Flash Flood Watch 3, NWS Wilmington, OH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
338 PM EDT Wed May 24 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
An unsettled pattern will be present across the region through
the week. An area of low pressure will meander across the region
through Thursday. Multiple systems will then work across the
area Friday through Tuesday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
An area of low pressure will move into the region this
evening. Showers and some thunderstorms will rotate around this
feature. Precipitation may be heavy at times. With low LCLs
cannot rule out some tornado potential through the early evening
hours. Will continue to mention the severe threat in the HWO and
added additional flash flood risk wording across western
portions of the region.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
Showers and isolated thunderstorms will continue to be possible
on Thursday as an area of low pressure meanders across the
region. With the cloud cover associated with the low,
temperatures will struggle to rise and are only expected to make
it into the middle 60s.

As the low moves off out of the area precipitation chances will
taper off Thursday night.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Mid level ridging will push east across the region through the day
on Friday leading to dry conditions and seasonable temperatures. As
the ridge pushes east, a developing southwesterly flow pattern will
allow for occasional mid level short waves to cross the area through
the weekend. This will result in a chance of showers an
thunderstorms Saturday and Sunday with highs both days in the upper
70s.

An upper level low will slowly drop down across the northern Great
Lakes through early next week. As it does, some weak energy will
rotate around it, bringing some lower chances of precipitation
through the rest of the long term period. Temperatures will also
cool off a bit with highs mainly in the low to mid 70s through
Wednesday.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
An area of low pressure will meander across the area through the
TAF period. This will allow for reduced visibilities with
intermittent showers and thunderstorms. The most widespread
coverage of precipitation is expected to be across KCVG and
KLUK. In addition, cigs will be reduced as well especially later
during the overnight hours into the daytime hours on Thursday.

OUTLOOK...MVFR to IFR ceilings likely Thursday with MVFR
visibilities possible. MVFR ceilings, visibilities, along with a
chance of thunderstorms possible Friday night into Sunday.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Novak
NEAR TERM...Novak
SHORT TERM...Novak
LONG TERM...JGL
AVIATION...Novak

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
334 PM EDT Wed May 24 2017

KYZ097>100-OHZ026-044>046-052>056-062>065-071>074-078>082-088-251945-
Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis-Hardin-Logan-Union OH-Delaware-
Champaign-Clark-Madison-Franklin OH-Licking-Greene-Fayette OH-
Pickaway-Fairfield-Warren-Clinton-Ross-Hocking-Clermont-Brown-
Highland-Adams-Pike-Scioto-
334 PM EDT Wed May 24 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Northeast Kentucky, Northern
Kentucky, Central Ohio, Southwest Ohio and West Central Ohio.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

A deep low pressure system will be present over the region.
Thunderstorms that develop may get some added energy if sunshine is
able to break through the cloud deck. These stronger isolated storms
have the potential to create damaging winds or possibly a weak
tornado through the early evening hours.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are asked to report significant weather conditions.

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>096-OHZ034-035-042-043-051-060-
061-070-077-251945-
Wayne-Fayette IN-Union IN-Franklin IN-Ripley-Dearborn-Ohio-
Switzerland-Carroll-Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-Campbell-Owen-Grant-
Pendleton-Mercer-Auglaize-Darke-Shelby-Miami-Preble-Montgomery-
Butler-Hamilton-
334 PM EDT Wed May 24 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for East Central Indiana,
Southeast Indiana, Northern Kentucky, Southwest Ohio and West
Central Ohio.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

A deep low pressure system will be present over the region.
Thunderstorms that develop may get some added energy if sunshine is
able to break through the cloud deck. These stronger isolated storms
have the potential to create damaging winds or possibly a weak
tornado through the early evening hours.

Rain may be heavy at times through tonight leading to a flash flood
risk.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are asked to report significant weather conditions.

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