Alert archive / Illinois / Areal Flood Advisories in 2017

Areal Flood Advisory 2, NWS Lincoln, IL

July 10, 2017Fulton County, Illinois

NWS Lincoln, IL issued this areal flood advisory at Jul 10, 2017, 7:56 PM CDT for Fulton County, Illinois. It was in force for 3 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 10, 2017, 7:56 PM CDT (00:56 UTC)
Expired
Jul 10, 2017, 11:00 PM CDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Lincoln, IL
Area
Storm-based polygon

County Fulton County, IL

The radar

The Lincoln radar (KILX), 82 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 00:00Z, 0.9 hours before the alert went out and 130 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 00:00Z on 2017-07-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2871 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 00:00Z on 2017-07-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 33 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2871 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-20 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1254 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
33 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
47 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
0.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this areal flood advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Lincoln, IL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this areal flood advisory went out at Jul 10, 7:03 PM CDT, 53 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 10, 7:03 PM CDT, 53 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 10, 3:08 PM CDT, 4 hours 48 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
308 PM CDT Mon Jul 10 2017

ILZ027>031-036>038-043>046-111100-
Champaign-De Witt-Fulton-Knox-Marshall-McLean-Peoria-Piatt-Stark-
Tazewell-Vermilion-Woodford-
308 PM CDT Mon Jul 10 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central
Illinois, east central Illinois and west central Illinois.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

There is a slight chance of severe thunderstorms with large hail
and damaging winds a risk, along with frequent lightning and heavy
rains.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

Thunderstorm chances will continue from Tuesday through Thursday
evening. There is a marginal risk of severe storms from Tuesday
through Wednesday night with hail and gusty winds a risk along
with frequent lightning and heavy rains. Isolated thunderstorms
are possible late Saturday afternoon into Saturday night.

High temperatures and humidity from this afternoon through
Wednesday will result in afternoon heat indices in the upper 90s
to around 100 degrees, with Wednesday being the hottest day. These
temperatures will be very dependent on the evolution of several
storm systems that may alter cloud cover in the afternoon hours.
Use caution when planning any outdoor activities through mid week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed again late this afternoon and
evening.

ILZ040>042-047>057-061>063-111100-
Cass-Christian-Clark-Coles-Cumberland-Douglas-Edgar-Logan-Macon-
Mason-Menard-Morgan-Moultrie-Sangamon-Schuyler-Scott-Shelby-
308 PM CDT Mon Jul 10 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central
Illinois, east central Illinois and west central Illinois.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

There is a marginal risk of severe storms with hail and gusty
winds possible along with frequent lightning and locally heavy
rains.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

Thunderstorm chances will continue from Tuesday through Thursday
night as the frontal system continues to sag south in the area.
There is a marginal risk of severe storms Tuesday afternoon into
Tuesday night with hail and gusty winds possible. Isolated
thunderstorms are also possible Saturday night.

High temperatures and humidity from this afternoon through
Wednesday will result in afternoon heat indices in the upper 90s
and lower 100s, with Wednesday being the hottest day. These
temperatures will be very dependent on the evolution of several
storm systems that may alter cloud cover in the afternoon hours.
Use caution when planning any outdoor activities through mid week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed again late this afternoon and
evening.

ILZ066>068-071>073-111100-
Clay-Crawford-Effingham-Jasper-Lawrence-Richland-
308 PM CDT Mon Jul 10 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast
Illinois.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

Isolated thunderstorms are possible this evening and tonight. Any
storms that develop are not expected to be severe, though
frequent lightning and locally heavy rains will be a risk.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

Thunderstorm chances will continue from Tuesday through Friday
morning as a frontal boundary sag south into the area. There is a
marginal risk that some of these storms Tuesday and Tuesday night
could become severe with hail up to 1 inch and winds up to 60 mph.
Isolated thunderstorms are also possible during Saturday night.

High temperatures and humidity from this afternoon through
Thursday will result in afternoon heat indices in the upper 90s
and lower 100s, with Wednesday being the hottest day. These
temperatures will be very dependent on the evolution of several
storm systems that may alter cloud cover in the afternoon hours.
Use caution when planning any outdoor activities through mid week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated through tonight.

HJS

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 10, 7:05 PM CDT, 51 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 10, 7:14 PM CDT, 42 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 10, 7:30 PM CDT, 26 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 10, 7:33 PM CDT, 23 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 10, 7:37 PM CDT, 19 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 10, 7:54 PM CDT, 2 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Lincoln, IL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 10, 7:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXFulton, Mason, Peoria, Tazewell48 min
Jul 10, 7:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXTazewell46 min
Jul 10, 7:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXFulton32 min
Jul 10, 8:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXDeWitt, Logan, McLean, Macon, Tazewell43 min
Jul 10, 8:19 PM CDTTornado WarningILXFulton26 min
Jul 10, 8:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXDeWitt, Macon, Moultrie, Piatt46 min
Jul 10, 8:45 PM CDTTornado WarningILXFulton18 min
Jul 10, 8:48 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningILXFulton3 hr
Jul 10, 9:50 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementILXSangamon40 min
Jul 10, 10:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXSangamon31 min
Jul 10, 10:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXChristian, Sangamon46 min
Jul 10, 10:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXChristian, Shelby31 min
Jul 11, 7:31 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementILXFulton, Knox, Mason, Peoria, Schuyler, Stark74 min
Jul 11, 8:16 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementILXLogan, Marshall, Menard, Tazewell, Woodford44 min
Jul 11, 8:38 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXMarshall, Woodford37 min
Jul 11, 8:54 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXDeWitt, Logan, McLean, Macon51 min
Jul 11, 9:33 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXChampaign, Coles, DeWitt, Douglas, Macon, Moultrie and 1 more57 min
Jul 11, 10:06 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXChampaign, Vermilion39 min
Jul 11, 10:21 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementILXEdgar39 min

Nearby

Areal Flood Advisories in Illinois, 2017Every areal flood advisory in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.