Alert archive / Michigan / Winter Storm Watches in 2017

Winter Storm Watch 3, NWS Northern Indiana

December 29, 2017Cass County, Michigan

NWS Northern Indiana issued this winter storm watch at Dec 29, 2017, 3:53 PM EST for Cass County, Michigan. It took effect at Dec 30, 2017, 10:00 PM EST. It was in force for .

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 29, 2017, 3:53 PM EST (20:53 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 30, 2017, 10:00 PM EST
Expired
Dec 30, 2017, 4:11 AM EST
In force
Issued by
NWS Northern Indiana

County Cass County, MI

The radar

The Northern Indiana radar (KIWX), 66 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), launched 12:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 332 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 12:00Z on 2017-12-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 12:00Z on 2017-12-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 75 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
719 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
116 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
75 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
204 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Northern Indiana wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm watch went out at Dec 29, 3:44 PM EST, 9 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 29, 3:44 PM EST, 9 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 29, 11:03 AM EST, 4 hours 50 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
1103 AM EST Fri Dec 29 2017

INZ005>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ079>081-OHZ001-002-004-005-
015-016-024-025-301615-
Elkhart-Lagrange-Steuben-Noble-De Kalb-Starke-Pulaski-Marshall-
Fulton IN-Kosciusko-Whitley-Allen IN-White-Cass IN-Miami-Wabash-
Huntington-Wells-Adams-Grant-Blackford-Jay-St. Joseph MI-Branch-
Hillsdale-Williams-Fulton OH-Defiance-Henry-Paulding-Putnam-Van Wert-
Allen OH-
1103 AM EST Fri Dec 29 2017 /1003 AM CST Fri Dec 29 2017/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern Indiana...
southwest Michigan and northwest Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Snow is expected today with accumulations generally between 1 and 4
inches by later this evening. Please see the Winter Weather Advisory
product from this office for more information.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Bitterly cold temperatures will return this weekend and continue through
much of next week. The cold air will be accompanied by periodic lake
effect snow. Substantial lake effect snow accumulations are possible
for the Saturday night through Monday period for southwest Lower
Michigan and far northern Indiana, and then again by the middle of
next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

&&

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for further details or updates...or
check our web site at weather.gov/iwx

INZ003-004-MIZ077-078-301615-
La Porte-St. Joseph IN-Berrien-Cass MI-
1103 AM EST Fri Dec 29 2017 /1003 AM CST Fri Dec 29 2017/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southwest Michigan
and northern Indiana.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Snow is expected today with additional lake effect snow showers later
tonight into Saturday. Storm total snowfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches
are possible by Saturday afternoon. Please see the Winter Weather
Advisory product from this office for more information.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Lingering lake effect snow showers and increasing northwest winds
will continue to pose some hazardous travel conditions at least into
Saturday morning.

Bitterly cold temperatures will return this weekend and continue
through much of next week. The cold air will be accompanied by
periodic lake effect snow. Substantial lake effect snow accumulations
are possible for the Saturday night through Monday period for
southwest Lower Michigan and far northern Indiana, and then again by
the middle of next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

&&

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for further details or updates...or
check our web site at weather.gov/iwx

LMZ043-046-301615-
New Buffalo MI to St Joseph MI-Michigan City IN to New Buffalo MI-
1103 AM EST Fri Dec 29 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of The Nearshore
Waters of Southeastern Lake Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Conditions hazardous for small craft will continue through tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Conditions hazardous to small craft are likely Saturday and periodically
through this upcoming week. Gale force winds are also possible
Saturday.

&&

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for further details or updates...or
check our web site at weather.gov/iwx

The office that day

Everything else NWS Northern Indiana issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 29, 3:54 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryIWXAdams, Allen, Blackford, Cass, Elkhart, Fulton and 11 more23 hr

Nearby

Winter Storm Watches in Michigan, 2017Winter Storm Watches in Indiana, 2017Every winter storm watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.