Alert archive / Indiana / Special Weather Statements in 2017

Special Weather Statement, NWS Northern Indiana

August 3, 2017Whitley County, Indiana

NWS Northern Indiana issued this special weather statement at Aug 3, 2017, 2:07 PM EDT for Whitley County, Indiana. It was in force for 38 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 3, 2017, 2:07 PM EDT (18:07 UTC)
Expired
Aug 3, 2017, 2:45 PM EDT
In force
38 min
Issued by
NWS Northern Indiana

County Whitley County, IN

The radar

The Northern Indiana radar (KIWX), 13 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:07 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 12:00Z, 6.1 hours before the alert went out and 247 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2017-08-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 588 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2017-08-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 19 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
588 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-52 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
944 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
12 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
19 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
43 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Northern Indiana wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Aug 3, 1:40 PM EDT, 27 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 3, 1:40 PM EDT, 27 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
140 PM EDT Thu Aug 3 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 330 AM EDT Thu Aug 3 2017

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are possible late this afternoon
mainly west of US 31. Otherwise a sharp cold front will drive east
across the area late tonight into early Friday morning with
scattered thunderstorms expected. Much cooler weather will arrive
Friday and persist into Saturday before temperatures moderate warmer
through next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 330 AM EDT Thu Aug 3 2017

Eliminated most near term pops on account of substantial theta-e
minimum seen in 00Z raob at KILX which will advance newd across the
cwa through early aftn. Much better low level theta-e ridging will
then push into wrn areas ewd of cyclone wrapping up across the upper
midwest and in concert with upticking low level jet after 21Z. Some
evidence of a prefrontal trough feature at that time coming out of
ne IL as indicated in most CAMS guidance and will confine higher
chance pops far west late this aftn.

Otherwise ewd progression of cold frontal zone commences tonight
albeit slower versus prior model based guidance and expect much of
this will wash out/decay with ewd extent across the cwa especially
late. Will modify according to preferred blend and in light of 00Z
based mos trends.

&&

.LONG TERM...(Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 330 AM EDT Thu Aug 3 2017

Strong post frontal cold advection will overspread the area Fri
morning. Steepening sfc based lapse rates within residual low level
moisture plume should bubble by late morning into mid aftn with
isolated to scattered showers pending arrival/extent of entraining
dry air.

Following sfc ridging will then expand through the OH valley Sat
before breaking down in advance of next nrn plains sw disturbance
late Sun which is forecast to shear out overhead late Mon. Return
flow ahead of this system warrants holding onto low chc pops Sun
aftn into Mon. Renewed sfc ridging and dry weather expected to
prevail then through the rest of the period.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Friday Afternoon)
Issued at 132 PM EDT Thu Aug 3 2017
Isolated thunderstorms have developed in the warm sector as we
have reached convective temperature. Limited BL shear at this time
with increasing SWLY flow further west will sustain isolated
convection through the early portion of the TAF.

Instability and shear after 00Z will usher in more organized and
widespread convection...especially KSBN area. Expect to see MVFR
and isold IFR conditions across the western half of the forecast
area through the overnight. Upper level support shifts quickly
eastward overnight and the threat of convection and flight
restrictions will diminish quickly.

With the frontal/trof passage expect to see significant boundary
layer turbulence and shear. While not forecasting LLWS, this will
need to be monitored closely during the 06-12Z period.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...Beach Hazards Statement from Friday morning through Saturday
     morning for INZ003.

MI...Beach Hazards Statement from Friday morning through Saturday
     morning for MIZ077.

OH...NONE.
LM...Small Craft Advisory from 8 AM Friday to 11 AM EDT Saturday for
     LMZ043-046.

&&

SYNOPSIS...T
SHORT TERM...T
LONG TERM...T
AVIATION...Lewis

Visit us at www.weather.gov/iwx

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www.facebook.com/NWSNorthernIndiana
www.twitter.com/nwsiwx
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Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 3, 5:37 AM EDT, 8 hours 30 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
537 AM EDT Thu Aug 3 2017

INZ004>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ078>081-OHZ001-002-004-005-
015-016-024-025-041000-
St. Joseph IN-Elkhart-Lagrange-Steuben-Noble-De Kalb-Starke-Pulaski-
Marshall-Fulton IN-Kosciusko-Whitley-Allen IN-White-Cass IN-Miami-
Wabash-Huntington-Wells-Adams-Grant-Blackford-Jay-Cass MI-
St. Joseph MI-Branch-Hillsdale-Williams-Fulton OH-Defiance-Henry-
Paulding-Putnam-Van Wert-Allen OH-
537 AM EDT Thu Aug 3 2017 /437 AM CDT Thu Aug 3 2017/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southwest
Michigan...northern Indiana and northwest Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

An isolated thunderstorm is possible late this afternoon mainly
west of US 31. Scattered thunderstorms are more likely this evening
west of I 69 and after midnight east of I 69. An isolated strong
storm with small hail and gusty winds is possible across northern
Indiana this evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

There is a low chance for thunderstorms late Sunday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected today or tonight.

&&

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for further details or updates...or
check our web site at weather.gov/iwx

INZ003-MIZ077-041000-
La Porte-Berrien-
537 AM EDT Thu Aug 3 2017 /437 AM CDT Thu Aug 3 2017/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southwest Michigan
and northern Indiana.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Scattered thunderstorms are expected from late this afternoon through
this evening. An isolated strong storm with small hail and gusty
winds is possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Dangerous swimming conditions are expected Friday through Saturday
morning along the Lake Michigan shoreline.

There is a low chance for thunderstorms late Sunday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected today or tonight.

&&

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for further details or updates...or
check our web site at weather.gov/iwx

LMZ043-046-041000-
New Buffalo MI to St Joseph MI-Michigan City IN to New Buffalo MI-
537 AM EDT Thu Aug 3 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of The Nearshore
Waters of Southeastern Lake Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Scattered thunderstorms are expected from late this afternoon through
this evening. An isolated strong storm with small hail and gusty
winds is possible this evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Hazardous conditions for small craft are expected from Friday morning
through Saturday morning.

There is a low chance for thunderstorms late Sunday.

&&

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for further details or updates...or
check our web site at weather.gov/iwx

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Aug 3, 2:07 PM EDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
207 PM EDT THU AUG 3 2017

INZ008-016-017-031845-
Noble-Whitley-Kosciusko-
207 PM EDT THU AUG 3 2017

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN NOBLE...
NORTHWESTERN WHITLEY AND EASTERN KOSCIUSKO COUNTIES...

At 206 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located over Pierceton, or
near Winona Lake, moving northeast at 25 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph are possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Warsaw, Winona Lake, Tri-lakes, North Webster, Pierceton, Etna,
Cromwell, Larwill, Big Barbee Lake, Ridinger Lake, Merriam, Lorane,
Big Lake, Irish Lake, Bear Lake, Green Center, Wilmot, James Lake,
Goose Lake and Knapp Lake.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

LAT...LON 4118 8582 4143 8567 4131 8530 4110 8572
TIME...MOT...LOC 1806Z 226DEG 21KT 4120 8572

SLL

The office that day

Everything else NWS Northern Indiana issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 3, 4:13 AM EDTSmall Craft AdvisoryIWX58 hr
Aug 3, 4:14 AM EDTBeach Hazards StatementIWX55 hr
Aug 3, 4:40 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementIWXKosciusko50 min
Aug 3, 5:10 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementIWXLaGrange, Noble50 min
Aug 3, 5:30 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementIWXWhite45 min
Aug 3, 5:39 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementIWXMiami36 min
Aug 3, 6:16 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementIWXCass, Miami44 min
Aug 3, 6:40 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementIWXHuntington, Miami, Wabash50 min
Aug 3, 7:45 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementIWXAdams, Blackford, Jay30 min
Aug 3, 4:48 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementIWXHenry, Putnam42 min
Aug 3, 5:56 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementIWXPutnam34 min
Aug 3, 2:15 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementIWXCass45 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Indiana, 2017Every special weather statement in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.