDT Wed Aug 9 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, east central Mississippi, and north central
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Thursday

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Tonight through Thursday

Flash Flooding is possible over portions of the area tonight
through Thursday. Thunderstorms capable of 1 to 2 inches of rain
in a short amount of time will move across the same areas that
have received several inches of rain over the past several days.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image*.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday night through Tuesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Tuesday.

3

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*FLOODING*
Extreme...Confident in significant flooding.
Significant...Significant flooding possible.
Elevated...Confident in flooding.
Limited...Flooding possible.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Tropical page...
   www.weather.gov/jan/tropical
National Hurricane Center Home Page...
   www.nhc.noaa.gov/
Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES...

Current Watches and Warnings...
   www.weather.gov/jan/safe_HeavyRain

Observed Precipitation Images...
   www.weather.gov/jan/precipmaps

River Forecast Center...
   www.weather.gov/lmrfc/
Significant River Flood Outlook...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/nationalfloodoutlook/index.html
Day 1 through 3 Excessive Rainfall...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml
Excessive Rainfall Discussion...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpferd.html
Day 1 through 7 QPF...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml
QPF Discussion...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpfpfd.html

In the hours before

Local storm report, Aug 9, 8:47 PM CDT, 5 hours 55 minutes before
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Local storm report, Aug 9, 8:50 PM CDT, 5 hours 52 minutes before
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Local storm report, Aug 9, 9:00 PM CDT, 5 hours 42 minutes before
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Local storm report, Aug 9, 9:05 PM CDT, 5 hours 37 minutes before
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Local storm report, Aug 9, 10:35 PM CDT, 4 hours 7 minutes before
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Local storm report, Aug 9, 10:37 PM CDT, 4 hours 5 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 9, 7:17 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANJones3 hr
Aug 10, 2:12 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANForrest, Lamar3 hr
Aug 10, 2:49 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANSimpson26 min
Aug 10, 2:52 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANScott23 min
Aug 10, 3:19 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANCopiah26 min
Aug 10, 3:45 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANCopiah30 min
Aug 10, 5:12 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningJANForrest2 hr
Aug 10, 5:26 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANAdams34 min
Aug 10, 5:32 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANClarke3 hr
Aug 10, 5:58 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANAdams32 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Watches in Mississippi, 2017Flash Flood Watches in Louisiana, 2017Flash Flood Watches in Arkansas, 2017Every flash flood watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.