River Flood Warning 17, NWS Northern Indiana

762 
WGUS83 KIWX 281509
FLSIWX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 
1009 AM EST TUE FEB 28 2017

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following rivers...
 
  Eel River at North Manchester affecting Cass...Kosciusko...Miami...
  Wabash and Whitley Counties 
 
.Rainfall overnight and expected rainfall over the next 24 hours
is expected cause minor flooding along the Eel River at 
North Manchester.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Never drive vehicles through flooded areas. The water may be too deep
to allow safe passage. Never allow children to play in or near flood 
waters. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or local media for further 
statements and updated forecasts.

Detailed river forecasts and more information can be found on the 
internet at www.weather.gov/iwx under Rivers and Lakes. 

All times are in Eastern Time. This statement will be updated in 
about 24 hours or sooner if necessary.

&&

INC017-085-103-169-183-011509-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0017.170301T1648Z-170303T1300Z/
/NMCI3.1.ER.170301T1648Z.170302T0000Z.170302T1300Z.NO/
1009 AM EST TUE FEB 28 2017

 The Flood Warning has been extended for
  The Eel River at North Manchester
* from Wednesday morning to Friday morning.
* At 9 AM Tuesday the stage was 3.4 feet and steady.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Wednesday morning
  and crest near 9.9 feet around  7 PM Wednesday March  1 and fall 
  below flood stage around  8 AM Thursday March  2.
* At 11.0 feet...Flood water nears the lumber company and trailer 
  court on south Mill Street.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 10.9 feet which occurred 
  on May 11 2016.

&&

LAT...LON 4076 8635 4097 8592 4102 8577 4099 8577
      4087 8599 4072 8631             

$$

253 
WGUS83 KIWX 011938
FLSIWX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 
238 PM EST WED MAR 1 2017

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following rivers...
 
  Eel River at North Manchester affecting Cass...Kosciusko...Miami...
  Wabash and Whitley Counties 
 
.Heavy rainfall on Monday night is expected to cause the Eel River
to rise to around flood stage on Thursday. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Never drive vehicles through flooded areas. The water may be too deep
to allow safe passage. Never allow children to play in or near flood 
waters. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or local media for further 
statements and updated forecasts.

Detailed river forecasts and more information can be found on the 
internet at www.weather.gov/iwx under Rivers and Lakes. 

All times are in Eastern Time. This statement will be updated in 
about 24 hours or sooner if necessary.

&&

INC017-085-103-169-183-021938-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-170303T1830Z/
/NMCI3.1.ER.170302T1800Z.170302T1800Z.170302T1830Z.NO/
238 PM EST WED MAR 1 2017

 The Flood Warning has been extended for
  The Eel River at North Manchester
* until Friday afternoon.
* At 1 PM Wednesday the stage was 6.8 feet and rising.
* Minor flooding is forecast on Thursday.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* At 9.0 feet...The river is at flood stage...minor agricultural 
  flooding occurs.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 9.1 feet which occurred 
  on Apr 12 2013.

&&

LAT...LON 4076 8635 4097 8592 4102 8577 4099 8577
      4087 8599 4072 8631             

$$

963 
WGUS83 KIWX 020245
FLSIWX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 
945 PM EST WED MAR 1 2017

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers...
 
  Eel River at North Manchester affecting Cass...Kosciusko...Miami...
  Wabash and Whitley Counties
 
This will be the last statement for this high water event.

INC017-085-103-169-183-020315-
/O.CAN.KIWX.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-170303T1830Z/
/NMCI3.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
945 PM EST WED MAR 1 2017

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Eel River at North Manchester
* At 9 PM Wednesday the stage was 8.0 feet
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river crested below flood stage at 8.0 feet 
  Wednesday evening. The river will continue falling.


&&

LAT...LON 4076 8635 4097 8592 4102 8577 4099 8577
      4087 8599 4072 8631             

$$

Area Forecast Discussion...Corrected Long Term
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
740 AM EST Mon Feb 27 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 435 AM EST Mon Feb 27 2017

A series of systems will impact the region starting late tonight.
Each one will bring increasing moisture and rain chances.
Isolated thunderstorms are also possible Tuesday night into
Wednesday morning. It will remain mild through midweek. Highs
today will reach the upper 40s to lower 50s and into the upper
50s to lower 60s on Tuesday. Colder air will arrive by later
Wednesday into Thursday with chances for snow showers lingering
through the end of the week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 435 AM EST Mon Feb 27 2017

Weak disturbance passing through with little more than some
increase clouds and locally gusty winds. Conditions should remain
dry with clearing skies/diminishing winds tonight. Highs will be
several more degrees warmer on Monday with highs in the middle 40s
to around 50. Clouds will increase in the SE with an area of light
rain passing just outside out area. Kept a mention of some
sprinkles at best in the far SE.

&&

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 435 AM EST Mon Feb 27 2017

More succinct frontal wave develops Tue with cohesive upper
support/leading edge of strengthening height falls and divergent
upper level exit region of 150 kt southwesterly upper level jet
translating eastward through southern plains to Ozarks. This wave to
ejects northeast along the frontal boundary later Tue and into nern
IL/nwrn IN by 06 UTC Wed. Timing still favors beyond 00 UTC and with
nominal surface dewpoint recovery anticipated/lower to middle 50s
for CWA. High deep layer bulk shear and slow dwindle of late
afternoon/evenings upstream 1000-2000 j/KG MLCAPE axis as EML
continues to surge into southern IL/IN. Have maintained lower chance
mention for thunderstorms at this time with favored
propagation/maintenance to our south. Slight chance relegated to
eastern third cwa for Wed am for any lingering/dying convection.
Otherwise midday fropa and isodrosothermal ridge axis well east of
cwa to keep convective redevelopment/upscale growth downstream of
CWA. Clipper still indicated in northwest flow aloft for Thu
followed by period of favorable lake effect with moderate thermal
instability/lake axis fetch Thu night into Fri. LES then quickly
diminishes Fri aft/eve as centroid of arctic high settles into
middle Ohio Valley northward ridging through CWA/Upper Great Lakes.
Once again heights quickly rebuild as moves into Canadian maritimes
with marked warmup into the weekend. Held mentionable pops at bay
through Dy7 with blo climo MOS and indications of two shortwaves
this weekend, the first relegated well north of CWA and the second
still well upstream by Sun.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Tuesday Morning)
Issued at 603 AM EST Mon Feb 27 2017

Return flow will continue today with a high pressure area to the
east and a developing low pressure area over the High Plains.
Moisture will also increase with the chance for showers and the
likelihood for lower ceilings as this system approaches tonight.
Expect MVFR ceilings at both TAF sites after 08-11Z.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...NONE.
MI...NONE.
OH...NONE.
LM...NONE.
&&

SYNOPSIS...Murphy
SHORT TERM...Murphy
LONG TERM...Murphy
AVIATION...Skipper

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Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
557 AM EST Mon Feb 27 2017

INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-005-
015-016-024-025-281100-
La Porte-St. Joseph IN-Elkhart-Lagrange-Steuben-Noble-De Kalb-Starke-
Pulaski-Marshall-Fulton IN-Kosciusko-Whitley-Allen IN-White-Cass IN-
Miami-Wabash-Huntington-Wells-Adams-Grant-Blackford-Jay-Berrien-
Cass MI-St. Joseph MI-Branch-Hillsdale-Williams-Fulton OH-Defiance-
Henry-Paulding-Putnam-Van Wert-Allen OH-
557 AM EST Mon Feb 27 2017 /457 AM CST Mon Feb 27 2017/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southwest
Michigan...northern Indiana and northwest Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

There is a chance of thunderstorms Tuesday night into Wednesday
morning. There is a low chance for severe storms Tuesday night,
primarily south of Route 30.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

&&

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for further details or updates...or
check our web site at weather.gov/iwx

LMZ043-046-281100-
New Buffalo MI to St Joseph MI-Michigan City IN to New Buffalo MI-
557 AM EST Mon Feb 27 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of The Nearshore
Waters of Southeastern Lake Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

There is a chance of thunderstorms Tuesday night.

Conditions hazardous to small craft are expected Wednesday through
Friday.

&&

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for further details or updates...or
check our web site at weather.gov/iwx