Freeze Warning 2, NWS Wilmington, OH

Dearborn County, IN, Ohio County, IN, Ripley County, IN, Switzerland County, IN, Boone County, KY, Bracken County, KY, Campbell County, KY, Carroll County, KY, Gallatin County, KY, Grant County, KY, Kenton County, KY, Lewis County, KY, Mason County, KY, Owen County, KY, Pendleton County, KY, Robertson County, KY, Adams County, OH, Brown County, OH, Clermont County, OH, Hamilton County, OH, Scioto County, OH

388 
WWUS71 KILN 140128
NPWILN

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
928 PM EDT Mon Mar 13 2017

INZ073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ077>079-081-088-140900-
/O.EXT.KILN.FZ.W.0002.170314T0128Z-170316T1600Z/
Ripley-Dearborn-Ohio-Switzerland-Carroll-Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-
Campbell-Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis-
Hamilton-Clermont-Brown-Adams-Scioto-
Including the cities of Batesville, Milan, Versailles, 
Lawrenceburg, Aurora, Rising Sun, Vevay, Carrollton, Warsaw, 
Florence, Burlington, Oakbrook, Covington, Erlanger, 
Independence, Newport, Alexandria, Owenton, Williamstown, 
Crittenden, Dry Ridge, Falmouth, Butler, Augusta, Brooksville, 
Mount Olivet, Maysville, Vanceburg, Tollesboro, Cincinnati, 
Milford, Georgetown, Mount Orab, West Union, Peebles, Portsmouth,
and Wheelersburg
928 PM EDT Mon Mar 13 2017

...FREEZE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT THURSDAY...

* TEMPERATURES...Temperatures are expected to drop below 
  freezing, for an extended period, through Thursday. Lows in 
  the upper teens are expected in the warning area Tuesday and 
  Wednesday nights.

* IMPACTS...Any trees and flowers that have already started 
  blooming could be damaged or killed.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Freeze Warning means sub-freezing temperatures are imminent or
highly likely. These conditions will kill crops and other
sensitive vegetation.

&&

$$

740 
WWUS71 KILN 140802
NPWILN

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
402 AM EDT Tue Mar 14 2017

INZ073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ077>079-081-088-142115-
/O.CON.KILN.FZ.W.0002.000000T0000Z-170316T1600Z/
Ripley-Dearborn-Ohio-Switzerland-Carroll-Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-
Campbell-Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis-
Hamilton-Clermont-Brown-Adams-Scioto-
Including the cities of Batesville, Milan, Versailles, 
Lawrenceburg, Aurora, Rising Sun, Vevay, Carrollton, Warsaw, 
Florence, Burlington, Oakbrook, Covington, Erlanger, 
Independence, Newport, Alexandria, Owenton, Williamstown, 
Crittenden, Dry Ridge, Falmouth, Butler, Augusta, Brooksville, 
Mount Olivet, Maysville, Vanceburg, Tollesboro, Cincinnati, 
Milford, Georgetown, Mount Orab, West Union, Peebles, Portsmouth,
and Wheelersburg
402 AM EDT Tue Mar 14 2017

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT THURSDAY...

* TEMPERATURES...Temperatures are expected to drop below freezing,
  for an extended period, through Thursday. Lows in the middle to
  upper teens are expected in the warning area tonight and
  Wednesday night.

* IMPACTS...Any trees and flowers that have already started 
  blooming could be damaged or killed.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Freeze Warning means sub-freezing temperatures are imminent or
highly likely. These conditions will kill crops and other
sensitive vegetation.

&&

$$

643 
WWUS71 KILN 141840
NPWILN

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
240 PM EDT Tue Mar 14 2017

INZ073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ077>079-081-088-150900-
/O.CON.KILN.FZ.W.0002.000000T0000Z-170316T1600Z/
Ripley-Dearborn-Ohio-Switzerland-Carroll-Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-
Campbell-Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis-
Hamilton-Clermont-Brown-Adams-Scioto-
Including the cities of Batesville, Milan, Versailles, 
Lawrenceburg, Aurora, Rising Sun, Vevay, Carrollton, Warsaw, 
Florence, Burlington, Oakbrook, Covington, Erlanger, 
Independence, Newport, Alexandria, Owenton, Williamstown, 
Crittenden, Dry Ridge, Falmouth, Butler, Augusta, Brooksville, 
Mount Olivet, Maysville, Vanceburg, Tollesboro, Cincinnati, 
Milford, Georgetown, Mount Orab, West Union, Peebles, Portsmouth,
and Wheelersburg
240 PM EDT Tue Mar 14 2017

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT THURSDAY...

* TEMPERATURES...Temperatures are expected to stay below freezing
  into Wednesday morning. Freezing conditions will then be
  possible through Thursday. Lows in the middle to upper teens 
  are expected in the warning area tonight and Wednesday night.

* IMPACTS...Any trees and flowers that have already started
  blooming will be damaged or killed.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Freeze Warning means sub-freezing temperatures are imminent or
highly likely. These conditions will kill crops and other
sensitive vegetation.

&&

$$

709 
WWUS71 KILN 150752
NPWILN

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
352 AM EDT Wed Mar 15 2017

INZ073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ077>079-081-088-152100-
/O.CON.KILN.FZ.W.0002.000000T0000Z-170316T1600Z/
Ripley-Dearborn-Ohio-Switzerland-Carroll-Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-
Campbell-Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis-
Hamilton-Clermont-Brown-Adams-Scioto-
Including the cities of Batesville, Milan, Versailles, 
Lawrenceburg, Aurora, Rising Sun, Vevay, Carrollton, Warsaw, 
Florence, Burlington, Oakbrook, Covington, Erlanger, 
Independence, Newport, Alexandria, Owenton, Williamstown, 
Crittenden, Dry Ridge, Falmouth, Butler, Augusta, Brooksville, 
Mount Olivet, Maysville, Vanceburg, Tollesboro, Cincinnati, 
Milford, Georgetown, Mount Orab, West Union, Peebles, Portsmouth,
and Wheelersburg
352 AM EDT Wed Mar 15 2017

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT THURSDAY...

* TEMPERATURES...Low temperatures tonight will drop to the upper
  teens to around 20.

* IMPACTS...Any trees and flowers that have already started 
  blooming will be damaged or killed.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Freeze Warning means sub-freezing temperatures are imminent or
highly likely. These conditions will kill crops and other
sensitive vegetation.

&&

$$

036 
WWUS71 KILN 151954
NPWILN

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
354 PM EDT Wed Mar 15 2017

INZ073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ077>079-081-088-160900-
/O.CON.KILN.FZ.W.0002.000000T0000Z-170316T1600Z/
Ripley-Dearborn-Ohio-Switzerland-Carroll-Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-
Campbell-Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis-
Hamilton-Clermont-Brown-Adams-Scioto-
Including the cities of Batesville, Milan, Versailles, 
Lawrenceburg, Aurora, Rising Sun, Vevay, Carrollton, Warsaw, 
Florence, Burlington, Oakbrook, Covington, Erlanger, 
Independence, Newport, Alexandria, Owenton, Williamstown, 
Crittenden, Dry Ridge, Falmouth, Butler, Augusta, Brooksville, 
Mount Olivet, Maysville, Vanceburg, Tollesboro, Cincinnati, 
Milford, Georgetown, Mount Orab, West Union, Peebles, Portsmouth,
and Wheelersburg
354 PM EDT Wed Mar 15 2017

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT THURSDAY...

* TEMPERATURES...Low temperatures will be in the upper teens to
  around 20.

* IMPACTS...Any trees and flowers that have already started 
  blooming will be damaged or killed.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Freeze Warning means sub-freezing temperatures are imminent or
highly likely. These conditions will kill crops and other
sensitive vegetation.

&&

$$

120 
WWUS71 KILN 160746
NPWILN

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
346 AM EDT Thu Mar 16 2017

INZ073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ077>079-081-088-161600-
/O.CON.KILN.FZ.W.0002.000000T0000Z-170316T1600Z/
Ripley-Dearborn-Ohio-Switzerland-Carroll-Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-
Campbell-Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis-
Hamilton-Clermont-Brown-Adams-Scioto-
Including the cities of Batesville, Milan, Versailles, 
Lawrenceburg, Aurora, Rising Sun, Vevay, Carrollton, Warsaw, 
Florence, Burlington, Oakbrook, Covington, Erlanger, 
Independence, Newport, Alexandria, Owenton, Williamstown, 
Crittenden, Dry Ridge, Falmouth, Butler, Augusta, Brooksville, 
Mount Olivet, Maysville, Vanceburg, Tollesboro, Cincinnati, 
Milford, Georgetown, Mount Orab, West Union, Peebles, Portsmouth,
and Wheelersburg
346 AM EDT Thu Mar 16 2017

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY...

* TEMPERATURES...Lows in the upper teens, rising to above freezing
  by noon.

* IMPACTS...Any trees and flowers that have already started 
  blooming will be damaged or killed.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Freeze Warning means sub-freezing temperatures are imminent or
highly likely. These conditions will kill crops and other
sensitive vegetation.

&&

$$

651 
WWUS71 KILN 161606
NPWILN

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
1206 PM EDT Thu Mar 16 2017

INZ073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ077>079-081-088-161715-
/O.EXP.KILN.FZ.W.0002.000000T0000Z-170316T1600Z/
Ripley-Dearborn-Ohio-Switzerland-Carroll-Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-
Campbell-Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis-
Hamilton-Clermont-Brown-Adams-Scioto-
Including the cities of Batesville, Milan, Versailles, 
Lawrenceburg, Aurora, Rising Sun, Vevay, Carrollton, Warsaw, 
Florence, Burlington, Oakbrook, Covington, Erlanger, 
Independence, Newport, Alexandria, Owenton, Williamstown, 
Crittenden, Dry Ridge, Falmouth, Butler, Augusta, Brooksville, 
Mount Olivet, Maysville, Vanceburg, Tollesboro, Cincinnati, 
Milford, Georgetown, Mount Orab, West Union, Peebles, Portsmouth,
and Wheelersburg
1206 PM EDT Thu Mar 16 2017

...FREEZE WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

Temperatures have risen above freezing, thus the warning has been
allowed to expire.

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
200 PM EDT Mon Mar 13 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
A large storm system will swing through the region today
bringing a combination of rain and snow to the area. As the
center of the storm transitions to the East Coast, the
precipitation will become all snow tonight. Much below normal
temperatures and scattered snow showers will affect the region
on Tuesday. The cold temperatures will linger into Wednesday in
the northwest flow behind the low.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
After looking over current temperatures and model soundings,
decreased temperatures across the area today, especially
northwest of I-71. Southeast of I-71 temperatures will increase
more due to more sunshine and a longer period of warmer
southeasterly flow. Still maybe too warm across the southeast
however. Colder air will begin to filter into the area across
the northwest this afternoon and then to the rest of the region
this evening into the overnight.

QPF values are not overly high, however some concern that will
will be some banding that sets up both this afternoon across the
west and across the east overnight. More concern across the
east overnight with loss of daytime heating. Have advisory or
close to advisory across a few locations south of the current
advisory, however will wait and see how temperatures respond
through early afternoon before changing current placement of
advisory.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
On Tuesday, a closed H5 low settles across the Great Lakes,
while a deep sfc low affects the East Coast. This will bring
strong cold advection to the region, which should cause
scattered snow showers on Tuesday. Highs on Tuesday will only
recover into the upper 20s to lower 30s.

As the storm systems pulls e Tuesday night, a few flurries could
linger. There should be breaks in the clouds however, which will
allow temperatures to fall into the teens.

High pressure will try to build in on Wednesday, but northerly
flow with caa should cause clouds to redevelop. Highs on
Wednesday will again only reach the upper 20s to lower 30s.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Deep-layer northwesterly flow will continue through the Ohio
Valley over the course of Wednesday and Thursday, leading to
temperature rises on Thursday as skies continue to clear and a
surface high moves into the area. What follows for Friday into
Saturday appears to be a shortwave ridge/trough combination on
the northwesterly flow, with precipitation expected ahead of the
trough (mainly Saturday morning). These features are being
modeled with a greater amplitude on the ECMWF versus the GFS,
resulting in a more wrapped-up solution on the ECMWF versus a
more progressive (and faster) solution on the GFS. Given that a
much wider spread in possible 500mb patterns is being hinted at
by the GEFS, it still appears that either of these options may
be possible. With these timing and phase concerns, will keep a
p-type mix (rain/snow) through this period, with PoPs capped at
only 50 percent. In either scenario, drier conditions are
expected for Sunday.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Aviation to be affected by a complex and potent low pressure
system. Snow will overspread TAF sites from southwest to
northeast, arriving first at CVG and LUK, then to DAY, ILN, CMH
and LCK. Models, radar, and observations indicate -SN will begin
at CVG within 1 hour, with rest of sites seeing snow by 23z.
Ceilings and visibilities will drop as low as IFR late this
evening into the overnight hours.

After a few hours of steady snow and IFR, conditions will begin
to improve later in the forecast as the low travels quickly
east to be absorbed into a major coastal low. As snow
diminishes, winds will increase in the tight pressure gradient
surrounding the deep coastal low, with gusts over 20 knots from
the north. VFR may be attained by the end of the period, though
later forecasts may need to add snow showers based on future
model runs.

OUTLOOK...MVFR ceilings and visibilities possible with snow
showers into Tuesday night.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...Winter Weather Advisory until 2 PM EDT Tuesday for OHZ026-034-
     035-042>046-051>056.
KY...None.
IN...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Coniglio/Hickman/Sites
NEAR TERM...Novak
SHORT TERM...Sites
LONG TERM...Hatzos
AVIATION...Coniglio

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
449 AM EDT Mon Mar 13 2017

OHZ026-034-035-042>046-051>056-140900-
Hardin-Mercer-Auglaize-Darke-Shelby-Logan-Union OH-Delaware-Miami-
Champaign-Clark-Madison-Franklin OH-Licking-
449 AM EDT Mon Mar 13 2017

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 2 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Central Ohio and West Central
Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

An unseasonably cold airmass will remain in place across the region
through the upcoming week. This will result in hard nighttime
freezes.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report snow accumulations to the
National Weather Service.

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ060>065-070>074-077>082-
088-140900-
Wayne-Fayette IN-Union IN-Franklin IN-Ripley-Dearborn-Ohio-
Switzerland-Carroll-Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-Campbell-Owen-Grant-
Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis-Preble-Montgomery-Greene-
Fayette OH-Pickaway-Fairfield-Butler-Warren-Clinton-Ross-Hocking-
Hamilton-Clermont-Brown-Highland-Adams-Pike-Scioto-
449 AM EDT Mon Mar 13 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for East Central Indiana,
Southeast Indiana, Northeast Kentucky, Northern Kentucky, Central
Ohio, Southwest Ohio and West Central Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Light snow accumulations are possible overnight, which might cause
slick spots on area roadways.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

An unseasonably cold airmass will remain in place across the region
through the upcoming week. This will result in hard nighttime
freezes.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report snow accumulations to the
National Weather Service.