Severe Thunderstorm Warning 47, NWS Wilmington, OH

139 
WWUS51 KILN 270047
SVSILN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
847 PM EDT SUN MAR 26 2017

OHC089-270115-
/O.CON.KILN.SV.W.0047.000000T0000Z-170327T0115Z/
Licking OH-
847 PM EDT SUN MAR 26 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 PM EDT
FOR CENTRAL LICKING COUNTY...

At 846 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Granville,
moving northeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and nickel size hail. Tornado possible.

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Newark, Heath, Granville, Johnstown, Utica, Hanover, Granville South,
Marne, Alexandria, St. Louisville, Fredonia, US Route 62 at State
Route 661 and Purity.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

To report severe weather, go to our website at weather.gov/iln and
submit your report via social media, when you can do so safely.

&&

LAT...LON 4000 8259 4013 8270 4027 8249 4026 8248
      4025 8248 4024 8230 4011 8219
TIME...MOT...LOC 0046Z 238DEG 29KT 4011 8255 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...0.88IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Novak

197 
WWUS51 KILN 270101
SVSILN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
901 PM EDT SUN MAR 26 2017

OHC089-270115-
/O.CON.KILN.SV.W.0047.000000T0000Z-170327T0115Z/
Licking OH-
901 PM EDT SUN MAR 26 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 PM EDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN LICKING COUNTY...

At 901 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Utica, moving
northeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and nickel size hail. Tornado possible.

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Newark, Granville, Utica, Hanover, Marne, Granville South, St.
Louisville, Fredonia, US Route 62 at State Route 661 and Purity.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

To report severe weather, go to our website at weather.gov/iln and
submit your report via social media, when you can do so safely.

&&

LAT...LON 4003 8250 4017 8263 4027 8249 4026 8248
      4025 8248 4024 8230 4011 8219
TIME...MOT...LOC 0101Z 238DEG 29KT 4018 8241 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...0.88IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Novak

349 
WWUS51 KILN 270113
SVSILN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
913 PM EDT SUN MAR 26 2017

OHC089-270123-
/O.EXP.KILN.SV.W.0047.000000T0000Z-170327T0115Z/
Licking OH-
913 PM EDT SUN MAR 26 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN LICKING COUNTY
WILL EXPIRE AT 915 PM EDT...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.  However gusty
winds are still possible with this thunderstorm.

Please report previous wind damage or hail to the National Weather
Service by going to our website at weather.gov/iln and submitting
your report via social media.

LAT...LON 4003 8250 4017 8263 4027 8249 4026 8248
      4025 8248 4024 8230 4011 8219
TIME...MOT...LOC 0113Z 238DEG 29KT 4023 8231 

$$

Novak

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
427 PM EDT Sun Mar 26 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
Showers and thunderstorms will develop today into tonight as low
pressure moves to Lake Michigan. After a brief visit by high
pressure and drier air early Monday, another low will bring more
showers and thunderstorms Monday night and Tuesday. Dry weather can
be expected Wednesday under high pressure.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/...
Upper level low pressure is currently in central Illinois with
the second band of precipitation getting ready to exit the CWA.
A third band of precipitation has now formed across the IND
forecast area and is expected to push east through central Ohio
later this afternoon into early evening. The latest run of the
GFS is showing slightly higher MU CAPE values for this afternoon
(some values slightly above 1000 J/kg). For the most part
forecast soundings show this CAPE to be weak and skinny.
Shortwave cooling and 800 - 500mb winds of 35 to 40kts will make
damaging winds and severe hail the primary severe threats for
this afternoon. Due to the above SPC has the area in a marginal
risk.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM MONDAY/...
Monday an area of upper level low pressure will push east across
the central United States. This second system will be right on
the heals of the Sunday upper level low and will bring a quick
return for the chance of showers and thunderstorms. After the
brief break Monday morning the upper level low will move towards
Illinois with pockets of PVA crossing the ILN forecast area.
PWATs will also be on the rise towards 1.10" (NAM and GFS). The
best upper level lift from the RRQ will be further south towards
Kentucky but with a weak upper level jet streak moving overhead
think upper level support will be more than sufficient. MU CAPE
values on the NAM across the southern zones are nearing 1500
J/kg while are only around 500 J/kg on the GFS. On the GFS the
greatest 0-3km bulk shear is also further south across KY. The
NAM on the other hand is more north with the greatest shear and
instability. Thanks to the mentioned above SPC has most of the
area in a marginal risk.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Severe risk continues into Monday evening as an area of low
pressure moves across the region. Isolated damaging winds,
isolated large hail, and isolated tornadoes will be possible.
Have this highlighted in the HWO. Severe threat will diminish
later in the overnight hours as the area of low pressure moves
out of the region.

Additional showers and some thunderstorms will be possible
across primarily the southeastern half of the forecast area on
Tuesday closer to a frontal boundary. Dry conditions are then
expected for Wednesday and Wednesday night in between systems.

A warm front will lift northward on Thursday allowing for
showers and some thunderstorms. Shower and thunderstorm chances
will continue for Friday as a cold front moves through.
Precipitation will taper off Friday night into Saturday morning.

Another system will move into the area on Sunday. There are more
model differences with this system therefore limited
precipitation chances to the chance category.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Low pressure system is currently rotating over central Illinois
and slowly pushing northeast. Second band of precipitation is
currently moving through ILN/ DAY with restrictions down to IFR
visibilities/ MVFR ceilings possible. As this second round of
precipitation passes the TAF sites ceilings and visibilities
will recover to VFR. A third band of showers has formed in
central Indiana this afternoon and is forecasted to push east
through the TAF sites later this afternoon into evening hours.
As this band pushes east forecast soundings continue to show the
area destabilizing. As this occurs the amount of lightning
strikes will also increase. Due to this have added a tempo
group for thunder into all the TAF sites. Went ahead and used
current radar trends to help with timing of tempo groups. As the
line passes through the TAF sites some gusty winds and
restrictions in visbilities and ceilings will be possible.

As the line passes the TAF sites a brief recovery to VFR will
occur with a return of MVFR ceilings possible Monday morning.
The NAM is the most aggressive with the return of the MVFR
Monday morning while the GFS is more optimistic. The SREF
probabilities are more in between the two and have decided to
trend TAFs this direction.

During the day Monday any MVFR ceilings will quickly recover to
VFR with another upper level low moving east across the central
United States. By middle of Monday afternoon PVA and upper level
divergence will be overhead meaning a return of showers and
thunderstorms. For now have left mention out of TAFs as this
remains near the end of the period, but future TAF packages will
likely have to incorporate this.

OUTLOOK...MVFR ceilings and visibilities will be possible late
Monday into Tuesday morning.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Haines
NEAR TERM...Haines
SHORT TERM...Haines
LONG TERM...Novak
AVIATION...Haines

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
311 PM EDT Sun Mar 26 2017

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-271915-
Wayne-Fayette IN-Union IN-Franklin IN-Ripley-Dearborn-Ohio-
Switzerland-Carroll-Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-Campbell-Owen-Grant-
Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis-Hardin-Mercer-Auglaize-Darke-
Shelby-Logan-Union OH-Delaware-Miami-Champaign-Clark-Madison-
Franklin OH-Licking-Preble-Montgomery-Greene-Fayette OH-Pickaway-
Fairfield-Butler-Warren-Clinton-Ross-Hocking-Hamilton-Clermont-Brown-
Highland-Adams-Pike-Scioto-
311 PM EDT Sun Mar 26 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for East Central Indiana,
Southeast Indiana, Northeast Kentucky, Northern Kentucky, Central
Ohio, Southwest Ohio and West Central Ohio.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Isolated large hail and damaging winds will be possible this
afternoon into the evening hours. An isolated tornado cannot be ruled
out.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Isolated large hail and damaging winds will be possible Monday
afternoon into the evening hours. An isolated tornado cannot be ruled
out.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be required.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
734 PM EDT SUN MAR 26 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0734 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     HILLIARD                40.04N 83.14W
03/26/2017                   FRANKLIN           OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TRAINED SPOTTER LOOKING WEST OF HILLIARD IDENTIFIED
            FUNNEL CLOUD

&&

JGIBSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
746 PM EDT SUN MAR 26 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0744 PM     HAIL             HILLIARD                40.04N 83.14W
03/26/2017  M0.50 INCH       FRANKLIN           OH   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

JGIBSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
751 PM EDT SUN MAR 26 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0744 PM     HAIL             HILLIARD                40.04N 83.14W
03/26/2017  M0.75 INCH       FRANKLIN           OH   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

JGIBSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
759 PM EDT SUN MAR 26 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0756 PM     HAIL             6 SW DOWNTOWN COLUMBUS  39.90N 83.08W
03/26/2017  M1.00 INCH       FRANKLIN           OH   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

JGIBSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
816 PM EDT SUN MAR 26 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0744 PM     TSTM WND GST     5 S DUBLIN              40.04N 83.14W
03/26/2017  E60 MPH          FRANKLIN           OH   AMATEUR RADIO

            ESTIMATED WIND GUST OF 50 TO 60 MPH

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
831 PM EDT SUN MAR 26 2017

OHZ056-270130-
Licking OH-
831 PM EDT SUN MAR 26 2017

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT LICKING COUNTY UNTIL 930 PM
EDT...

At 831 PM EDT, radar indicated a strong thunderstorm over Beechwood
Trails, moving northeast at 35 mph.

STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
Winds to 40 mph...
Pea size hail...

Locations impacted include...
Newark, Heath, Granville, Pataskala, Johnstown, Utica, Hanover,
Beechwood Trails, Granville South, Marne, Etna, New Albany, Jersey,
Kirkersville, Alexandria, St. Louisville, Fredonia, US Route 62 at
State Route 661, Purity and State Route 310 at State Route 161.

This includes I-70 in Ohio between mile markers 118 and 120.

To report hazardous weather conditions, go to our website at
weather.gov/iln and submit your report via social media, when you can
do so safely.

LAT...LON 4010 8219 3993 8269 4010 8276 4027 8251
      4027 8248 4025 8248 4024 8218
TIME...MOT...LOC 0031Z 238DEG 29KT 4004 8268

Novak