Severe Thunderstorm Warning 36, NWS Northern Indiana

353 
WWUS53 KIWX 201846
SVSIWX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
246 PM EDT THU APR 20 2017

INC113-201915-
/O.CON.KIWX.SV.W.0036.000000T0000Z-170420T1915Z/
Noble IN-
246 PM EDT THU APR 20 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 315 PM EDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN NOBLE COUNTY...

At 246 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Albion, or 8
miles west of Kendallville, moving east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and penny size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

This severe storm will be near...
  Rome City around 250 PM EDT. 
  Kendallville and Avilla around 255 PM EDT. 

Other locations impacted by this severe thunderstorm include
Brimfield and Lisbon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4133 8519 4136 8552 4147 8551 4153 8520
      4153 8519
TIME...MOT...LOC 1846Z 249DEG 40KT 4142 8542 

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

JAL

966 
WWUS53 KIWX 201902
SVSIWX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
302 PM EDT THU APR 20 2017

INC113-201911-
/O.CAN.KIWX.SV.W.0036.000000T0000Z-170420T1915Z/
Noble IN-
302 PM EDT THU APR 20 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN NOBLE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer pose an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 800 PM EDT for
northeastern Indiana.

LAT...LON 4133 8519 4136 8552 4147 8551 4153 8520
      4153 8519
TIME...MOT...LOC 1900Z 259DEG 39KT 4145 8520 

$$

JAL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
146 PM EDT Thu Apr 20 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 140 pM EDT Thu Apr 20 2017

A cold front associated with low pressure moving through the
upper Great Lakes will sweep east across our area this afternoon
spawning scattered to numerous thunderstorms. An isolated storm
may be severe this afternoon, mainly over northeast Indiana,
northwest Ohio, and southeast Michigan. High pressure will build
into the area Friday providing fair weather with cooler
temperatures, which will then continue through the weekend.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1156 AM EDT Thu Apr 20 2017

Forecast generally on track. Combination of pre-frontal trough
moving in from the west and additional subtle boundary bisecting
the CWA SW to NE, as well as increasing instability should allow
convection slowly expand and organize to some extent over the
next several hours. Best shear presently on (and should generally
remain with) warm front that has pretty much cleared the forecast
area with area well rooted into warm sector. Surface based CAPE of
1000-1500 J/KG in place along/south of the warm front with
slightly higher values along the cold front. HRRR still focusing
development along pre-frontal features which seems right on track
given trends over the past couple hours.

Ramping up of pops into likely range still looks good given
expected coverage. Could argue to go more of a sct to numerous
wording but for now likely mention will suffice. KILX sounding at
12Z showed a decent EML that will settle in this afternoon and at
least help pose a damaging wind threat with the cells that can
gain enough updraft strength and some organization.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 300 AM EDT Thu Apr 20 2017

Potent sw trough over wrn MN this morning will continue ewd into the
UP by evening as swwd trailing cold front accelerates ewd through
the great lakes/OH valley as sfc low over central IA migrates newd
into central MI. Ewd portion of sfc boundary currently stalled
through cntrl IL/IN yet will mix rapidly nwd through daybreak
corresponding to ramping low level warm advection. Still expect
convection to fire twd 08Z timed with veering swrly H85 45kt jet and
substantial pocket of theta-e working into nrn zones out of IL.

Otherwise morning period expected to be quiet as low level theta-e
min over ern MO lifts ne and LLJ weakens. Thereafter resurgence of
LLj commences along/ahead of diffuse prefrontal sfc trough within
rapidly destabilizing sfc based airmass. However erosion of eml
along with poor deep layer shear suggest little if any organized
severe risk this aftn. Nonetheless some marginal severe risk is
implied with semi-organized multicell clusters within unidirectional
swrly flow early to mid aftn.

Strong post frontal drying and cold advection surge follows tonight
with a lingering shra chc far southeast early this evening.

&&

.LONG TERM...(Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 300 AM EDT Thu Apr 20 2017

Trailing sw coming onshore over nrn CA this morning will eject ewd
through the mid MS valley this weekend as strong sfc ridging builds
in across the lakes. Thus expect cool/dry weather will persist
locally.

In wake of this sys... energetic pacific wave train consisting of
multiple disturbances will follow next week. Lead disturbance will
minor out through the nrn lakes twd Tue followed by more vigorous
sys developing through the ern corn belt late period. Building mid
level ridging/low level thermal troughing expected ewd across the
lakes/OH valley with substantial temp moderation back to well above
normal by Tue and continuing into/through next weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Friday Afternoon)
Issued at 142 PM EDT Thu Apr 20 2017

Pre-frontal trough has spawned area of thunderstorms moving
through KSBN currently and will reach KFWA by 19-20z. Not a lot of
activity behind this line but expect some additional development
as main cold front and mid level short wave approach. Not enough
confidence to add another group of prevailing tsra at KSBN given
lack of upstream activity so kept VCTS there while allowed a
longer tempo to cover KFWA. Satellite and surface obs show
extensive area of post frontal MVFR strato cu over IA and western
IL. Hires guidance not handling this well but spectral models show
a lot of low level moisture trapped under inversion tonight into
Friday. Stayed MVFR through rest of tonight and Friday morning.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...NONE.
MI...NONE.
OH...NONE.
LM...Small Craft Advisory until 11 PM EDT Friday for LMZ043-046.

&&

UPDATE...Fisher
SYNOPSIS...T
SHORT TERM...T
LONG TERM...T
AVIATION...Lashley

Visit us at www.weather.gov/iwx

Follow us on Facebook...Twitter...and YouTube at:
www.facebook.com/NWSNorthernIndiana
www.twitter.com/nwsiwx
www.youtube.com/NWSNorthernIndiana

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
439 AM EDT Thu Apr 20 2017

INZ003>005-012>015-020-MIZ077>079-210900-
La Porte-St. Joseph IN-Elkhart-Starke-Pulaski-Marshall-Fulton IN-
White-Berrien-Cass MI-St. Joseph MI-
439 AM EDT Thu Apr 20 2017 /339 AM CDT Thu Apr 20 2017/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southwest Michigan
and northern Indiana.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected this afternoon. A
strong storm with small hail and gusty winds is possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed today or tonight.

&&

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for further details or updates...or
check our web site at weather.gov/iwx

INZ006>009-016>018-022>027-032>034-MIZ080-081-OHZ001-002-004-005-015-
016-024-025-210900-
Lagrange-Steuben-Noble-De Kalb-Kosciusko-Whitley-Allen IN-Cass IN-
Miami-Wabash-Huntington-Wells-Adams-Grant-Blackford-Jay-Branch-
Hillsdale-Williams-Fulton OH-Defiance-Henry-Paulding-Putnam-Van Wert-
Allen OH-
439 AM EDT Thu Apr 20 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern Indiana...
northwest Ohio and southwest Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are expected this afternoon. A
few storms could reach severe limits with hail and potentially
damaging winds especially along and east of Interstate 69.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is possible this afternoon.

&&

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for further details or updates...or
check our web site at weather.gov/iwx

LMZ043-046-210900-
New Buffalo MI to St Joseph MI-Michigan City IN to New Buffalo MI-
439 AM EDT Thu Apr 20 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of The Nearshore
Waters of Southeastern Lake Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

An isolated thunderstorm is possible from this morning into early
afternoon.

Hazardous conditions for small craft will develop today and continue
through tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Hazardous conditions for small craft are possible Friday.

&&

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for further details or updates...or
check our web site at weather.gov/iwx