Severe Thunderstorm Warning 25, NWS Indianapolis, IN

992 
WWUS53 KIND 202124
SVSIND

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
524 PM EDT MON MAR 20 2017

INC139-202145-
/O.CON.KIND.SV.W.0025.000000T0000Z-170320T2145Z/
Rush IN-
524 PM EDT MON MAR 20 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN RUSH COUNTY...

At 523 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 7 miles north of
Lake Santee, or 14 miles southwest of Connersville, moving east at 45
mph.

HAZARD...Golf ball size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect damage 
         to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. 

Locations impacted include...
New Salem.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3945 8538 3954 8545 3957 8532 3957 8530
      3945 8530
TIME...MOT...LOC 2123Z 292DEG 39KT 3951 8533 

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...<50MPH
 
$$

MK

957 
WWUS53 KIND 202132
SVSIND

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
532 PM EDT MON MAR 20 2017

INC139-202141-
/O.CAN.KIND.SV.W.0025.000000T0000Z-170320T2145Z/
Rush IN-
532 PM EDT MON MAR 20 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN RUSH COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 3945 8538 3954 8545 3957 8532 3957 8530
      3945 8530
TIME...MOT...LOC 2130Z 296DEG 36KT 3947 8523 

$$

MK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
445 PM EDT Mon Mar 20 2017

.UPDATE...
The AVIATION section has been updated below.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 247 PM EDT Mon Mar 20 2017

Rain chances will persist across the area into Tuesday as a couple
of cold fronts move through the area. After a brief break mid week,
frequent rain chances will return to the area late week into the
weekend as a couple of low pressure systems move through. Other than
a brief cooldown mid week, temperatures will remain near to above
average.

&&

.NEAR TERM.../Rest of This Afternoon and Tonight/
Issued at 247 PM EDT Mon Mar 20 2017

An area of thunderstorms, some severe, will continue to march across
roughly the northeast half of central Indiana during this afternoon.
With the elevated nature of the storms, large hail should continue
to be the primary threat. Will use a pre-first period in the text
products to account for this area of storms.

Temperatures will be tricky this afternoon as warm air sneaks into
the area with an area of low pressure. Confidence is low on how this
works out, especially with a persistent cold area across the middle
of the forecast area.

Low chances for rain will linger across the eastern half or so of
the forecast area after 00Z for a few hours. The remainder of the
night will be dry with forcing exiting the area.

Models are hinting at some low clouds developing overnight, so will
keep skies mostly cloudy.

Stayed with the blend for low temperatures.

&&

.SHORT TERM.../Tuesday through Thursday/
Issued at 247 PM EDT Mon Mar 20 2017

Models are close enough that the model blend initialization was
accepted for most items.

A weakening cold front will move into the area on Tuesday along with
some upper forcing. However, the upper forcing doesn't look as good
as it did yesterday at this time. Thus have lowered PoPs into the
slight chance category most areas Tuesday afternoon.

As drier air works in Tuesday night, PoPs will be confined to the
southern half of the area and to the evening hours. PoPs will still
only be slight chance.

High pressure will then bring in drier air for Wednesday and
Wednesday night. Thus will continue a dry forecast.

Warm advection aloft on Thursday will increase the clouds and
provide some lift, but the lower levels will remain dry. Thus feel a
dry forecast looks good for Thursday.

Stayed with the model blend for temperatures. Low temperatures
Tuesday night and Wednesday night could lead to freeze warnings for
the far southern counties those nights.

&&

.LONG TERM.../Thursday Night Through Monday/
Issued at 247 PM EDT Mon Mar 20 2017

Models are close enough that the model blend initialization was
accepted for most items.

The long term looks to be wet with frequent chances for rain. A warm
front could bring some rain Thursday night, but better chances for
rain will arrive with an upper low and surface low pressure system
later Friday night into the weekend.

Another system may move in for early next week and bring more
chances for rain.

The systems look to bring in warm air for much of the long term,
with highs in the 60s for most days.

&&

.AVIATION /Discussion for the 20/2100Z IND TAF Update/...
Issued at 445 PM EDT Mon Mar 20 2017

A gust front went passed through the airport, so added a tempo wind
from 040 degrees through 22z. Otherwise, winds will revert back to
southwesterly ahead of a slowly approaching warm front. Also, pulled
VCSH based on radar trends.

Issued at 117 PM EDT Mon Mar 20 2017

A cluster of thunderstorms west and northwest of LAF will continue
gradually pushing to the ESE this afternoon. Currently expect
convection into LAF around 18Z. There seems to have recently been
a bit of weakening associated with the portion of storms that will
affect LAF. Inserted a TEMPO to account for heavier thunderstorm
pockets that may move over the site. Could not get a clear signal
via nearby obs as to what kind of a wind shift/gust we may see
with these storms. Thus, did not currently account for any
significant change. Currently expect convection to move east of
LAF by 20Z. There remains a possibility that convection could
side-swipe IND around 20-22Z. Accounted for this with VCTS and
MVFR ceilings. Confidence not high that IND will be impacted.

Otherwise...VFR conditions to start for HUF and BMG. Bufkit
soundings imply that all TAF sites may see deteriorating
conditions late in the period...to MVFR and then IFR ceilings
this evening and overnight.

&&

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SYNOPSIS...50
NEAR TERM...50
SHORT TERM...50
LONG TERM...50
AVIATION...MRD/MK

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
350 PM EDT Mon Mar 20 2017

INZ021-030-031-037>042-046>049-054>057-065-212000-
Carroll-Clinton-Howard-Boone-Tipton-Hamilton-Madison-Delaware-
Randolph-Hendricks-Marion-Hancock-Henry-Morgan-Johnson-Shelby-Rush-
Decatur-
Including the cities of Frankfort, Kokomo, Anderson, Muncie,
Indianapolis, and Shelbyville
350 PM EDT Mon Mar 20 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for central Indiana.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Outlook: Thunderstorms possible this afternoon. Isolated severe
storms possible as well.

Hazards: Large hail. Cloud to ground lightning.

Timing: Highest threat for severe will be before 600 PM. Storms are
possible through 800 PM.

Discussion: A frontal system will move through the area. Shower and
scattered thunderstorm activity is expected near the frontal zone.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Outlook: Thunderstorm activity is possible Saturday and Saturday
night. Severe storms are not expected at this time.

Discussion: Another frontal system may affect the area towards the
end of the week, bringing with it additional chances for shower and
thunderstorm activity towards the end of the week and on into the
weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated, but spotters are encouraged to
report any hail observed.

&&

More information, along with other weather, hydrological and climate
information can be found at http://weather.gov/ind

INZ028-029-035-036-043>045-051>053-060>064-067>072-212000-
Warren-Tippecanoe-Fountain-Montgomery-Vermillion-Parke-Putnam-Vigo-
Clay-Owen-Sullivan-Greene-Monroe-Brown-Bartholomew-Knox-Daviess-
Martin-Lawrence-Jackson-Jennings-
Including the cities of Lafayette, Crawfordsville, Terre Haute,
Bloomington, Columbus, Vincennes, Bedford, and Seymour
350 PM EDT Mon Mar 20 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for central Indiana.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Outlook: Thunderstorms are possible.

Hazards: Cloud to ground lightning and small hail.

Timing: Through 800 PM EDT tonight.

Discussion: A frontal system will move through the area. Shower and
scattered thunderstorm activity is expected near the frontal zone.
Some of the stronger storms may contain small hail through early this
evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Outlook: Thunderstorm activity is possible Saturday and Saturday
night. Severe storms are not expected at this time.

Discussion: Another frontal system may affect the area towards the
end of the week, bringing with it additional chances for shower and
thunderstorm activity towards the end of the week and on into next
weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

&&

More information, along with other weather, hydrological and climate
information can be found at http://weather.gov/ind

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
441 PM EDT MON MAR 20 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0415 PM     HAIL             1 W CUMBERLAND          39.78N 85.98W
03/20/2017  U0.50 INCH       MARION             IN   PUBLIC

            .

&&

BHH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
449 PM EDT MON MAR 20 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0430 PM     HAIL             1 NE CUMBERLAND         39.80N 85.93W
03/20/2017  E1.00 INCH       HANCOCK            IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LOCATED AT 100 NORTH AND 700 WEST IN
            CUMBERLAND, IN.

&&

BHH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
457 PM EDT MON MAR 20 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0440 PM     HAIL             2 ESE WESTFIELD         40.03N 86.10W
03/20/2017  E0.75 INCH       HAMILTON           IN   AMATEUR RADIO

            .

&&

BHH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
458 PM EDT MON MAR 20 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0445 PM     HAIL             3 ENE FISHERS           39.98N 85.97W
03/20/2017  E0.50 INCH       HAMILTON           IN   PUBLIC

            .

&&

BHH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
504 PM EDT MON MAR 20 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0452 PM     HAIL             1 N MORRISTOWN          39.69N 85.70W
03/20/2017  E0.50 INCH       SHELBY             IN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            .

&&

TD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
507 PM EDT MON MAR 20 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0502 PM     HAIL             1 WSW ARLINGTON         39.61N 85.59W
03/20/2017  E1.75 INCH       RUSH               IN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            .

&&

KEH