Severe Thunderstorm Warning 102, NWS Lincoln, IL

195 
WWUS53 KILX 142351
SVSILX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
651 PM CDT WED JUN 14 2017

ILC129-150000-
/O.CAN.KILX.SV.W.0102.000000T0000Z-170615T0030Z/
Menard-
651 PM CDT WED JUN 14 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR MENARD COUNTY IS CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has weakened.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 800 PM CDT for
central and west central Illinois.

LAT...LON 3988 8988 3991 8966 3965 8965 3966 8996
      3972 8999 3979 8999
TIME...MOT...LOC 2350Z 247DEG 26KT 3981 8979 

$$

ILC167-150030-
/O.CON.KILX.SV.W.0102.000000T0000Z-170615T0030Z/
Sangamon-
651 PM CDT WED JUN 14 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN SANGAMON COUNTY...

At 650 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 8 miles west of
Springfield, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Springfield, Chatham, New Berlin, Loami, Jerome, Southern View,
Leland Grove, Curran, Berlin, Farmingdale, Capital Airport and
Salisbury.

This includes Interstate 72 between mile markers 80 and 97.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature's leading
killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to
be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3988 8988 3991 8966 3965 8965 3966 8996
      3972 8999 3979 8999
TIME...MOT...LOC 2350Z 247DEG 26KT 3981 8979 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

25

695 
WWUS53 KILX 150015
SVSILX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
715 PM CDT WED JUN 14 2017

ILC167-150023-
/O.CAN.KILX.SV.W.0102.000000T0000Z-170615T0030Z/
Sangamon-
715 PM CDT WED JUN 14 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN SANGAMON COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and has exited the warned area. Therefore, the warning has
been cancelled.  However gusty winds and heavy rain are still 
possible with this thunderstorm southeast of Springfield through 745 
pm.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
central and west central Illinois.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
Lincoln.

LAT...LON 3988 8988 3991 8966 3965 8965 3966 8996
      3972 8999 3979 8999
TIME...MOT...LOC 0012Z 271DEG 23KT 3981 8959 

$$

07

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
259 PM CDT Wed Jun 14 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Thursday)
ISSUED AT 259 PM CDT Wed Jun 14 2017

Potential for strong to severe storms will continue into the early
evening, as a 500mb shortwave lifts northeast across the area.
MUCAPEs of 3000-4000 J/kg late this afternoon will diminish
steadily this evening. Low level helicity of 150-200 m2/s2 will
provide some rotational tendencies in the stronger storms that
persist longer. However, DCAPE values of 1500-1700 J/kg will
dominate the convective mode and damaging winds appear the more
likely severe hazard. Half inch hail will be possible, but
freezing levels over 14000 FT will diminish the potential for
large hail. The melting hail could boost potential for very heavy
rainfall rates over short periods of time, where 1 inch of rain
falls in as short as 15 minutes. The ground is predominantly dry
to start, so flash flooding potential will be diminished in
general, but could still occur in low lying and poor drainage
areas.

Both of our Severe Thunderstorm Watches expire at 01z/8pm, but
our southeast counties could need an additional hour or two added
to the watch, if the NAM-nest model verifies. HRRR shows the
current wave exiting into Indiana by 23z/6pm, with another flare-
up of weaker storms west of I-55 between 01z-04z.

In addition, we are still seeing some indication of a late night
low level jet triggering a few showers/storms north of a line from
Rushville to Bloomington, so PoPs were continued in our NW
counties until 11z. Coverage may not be enough to warrant the
likely PoPs we previous had after 06z, so late night PoPs were
lowered a bit.

A few showers/storms could linger in our eastern counties Thursday
morning, mainly east of I-57 but possibly as far west as I-55
toward sunrise. Then some clearing is expected, setting the stage
for another hot and humid day. High temps will reach the 88 to 93F
range, with the cooler temps toward the Indiana border due to
morning convection. Muggy sfc dewpoints in the upper 60s and low
70s will linger another day.

&&

.LONG TERM...(Thursday night through Wednesday)
ISSUED AT 259 PM CDT Wed Jun 14 2017

A zonal flow south will prevail across the Midwest for the first
part of the extended forecast. That will allow the next wave in a
series of shortwaves to affect areas west of the Illinois River
late Thursday night, with storms expanding across the remainder of
Illinois on Friday. The overall strength of that system appears
weak, but instability will be supportive of isolated severe storms
late Friday afternoon into early evening, mainly west of I-55.

Another stronger wave is projected to arrive later Friday night
into Saturday, triggering additional storms, and prompting higher
chance and some low likely PoPs. An intensifying nocturnal LLJ may
increase potential of wind damage with those storms.

The last wave of the weekend will be a cold frontal passage
Saturday night into Sunday, bringing chances of strong storms once
again. The timing of that squall line looks to put areas west of
I-55 in the higher chance Sat evening, with high chances expanding
east of I-55 after midnight and continuing south of I-70 Sunday
morning.

That front will usher in a change in air mass for early next
week. Expect cooler weather for at least the first two days of
next week, with high temperatures in the lower 80s Monday and
Tuesday, and overnight lows dipping into the upper 50s and lower
60s. A few spotty showers/storms will be possible Tuesday
afternoon and evening due to a weak shortwave, but most areas
should remain dry. A warming trend will begin on Wednesday, as
southerly winds return and highs climb back toward the mid to
upper 80s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday afternoon)
Issued at 1256 PM CDT Wed Jun 14 2017

Boundary layer destabilization becoming more pronounced, with
storm coverage expanding. Still plenty of uncertainty with
convective mode and timing of any line of storms. Based on current
storm coverage, a broken line of storms appears more likely. Have
made an attempt to focus on the most likely 2 hour period each
TAF location will be affected by any strong/severe storms. Those
periods are concentrated this afternoon for all but CMI, that
extends to 01z. Will make adjustments to timing once the
convection approaches any terminal site.

There should be a significant reduction in storm coverage after
01z/03z, based on NAM-nest and RAP updates. Have left in a VCSH
overnight just in case a few showers bubble up behind the line.

Winds should generally remain at or below 10kt from the southwest,
outside of any thunderstorm wind gusts. Little change in air mass
expected throughout this TAF period, so no prevailing wind shifts
expected.

&&

.ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Shimon
LONG TERM...Shimon
AVIATION...Shimon

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
326 PM CDT Wed Jun 14 2017

ILZ027>031-036>038-040>043-047>053-151100-
Cass-Christian-De Witt-Fulton-Knox-Logan-Macon-Marshall-Mason-
McLean-Menard-Morgan-Peoria-Sangamon-Schuyler-Scott-Stark-
Tazewell-Woodford-
326 PM CDT Wed Jun 14 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central
Illinois and west central Illinois.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

Thunderstorms will continue into this evening. The stronger storms
will be capable of producing damaging wind gusts and large hail.
Locally heavy rain and cloud to ground lightning will also be
hazards.

Heat index values of 96 to 100 are expected this afternoon.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

Periods of thunderstorms are forecast Friday through Sunday
morning. There is a marginal risk of severe thunderstorms for
Friday into Friday night, and potential for additional severe
thunderstorms Saturday into Saturday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed this afternoon and evening.

ILZ044>046-054>057-061>063-066>068-071>073-151100-
Champaign-Clark-Clay-Coles-Crawford-Cumberland-Douglas-Edgar-
Effingham-Jasper-Lawrence-Moultrie-Piatt-Richland-Shelby-
Vermilion-
326 PM CDT Wed Jun 14 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central
Illinois, east central Illinois and southeast Illinois.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

Thunderstorms will continue into this evening. The stronger storms
will be capable of producing damaging wind gusts and large hail.
Locally heavy rain and cloud to ground lightning will also be
hazards.

Heat index values of 96 to 100 are expected this afternoon.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

Periods of thunderstorms are forecast Friday through Sunday
afternoon. The highest thunderstorm chances are Friday night and
Saturday night into Sunday. Although severe weather is not
expected at this time, strong storms are possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed this afternoon and evening.

Barker

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
531 PM CDT WED JUN 14 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0513 PM     HAIL             HOOPESTON               40.47N 87.67W
06/14/2017  M1.00 INCH       VERMILION          IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            40 TO 50 MPH WIND GUSTS ALSO SEEN

&&

JRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
543 PM CDT WED JUN 14 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0345 PM     TSTM WND DMG     7 W WASHBURN            40.92N 89.43W
06/14/2017                   MARSHALL           IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            LOTS OF TREES DOWN OVER ROADS...MOST LARGE TREES WERE
            HOLLOW. LOCATION...HWY 26 FROM COUNTY LINE TO 3 MILES
            SOUTH

&&

JRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
544 PM CDT WED JUN 14 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0345 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 SE CHILLICOTHE        40.91N 89.49W
06/14/2017                   PEORIA             IL   AMATEUR RADIO

            8 INCH TREE LIMB BLOWN DOWN

&&

JRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
546 PM CDT WED JUN 14 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0515 PM     HEAVY RAIN       GILSON                  40.87N 90.20W
06/14/2017  M1.13 INCH       KNOX               IL   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

&&

JRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
551 PM CDT WED JUN 14 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0345 PM     TSTM WND DMG     7 NE SPRING BAY         40.90N 89.43W
06/14/2017                   WOODFORD           IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            LOTS OF TREES DOWN OVER ROADS...MOST LARGE TREES WERE
            HOLLOW. LOCATION...HWY 26 FROM COUNTY LINE TO 3 MILES
            SOUTH

&&

JRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
553 PM CDT WED JUN 14 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0430 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 SW LE ROY             40.31N 88.81W
06/14/2017                   MCLEAN             IL   PUBLIC

            NUMEROUS TREE LIMBS BLOWN DOWN...CONCRETE SILO DESTORYED.

&&

JRP